Indeed oilwatch - could get very interesting in the coming months.
Hardman Sept 2007 note on NPE :
http://www.hardmanandco.com/Research/Nautical_Sept_190907.pdf
Recent Oil Barrel article :
http://www.oilbarrel.com/news/article.html?body=1&key=oilbarrel_en:1190712032
25.09.2007
Heavy Oil Specialist Nautical Petroleum Has Built a Substantial Portfolio of Prospects, Now The Fun Begins - The Drilling
London AIM listed Nautical Petroleum has built up a substantial portfolio of prospects in the UK Continental Shelf, in southern France and the East Irish Sea. A heavy oil specialist, it lists seven discoveries and development prospects in the UKCS and France amongst its assets as well as some low cost exploration opportunities.
It has taken twenty-four months to get from there to here in terms of assembling the portfolio, but the company has now announced some definite dates for drilling.
First out of the traps is an appraisal well to test the Kraken prospect on the companys 9/2b licence. Kraken was discovered in 1985 and tested oil in the Heimdal sandstone, with the best estimate contingent resources totalling 53 million barrels (23.9 million barrels net to Nautical). Nautical farmed out an interest to Korean SK Corp early in 2007, under which part of its costs are carried. The Byford Dolphin rig is due on location late in September and is scheduled to spud the well in mid-October.
Following the drilling on Kraken the rig will then move to block 9/11c to appraise the Mermaid prospect. Nautical has completed extensive seismic work over this prospect, which has confirmed a robust pinch out in the Maureen horizon. Best estimate prospective resources totals 129 million barrels of oil.
The company has recently completed a second farm out. Silverstone Energy will acquire a 10 per cent interest in the North Sea Block 9/11c. Earlier Nautical farmed out 40 per cent to Celtic Oil so it retains 50 per cent of the prospect. Nautical will have its share of the costs fully carried for a substantial proportion of the drilling; thereafter it will bear a reduced share of the costs above a certain fixed level.
In France, Nautical is preparing for an appraisal well on the Grenade prospect during Q4 2007. This well will then lead to testing in the spring of 2008 to confirm production. Nautical has a net interest in 2.8 million of best estimate contingent resources on the Grenade prospect in the Aquitaine basin.
Nautical will also commence a site survey of the Selkie prospect which contains net best estimate prospective resources of 13.2 million barrels of oil, ahead of a planned well in early 2008.
We have reported earlier on progress on one of Nautical key properties, the Mariner field. This holds the record of being the most heavily appraised undeveloped field in the North Sea. There have been a total of seven appraisal wells and in flow tests over 650,000 barrels have been produced. Gross 2P reserves have been put at 82 million barrels and Nautical owns just under 27 per cent of the field. Chevron was the operator and had been perceived by Nautical to be dragging its feet over development of the field. However Chevrons interest and operatorship has been taken over by Norsk-Hydro, with the likelihood that development will now take place earlier than the 2010 date originally envisaged.
In parallel with this drilling activity, Nautical is to commence seismic acquisition over block 3/27a and 9/2 b to firm up drilling locations over the Hyrda prospects. The company will shoot closed spaced 2D seismic, which will be reinterpreted into a 3D model of these leads.
Outside of the UKCS, Nautical has developed a significant position in the East Irish Sea following the 24th Licensing Round, the results of which were announced in February 2007. The company secured Blocks 113/29c and 113/30, which Nautical will operate as a traditional licence. Block 113/29c contains the Merrow Prospect, which contains proven oil and gas migration in the Ormskirk, Triassic and Collyhurst sandstones. Merrow is a large prospect with best estimate prospective resources of 123 million barrels of oil or 393 bcf of gas, located at 2 levels. Seismic data is currently being reprocessed, following which Nautical will decide on its drilling activity.
Commenting on all this Steve Jenkins, Chief Executive of Nautical said: The commencement of drilling marks a step change in activity for the company, and we are now in an excellent position to confirm potential oil reserves of over 100 million barrels of oil, in addition to confirming prospectivity of a further 100 million barrels of oil.
Our presence in the North Sea, Irish Sea and Europe confirms our leadership in heavy oil, which following the offer by Norsk- Hydro for Chevrons interest in the Mariner Field, underlines the increased interest by major companies in these undeveloped resources.
Heavy oil has not always been popular. It has a low recovery rate. It is difficult and expensive to extract and has usually been sold at a 10 to 20 per cent discount to Brent crude. As a result it is a resource that the UK North Sea, at least, has been sparsely exploited in the past, even although it is known to be available in abundance. Continuing high oil prices have begun to transform the situation.
But it is not just the high oil price, which has changed the position. Nautical owns specialised equipment that allows it to test oils with an API down to 10 degrees and has access, through Quadrise Fuels International, to new proprietary technology that converts these heavy oils into a fuel for power generation adding between US$3 to US$7 to the value of a barrel and meaning that the oil can sell at a premium rather than a discount to Brent crude.
Some 160,000 bpd of heavy crude is now being produced from the UK waters. Steve Jenkins argues that Nautical itself could be producing 30,000 bpd in five years time. We shall see.