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Ascent Resources - Speculative but Big Potential (AST)     

Proselenes - 18 Oct 2008 04:14

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Proselenes - 02 Sep 2009 07:50 - 221 of 707

And so, onwards we go into the Anangi-2 drill. Spudding this month or next.

On shore Italy, potential for up to 40m to 60m barrels of oil.

Potentially worth up to 100p or more to AST.

Thats the explosive potential drill, and now its the next one up, the run in to that drill and its results will be very exciting, much more so than GH-1 and PEN-104, due to the fact it could add considerable, company making, reserves on to AST's books.

I shall keep merrily holding and buying the dips.

Proselenes - 03 Sep 2009 00:42 - 222 of 707

Post from OJ.

Oiljack - 2 Sep'09 - 22:41 -

Gh-1 encountered two Pannonian sandstone sequences of around 7 metres net pay. Ghh was correct about the size from the readings I heard about from Hungary....2-3 bcf gross.

Pen 105 encountered two Miocene sand sequences that look very nice and the Pannonian over-hang blanketed sand package that I was hoping for as a secondary hit was not present. Flow rates could be 6 mmscf.d yes Johnny.

A rig will mobilize to drill the Pen 101 and Pen 106 wells back to back in earlier Q4. Pen 104A is doing around 2.3 mmscf.d and should be good until around Christmas. Pen 104AA will then be drilled into the Miocene.

A second larger Panhandle prospect, as mentioned, will be targeted for around the October-November time frame as well.

3d model and approach to building a cash flow machine to fund bigger-better projects seems to be working. I bought some more today.

Gas prices were over $10 mcf for Q2 for AST.

Cheers, OJ

Proselenes - 05 Sep 2009 23:38 - 223 of 707

News from OJ, quite exciting the PEN development, could mean from end of Q1 2010 that AST will be generating annualised cash inflow that will pay for all overheads and exploration. Would be well over 10m a year, potentially a lot more.

Certainly lots going on in Q4 of this year, would be nice to get an Anagni-2 spuding date to add the high impact icing on the money making cake.




Here is the post from OJ :

Q4 - Hungary drilling...

Panhandle - The big rig that drilled the successful Gh-1 well has been moved to drill another exploration well for HHE and JKX in the VesZto block. Planning is underway to return the rig to the Panhandle area to test a Miocene (primary prospect) and Pannonian prospect hat is much more robust in size is the Gh-1 well. (12.5% DXE).

Peneszlek - A rig is available for a multi-well drilling campaign in the Pen area that will include the Pen 101, Pen 106, and Pen 104AA (all Miocene development wells) and drilling will get underway in the fourth quarter and will be sequenced so that all three wells get drilled and are tied in for production by or in Q1 - 2010. There should be four development wells tied back for and in production by the end of Q1 -2010.

Latter 2010 would see continued exploration drilling around the Pen 9 and Pen 9 prospect area. The Pen 9 gas well tested at around 2.5 mmscf.d from a proven Miocene gas pool but has been intrepreted to again be off structure at the gas-water contact point like the Pen 105. Unlike the Pen 105, however, it also had good gas shows in the mud logs and even gas kicks in two interpreted overlying Pannonian sandstone sequences. This area is very busted up but should produce more good wells into 2010 and beyond. (37.5% DXE)

That leaves eight identified drills ready to go in the cue already. Three in the Panhandle and five in the Peneszlek area. More as or when I hear it.

niceonecyril - 06 Sep 2009 17:46 - 224 of 707

Why the Anagni 2 appraisal wel is not a certainty by any means? From the Final results.


The Anagni-1 well had extensive shows in Miocene and Cretaceous dolomitised carbonate formations but was abandoned after extensive testing had only produced very small quantities of oil in conjunction with large volumes of formation water.

Anagni Seismic - Preliminary Results

cent Resources plc, the AIM-traded oil and gas production and exploration company, has received the preliminary results of the seismic acquisition programme on the Frosinone Exploration Permit in the Latina Valley, onshore Italy. The 31 km of new 2-D seismic data indicated that the structure drilled last year by the Anagni-1 well continues up dip in an easterly direction. The new seismic data is of better quality than the previous data acquired in 1980 and 1982 and provides acceptable imaging of the shallower geological horizons, which could not be resolved with the original seismic.



Ascent Managing Director Jeremy Eng said, 'These results from the new seismic are encouraging and planning for the drilling of another Anagni appraisal well can now start. Although the work load of the Perazzoli rigs (Ascent 22.5%) remains high, as the permitting process proceeds, we would hope that we will be able to confirm the availability of a drilling unit in the near future.'




The information contained in this announcement has been reviewed and approved by Eloi Dolivo, Ascent's Senior Exploration Advisor who has 28 years relevant experience in the oil and gas industry.

cyril





Proselenes - 08 Sep 2009 13:50 - 225 of 707

Up 10% today, lets hope this bodes well for PEN-105 testing which is in process. Would be nice to get a double whammy of commercial and larger than expected.

Proselenes - 08 Sep 2009 23:57 - 226 of 707

Nice write up, and notice the comment about Anangi-2 for this month, so it might be coming sooner than some think.


http://www.oilbarrel.com/nc/news/display_news/article/ascent-resources-secures-shale-partner-for-switzerland-as-drilling-momentum-builds-in-hungary-and-it/771.html


September 08, 2009

Ascent Resources Secures Shale Partner For Switzerland As Drilling Momentum Builds In Hungary And Italy


AIM-listed Ascent Resources plc has a bunch of projects sweeping through the central European mainland, from Hungary right up to the Dutch North Sea, its only offshore foray. In the heart of Europe it is also plying its trade in Slovenia, Italy and Switzerland.

These kind of assets, principally onshore, and within touching distance of large, high-value European markets, provide something of a natural appeal to the company. Though it admits that thus far it has been more focused on reserve growth rather than production growth.

News last week that it had secured a partner for shale gas exploration and appraisal work in Switzerland’s Canton of Vaud continues a strategy that has seen it pair up with others to exploit this geographic advantage.

The company has signed an option agreement with Schuepbach Energy LLC of Dallas to participate in the exploration of the Jurassic shales in the Ascent-led project.

Under the terms of the agreement, Schuepbach will earn 75 per cent interest in the shales if the first well is drilled in Vaud and a 25 per cent interest if the first well is in Fribourg. Currently, Ascent holds a 90 per cent interest in this project, with partner SEAG on 10 per cent.

Significantly, Ascent and SEAG will retain their rights to the deeper conventional oil reservoirs in the area – potentially a very exciting project for Ascent given its main focus on gas.

Though this project remains at appraisal stage the area does have known potential. In 1962, for example, the Essertines well in this area tested more than 1,000 barrels per day (bpd).

Nonetheless, Ascent’s managing director, Jeremy Eng, also sees the long-term value of the shale deposits too. Bringing a partner in from the US – where the exploitation of shale gas is far more advanced than in Europe – appears deliberate, it seems.

“Schuepbach Energy’s technical expertise in this sector of the industry will be invaluable in assessing the shale gas potential of this part of Switzerland,” he said.

The company’s share price has made up most of the ground it lost after a sharp fall in June, and by the start of September, was back to around the early summer levels. But investors will be hoping for more to come on the back of more intensive drilling.

Securing agreements with useful partners has helped to build confidence, as has actual production flow and income. For now, what is of more immediate interest is the drilling activity for the remainder of 2009 – and there is plenty of it.

In Hungary, the PEN-105 well in the Penzlek area of the Nys permits – an appraisal of the PEN-12 discovery – is being prepared for completion and testing having drilled and logged the primary gas target, Ascent disclosed last week.

The Penzlek gas field, Ascent’s primary producing asset, has a current production rate of 4.2 MMscfd. The field benefits from shallow wells and low operating costs, meaning stronger margins.

Test results from the PEN-105 well are to be announced shortly although the company has stated that the Miocene reservoir formations were present, as anticipated, some 20 metres shallower than at the PEN-12 location.

A further three development wells, PEN-101, PEN-106 and PEN-104AA, are planned in the near future with other possible drill sites under investigation.

Drilling is also expected in September on the Gbeha-1 well in the Panhandle area of the Nys permit. This project has been farmed out to Hungarian Horizon – the second biggest gas producer in Hungary, and now operator – and JKX.

In Italy, an appraisal well is also planned this month targeting the shallow part of the Anagni structure in the Latina Valley, to the south-east of Rome. The Anagni-1 well in 2008 proved the presence of good reservoir characteristics and found small quantities of oil.

It means these will be very interesting months for Ascent and its followers, as the pace of drilling intensifies, though what these campaigns actually turn up will be the acid test.

Proselenes - 10 Sep 2009 03:18 - 227 of 707

With regards to the current price movements I think they may have drawn from GEM again and it makes sense to do so now with so much going on and in the light of positive drill bit news. This explains the selling of the last week or so and ahead of PEN testing and GH-1 testing and Fontana spudding its the right thing to do for AST as they need to be cashed up ahead of a very busy time with the drill.

In the coming weeks you should get :

PEN-105 testing results.
Fontana-1 spud date.

Then in the coming 6 weeks you should get.

GH-1 testing results
Fontana-1 spudding
Plans for GH-2 announced.

Then in the coming months you have :

GH-2 drilling.
PEN - 3 more drills coming before year end.
Fontana-1 drill results + any testing news



Given that, all being well, GH-1 + PEN-104AA + PEN105 + 3 other PEN wells will have AST being cash generative and able to fund admin and level of exploration by end of Q1 2010 the whole outlook of Ascent is changing rapidly. Short term it may get weak from time to time as the GEM facility is used but provided they keep being successful the price will keep rising, thats obvious.

Roll on PEN-105 news soon.

niceonecyril - 10 Sep 2009 09:44 - 228 of 707

most positive program,i notice Anagni=2 is not included?
cyril

Proselenes - 10 Sep 2009 11:47 - 229 of 707

Anagni-2 is now called "Fontana-1" as per the recently released interims.

Proselenes - 11 Sep 2009 23:15 - 230 of 707

Next week should hopefully be news on testing at PEN-105, so some news to look forward to.

niceonecyril - 11 Sep 2009 23:27 - 231 of 707

Thanks for Fortana info,a little behind at present.
Yes looking forward to the 105 results.
cyril

Proselenes - 15 Sep 2009 07:17 - 232 of 707

Excellent news.

PEN-105 flowing higher, more reserves in place than anticipated and also Fontana (Anagni-2) spudding date coming soon too.

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=200909150700080440Z

RNS Number : 0440Z
Ascent Resources PLC
15 September 2009


PEN-105 Test Completed

Ascent Resources plc, the AIM-traded oil and gas exploration and production company, through its Hungarian subsidiary PetroHungaria Kft, has completed the testing of the PEN-105 gas well in the Nys permits of Eastern Hungary. The gas rates achieved and the reserves associated with this appraisal well were substantially higher than pre-drill estimates.

The PEN-105 well, an appraisal of the PEN-12 discovery, was drilled to a total depth of 1,487m and has now been completed in the tuffaceous Miocene reservoirs as a production well. Environmental permitting of the pipeline that will be used to bring the gas to market is complete and construction is planned so that gas sales from this well can commence early in 2010. The productive reservoir found at the PEN-105 location is substantially thicker than at the PEN-12 discovery well, which should translate into a significant increase in anticipated reserves for the structure. The higher than expected flow rates are attributed to the use of state-of-the-art drilling mud and perforation technology.

The PEN-105 well is located some 6 kilometres west south west of the PEN-104A gas production well in which Ascent has a 45.23% interest. Other partners in the project include DualEx Energy (37.5%), Geomega (8%), Leni Gas & Oil (7.27%) and Swede Resources (2%).

In Italy permitting has been completed to allow Ascent to commence drilling the Fontana 1 geological appraisal well located in the shallow part of the Anagni structure in the Frosinone Exploration permit in the Latina Valley. The minor civil works required to prepare the site for drilling are due to commence in the coming weeks with spudding expected to occur soon thereafter.

The technical information contained in this release has been reviewed and approved Dr Clive Ninnes, Ascent's Engineering Manager. Dr Ninnes, a member of SPE has 28 years relevant experience in the evaluation of hydrocarbon resources

required field - 15 Sep 2009 07:53 - 233 of 707

SP should jump on opening !.

niceonecyril - 15 Sep 2009 12:11 - 234 of 707

It did and has now dropped back on what i imagine is profit taking? Had i been about at 8am, i would have taken 10p happly,having missed it i will hold as i feel
the news in the not to distent future will take the SP 12p?.Thats before results and depending on the outcome could go a lot higher? aimho
cyril
ps I think a good top is in order.

Proselenes - 15 Sep 2009 12:27 - 235 of 707

And it looks like PEN-105 is not the only well with wonderful flow rates and larger than anticipated........Oiljack comment at IV on DXE today. GH-1 results should be in say 5 weeks time, maybe 4.


...........Gh-1 flow rates will astound you.....this I can assure you. A few more weeks!

Oiljack............

Proselenes - 17 Sep 2009 00:08 - 236 of 707

Post from OJ over at IV (concerning Dualex but of course that in many ways covers AST too).

If PEN-106 and PEN-101 come in like PEN-105 did, then Ascent will be throwing off cash - in a major way for an AIM tiddler - from Q2 2010 onwards.

Nice to know PEN-106 is much larger potentially.

We can also see pre-drill estimates for PEN-105 were 3 to 4 mmscf per day, so wonder how high the actual flow rates are given the "significant" comments from Jeremy Eng.


OJ's post below :


Hungarian seismic

I will give an update this weekend. Am burned out after laying out approximately 100 hours of research on another company.

Suffice it to say that I was told I was full of crap by a "senior fella" with another outfit in Hungary and even one of the on the ground "knuckle-heads" says I must have drank too much like the local Magyars.

Well here we sit. Pen 105 has done what I said I expected it to do. It came it well above the predrill Miocene reserve estimates and it flow significantly higher than the 3-4 mmscf.d pre drill dst estimations and you have no formation water found and condensate to boot.

Pen 106 is a larger seismically defined structure. Pen 101 is part of the same source rock system as the Pen 105 discovery.

You have an overlying Pannonian blanket play that could have a large number of drilling opportunities. You have a not discussed in detail gas channel sand play. You have the Pen 9 area Pannonian and Miocene gas plays.

Most significantly, you have 2-3 deep Miocene and Cretaceous gas plays at up to 3200 metres and especially Omboly to drill in time.

Kick in an obvious attempt to retain the entire or portions of the soon to expire 600,000 Hungarian exploration acres (especially along the Romanina border heading north and south) and you have much to be excited about.

The Panhandle....My God could imagine if AST had had their act together and shot 3d their years ago?? I argued with them to do this and they said it aint worth it. Well I wonder if they think it is worth it now?? They grabbed a ton of Hungarian and Slovenian acreage and now predicate their program on 3d. That was what I had tried to convince them of long ago and why I never bought them until this year.

Their model was and is to build a company on a reserve basis no matter the dillution. It has failed to date. No major exploration hits thus far. DXE's is to build a company first and to have selective exploration opportunities all the while keeping a tight reign on dillution and emphasizing cash flow.

AST now looks ready to build a great company. Too bad they waited so long to see it my way. They have almost 350 mm shares outstanding. We here at DXE have 70-75 mm (app) and are cash flow positive now, fully funded, and growing the company.

Remember, when you wake up tomorrow we are not worth a $1. Not yet.... :-)

Be disciplined and have a plan and good luck with whatever you decide to do.

Next new is Gh-1 test results..they'll be very good indeed and Syrian spud news.

Oiljack

Proselenes - 17 Sep 2009 10:14 - 237 of 707

Yet more good news.......

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=200909171000002172Z

RNS Number : 2172Z
Ascent Resources PLC
17 September 2009

GH-1 Completion and Test Results

Ascent Resources plc, the AIM-traded oil and gas exploration and production company, announces the successful completion and testing of the Gbeha-1 well ('GH-1') located in the western part of the Nys Szatm permits in Hungary, known as the Panhandle. The first of two gas zones targeted for completion has achieved a gas flowrate of 3.74 MMscfd (106,000 Mm3/d).

The GH-1 well was drilled vertically to a total depth of 1,300m and encountered two gas bearing zones within the Upper Pannonian formations between 970m and 1,025m. The deeper of these two zones between 1,018m and 1,021m has been tested and flowed gas with small amounts of condensate at a rate of 3.74 MMcfd (106,000 Mm3/d) with a flowing wellhead pressure of 1,191 psig (81 barg). The well has been completed as a gas producing well and 2.5km of pipeline will be laid to the Hajd Gas Production Facility, where condensate will be recovered and the gas processed and sold into the main Hungarian gas pipeline network.

Ascent has a 20.167% interest in this project; other partners include JKX (33.333%), DualEx (12.5%) and Swede Resources AB (0.667%).

Ascent's Managing Director Jeremy Eng said, 'The GH-1 well has produced gas at over 3.5 MMscfd from the first of its two completion intervals. This discovery is particularly important as the drilling location was identified by utilising the same 3-D seismic technology that was used in the recent successful Penzlek appraisal well. We are using the same seismic techniques to identify drilling targets in Slovenia, where one third of a 90 sq km survey has been acquired in the area of the Petisovci project.'

The technical information contained in this release has been reviewed and approved Dr Clive Ninnes, Ascent's Engineering Manager. Dr Ninnes, a member of SPE has 28 years relevant experience in the evaluation of hydrocarbon resources.

wizardsleeve - 17 Sep 2009 10:24 - 238 of 707

more news nice.......been holding a while now and always believed in this one......showing 3 v 1 on l2......cana desperate for stock

Proselenes - 17 Sep 2009 11:47 - 239 of 707

There are a number of things to consider now.

Firstly with todays news we get additional cash flow but not only that but the Panhandle area is quite prospective and there are some rather large potential prospects to drill. This can now offer significant upside to AST.

But secondly, whilst it now appears very possible AST will be throwing off loads of cash from Q2 2010 onwards, even more so should the 3 December PEN drills all go to plan, but also soon we shall see the spudding of Fontana-1 with the potential to add 30m to 60m barrels of oil to reserves.

So whilst the present price is getting more and more firm on Hungary gas, we now have the potential significant upside from Fontana coming very soon, which by itself could boost AST by up to 80p or more per share............

Fine times to be holding a nice lot of Ascent, even if Fontana fails the December PEN drills should easily ensure the price is higher in 2010 than it is now, which adds some level of safety net to the risk.

Roll on Fontana-1 (Anangi-2) spudding now, and also news about the 2nd and possibly much larger Panhandle drill now GH-1 is good.

halifax - 17 Sep 2009 12:18 - 240 of 707

pp AST has a market cap approaching 35m, what is this latest gas find worth in cashflow terms?
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