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Henderson Morley Speculative Buy (HML)     

PapalPower - 19 May 2005 11:34

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Size=283*18Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=HML&Size=big.chart?symb=uk%3Ahml&compidx=aaaaa%3A

Main Web Site : www.henderson-morley.com

On line shop web site : http://www.herpesexpert.com (Frost and Simpson)

Investor Relations email : investors@henderson-morley.com



Henderson Morley is a drug discovery company

The company has been developed specifically to carry out preliminary sourcing and screening of candidates to combat diseases caused by the herpes family of viruses and certain other DNA viruses

Latest GECR update 15th October 2006

Latest GE&CR update - 15th Oct 2006 :


The news investors have all been waiting for - regarding negotiations with a US dermatological pharmaceutical firm has finally been unveiled. The licence has been granted under an agreement to
Cutanea, a U.S. pharmaceutical company, specialising in the development of dermatology products in the US market.

The licence is for new applications of ICVT for the treatment of dermatological conditions in humans. The agreement and takes the form of an exclusive American, Mexican and Canadian wide licence to bring products to market through a programme of pre-clinical and clinical development of treatments either by Cutanea or through a sub-licence. Under the terms of the Agreement, Henderson Morley will receive up to 6.675 million dollars in development and commercialisation milestone payments up to the point at which the application receives regulatory approval, and will receive royalties on net sales thereafter.

Under its business plan, Henderson Morley has stated its belief that, following clinical development and regulatory licence approval, sales of the product in excess of $1.5 billion could be achieved over the subsequent ten year period. This would give a potential royalty to Henderson Morley in excess of $115 million over this term.

As a drug discovery company, it is imperative that Henderson continues to grant licenses to further develop its technology portfolio. This is the group's third ICVT license agreement. Encouragingly, Cutanea has a great management team with a proven track record of commercialising dermatology products.

Meanwhile, the company has announced that it has been working away on a vaccine against Koi Carp Herpes virus. The group believes it is now ready to start field trials of a
candidate vaccine, in a collaboration with the Internationally renowned Hagerman
Aquaculture Research Institute in Idaho USA. The initial immunogenicity studies should produce results within 6 months, enabling Henderson Morley scientists to optimise the vaccine formulation, with a view to securing a product licence from the veterinary authorities as soon as practicable.

Clearly activity at Henderson Morley has been significant in recent weeks. The licensing announcement is very encouraging, but with the news now out of the way, the shares have eased - a classic case of buy on the rumour, sell on the news. That said, the stock has now pulled back below the recent placing price. With so much going on at the company, further newsflow in the shorter term is far from unlikely.

*Henderson Morley is a corporate client of Bishopsgate Communications which is owned by RSH, the ultimate owner of GE&CR.

Forecasts and a formal recommendation are suspended ahead of the publication of a detailed note next month.

cynic - 13 Jan 2007 15:02 - 181 of 296

i have made quite a lot of money trading HML in the past, and have been fortunate enough to take my profits before sp collapsed ..... on at least 2/3 occasions!


Chart below may prove some help to you guys ....... watch out for 200 dma at about 3.20 and/or perhaps resistance at 3.80


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HML&Si

driver - 13 Jan 2007 17:26 - 182 of 296

cynic
Cheers it looks like break out then at 3.8 I think we will see that Mon morning or will we?

Todays Sat Mail 13/01/2007

Drugs minnow HML more than doubled to 305p on confirmation it is in late stage negotiations with an aim listed life science co.about a collaboration which may lead to the grant of a licence in respect of another project from its portfolio.


Could this be the company that HML are in talks with.

http://www.tepnel.com/

Tonker - 13 Jan 2007 17:36 - 183 of 296

Why do you think this could be the company?

I think the price will shoot up in the morning, 3.8p could be the resistance level as Cynic says, but I will hange on and sell when the price starts to dip.... Keep watching thoughs screens on Monday!

driver - 13 Jan 2007 18:11 - 184 of 296

It could be one of many companies heres another.

http://www.alltracel.com/


From UK-Analyst

"It was another spectacular day for the shares in Henderson Morley* (HML). The drugs discovery firm, which is a favourite among retail investors, saw its shares rise sharply on heavy volumes. In an announcement released late afternoon, the company said that it was in the late stages of negotiations with an AIM traded life sciences company. Speculation over the identity of the third party was rampant on investment bulletin boards, stirring buyers into action as almost 250 individual share purchases went through in brisk trade. The shares closed the session 1.55p higher at 3.05p as Henderson said a further announcement detailing the particulars would be unveiled within 7 days.".

NabCom - 13 Jan 2007 18:18 - 185 of 296

emailed to over 40,000 subscribers

cynic - 13 Jan 2007 21:28 - 186 of 296

not sure how this hangs together .....
Harry .... i do not "have a downer" on HML .... indeed, i made quite a good profit out it in the past ..... in this instance, i have merely posted a chart and made the very accurate observation that 2/3 times in the past HML has only flattered greatly to deceive even more appallingly .... that is not to say that HML sp will not shoot ahead on Monday as hot money piles in ..... whether or not sp will warrant its hypothetical new found heights remains to be seen, but it is amazing (to some) how often the expectation far exceeds the actuality.

on the other hand, i do think PRTY is a load of rubbish and would not touch it with yours let alone mine ...... to say sp has risen 30 or is it 40% is deceptive .... more to the point is how far has it (still) fallen and what confidence can you place in its management (or future) when the founders have been selling millions and millions of shares?

by the way, why do you feel it necessary to have a greatly detaiuled knowledge of a company to make a valid judgement on whether to buy or not? ..... in some ways, that can be a hindrance (hence so many still stuck in SEO) .... to my mind, and many others, the important thing is basically momentum and whether sp is likley to keep rising at least pro tem (or even falling if shorting) ...... what the company actually does is comparatively unimportant, other than perhaps its sector ......

Dow Index is an interesting example ....... though it is undoubtedly still on a strong upward trend, it has just hit yet again 12575 (after hours), which in the past has proved a stubborn resistance ...... one could therefore make a good argument for taking a short position on Monday, albeit that sooner, probably rather than later, that resistance will be broken and the index will surge upwards again.

i'm sure you will disagree (lol!)

cynic - 15 Jan 2007 09:43 - 187 of 296

Harry .... you seem to have gone very quiet ...... trust you are not beginning to doubt that cynic is a total arsehole after all! ...... that said, i confess to being surprised myself at the current short-lived nature of the sp surge.

driver - 15 Jan 2007 09:55 - 188 of 296

cynic
Harry's gone to Florence so his offline.

cynic - 15 Jan 2007 10:02 - 189 of 296

well i trust he (and you) have acted prudently

cynic - 15 Jan 2007 15:43 - 190 of 296

i would guess an awful lot haven't! ..... sp now well below opening and 20 million traded against 2.5 norm

actually finished with 41.5 million traded and at the bottom of it's range today!

having been told that i talked total rubbish - often true, but certainly not always - about the perils of this share, i shall just say that i for one will AVOID and think others might be well advised to follow suit!

TheFrenchConnection - 15 Jan 2007 16:53 - 191 of 296

Totally agree with Cynic in so far that the s/p of the vast majority of micro caps are determined by one variable and that is MOMENTUM fed by volume traded. ..@+ J

potatohead - 15 Jan 2007 17:34 - 192 of 296

this is doing a repeat of last year, pump pump pump, it goes to 6p and then bang.. the news is not whats expected and poor buggers see shares at 1.5p again

cynic - 15 Jan 2007 18:11 - 193 of 296

if PIs have got hammered hard enough, there may be a worthwhile point to buy (and sell) before the promised announcement ...... something south of 1.8p might be a price to start looking to buy

cynic - 16 Jan 2007 09:07 - 194 of 296

curiouser and curiouser, said Alice, as she disappeared down the rabbit hole ....... sp down another large slug this morning (about 25%) ...... someone who e-mailed out a Buy note to 40,000 potential punters is either about to retire in style or has lost his shirt ...... and of course Cynic was talking total bollox when he advocated great caution, wasn't he!

capetown - 16 Jan 2007 09:08 - 195 of 296

Cynic you know i .,and many others would never think that of you!!!!

cynic - 16 Jan 2007 09:13 - 196 of 296

aaahhh! i am deeply touched (kiss, kiss!) ...... the cap primarily fits someone who is apparently in Florence at the mo

Haystack - 16 Jan 2007 13:00 - 197 of 296

It is amazing that a rumour of a new deal was spresd far and wide just before the publishing of results that show widening losses.

How low would this be now if the rumour had not been spread?

!LONDON (AFX) - AIM-listed drug discovery company Henderson Morley PLC reported a widened first-half pretax loss but said it will continue to seek new opportunities to grow revenues by focusing on both human and animal health."

driver - 16 Jan 2007 13:05 - 198 of 296

Haystack
This is true but so is this below; the sp will recover when there is more news. Still holding.


HENDERSON MORLEY PLC
(AIM)

STATEMENT ON SHARE PRICE MOVEMENT

The Board of Henderson Morley plc ('Henderson Morley' or 'the Company'), notes
the movement in the Company's share price today.

The Company is able to confirm that it is in a late stage of negotiations with an
AIM-listed life sciences company. This proposed collaboration may lead to the
grant of a licence in respect of another project from Henderson Morley's product
portfolio. A further statement will be made in this respect at the appropriate
time.

Haystack - 16 Jan 2007 15:40 - 199 of 296

In fact the last time there was 'more news' about a deal the price fell as the news wasn't as good as expected. These types of deals take years to generate real profit. There is usually a product development phase first. It make well turn out to be a good company long term, but at the moment it is just sentiment driven as profits are a long, long way off.

Harry6 - 17 Jan 2007 17:21 - 200 of 296

Cynic - your posts are just a noise.
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