overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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Douggie
- 29 Sep 2006 17:23
- 974 of 1009
looks like we will have to wait 'till mid Jan for our 205p !! .. ;-/
Douggie
- 29 Sep 2006 17:24
- 975 of 1009
any comments Fundy to help we lesser knwlegable punters out .. ;o\
pachandl
- 29 Sep 2006 18:29
- 976 of 1009
Personally I don't blame Clumpy. The market consistently under-rated RTD so he has simply used that to his advantage. Unless a hostile bid comes in he is entitled to say that his offer has valued the company fairly. Sweet revenge I suppose!
optomistic
- 29 Sep 2006 19:12
- 977 of 1009
Douggie, if you don't want to wait until January for the cash you can always sell now on the market. If you don't think there is likely to be a further bid you will then have the cash to use elsewhere. Then you will probably know that, but some will wait for the conclusion of the deal to save the trading commissions, but the interest that could be earned in a bank may be more than the commission.
Well done on your holding and for being so patient although sometimes by looking at your posts I think you must have been a little worried on the odd occasion.
Cheers
opto
Fundamentalist
- 29 Sep 2006 20:07
- 978 of 1009
Opto, douggie, pachandl and anyone else who has held on well done :-)).
205p per share seems a decent price to me, theyd still be at 150ish if the takeover wasnt about. Personally would take the 200p from the market, why wait 3 months for an extra 2% (unless you think a hostile counter bid will come in)
Fred1new
- 06 Oct 2006 12:27
- 979 of 1009
Any news of a counter bid? ICV says wait for documents. May be I am greedy! But Douggie you can now have that holiday in peace.
biffa18
- 07 Oct 2006 19:28
- 980 of 1009
well thats it i think cant see much more scope in waiting so sold my 250tho but never saw them go thro bit strange that ! good luck for the rest of you
pachandl
- 09 Oct 2006 11:04
- 981 of 1009
Still vacillating at present - to sell or not to sell? I have decided to hold on for the moment. Any hostile bid would take about 2 weeks to get organised properly and the sp seems to be supported by the current bid. If nothing happens by mid next week, will then sell.
Fred1new
- 09 Oct 2006 11:36
- 982 of 1009
I dropped another half of original hold and bought chunks of AHT and ADN (worth a look.) could be 30-40% up on them in short term (2-3mths). Also punted a small amount (V.Small) on SEO.
pachandl
- 09 Oct 2006 13:11
- 983 of 1009
I have been in and out of SEO, with some reasonable profit. I will check ADN, thanks. Currently looking at getting back into FTO (once sp has stabilised).
pjstanton
- 11 Oct 2006 13:52
- 984 of 1009
Just received the "Recommended Proposal" document.
So, just 205 pence in cash. Had expected more, but honestly I will be glad to be rid of them.
Peter
Douggie
- 14 Nov 2006 17:48
- 985 of 1009
Seen 3 graphs all show close at 205.75p ????????? ...............!
Fred1new
- 14 Nov 2006 20:25
- 986 of 1009
Checked the range for to-day and 202.5p was the high for the day.
I sold this a while back and moved on as I think while you may get another 1.5% you have to wait for your money and possibly pick another share which will return more while you wait, especially as the market is rising.
Douggie
- 18 Dec 2006 09:04
- 987 of 1009
Mourning All .... ;o/
there we go it's all over bar the pay cheque !!
thanks to all for such a good thread for so long
Best of seasons greetings
Doug
Fred1new
- 18 Dec 2006 09:52
- 988 of 1009
Douggie, You can have that Turkey on that long wanted holiday now!
8-)
Douggie
- 18 Dec 2006 10:58
- 989 of 1009
Hi Fred just back from 2wks Costa Del Sol .... off with Saga 4 nights over Christmas
then to Madera 2wks end Jan. :o))
so wasting profit before I've banked it
Very best wishes
Doug
Mantis SG
- 18 Dec 2006 12:56
- 990 of 1009
Hi, this is my first post. I am a very amature trader hoping to get a bit more clued up. I have shares in RTD, I was expecting the price to go up to 205p at the close on friday (15/12/06) but they have opened this morning still at the 203.5 mark. Any ideas what is going to happen, will the share price continue to stay at 203 now, should I sell? Thanks very much. Sean.
boxerdog
- 18 Dec 2006 13:01
- 991 of 1009
Sean, i continue to hold to get full 205p. which if i'm correct you will acheive very early 2007.
Mantis SG
- 18 Dec 2006 14:08
- 992 of 1009
Thanks Boxerdog.
Fundamentalist
- 18 Dec 2006 16:43
- 993 of 1009
well done to all who continued to hold up until the takeover.
Sad to see this share disappear from the markets though it certainly doesnt owe me (or many others on here) anything