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Upcoming property auctions (BUY?)     

Juzzle - 07 Sep 2009 13:12

Are we at a stage where it's worth looking again at investing in the purchase of houses for renovation/reselling?

I sat in on a property auction at the end of April this year. Most properties (mainly houses, cottages, smallholdings and pubs) did sell (ie, reached or exceeded reserve) except pubs, which remained unloved unless suited to immediate conversion, but nobody was bidding strongly above the published guide prices. The room was packed (about 125 people), but quite a few of those who were registered to bid (ie were holding a numbered card) held back from doing so.

I'm not quite ready to be buying anything myself, but I have viewed a few places in the past few weeks, and will probably be sitting in on an auction coming up at the end of the month, just to get a further feel for how things are going as we head into autumn.

On my patch (southwest Wales) the agent most heavily involved in auctions is John Francis - and it will be one of their two auctions (at Carmarthen on Sep 30 or Swansea on Oct 1) that I'll be attending. (Or maybe both). There's about 15 properties listed so far at each. The agent's website for these auctions is www.johnfrancis.co.uk/auctionnew.htm

I've viewed the 65k semi in Cardigan (selling at Carmarthen) and the 50k detached one at Brynamman (selling at Swansea) - and it's that latter one which seems to have the greatest potential markup margin, so I shall probably be seeing how that one does - though it's not in the right locality for me - I'm going to be looking to buy somewhere around the central english/welsh borders next spring/summer. Does anyone here have any guidance on which agents to check out for auctions in that area? And any info on particular properties suitable for renovation there?

I will post the outcome of these two auctions on my patch, just out of interest - to see how things went compared with whatever guide prices appear in their catalogue.

Let us know of investment opportunities at other upcoming auctions, and how they pan out over the coming months.

jeffmack - 22 Sep 2010 07:13 - 2 of 58

Allsop Residential's two day September sale (14th and 16th) at London's Cumberland Hotel has raised 38m (78%).

This was the first auction after the summer recess and there is no doubt that the correction that we witnessed at our July sales (43m and 83%) heralded tougher times ahead. The market has weakened further.

We are increasingly noticing a difference in buyer sentiment to lots in the South-East and those in the regions. We have historically held two day sales, one day offering regional stock, the other concentrating on London and the home counties. The recession has brought with it a flight to quality as debt-starved investors shun risk and stick to the safer locations.

This was evidenced by a strong attendance at our 16th September sale when 232 South-East lots were offered and 207 were sold. 28m was raised and 89% achieved.

Lenders have continued to show forbearance towards borrowers struggling to service mortgage debt. This is particularly true of the partly nationalised institutions for whom large scale repossessions would cause political embarrassment. Many have opted for the fixed charge receivership route to recovery. The appointment of a Receiver leaves the mortgagor in possession whilst offering a fast track route to market to the lender. Our in- house insolvency team now specialises in such a service and is one of the firm's busiest departments. We see this continuing for some years to come.

In summary, the following points are worthy of note from the sales:

. Less well located investment stock will only attract interest at high double digit yields. This reflects the risk of a difficult sale in the event of vacant possession. (Lot 50 AST Middlesborough 21%, Lot 95 AST Prestwich 16%)

. Better regional locations show lower returns. Buyers need to have confidence in vacant possession values and a sustainable owner-occupier market. (Lot 75 Tenancy Stockport 4.28%, Lot 105 AST Wetherby 5.7%)

. The regions, particularly the North-East and North-West conurbations, are increasingly weaker. Market confidence is being eroded by proposed public sector cuts.

. The traditional investment market in London and the South-East remains strong with no perceptible variation on results from our May and July sales. (Lot 276 AST Lauderdale Mansions, Maida Vale, London W2 7.4%)

. 100% of all regulated tenancy investments sold.

. The ground rent market is still showing great resilience. 79 investments sold from a total of 80 offered.

. Vacant homes in good areas remain particularly saleable.

. All sites with planning permission or potential for residential development were sold. This sector of the market showed early signs of correction around 18 months ago. We therefore attribute this success to vendors adopting a more realistic approach to pricing based upon recent market evidence.

Average Yield Analysis Summary:

Assured Shorthold Tenancies 8.8%
Assured Tenancies 5.3%
Regulated Tenancies 5.0%
Ground Rents over 80 years 6.0% (16.7 YP)

skinny - 23 Sep 2010 15:12 - 3 of 58

One for you Jeff.

202 Westbourne Park Road, Notting Hill, London W11 1EP

A Freehold HMO Residential Investment Opportunity comprising:


15 Self-Contained Studio Flats

Total Current Rent Reserved 215,280 (including bills)

Refurbished to a high specification in 2006

Subject to 15 Assured Shorthold Tenancies

Total Estimated Rental Value 235,000 (including bills)

Shared Laundry Facilities
Sky TV, Broadband and Video Entry Systems provided within each flat

Offers invited in excess of 2,500,000, subject to contract

jeffmack - 23 Sep 2010 15:29 - 4 of 58

If I had 2.5m I would be sitting with my feet up somewhere warm

jeffmack - 28 Jul 2011 07:42 - 5 of 58

Recent Andrews & Robertson auction only sold 57% of lots offered. Auction prices seem to be softening further and I bought a couple of properties recently to let out. There is currently a shortage of rental properties and rents are increasing month on month.

skinny - 28 Jul 2011 15:11 - 6 of 58

Jeff - its quite amazing how quickly the rental market has turned - a friend of mine recently took over 2 months to find a 2 bedroom flat in the Bexley/Sidcup area. The last time he had to renew was 2 years ago, and at that time, he said the agents were falling over themselves to show him potentail rentals.

jeffmack - 28 Jul 2011 15:16 - 7 of 58

I advertised a flat in Dartford on Gumtree to see what the interest might be and I had 25 inquiries.

skinny - 28 Jul 2011 15:21 - 8 of 58

He has ended up near Dennis's - hardly ideal as his daughter (who lives with him) has to commute. The current market is a culmination of sevaral factors I guess - there are an awful lot of new flats being built in the Sidup area - so it should be interesting to see the take up when they are completed.

jeffmack - 29 Jul 2011 08:33 - 9 of 58

Landlords push out first-time buyers: Banks STILL refuse youngsters loans
By Lauren Thompson

A perfect storm is sweeping the property market, putting homes out of the reach of first-time buyers and into the hands of buy-to-let investors.

The tempting deals offered by banks have seen landlords cashing in and snapping up properties which would be ideal for first-time buyers.

There was a 25 per cent increase in the number of mortgages (including remortgages) taken out by landlords between January and March this year, compared with the same period in 2010. Of this, there was a 15 per cent surge in the number of house purchases.

A tale of two buyers: Landlords Catherine and Martin Hull (left) are thriving in the current market, while hopeful first-time buying Stephanie Polsky (right) continues to struggle to find a mortgage
At the same time, there was a 17 per cent fall in the number of first-time buyers taking out loans, according to figures by the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML).

There are now 486 different mortgages for landlords to choose from, but just 270 for typical first-time buyers with a 10 per cent deposit, according to financial data provider Moneyfacts.

Melanie Bien, director at mortgage broker Private Finance, says: Canny landlords are cashing in on a perfect storm of rising rents, falling mortgage rates and stagnant property prices. For landlords, the future is bright.

Unfortunately, the same cant be said for first-time buyers struggling to save a deposit.

First-time buyers vs landlords - they can't compete

First-time buyers, who have little deposit and small incomes, cannot compete against landlords who usually have large cash sums to put down as deposits for houses.

Landlords can also offset mortgage interest payments against the tax they would pay on their rental income, saving them further money.

CML figures show 7,200 fewer mortgages were granted to first-time buyers in the first three months of 2011, compared with the same period in 2010.
In the same period, the number of mortgages granted to landlords grew by 5,600 of this, the number of loans for new purchases increased by 2,000.

The CML says, overall, there are still double the amount of first-time buyers than landlords. But this does not reflect the sheer number of first-time buyers shut out of the market.

With average house prices down by 3 per cent since their peak in 2008, and prices still falling in many regions, first-time buyers are seen as a risk by many banks.

As they usually have only small deposits, they are more likely to suffer negative equity when prices drop. Many first-time buyers are also on low incomes, so they use a large portion of their take-home pay on mortgage repayments.

THE THRIVING LANDLORDS
Catherine Hull, 48, gave up her blood technician job last year to become a landlord.

Mrs Hull, pictured with her husband Martin, 49, who owns a haulage company, has made tens of thousands of pounds after buying four cheap properties in Grimsby and Cleethorpes, doing them up and renting them or selling them.

She says: There are lots of good opportunities for landlords. Rents are rising and you can increase the value of the property if you choose the house carefully.

One of the Hulls recent investments was bought for 45,000 in March, with a two-year fixed rate at The Mortgage Works at 4.19 per cent.

They had a deposit of 13,050, so their interest-only mortgage payments are 112 per month. It is now on sale for 80,000.

THE FIRST-TIME BUYER
Stephanie Polsky, 36, will have to save a deposit of 45,000 to buy a home in London.

Dr. Stephanie Polsky
Dr Polsky is one of thousands of young professionals stuck renting, because prices in the capital are so expensive. She lives with three friends in Southfields, south-west London, and pays 650 per month rent.

She says: I know I will need to move farther out where its cheaper, so I was looking three miles from here. But even a one-bedroom flat costs 250,000.

Dr Polsky, an academic director at a study-abroad organisation, was told by her bank that she would be better off with a 20 per cent deposit so she could qualify for a lower interest rate.

I need to save 45,000 in total. Its a long and frustrating process.
And rents are rising, helping landlords
The glut of potential buyers unable to get on the housing ladder is causing a boom for landlords. Average rents hit a record high in June, surging beyond the 700 per month barrier for the first time ever, according to lettings agency group LSL Property Services.

Landlords in London are getting an average of 1,006 per month from tenants.

David Newnes, estate agency managing director of LSL, says: Tenant demand continues to reach ever higher peaks and there simply isnt enough rental property coming on to the market to match it. Weve had five successive months of rent rises, but there is no sign of a let-up any time soon.
Big deposits - the barrier to entry

While rising rents are great for landlords, it makes it even harder for first-time buyers to save enough for a deposit. Youngsters need at least a 10 per cent deposit to get a mortgage, or 25 per cent to benefit from cheap deals. And while property prices have fallen, they are still relatively high.

A typical first-time buyer has a deposit of around 25,000 20 per cent of their propertys value, according to the CML. This would take seven years to save if you put away a massive 300 per month.

New buyers must also have an excellent credit record and enough income to pass strict affordability tests.

David Hollingworth, mortgage adviser at broker London & Country, says: Even if you are able to save a big deposit, it may still be difficult to get a mortgage.

First-time buyers are often subject to more stringent lending criteria, so if they have moved a lot or have missed credit card payments, for example, it can be a problem.
What's happening to mortgages?

Rates are also high. Those with a 25 per cent deposit can fix for two years with Yorkshire BS at 2.99 per cent. The best fix for a 10 per cent deposit is 4.39 per cent with Chelsea BS. Monthly repayments on a 150,000 mortgage would be 711 and 824 respectively.

So dire is the situation that housing minister Grant Schapps has stepped in, offering government equity loans and urging banks to offer mates mortgages, where groups of friends can club together to buy. But while banks are still unwilling to lend to first-time buyers, many have slashed the cost of deals for landlords to attract business.

Last week, The Mortgage Works, Nationwides buy-to-let arm, reduced rates. And Mortgage Trust has launched 18 new buy-to-let products for those with at least 25 per cent equity.

Skipton BS has also reduced rates, with its two-year buy-to-let fixed rate at 3.99 per cent with a 995 fee for landlords with a 40 per cent deposit. Interest-only payments would be 499.

An average two-year fixed rate on a buy-to-let deal for those with a 25 per cent deposit is 5.03 per cent. Repayments on an interest-only basis would be 629, and this expense is tax deductable.

The average fixed rate for first-time buyers with a 10 per cent deposit is 5.72 per cent, according to Moneyfacts. So a buyer with a 150,000 repayment mortgage would pay a whopping 941 a month.

A spokeswoman for trade body the Council of Mortgage Lenders says:
The reduction in first-time buyers can be attributed far more to ongoing deposit constraints than to displacement by buy-to-let landlords.


jeffmack - 29 Jul 2011 08:37 - 10 of 58

jeffmack - 29 Jul 2011 12:03 - 11 of 58

Yesterdays Bernard Marcus auction. Of the 115 lots offered in the room only 55% sold.

Auction Date Thursday, 28 July 2011
Venue Grand Connaught Rooms, Great Queen Street, London, WC2B 5DA
Start Time 11:00
Lots Offered 143
Lots Sold Prior 28
Lots Sold in Room 64
Total Lots Sold 94
Percent Sold 66%
Total Raised 13,159,495

jeffmack - 06 Sep 2011 14:09 - 12 of 58

1000's of properties available at auctions this month. I will be at the Barnard Marcus auction on Monday where I have my eye on a couple of lots.

jeffmack - 07 Sep 2011 15:21 - 13 of 58

Mann Countrywide auction today in London

29 lots offered

4 Sold Prior
8 Withdrawn Prior
7 Sold
10 Unsold

skinny - 07 Sep 2011 15:27 - 14 of 58

It still amazes me the number of new builds happening in the suburbs atm. I hope these developers have got their sums right!

jeffmack - 07 Sep 2011 15:31 - 15 of 58

It doesnt amaze me that they are building them, but it does amaze me that people are still buying them off plan.

Development near me has 30% sold off plan.
The Mill, Bexley

skinny - 07 Sep 2011 15:33 - 16 of 58

jeff - I know the site - plenty in Sidcup also, but no additional infrastructure to cope.

Bernard M - 07 Sep 2011 15:36 - 17 of 58

Many good properties re possesed etc don't even hit the public market. All UK bank's and building society's have well off property investors with large cash waiting.

I used to deal in this market and with branch managers getting a bung, joe public does not get a look in.

jeffmack - 07 Sep 2011 15:41 - 18 of 58

I was interested in a lot in the Countrywide auction but was not able to view so gave it a miss. It was guided at 65-70,000. It was unsold with the last bid being 54,000 and is now available for 55,000. A cottage in the same terrace, same size, is available on the open market at 130-150,000.

Auction Property

Open Market Property

skinny - 07 Sep 2011 15:52 - 19 of 58

Not an area I know - would you be looking to sell it on or rent? Do you know the post code or road name?

jeffmack - 07 Sep 2011 15:57 - 20 of 58

I went to a wedding recently very close by. There is a power station nearby and they have a steady supply of renters in the area.

I might take a look Saturday

ExecLine - 07 Sep 2011 15:57 - 21 of 58

On 27th August, I sent off for the 'Legals' on:

Allsop's Auction: 15th September 2011 - Lots: 82, 83, 84, 85 and 86

The auction is on 15th September and as of today, 7th September, I've not heard a peep. Something possibly stinks with them.

Important Tip: Don't buy property at auction until you've had the legalities checked out by a professional. You might find yourself involved in a contract to buy a property with an auctioneer, where the property has defective title.

The flats above, may well have a covenant in their leases, which cannot be adhered to and the seller, ie, the bank, may not be able to sell the buyer the full title but only the part thereof.

I see from my checks that they originally sold for around 185k each. I also noticed that one is currently for sale with an Estate Agent (Connells), complete with a brand new kitchen and priced at 135k.

As of the present time, the original developer has still not completed the ground works outside of the flats and the ground is still rough.
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