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Mediwatch (MDW)     

Janus - 22 Jan 2004 08:19

Anybody follow this one ?

draw?size=Pocket&startDate=23%2F02%2F04&draw?size=Pocket&startDate=17%2F02%2F04&draw?size=Pocket&epic=MDW

Janus - 22 Jan 2004 11:15 - 2 of 145

LONDON (AFX) - Shares in Mediwatch continued to respond to recent news that
the company has gleaned marketing approval from the US Food and Drug
Administration (FDA) for the Portascan portable bladder scanner in the US.
The state-of-the-art portable diagnostic will be used to screen patients
suffering from prostate and bladder disorders, incontinence and those requiring
catheterization.
The group, whose shares were 3.00 pence higher at 10.87 by 8.30 am, is in
advanced stages to conclude a distribution agreement with a large,
well-established international company that is already selling into closely
related markets.

ELLIE - 22 Jan 2004 11:47 - 3 of 145

ELLIE - 22 Jan 2004 11:48 - 4 of 145

Any ideas on how much higher price might go - should I take profits or enjoy the ride for a bit longer?

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 12:26 - 5 of 145

Hi Ellie,

I have myself bought some of these this morning at 10.15 pence.

Current Price 10.5 - 11.25 pence.

Feel these could follow the same pattern as ZIM and get past 20 pence + in the short term.

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 12:27 - 6 of 145

Record volume today for this stock with some very heavy buying reported.

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 12:28 - 7 of 145

LONDON (AFX) - Shares in Mediwatch continued to respond to recent news that
the company has gleaned marketing approval from the US Food and Drug
Administration (FDA) for the Portascan portable bladder scanner in the US.
The state-of-the-art portable diagnostic will be used to screen patients
suffering from prostate and bladder disorders, incontinence and those requiring
catheterization.
The group, whose shares were 3.00 pence higher at 10.87 by 8.30 am, is in
advanced stages to conclude a distribution agreement with a large,
well-established international company that is already selling into closely
related markets.

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 12:28 - 8 of 145

I am holding now for an early target of 20-25p which WILL happen on the announcement for the distribution agreement, tomorrow or early next week is my guess.

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 12:32 - 9 of 145

draw?showVolume=true&enableRSI=true&mode

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 12:33 - 10 of 145

The FDA approval will be the catalyst for major announcement re US distribution deal: it is overdue. How high it goes thereafter is intriguing - I will suggest that we will see MDW over 25p short term and much higher long term.

ELLIE - 22 Jan 2004 12:40 - 11 of 145

Having originally bought in at 24p I've had a long wait, however also bought in at 3p so may break even/make profit soon. Fingers crossed!

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 12:58 - 12 of 145

Delayed BUYS at 10.75 pence are coming through at the moment from an hour ago. Normal Market Size is only 3,000 so trades roughly over 18,000 shares are delayed in reporting by an hour.

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 13:04 - 13 of 145

Delayed buys at 11 pence starting to come through.

100,000 BUY just been reported at 11 pence.

SueHelen - 22 Jan 2004 14:05 - 14 of 145

A superb, ground breaking medical product, has gained FDA approval for the huge USA market and the market capitalisation of this share is still only 6m at the start of play today !

Baring in mind the size of the market that Mediwatch is now about to dominate, it puts the shares on a very, very cheap valuation as they stand today.

They look very good for significant price MULIPLICATION for some time yet :

As a comparison, ZI Medical had a mediocre product released to the small UK market which it admitted it was "unsure of how much it would conribute to revenues". Yet the price has gone from 4p to in excess of 30p in about two weeks. Mediwatch stated expected revenue PER YEAR of $20m from the US alone.

It values ZI Medical at a mkt cap of 28m yet we are at a tiddly 6m mkt cap with a far greater product and far greater earnings visbility, and a far greater expected earnings amount. Therefore, Mediwatch shares are still undervalued by at least a MULIPLE of 3. A market cap of 30m would be a very conservative estimate of what Mediwatch should be on, and probably 50m is what Mediwatch deserves at this stage. Yet its valued at 6m !

That gives us a realistic price muliplication of 8 x 6m = 48m mkt cap. So 8 x 11p (share price) = 88p before it looks fully valued.

A MULIPLE OF 8 TIMES THE EXISTING SARE PRICE IS REALISTIC when compared to other firms who trade on 4/5 times next years full year revenues (if its a growth company and Mediwatch certainly is).

PLUS TWO FACTORS TO LOOK FORWARD TO :

- Mediwatch in advanced talks with a major and significant US distributor company for its product. As confirmed on the AFX statement out today. So a nice big RNS announcement is due within weeks.

- Press coverage. As yet it hasn't had much - but Investors Chronicle is out tommorrow and may cover the FDA announcement that came out from Mediwatch on Tuesday. If its not in this weeks Investors Chron (as too late to appear in thsi weeks edition) its sure to make next weeks.
Good pubilicity.

Plenty to look forward to - not least a more realistic mkt cap valuation. 6m is just way, way undervalued, and simultaneously, so is the share price.


Janus - 28 Jan 2004 08:06 - 15 of 145

Review of the six months ended 31st October 2003

Outlook

Much has been achieved in the recent past leading to a positive perspective of
the future. FDA approval of the portable scanner and the possibility of entering
the US market, the setting up of an international distribution network and
improvements to the UK selling organisation, together with the enhancements to
the existing product range, are all significant and reassuring achievements
pointing to higher sales levels in the future. In addition, the progress made in
Mediwatch Biomedical Limited provides confidence in the long term prospects for
the Group.

Full review

http://www.uk-wire.com/cgi-bin/articles/200401280700167076U.html

SueHelen - 29 Jan 2004 09:27 - 16 of 145

RNS Number:7607U
Mediwatch PLC
29 January 2004


Mediwatch plc ('Mediwatch' or 'the Company')

Directors' Shareholdings


Rugby, UK. 29 January 2004 ... The Company received notification today that
Philip Stimpson, Chief Executive Officer of the Company, bought 125,000
ordinary shares in the Company at a price of 8.03 pence each on 28 January 2004.
Mr Stimpson now has a beneficial interest in 15,125,000 shares in the Company
representing 18.44 per cent of the issued share capital of that class.

The Company received notification today that Kevin Middis, Finance Director,
bought 60,000 ordinary shares in the Company at a price of 8.03 pence each on 28
January 2004.

The Company received notification today that Omer Karim, Non-Executive Medical
Research Director, bought 475,000 ordinary shares in the Company at a price of
8.03 pence each on 28 January 2004. Mr Karim now has a beneficial interest in
3,033,600 shares in the Company representing 3.70 per cent of the issued share
capital of that class.

Ends




For more information, visit the company's website www.mediwatch.com or contact:



Yvonne Alexander De Facto +44 20 7496 3316
y.alexander@defacto.com



Philip Stimpson Mediwatch +44 788 547 888
philip.stimpson@mediwatch.com





Except for the historical information presented, certain matters discussed in
this statement are forward looking statements that are subject to a number of
risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially
from results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such
statements. These risks and uncertainties may be associated with product
discovery and development, including statements regarding the company's clinical
development programmes, the expected timing of clinical trials and regulatory
filings. Such statements are based on management's current expectations, but
actual results may differ materially.




This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
END

SueHelen - 29 Jan 2004 09:28 - 17 of 145

Price 9.0-9.5 pence, rising nicely, up 17.4%.

Could be worth adding more at these prices. The distribution deal should be imminent.

SueHelen - 29 Jan 2004 09:29 - 18 of 145

In addition, good volume so far today. Trades over 15,000 shares are delayed by an hour. So the majority of earlier larger buys have appeared in the sell column.

SueHelen - 29 Jan 2004 09:31 - 19 of 145

draw?showVolume=true&enableRSI=true&mode

ckmtang - 06 Feb 2004 07:46 - 20 of 145

is it still worth to buy it now? any furhter new will be announce?

SueHelen - 06 Feb 2004 10:29 - 21 of 145

A distribution deal is due sometime soon. Price seems to have found a new trading range at the moment with limited downside.
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