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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

Seymour Clearly - 24 Oct 2006 09:01 - 6481 of 11056

OK, I've gone long from 8688

foale - 24 Oct 2006 09:36 - 6482 of 11056

Oct CBI at 10am might act as a catalyst..

Seymour Clearly - 24 Oct 2006 09:38 - 6483 of 11056

Won't that be 11 am BST?

edit - it is 11.00 am as I've just checked GMT vs BST

chocolat - 24 Oct 2006 09:42 - 6484 of 11056

Yes it will be 11:00 guys.
Next catalyst imo will be FOMC - (Bernanke's comments) and then GDP on Friday, which might hopefully set cable back on the right course :)
Gotta dash - will put a chart up later.

foale - 24 Oct 2006 10:08 - 6485 of 11056

oh yes..I thought that it was pretty quiet considering..
Got time for that cup of tea now...

Chocolat a chart later would be great...

foale - 24 Oct 2006 11:24 - 6486 of 11056

I wish it would hurry up and get to 1.8650-60 area...it obviously is looking to retest

foale - 24 Oct 2006 14:28 - 6487 of 11056

Tempted to take out a long here...retraced backdown but still above. the lows and price conjestion area.. of 1.8680-95... just

foale - 24 Oct 2006 16:34 - 6488 of 11056

thought I would post to the chat to yourself thread again...LOL

long from 1.8711... 1.8743 the high bang on the resistance level from the highs...

If we crack that...would give a nice break...

foale - 24 Oct 2006 16:41 - 6489 of 11056

Go Cable.... 1.8755...

Harlosh - 24 Oct 2006 16:49 - 6490 of 11056

Sorry your talking to yourself Foale. I've been rather busy this last week or so.

I looked in earlier but couldn't see much to trade so gave it a miss - well done on your perseverance and a nice trade in the end.

Back tomorrow for me but I suspect it will be a nothing day until the Fed news is out.

bakko - 24 Oct 2006 16:49 - 6491 of 11056

Well done foale.

Been a bit dormant over the last week or so as wife is ready to pop anyday.

Should have arrived by now, I guess it's a stubborn one. Bit like cable sometimes.

Harlosh - 24 Oct 2006 17:06 - 6492 of 11056

Like his dad then :-))

cunningham - 24 Oct 2006 17:39 - 6493 of 11056

foale, I'm still lurking so carrying on chatting to yourself:-)

foale - 24 Oct 2006 18:43 - 6494 of 11056

news just out..."Bean says best to err on side of caution vs inflation"

He is the Bank of England member I hasten to add..not
Rowan Atkinson off the TV...!! LOL

anyway its putting uk rate rise in November back on the agenda...mitigiating some of the effect of poor CBI data

Its ok I like talking to myself....

Choccy where is that chart with all those impt lines ...

Seymour Clearly - 24 Oct 2006 23:01 - 6495 of 11056

Back home to find I wasn't stopped out and even better, am slightly in profit. Going to leave this to run now. Hasn't paid for the shopping yet :-)

Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

chocolat - 24 Oct 2006 23:23 - 6496 of 11056

Dollar slips vs. most major currencies
AFX


NEW YORK (AFX) - The dollar edged slightly lower against major currencies Tuesday, on the cusp of a two-day Federal Reserve meeting on interest rate policy.

The euro bought $1.1.2566 in late New York trading, up from $1.2546 in New York late Monday. The British pound rose to $1.8742 from $1.8649.

The dollar was marginally lower against the Japanese currency, slipping to 119.27 yen from 119.30 yen. It also slipped to 1.2661 Swiss francs from 1.2679, and to 1.1254 Canadian dollars from 1.1269.

The Fed is expected to keep interest rates at 5.25 percent at its meeting, which ends Wednesday, but investors are awaiting the statement that will accompany the decision for clues on the direction of future policy.

Though the dollar slipped versus the euro and yen, it remained in a tight range. Speculation suggests that any possible rate cut 'may not be seen until well into the first quarter of 2007,' and 'there seems to be little justification for putting the greenback under pressure yet,' CMC Markets chief analyst David Jones said.

Rising interest rates have boosted the dollar over the past two years as the Fed sought to keep growth from fueling inflation. But the Fed has kept rates unchanged for its past two meetings, saying that inflation seems to be moderating as the economy slows.

Higher interest rates, a weapon against inflation, support a currency by making assets denominated in that currency more attractive to investors.

====================================================

I see Limpy's had a word then ;)

An FT survey said that most US fund managers believe the Fed will resume increasing interest rates in the next six months.

And, "in questioning after the speech, Bean said a sizeable downward adjustment in the value of the dollar may be necessary soon to solve the US's imbalances and indicated that it is possible that it could be done in an orderly manner in the way it occurred in the late 1980s. However, he stressed that the crucial thing for the US is to save more and consume less."

chocolat - 24 Oct 2006 23:24 - 6497 of 11056

Ok Foale - these are the channels I'm using, normally with bits of gubbins inbetween.

Had a grey-out and lost my charts before when I clicked on the news thingie up there - happens from time to time, if you're reading this Ian. S'pose you're going to tell me it's cos of my googly scary pop-up blaster. :S



ANyway, still trading it short since reversing on Friday evening. Missed closing them earlier this morning cos I was busy, but I left an order in before I went out, which was nice :) Currently short again from 1.8762, imo 1.8710ish provides a bit of support.

Either way works atm - I just don't have enough time to watch, but I'm obviously leaning on the short side right now. If we can break recent lows, what do your PnF runes say about 1.86 Harlosh?

Hope all's well Bak!

foale - 25 Oct 2006 07:14 - 6498 of 11056

Choccy thanks for the chart.
Using the same info. I have decided to go long this am..target 1.8800+

Very tight stop though..

Lots of dojis on the 1 hour..so it clearly could go either way.

Seymour Clearly - 25 Oct 2006 07:34 - 6499 of 11056

Closed yesterday's position +56, going to sit it out for a bit.

MightyMicro - 25 Oct 2006 09:41 - 6500 of 11056

And today's thoughts from Nicole Elliott of Mizuho:

"[Cable] stuck in the middle of of the Ichimoku 'cloud' with a small 'doji' candle yesterday denoting slight instability at current levels. It is not overbought and momentum has still to turn positive."
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