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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

Fred1new - 03 Jan 2006 14:26 - 541 of 1009

Douggie, You haven't had a holiday for quite a while, I think the SP would benefit from you going away again *-).


Patience Laddy.

Douggie - 03 Jan 2006 16:41 - 542 of 1009

Fred........untill these get back above last years high of 38/190p I have no chance of going anywhere, .........I took out a bank loan to buy a new car rather than cash in some of my shares so lost on all counts (the car turns out to be a friday afternoon/monday morning job)!!!!!!!!!!! ......... :-[..so well p155'd off..............

Fred1new - 03 Jan 2006 17:35 - 543 of 1009

I still think this share will reward you, but it may take a little time before turnover and profits show from recent deals. The day is still young.

optomistic - 03 Jan 2006 18:11 - 544 of 1009

Fred, I'll go along with that. Nothing comes quick and easy in this game unless you are one of those exceptionally lucky bar stewards or one of the others who are in the know (yet not supposed to)
Be patient Douggie there are a lot of people in the same situ.
opto

55011 - 04 Jan 2006 10:04 - 545 of 1009

I see the online sizes are looking decidedly iffy again. Whatever the pros, the cons seem to be getting the better of it at the moment. 22,000 to buy but a lousy 7,035 (strange figure) to sell.

It appears to be a technical situation arising from the recent placing/rights issue. Looking back to the figures pertaining to that time, I reckon that there is a fair bit of disappointment with performance since, and those who were banking on a quick recovery are getting out.

RTD should surely have handled last year's aquisitions in a better manner.

This is turning out to be one for those with patience. Not to mention fortitude.

wayne300808 - 04 Jan 2006 15:04 - 546 of 1009

55011

I see you are as astute with your opinion on this one as you were with CDG which has bounced back significantly since you cast your "laughable" remarks on its prospects. Happy new year!

55011 - 04 Jan 2006 19:21 - 547 of 1009

Wayne300808 ...and a Happy New Year to you too.

Yes CDG was a bit of a so and so. Sadly many earlier enthusiasts lost the faith after a bullish news release a couple of years back was followed two days later by a hefty cash call. Quite a few "failed to benefit" and have been wary of the Professor ever since. Still, good luck to those on the latest ride, but I'll sit it out, thanks.

As long as RTD holds up, I'll exercise some patience with it. Recent institutional and Board buying suggest that the next results (March) won't disappoint.

DYOR.

Fred1new - 05 Jan 2006 00:05 - 548 of 1009

Do you think we will last till March?

55011 - 05 Jan 2006 10:21 - 549 of 1009

Why not?

55011 - 11 Jan 2006 13:11 - 550 of 1009

Still moving gently upwards. 140p on the bid, and the recovery continues. On the other side the punters are looking for upwards of 165p.

optomistic - 11 Jan 2006 13:17 - 551 of 1009

Oh yes, why not ?

55011 - 11 Jan 2006 13:36 - 552 of 1009

Should be much better than that, as we have the larger fuel card business now. So RTD should be able to grow on two fronts in future.

55011 - 11 Jan 2006 13:36 - 553 of 1009

.

Fred1new - 11 Jan 2006 20:27 - 554 of 1009

Douggie, Are you beginning to feel a little better or did you take that holiday.

Price and volume beginning to pick up.

55011 - 12 Jan 2006 10:50 - 555 of 1009

Welcome back Fred. We've been moving up steadily while you were away.

Fred1new - 13 Jan 2006 10:14 - 556 of 1009

55 Isn't this share moving beautifully, up to 146p or 29.2p in old money. The charts and indicators are improving nicely, but it would be nice to see an increase in volume.

If you are on L2 still it would be nice to know if there are any large buys waiting to be filled.

Nice to finnish the day above 150p but think that will be next week.

Have a nice day.

55011 - 13 Jan 2006 10:38 - 557 of 1009

L2 trial offer now ended. It was helpful.

L1 this morning has revealed , for the first time, a rapid succession of AT trades. This suggests computer (robot) trading. So it confirms to me that the institutions are on the scene.

A good rise this week, and especially (so far) today which could also prompt press comment over the weekend. Especially as many other stocks are tending to mark time at the moment, after the New Year rush.

55011 - 13 Jan 2006 13:40 - 558 of 1009

This brokers review dates back to the Autumn, just after the acquisition. Prices mentioned are pre the 1 for 5 consolidation. Gives a useful round up of what RTD is now all about. Recommendation "buy".

http://www.hoodlessbrennan.com/CMS_FileCache/HOODLE004_259_1.pdf

Fundamentalist - 17 Jan 2006 07:23 - 559 of 1009

That'd be 3 yrs running, good luck to all holders


Retail Decisions plc

Trading Statement

'Results Expected to Exceed Expectations'


Retail Decisions (ReD), the payment card issuer and a world leader in card fraud
prevention and payment processing, is pleased to announce trading has been
better than expected in the final quarter of its financial year and that the
initial results from the two recent acquisitions are also both ahead of
forecasts.

As a result, the Board expects the Group's profit before tax (for the year to 31
December 2005) to be in excess of current market expectations.

Fred1new - 17 Jan 2006 09:05 - 560 of 1009

Nice to read, should help the SP a little.

Give a little smile Douggie.

8-)
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