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Index Trading with the MT4 Somnus EA (INDX)     

KenBachelor - 20 Sep 2016 09:44

Flag Counter     Visitors since 4 April 2014     Click to skip to Header Update

Opinions given on this thread are just that, 'opinions' and should not be taken as investment advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=UKX&Size=410&Skin=GreenWhite&Scale=0&Type=3&Cycle=MINUTE15&Layout=Intra;IntraDate&E=UK&YFormat=&XCycle=Hour2&Fix=1&SV=0 Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=UKX&Size=410&Skin=GreenWhite&Type=2&Scale=0&Span=YEAR1&MA=&EMA=&OVER=&IND=&XCycle=&XFormat=&Layout=2Line;Default;Price;HisDate&SV=0
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DEX.&Size=410&Skin=GreenWhite&Scale=0&Type=3&Cycle=MINUTE15&Layout=Intra;IntraDate&E=UK&YFormat=&XCycle=Hour2&Fix=1&SV=0 Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DEX.&Size=410&Skin=GreenWhite&Type=2&Scale=0&Span=YEAR1&MA=&EMA=&OVER=&IND=&XCycle=&XFormat=&Layout=2Line;Default;Price;HisDate&SV=0
Chart.aspx?Provider=USIntra&Code=INDU&Size=410&Skin=GreenWhite&Scale=0&Type=3&Cycle=MINUTE15&Layout=Intra;IntraDate&E=US&YFormat=&XCycle=Hour2&Fix=1&SV=0 Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=INDU&Size=410&Skin=GreenWhite&Type=2&Scale=0&Span=YEAR1&MA=&EMA=&OVER=&IND=&XCycle=&XFormat=&Layout=2Line;Default;Price;HisDate&SV=0
Useful links: IG Index FTSEIG Trading Live QuotesFTSE Dividend Adjustments
Somnus Demark Based Trading Notes updated 16 July 2016 Click Here
To download the Somnus Trading Excel Archive Spreadsheet to 1 July 2016 with Trade Signals and Limit Calculations Click here
Somnus Club MT4 Expert Advisor Notes and Installation Instructions Click Here
If you are interested in the Somnus Traders Club, please e-mail me at Somnus.Club@btinternet.com providing the following information as you would when joining any other sort of club: Somnus thread and real name, home address, land line telephone number so that I can call you without it costing me and if you wish a mobile number as well. I will ring you one evening (by prior arrangement) so that we can get to know one another. On this thread, the masculine shall include the feminine and the singular the plural.WEALTH WARNING - Spread betting can seriously damage your wealth. All development of the Somnus trading system has been carried out with a full understanding the risks involved and with adequate capital reserves. Please do not use any information from this thread without a full understanding of the risks.

Consolidated Trades Record from 4 July 2016
Somnus is based on Tom Demark's system to spot the end of a trend and places automatic EA generated index trades on the GKFX MT4 spread-bet platform. I'm trading the DAX using a trade size based on my bank. A new trade is opened immediately a valid signal appears and the limit is adjusted as the number of trades in a series increases. When the number of open trades in a series exceeds 4, the first trade is closed and a new one is opened with the trade size increased to recover the loss. This is repeated as further trades are added to the series up to the maximum setting and then a new series is started.

SomnusTrades.png

Updated 1 October 2016 A very satisfactory first week here on MoneyAM and having had quite a bit of contact with their office, including the MD (Bullshare) I'm very pleased with the move. 7 trades closed this week and the profit of £766.93 has raised my 13 week average from £607.97 to £620.20. The projected profit for the year now suggests 90.25% and a simple back of a fag packet calculation using 18.62% a quarter compounded 4 times comes to 97.98%, which is near enough for me. My intention remains to withdraw £1,000 of each £2,000 I make and this will of course affect the results, although I'm pretty sure that with the progress we've made recently I'll still double my bank and hopefully have a little extra on 4 July 2017. I've made a major change to my settings this week, as I've increased my Maximum Trades in Series from 5 to 7 combined with increasing the size from level 6 instead of level 4. Obviously it will be some time before the changes prove whether it was a good idea. The only other idea I've had this week was that bearing in mind the more levels there are open the smaller the difference is between the various TP's, it might be worth increasing the T/P as each level opens. This is something that can easily be done manually as long as you remember to change it back when the series closes and if you are away from your computer at the critical time, it doesn't really matter and there's normally plenty of time anyway. Those who've been around for a while will know that I'm never satisfied, so I'm planning to try it out by adding 1 point at each level and see what happens. Good luck.
I'm trading the DAX using the following settings Somnus Performance
 
PropertiesScreen.gif No1Perf.png
To view or update member's current T/P's Click here. To view forthcoming Economic News Click here. Ken Bachelor

Chris Carson - 27 Sep 2016 11:04 - 98 of 359

Sorry Ken I need to try and understand it better. It's obviously working for you :0)

cynic - 27 Sep 2016 11:18 - 99 of 359

not or almost never crystalising a loss is a bit of a cheat :-)

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 11:25 - 100 of 359

First the good news. The new settings did open trade 4 as planned and it's always a relief to know the revised settings work and recalculate the T/P correctly.

Chris - I've suggested to Cynic that if he's interested just send me an e-mail and I'll send him a copy. It doesn't cost anything to open a GKFX demo account and try it out.

The same offer applies to anyone, including you.

Chris Carson - 27 Sep 2016 11:31 - 101 of 359

Thanks Ken will bear in mind.

cynic - 27 Sep 2016 12:02 - 102 of 359

chris - do you think i need to promise ken that i shan't tease him - or at least not unduly? :-)

Chris Carson - 27 Sep 2016 12:08 - 103 of 359

Probably cyners :0) Horses for courses end of the day.

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 13:31 - 104 of 359

Talking about horses, I used to be actively connected to Group One Racing and they have a runner in the first race at Southwell this afternoon. Please don't take this as a tip, because I've not been connected for several years now, but I will be watching with interest.

Not much activity since the last long opened, but when the trend changes Somnus will be opening another short.

Cynic - I've been trading since 1960 so I'm well able to handle most things, even your teasing.

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 13:39 - 105 of 359

The next market moving news seems to be at about 15:00, so we'll probably wait till then before we get much action.

cynic - 27 Sep 2016 15:06 - 106 of 359

not far wrong with your time, though Dow and therefore Dax started to recover from the open in USA

have banked a small 55 point profit from yesterday evening's foray
however as Ken implies, no profit is to be sneezed at

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 15:09 - 107 of 359

The Group One horse was second, but ran well.

We'll have a valid short signal at 15:15, so it will then be a case of waiting for the first 1 hour reversal in the up trend. There is a slight hesitation at the moment, so perhaps the trade will open at 16:15.

cynic - 27 Sep 2016 15:18 - 108 of 359

Dow may give you a clue
the resistance comes in just below 18,200 ...... it's currently 18,172 but dithering a little

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 15:40 - 109 of 359

All markets tend to move in the same direction over time Cynic.

The reversal seems to be well underway at the moment, so it still looks like 16:15 unless it gets below 10,304 in the next 5 minutes.

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 16:23 - 110 of 359

As I suggested the short has opened, so whichever way the DAX moves from here we wiil have another £100. All we need is movement, hopefully upward movement as I've got 4 longs open and only 1 short.

cynic - 27 Sep 2016 16:45 - 111 of 359

yes it's all gone up :-)
confess i missed the boat at a tad below 10,320 so did nothing ...... however, i have other smallish Dax longs

banked a good profit on Dow longs a couple of days back

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 17:10 - 112 of 359

Cynic - I reckon a very good week for Somnus is 10 trades (2 a day on average) and a bad week is 5 trades (1 a day). £500 to £1,000 a week at the moment. We usually get somewhere in between.

It seems you're trading manually, so presumably you don't have any expectations other than hoping to catch the trade at the right time and winning.

cynic - 27 Sep 2016 17:26 - 113 of 359

i don't day-trade as rule ..... i don't have the time or the patience or even the skills
you're clearly pretty good at it, but you are also very much a rarity

meanwhile, i see DOW is really letting rip so there should be plenty of opportunity for you, and even a chance to recoup some of the (thumping?) losses you are currently wearing

i have a small "fun portfolio" which i use for trading ...... most is in individual stocks, though i also play a bit at the indices as you have noted

my major investment is in a small freehold which i was lucky enough to buy in 1978 and which yields hugely for the capital invested, and continues to rise in value

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 17:48 - 114 of 359

Sorry Cynic - I thought from the title of your thread that you are trading the FTSE and FTSE 250.

I'm also not sure what you mean by the losses I'm wearing. My current drawdown is 3.45%, but I don't start to become concerned until it reaches above 60%.

OOOmar - 27 Sep 2016 18:20 - 115 of 359

Ken,

Your t/p for the latest short is wrong.

J0llyR0ger - 27 Sep 2016 18:28 - 116 of 359

Hi Cynic, perhaps, I can help and show in laymans terms what the system is doing, although compared to Ken, I am a novice as well.

The Somnus system will always aim to make a profit on a trade. To us a trade could be a single trade or a group of trades together which show a profit when the group is calculated together.

So for example, where you see the "Loss taken" in the table in the header, those trades are actually part of a single short group. The complete group P/L is:

-£527.50
-£723.75
-£213.25
-£36.12
£1654.07

The total for all the above is £153.45. So this group closed with a profit of £153.45. The "Loss taken" trades are where they have been closed and the next short trade opens at an increased trade size to recover the loss made on the "Loss taken" trade. The T/P is also automatically adjusted for all remaining short trades in the group. The 4th & 5th trades in a group would have increased trades sizes while the first 3 trades in the group will have the same trade size.

The key column in Ken's table is the "Series Totals" column.

KenBachelor - 27 Sep 2016 18:40 - 117 of 359

Thank you Omar - I've corrected it now but it won't be too long now before we get another short, so I'll be doing it again soon.

Why have you and FLVT changed your names?

The only reason I can think of is that you've been very naughty and been banned here, and I don't believe that for one moment. I can think that Omar's been taken already, but you've never used that personally and surely nobody's using FLVT.
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