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Afternoon guys,

Been out most of yesterday and today so missed out on some really big potential gains especially with Scot/Fra game. My gain was only modest compared with some on this thread.

Started this morning with a good win on Aus/Pak cricket but will be looking for some action today.

Thanks Fundy

Hope no one was trying to buy money on southampton at the death

No, But gutted, we really needed those three points, Desperately. I fear we are nearly doomed we so needed to win that one. It looks like luck will not be with us.

Sorry scrip - forgot you were a "saint". Personally think Harry will get you out of trouble, theres plenty of other poor sides to go down

I will find out more on the course I know, but as a taster, I see the odds on Chelsea winning are 1.32 just before kick off. How are you guys playing that, if you are at all?

Bones

personally am just watching at present, if chelsea havent scored getting on for half time and the odds are above 1.6 i will back chelsea and then look to green up if and when they score

Chelsea currently looking toothless without Robben

Thanks Fundamentalist, For the record using small trial sums, I decided to lay Chelsea at 1.32 100 leaving with a max liability of 32 on the basis that Chelsea (no Robben, Drogba) might take time to get going and knowing Man City are the kind of team to do the unexpected.

After 20 mins of midfield play, I decided to green up at 1.5 for safety only for a 12 profit across the outcomes like so:



EDIT: sorry about the gap in the photo!

Of course, an early Chelsea goal would see me down probably 25 straight away if I were to close off. The question for me to find out at the course is whether there was any sense in my play!!!

I look forward to it.

Bones

you obviously understand the theories - you will get statistical evidence from scrip as to what strategies you should use.

Well done with your profit, but put into context you risked 32 to win 12 on Chelsea not scoring in the first half hour or so - i am guessing but i think if you had tried that over the season with chelsea home games you would have lost money (they have led after half an hour in more than 1 game in 2.5 i would guess)

Indeed Fundy! (first 20 mins rather than half hour). I didn't think it stacked up but the absence of key players had some bearing on it.

Nonetheless, it seems similar to, albeit a bit riskier than, the France/Scotland rugby strategy that you all piled on yesterday (so would I had I not been out). So what's the "fundamental" difference?

PS It can wait until the course if you are embargoed on trade secrets :)

Bones, I'm new to this but think it's just down to the odds. France were 1.06 at the start of the match - a lot better than Chelsea at 1.32

kajman, I'm sure that is right! You can hardly go wrong laying at 1/16...!

Bones

agree with kajman, at 1.06 there was very little risk for a nice reward (i believe you could have had 2.1 at one point)

if chelsea had been 1.06 i would have been laying them too

1.06 prices in an expectation of a very easy win, which in play, would require a lead to be taken very early otherwise the odds will drift

Shot by kezman, - no relation :-)

This weekend is the first time I have traded the sports following Scrip's course as I have been concentrating on the financials and - famous last words - I am finally starting to be consistantly profitable on the intra day FTSE & Dow over the last few weeks after trading like an arse for the first month.

I traded the three six nations game this weekend and the net result is + 25% on the (small) account with wins on the France/Scotland (laying France at those stupid prices as mentioned above) and Wales/England (laying England at any price as they are vastly overrated of course....) I was laying Ireland below 1.10 but got a bit too relaxed with the early Itie strength so that was the small loser.

If you are thinking about going on the course you should do - personally it has been a big eye opener. I am now a betfair sports addict and will be glued to the rugby till Wales pick up the trophy

Anyone else take a bath on chelesa or just me?

how does calamity james make a save like that lol

Damn, one less sucker in the financials :-))

lol - don't speak too soon