cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
Toya
- 09 Nov 2012 19:17
- 9526 of 21973
Had me worried there for a moment cynic - thought you were in A&E and was impressed you were still trading! Enjoy being kept awake by your grandchildren :)
cynic
- 09 Nov 2012 21:38
- 9527 of 21973
not that dumb! ..... staying elsewhere
Balerboy
- 10 Nov 2012 19:47
- 9528 of 21973
congrats cyners.....more pressie's to buy at xmas.,.
cynic
- 10 Nov 2012 21:13
- 9529 of 21973
thanks m8, but don't tell the press that it was anything to do with me
skinny
- 13 Nov 2012 09:30
- 9530 of 21973
GBP CPI y/y 2.7% consensus 2.3% previous 2.2%
GBP PPI Input m/m 0.4% consensus -0.4% previous -0.2%
GBP RPI y/y 3.2% consensus 2.9% previous 2.6%
skinny
- 13 Nov 2012 10:00
- 9531 of 21973
EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment -15.7 consensus -9.9 previous -11.5
EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment -2.6 consensus 0.2 previous -1.4
Shortie
- 13 Nov 2012 12:30
- 9532 of 21973
Apple support confirmed... Narrow range so awaiting a breakout
http://rt8.it-finance.com/FinSpreadsFlash/showimage.phtml?id=78744c23f7fe3bb4ac109a104bdfdf5459ebb1e69657dcfeb42741d2a967788f&type=png
http://rt16.it-finance.com/FinSpreadsFlash/showimage.phtml?id=ab3387af723cac2813fb07adc1909f6c3651fa7caa95176dceced889abc666be&type=png
Shortie
- 13 Nov 2012 12:33
- 9533 of 21973
http://rt16.it-finance.com/FinSpreadsFlash/showimage.phtml?id=3779966d54c661cf7ebbe0c5676077784b8b0d538f136a0bd32762a78f3fcf52&type=png
Wall St support also holding, awaiting a breakout
cynic
- 13 Nov 2012 12:35
- 9534 of 21973
concur with both the above shortie ..... am more optimistic about dow having a little rush of blood to the head
Shortie
- 13 Nov 2012 12:37
- 9535 of 21973
http://rt8.it-finance.com/FinSpreadsFlash/showimage.phtml?id=99b8d977976159d47c546b1b726b1d298690dc0f444fa0a9c5e5804247d6772a&type=png
FTSE100 maybe worth a short also if Wall St support breaks
Shortie
- 13 Nov 2012 12:42
- 9536 of 21973
Hi Cynic, not easy searching for positions at the moment.
http://rt16.it-finance.com/FinSpreadsFlash/showimage.phtml?id=731d39a61ff9bb4c9f20a814d322bf1ec227f03a94d5fb05d9a2d9880ee9697e&type=png
Rio Tinto, set for a long position, one to watch as expect will need to trade on a March 13 future. Technicals look good, fundamentals and economics are reason for the lag.
Shortie
- 13 Nov 2012 12:49
- 9537 of 21973
http://rt8.it-finance.com/FinSpreadsFlash/showimage.phtml?id=8b2eb9a8b071183e4fb8fc2caddf953d887f35516005c5723f4f5721de9f125a&type=png
Microsoft could well be about to break long term support. I suspect this will be my best short bet, windows 8, lost market share, the negatives stack up to support a short position. Interested to hear your thoughts peeps??
cynic
- 13 Nov 2012 12:51
- 9538 of 21973
confess i haven't followed RIO for at least 2 years
as an overview, and as i have posted several times, chemical shipments are rising, a
and more importantly, the Baltic Dry Index has jumped 50%+ in the last couple of months, all of which indicate that we are indeed coming out of recession worldwide
it follows that broad-based mining stocks should benefit - but when?
skinny
- 13 Nov 2012 12:53
- 9539 of 21973
I take it you have seen this Shortie :-
Steven Sinofsky: Windows division head leaves Microsoft
Steven Sinofsky, the head of Microsoft's Windows division, has left the company with immediate effect.
His departure comes just weeks after Microsoft launched Windows 8, the latest edition of its flagship product, seen as key to the firm's future.
Microsoft did not give any reason for Mr Sinofsky's departure.
However, industry watchers suggest that the real reason could be an internal "war" between him and chief executive Steve Ballmer.
Shortie
- 13 Nov 2012 13:00
- 9540 of 21973
Thanks Cynic, RIO seams to have plenty of support where it is so I'm thinking with MA indicators looking at a rally (MACD) it might be worth a small punt until a signal is confirmed.
Skinny, exactly, Microsoft going through alot of change at the moment, why wouldn't long term investors get jumpy...
A long in Rio and a short in Microsoft a potential play. Well unless I can find anything better....
cynic
- 13 Nov 2012 13:33
- 9541 of 21973
RIO
not sure that this is the right time to get back into RIO as it may have another 300 to fall to reach real support, or the same amount to rise for a breakout
hilary
- 13 Nov 2012 13:37
- 9542 of 21973
It's easy to read too much into the Baltic Dry Index. A single capesize becoming available or going into dry dock can affect rates considerably short-term. Also bear in mind that it takes 4 or 5 years to get a big ship into the water from point of order.
The BDI is a proxy for Chinese demand, and there are other economic indicators at the moment which suggest that all is not well in China. Although HSBC/Markit jumped last month, it's still below the 50 line which marks the difference between expansion and contraction.
I'm not saying that we're not coming out of recession and that the BDI won't continue to climb in the months ahead, but it's worth bearing in mind that it's still down about 50% over the year as a whole.
skinny
- 13 Nov 2012 13:39
- 9543 of 21973
EU, IMF clash over Greece revives debt crisis fears
BRUSSELS | Tue Nov 13, 2012 1:20pm GMT
(Reuters) - A public clash between Greece's international lenders over how Athens can bring its debts down to a sustainable level has reignited fears that the crisis could flare up anew.
Euro zone finance ministers suggested that Greece, where the euro zone debt crisis began, should be given until 2022 to lower its debt to GDP ratio to 120 percent but International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde insisted the existing target of 2020 should remain.
cynic
- 13 Nov 2012 14:18
- 9544 of 21973
hilary - many thanks your input ..... however, i am given to understand that BDI has improved by 50% from its low point, which in no way contradicts your own analysis of it ..... i would also concur that BDI is a prime indicator of China's economic health ..... that said, our own direct involvement with chemicals (we don't do the shipping) shows that demand in F/E remains strong, but India is dometsically weak, perhaps due to its currency problems
hilary
- 13 Nov 2012 14:35
- 9545 of 21973
You're right, cynic, it has risen about 50% from its lows. Twice this year its been down to between 650 and 700 which is a level it's historically bounced from, and the index currently stands at around 1k representing the 50% you refer to. I presume the index rises from the 650/700 level simply because the shipping companies can't hire crew and buy fuel for any less than that.
But, when you look at the chart going back over the last 10 years or so, things still aren't exactly what I'd call pretty.