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EMI Group said it had withdrawn its offer for Time Warner recorded music business, saying it was no longer possible to reach an agreement on acceptable terms. Amlin British insurer which operates in the Lloyds of London insurance market said the outlook for underwriting in 2004 was "good" as it posted a 18 percent to 743 million pounds rise in gross written premiums for the first nine months. of 2003 Virgin Express Belgian-based no-frills airline reported a net profit of 1.7 million euros for the third quarter, down from 4.5 million euros the previous year. Revenues slipped eight percent to 62.1 million euros, while operating profit came in at 1.87 million euros, down from 4.45 million euros. UBC Business Media first half loss narrows. Glaxo: A US federal appeals court on Friday rejected the drug-maker's bid to salvage patent protection for its antibiotic Augmentin, once its second-biggest selling product.INVENSYS The engineer struggling under 1.6 billion pounds in net debt could run out of cash by next June if its programme to sell non-core assets fails, British house prices edged up again in November and a crash in 2004 is highly unlikely even though interest rates are likely to rise further |
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Innovation Group (F), Merchant Retail (I), RM (F), UBC Media Group (I), Workspace Group (Q2), Aggreko (F) |
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Skandia (Q3) 07.00 EMU Oct German Import Price Index m/m 0.2% exp | ||||||
Enterprise Inns (F) PBT 169m exp. AbacGroup (F), Acambis (Q3), Autologic Holdings (Q3), Care U.K (F). Character Group (F), De La Rue (I), Gen(I), ICAP (F), Intec Telecom Systems (F), Jarvis (I), Kingston Communications (I), London Merchant Securities (I), New Look (I), Quintain Estates & Dev (I), Signet Group (Q3), South Staffordshire (I), TBI (I), Topps Tiles (F), Tribal Group (I) Tesco Q3 Sales 09.30 3rd Quarter Business Investment q/q 09.30 Oct Car Production 3m y/y |
Aloy Inc (Q3), HJ Heinz (Q3) 13.30 3rd Quarter Preliminary GDP 7.5% exp. 13.30 3rd Quarter Preliminary Personal Consumption 6.5% exp. 15.00 Nov Consumer Confidence 85.0 exp. 15.00 Oct Existing Home Sales 6.5m exp. |
AWD AG (Q3), Munich Re (Q3), Fortis (Q3) 09.00 EMU Nov German IFO Expectations Survey 108.1 | ||||||
British Land (I) PBT 83.7m exp. Carlton Communications (F) PBT 66m exp. Granada (F) PBT 155.3m exp. Lonmin (F) EBITDA 334 exp. Avocet Mining (I), Connaught (F), Countryside Properties (F), Nord Anglia Education (F), Paragon Group (F), Speedy Hire (I) 09.30 3rd Quarter Revised GDP q/q 0.6% 09.30 Index of Distribution 3m y/y Anglo Irish Bank (Q3) 11.00 Queens Speech Outlining Government Agenda |
13.30 Oct Personal Income 0.4% exp. 13.30 Oct Personal Spending flat exp. 13.30 Oct Durable Goods Orders 0.5% exp. 13.30 Initial Jobless Claims (w/e 21/11) 360k exp. 14.50 Nov Final Michigan Sentiment 94.0 exp. 15.00 Oct New Home Sales 1138k exp. 15.00 Nov Chicago PMI 57.0 exp. 15.00 Oct Help Wanted Index 38.0 exp. 19.00 Fed Beige Book |
Hanover Re (Q3), Ahold (Q3) | ||||||
Ex Dividend: Amec (3.6), Brixton (3.95), Brown Group (1.74), Detica Group (1.8), Euromoney Institute (9.75), Geest (8), Great Portland Estates (3.5), HSBC Holdings (US$ 0.12), J Sainsbury (4.33), Mice Group (0.5), Mucklow A&J (6.03), Natioanl Grid Transco (7.91), Next (11), Safeway (3.05), Vodafone (0.954), Westbury (4.45) | ||||||||
Johnson Matthey (I) PBT 92.1 exp. Pennon Group (I) PBT 41m exp. Reporting: Brewin Dolphin Holdings (F), Castings (I), Daily Mail & General Trust (F), Helical Bar (I), Investec (I), Pillar Property (I) Kesa Electricals Sales Update HSBC Investor Day (5 year plan)10.30 Nov GfK Consumer Confidence Survey |
Thanksgiving Day Markets Closed |
TUI (Q3) 09.00 EMU September M3 Money Supply 3m ma 7.6% exp. | ||||||
Courts (I), Plasmon (I), Regent Inns (EGM), Telecom Pl(I), Tops Estates (I) |
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11.00 EMU Nov Consumer Confidence 16.0 exp. 11.00 EMU Nov Flash CPI 2.1% exp. |
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Provisional Calendar For The Following Week 1st - 5th December | ||||||||
BSS (I), BTG (I), Christian Salvasen (I) Dawson Holdings (F), Richmond Foods (F) Oct consumer credit (0930 GMT) Final M4/M4 lending (0930 GMT) CBI service sector survey
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WS Atkins (I), Cobra Bio (I) Focus Solutions Group (I), Sage Group (I) Scottish & Newcastle (I), Warner Estate (I) Robert Wiseman Dairies (I), Compass Group (F) Enterprise Inns (F), Ultraframe (F)UK DMO announces result of 2 pct 20035 index-linked gilt auction |
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Expro International (I) Wagon (I), De Vere (F) ScS Upholstery (F), Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries (F)Downing Healthcare (AGM), Iaf Group (AGM) Inventive Leisure (AGM) 11am Confederation of British Industry quarterly distributive trends survey |
1:30 AM Productivity-Rev. 15:00 AM ISM Services |
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Ex Dividend: | ||||||||
AWG (I), Dyson (I), Findel (I), Securicor (F) Premier Farnell (Q3), Avon Rubber (F) Dewhurst (F), Holidaybreak (F), Mitchells & Butlers (F)White Young Green (AGM), French Connection (EGM) UK BRC shop prices (after 1000 GMT) BoE interest rate announcement (1200 GMT) |
1:30 AM EST Initial Claims |
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1:30 Average Workweek 1:30 Hourly Earnings 1:30 Nonfarm Payrolls 1:30 Unemployment Rate 15:00 Factory Orders 20:00 Consumer Credit |
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Trading Thoughts For The Week Ahead - Sunday 23rd November |
A quieter week ahead with retailers such as Tesco,
Kesa, New Look and Signet in the spotlight. They will be closely watched for
signs that spending remains buoyant in the face of an interest rate riseMondayRM a leading supplier of IT equipment to schools, reports full-year
figures which should see a modest 5% rise in turnover to 212m. The bottom line
should be much healthier following a recent
programme to take out excess costs. A pre-tax profit of 8.5m has been pencilled
in compared to a profit of 4.9m last year.Aggreko, Investors will be keen to hear the outlook for mobile power
plant group after it reported a slump in demand for its products in August
alongside news that the North American market remains difficult TuesdayTesco's. with 27% of the British grocery market are the the UK's biggest
supermarket chain. grocer, It has been looking for more ways to grow its
business and recently took control of a Turkish
hypermarket chain, and is also said to be interested in expanding its presence
in Hungary. Recent weekly store data suggests that they've continued to take
market shareNew Look Group report interims but it has already warned that it sold a
high mix of lower priced summer trends. They should also be providing an update
on the ibuyout offer from its founder Tom
Singh with speculation that he may delay making an offer until after the crucial
Christmas period. De La Rue release 6 month half-time figures and the company said in
September that interim results should be "significantly" ahead of market
expectations. This was largely due to an order for bank
notes destined for Iraq that was delivered ahead of schedule.TBI interims will be keenly read for an update by the CEO on a threat of
legal action if the regional airport operators Luton airport is frozen out of
the government's imminent White Paper on South east expansion. ICAP First half results from will be overshadowed by the news that three
of the inter-dealer broker's employees may be among the 47 brokers arrested by
FBI agents. However, the group has previously iterated that underlying profits
should be ahead of current market expectations. Jarvis release interims amidst recent reports that suggest the
65-year-old chairman Paris Moayedhe is under pressure to resign. Enterprise Inns is expected to provide further details of its financing
arrangements to buy the remaining stake in the 4,100-strong Unique pubs chain.WednesdayCarlton and Granada both report final results with attention focused on
any details on the cost savings they expect to make and outlook for advertising
revenue for the key Christmas period.. The two commercial television companies
are expected to deliver significant improvements in earnings. Granada's profits
are anticipated to rise from 84m to 150m and Carlton is pencilled in for
profits of 64m, compared to 53m last time. The two companies should also be
proving an update on their merger, which could be completed by February. Thoughts As expected last week the FTSE lost ground with the FTSE now once again testing its 6 month support as can be seen in the top chart. For a little fun I dressed the bottom 5 year FTSE chart with some early Christmas tree decorations which do show the regular market cycle over that period. It also shows how the current uptrend for this year is at a crucial point forming a wedge with 4 year downtrend which coincides with the point where the cycle would normally start to turn down. The start of this new downside may have some persuasion from the recent signs that the improvement in the World economy is faltering and of course the recent rise in terrorism. As far as next week is concerned I feel it could be volatile as the Bears & Bulls lock horns at this crucial point and I would not be surprised to see the FTSE test 4250 As always I look forward to your thoughts and comments on the week ahead! David (Crocodile) David@SnappyTrader.com www.SnappyTrader.com All the above comments are purely a personal opinion and no investment advice is intended. Please do your own research. |
Sunday News: | Sorry Your browser is not java capable |
Headlines 23rd November THUS A telecoms firm is to scrap its 118 directory inquiries service after it was criticised by the industry's regulator. Glasgow-based Thus said it plans to withdraw its 118 service "to protect our reputation and quality ethos". British Sky Broadcasting Group's finance director Martin Stewart, who recently missed out on the CEO job, may quit the pay-TV company, the Observer newspaper has reported. Jarvis Plc's chairman Paris Moayedi is likely to step down from the role next week when the engineering and services company reports first-half results, several Sunday newspapers have reported. Private equity firm Apax Partners has explored a possible management buyout of Skandia Life, the British arm of Swedish savings products firm Skandia Insurance, The Sunday Times newspaper has reported. Loss-making German bank WestLB will have to raise its risk provision for its exposure to UK television rental chain Boxclever by some 150 million pounds, a report to be published in Der Spiegel magazine on Sunday says. The financial watchdog is investigating the nation's fund management industry after initial inquiries found it may be guilty of abuses now plaguing U.S. mutual funds, The Financial Times says. |
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SUNDAY TIMES QC backs BAs Heathrow fight Tesco pins its fashion hopes on Finest label Monster of the deep wreaks havoc at BAE Kerry Group and IAWS slug it out for Hibernia mmO2, Orange, VOD Mobile phones set to sparkle amid Christmas sales gloom Independent News and Media launches 125m bond issue Jarvis Chairman of rail crash firm to resign Tesco pins its fashion hopes on Finest label Scotland: Macfarlane deal could net 4m D-Day for EMI on Warner music bid William Morrison on a mission to buy back his company Kerry Group and IAWS slug it out for Hibernia HBOS Scots wake up to reality of Halifax deal |
Martha Lane Fox's working day LastMinute.com Vodfather peps up his mobile family, Vodafone HSBC Pick out the stocks that offer best of both worlds LastMinute.com Interview: Andrew Davidson: Martha Lane Fox seeks new worlds to conquer BT Group, Shell, LGEN, Pick out the stocks that offer best of both worlds Hays, Last Minute, Rexham Pick out the stocks that offer best of both worlds Judgment Day: Should you buy shares in Icap? Working Space LastMinute.com Sharewatch: Robert Wiseman Ratner tackles Signet over suppliers BAE Shipbuilders may split duties in bid to cut cost of Navy carriers Ireland: Watchdog may scupper sale of First Active |
Icap, London's top derivatives* and money-broking group, was started with 40,000 and now has a 1.6 billion market value. Investment group Schroders said Icap has probably one of London's best management teams, acquisitions have been successfully integrated and it has not put a foot wrong. Schroders said it expects the firm to post good interim results on Tuesday and the share price to continue rising. | |
SUNDAY TELEGRAPH Invensys admits cash crisis Jarvis chairman offers to step down Glaxo loses US antibiotic patent Monsoon activist owns just one share Acambis Ebsworth takes the lead |
Clipper class, Clipper Ventures LastMinute.com 'It wasn't a last-minute decision' Easyjet Stelios on the buses L&G takes a risk |
Engineering consultancy and support services group Atkins unveiled a 62 million annual loss to March. But following the appointment of Keith Clarke as chief executive and other management changes, the firm looks back on track. Atkins has a strong order book and margins are improving. Confirmation of the group's improving prospects should come in interim figures on December 2. There are still plenty of growth opportunities and it is not too late to buy in. London and Dublin-listed Anglo Irish Bank has managed impressive growth in recent years. There have been fears about the group's exposure to property and economic slowdown. But it should post a 24% rise in annual profits next week and with strong earnings prospects, the shares should have further to go. | |
OBSERVER Soaring food sales at Tesco leave rivals far behind BSkyB finance boss ready to quit British Energy BNFL hopes sell-off threat is over Blackstone plots 1.5bn EMI ambush |
Sainsbury Can he be King of all he purveys? Double talk at Telewest Shell, BP Small is smart in oil patch LastMinute.com Dotcom's pin-up princess pulls out |
There is a saying in the City that when the last bull turns bearish on a company, it's probably time to buy the shares. So now might be the time to buy into one of the most unpopular firms on the stock exchange, Lloyds TSB. Last week, Lloyds' own broker Citigroup finally downgraded its buy recommendation to hold, an uncomfortable moment for any company. But Lloyds, like Abbey National, could soon find itself on an upward trajectory after a period of significant share underperformance. A planned share buyback early next year will strengthen the share price and underpin the dividend*, which already yields 8.5%. Lloyds has fallen so far behind that it should be able to narrow the discount at which its shares trade to rivals like HSBC and Royal Bank of Scotland. | |
SUNDAY MAIL Warner chief 'wants EMI merger' Bronfman may need to share costs Market report: Friday close HSBC leads fightback after attack BT 'is sneaking' euro into Britain Eurosceptic MP accuses over kiosks Terrorism fear may hit spending, Consumers are feaerful for the future Portman onslaught 'toxic and terrifying' Society threatens affair whistleblower Mr Quality wanted 'lower spec' meals, New Sainsbury chief's M&S cost-cut plan |
Jarvis chief Moayedi set to resign, Exit comes after damning crash report Jaeger moves on menswear stores, Upmarket brand eyes Ciro Citterio MMO2 is a target for Japanese, DoCoMo eyes rival mobiles firm Bonanza if Boeing ok's 7E7, Futuristic jet deals worth millions British connection in Moscow oil saga, Khodorkovsky ally thought to be in UK Hostile bid on the cards at Derwent, Noe targets London property group Sky to fight 150m a year dish tax bill Murdoch Jnr battles with OfCom boss |
INDEPENDENT Rivals ruled out of Telegraph race Daily Mail & General Trust British Energy US puts $90m pressure on BNFL project William Morrison The Week Ahead : The City switches from rugby to ITV |
Marks & Spencer, Morrison The bags full of problems that face the new king of Sainsbury's The Week Ahead : The City switches from rugby to ITV, Granada, Carlton The bags full of problems that face the new king of Sainsbury's |
Imperial Tobacco reported excellent results last week. While its main markets in western Europe continue to see a decline in smoking due to higher taxes and greater awareness of health risks, Imperial's operations are highly profitable and generate a lot of cash. The key to future growth lies in Asia. If the firm manages to capture even a small fraction of the 1,700 billion cigarette-a-year Chinese market, the impact on profits may be enormous. Investec Securities said the shares 'look extremely good value'. | |
SCOTLAND ON SUNDAY Investors hope for good advertising news from Daily Mail Carlton, Granada SMG prepares to fight on in battle over ITV brand Safeway seeks 300p a share bid for Morrison takeover Thus makes move across Border to challenge ailing rivals |
Munro heads west, or is it east? Ryanair Holdings Iomart set for share price jump after upbeat results Allied Domecq Right spirit of self-censorship |
INVESTORS CHRONICLE Tips: Buy Marks & Spencer (MKS) at 283p - Fenner (FENR) at 86p - Finsbury Foods (FIF) at 57p - Bristol & West (BWE) at 9p - UA Group (UAS) at 535p. Sell MyTravel Group (MT) at 13.25p. Updates: Buy Victoria (VCP). Sell NXT (NTX). BTG (BTG) is fairly priced. Paladin Resources (PLR) is good value.Company Results: Buy Vodafone (VOD) - Latchways (LTC) - Imperial Tobacco (IMT) - easyJet (EZJ).Sell Capital Radio (CAP) - Invensys (ISYS) - Cambridge Antibody Technology (CAT). |
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SHARES MAGAZINE Plays of the Week: Buy Tenon Group (TNO) at 30.25p - Dewhurst (DWHT) at 105p - Printing.com at 26p. Sell Dixons Group (DXNS) at 134.5p.Updates: Take profits in Xansa (XAN) and Pilat Global Media (PGB).Buy Dimension Data (DDT), XKO (XKO) and Caffe Nero (CFN), Hold Hornby (HRN).Five to Buy on a Fundamental View: Cable & Wireless (CW) - Reuters (RTR) - BHP Billiton (BLT) - Man Group (EMG) - Old Mutual (OML).Five to Sell: Alliance & Leicester (AL) - EMI Group (EMI) - Centrica (CNA) - Scottish Power (SPW) - United Utilities (UU). |
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