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How to profit from Betting Exchanges (BEX)     

Scripophilist - 27 Oct 2004 23:40


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bakko - 14 Dec 2005 21:14 - 7001 of 10502

Man U now 3-0 up

Fundamentalist - 14 Dec 2005 21:17 - 7002 of 10502

Just having a quick look at tomorrows cricket.

The tour moves ontop Karachi for one day (England refused to play a test match there due to security concerns) and the security fears are likely to play on some of the England players minds.

England will be without Pietersen who has flown home due to a rib injury with Ian Bell likely to be his replacement in the 12 (Solanki will prob start and Bell or Blackwell be the supersub)

Pakistan have the disgraced Shahid Afridi back at his home ground (co-incidentall on the length of his suspension?) and he brings a lot to the one day game. Is likely to replace Kaneria and also open the batting.

Pakistan are shorter (1.62) than in previous games (no surprise based on the last result and the team changes). Whoever wins the toss is likely to bat first on what should be a good wicket with 280 a minimum for the side batting first. That said if Pakistan bat first and Afridi gets off to a flyer then the odds will collapse very quickly (likewise his wicket will see a large change in the odds)

Englands recent record batting second is poor and it appears there is an advantage batting first due to the lights in this series, so it is probably a must win toss for England

http://content-uk.cricinfo.com/pakveng/content/story/229573.html

Fundamentalist - 14 Dec 2005 21:18 - 7003 of 10502

1-1 Bolton - hope you guys held on

bakko - 14 Dec 2005 21:19 - 7004 of 10502

Greening up on Bolton now!

Fundamentalist - 14 Dec 2005 21:19 - 7005 of 10502

nice one Bak

John - u green now?

Harlosh - 14 Dec 2005 21:25 - 7006 of 10502

Bloody hell. Had drifted onto something else. Going to do it now!

Fundamentalist - 14 Dec 2005 21:25 - 7007 of 10502

Few quid of my profit onto Sevilla at 14

Fundamentalist - 14 Dec 2005 21:27 - 7008 of 10502

Dont understand how Bolton are less than half the price of Seville

Fundamentalist - 14 Dec 2005 21:33 - 7009 of 10502

laid the 14s back - had 8 mins for free

Harlosh - 14 Dec 2005 21:37 - 7010 of 10502

Glad it worked out for you Bak.

bakko - 14 Dec 2005 21:38 - 7011 of 10502

Likewise for you too

Scripophilist - 14 Dec 2005 21:39 - 7012 of 10502

Good win for Utd

Fundamentalist - 15 Dec 2005 05:58 - 7013 of 10502

England won the toss and decided to field - well thats thrown me! seems the decision was made on the basis of Bell being the supersub hence fielding allows us to use an extra batsman

WOODIE - 15 Dec 2005 06:25 - 7014 of 10502

morning fundy got to go out at 7 this morning so will have a look when i come back

Fundamentalist - 15 Dec 2005 06:30 - 7015 of 10502

Morning woodie

catch you later - very quiet start so far (mainly due to Afridi batting down the order!)

WOODIE - 15 Dec 2005 06:32 - 7016 of 10502

only seen about 15 mins looks like i got the best of the action!

bakko - 15 Dec 2005 06:37 - 7017 of 10502

Morning Guys

Strange decision for Eng to take the field even with Bell as the extra batsmen?

Would have thought they'd want to take the initiative, bat first and try to put in a decent innings for Pakn to chase down.

Well, Pakn making a solid start instead

Fundamentalist - 15 Dec 2005 06:40 - 7018 of 10502

Bak

I think 2 factors behind the decision:

1) the choice of Bell as supersub (have to bat 2nd to make use)
2) last time England were here we batted second and chased 305 under lights, mainly due to the fact that there was a lot of dew around in the second innings and the ball was hard to control (and impossible for the spinners to grip)

Personally would have had a bowler (prob Andersen) as supersub and batted first if i won the toss

bakko - 15 Dec 2005 06:42 - 7019 of 10502

Steve

Thanks for explanation. Just hope the plan works out.

Fundamentalist - 15 Dec 2005 06:50 - 7020 of 10502

Not looking good so far and think England have called it wrong, especially with their appalling record batting second (maybe Fletcher thinks we need some more practise at chasing a total!).

Pakistan spread already at 295/305 (looking to sell at 300) and Pakn price off 18 ticks since the start
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