Sharesmagazine
 Home   Log In   Register   Our Services   My Account   Contact   Help 
 Stockwatch   Level 2   Portfolio   Charts   Share Price   Awards   Market Scan   Videos   Broker Notes   Director Deals   Traders' Room 
 Funds   Trades   Terminal   Alerts   Heatmaps   News   Indices   Forward Diary   Forex Prices   Shares Magazine   Investors' Room 
 CFDs   Shares   SIPPs   ISAs   Forex   ETFs   Comparison Tables   Spread Betting 
You are NOT currently logged in
 
Register now or login to post to this thread.
  • Page:
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4

InterMoly 35.4m MCap $750m profit per annum starting in 2.5 years time (IMY)     

Red Erik - 25 Nov 2005 18:11


http://metalsplace.com/metalsnews/?a=1414

The Malmbjerg deposit has been explored since 1954 by AMAX and other companies, and currently plays host to 147 diamond drill holes totalling 22,877 metres long with three underground adits totalling 1,329 metres. Galahad has reviewed all the previous data and is finalising its development programme. The inferred mineral resource stands at 118 million tonnes at 0.24% molybdenum sulphate and the orebody would support a 15-20 year mine life at a production rate of 15,000 tonnes daily. This would give the operation a break-even price of $4-5/lb molybdenum cash cost, and a total break-even cost of $8/lb. At a proposed rate of 22.5 million pounds per annum and at $30/lb molybdenum, this would generate roughly $500M per annum against a capital cost of $605 million forecast. All other things being equal, this would be throwing off cash within a short period of time


$500m is equivelant to 291m per annum
$750m is equivalent to 436m per annum

22.5m x $30 = $675m revenue
22.5m x $8 = $180m costs
22.5m x $22 = $495m profit per annum


IMY are only worth 35.4m, what price will they be in 2-3 years time, as they get to mining ?

"We are excited by the opportunities opening up for InterMoly. We expect significant gains in the value of the Malmbjerg project to accrue as it progresses towards the production stage."

BFS completion expected at the end of March 2006

Production could possibly be raised now that the resource is known to be 50% bigger(see latest RNS)
They will mine the highest grading areas first, 50% higher grade than the average, means around $750m profit per annum in the first year and a half
Price of Molybdenum might well go to $40 or even $50 according to some analysts, that would take profit into the $1Bn+ bracket for the first year and a half, without any rise in production


Measured and Indicated Resources of 217 million tonnes at a grade of 0.20
% MoS2 with an additional Inferred Resource of 12 million tonnes at a grade
of 0.15 % MoS2, using a 0.12% MoS2 cut-off grade


Higher-grade Measured and Indicated Resources of 33.8 million tonnes at a
grade of 0.28% MoS2, above a cut-off grade of 0.25% MoS2




"We are very pleased to report the resource upgrade at Malmbjerg to Measured and Indicated status. The new resource estimate further confirms the very large tonnage and grade of this world-class deposit and, encouragingly, the existence of a substantial higher grade zone. In addition, the new resource estimate increases the contained in-situ mineral resources at Malmbjerg by 50% from 630 million lbs to 950 million lbs MoS2 at the lower cut-off.

We expect the higher-grade zone to form the basis for initial mining of the deposit as part of the feasibility study being developed for the project. All sections of the feasibility study are currently underway. This is another significant step forward for the Malmbjerg project in realizing Management's objective to develop the project and create shareholder value." http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=14720

InterMoly owns 100% of the Malmbjerg project. The Measured and Indicated Resource estimates will form the basis for determination of the mineable reserves upon completion of the feasibility study scheduled for completion by 30 March, 2006. A scoping study carried out by Hatch earlier this year anticipated a production rate of 15,000 tonnes per day with a 15 to 20 year mine life.


$32 per pound times 950m pounds equals $30,400m mined over 15 to 20 years, a world class deposit indeed



booming prices of copper and molybdenum

http://www.mercopress.com/Detalle.asp?NUM=6748

Regarding molybdenum this year's average price is estimated to remain at 32 US dollars the pound, similar to last year, but double the average two years ago


Molybdenum prices have increased from $6.00( US) to the current price of $35.00( US) over the past 18 months.
http://www.howestreet.com/adanac/

Last RNS showing the upgrade of resources
http://www.companyannouncements.net/cgi-bin/articles/200511170700262572U.html

Official Website
http://intermoly.com/

AIM Prospectus here
http://intermoly.com/aimAdmission.pdf


An analysts view of the Molybdenum market
Now lastly before I return to the Coal Liquefaction aspect that gave inspiration for this report, you should realize that the global demand for Molybdenum rose by 7.2% in 2004 to 374 million lbs from 349 m/lbs in 2003 as outlined in a study commissioned by International Molybdenum PLC and performed by CRU Strategies Ltd. mining consultants. Further CRU states that conservatively Molybdenum demand thru 2009 will grow by 3.5% to 4.1% p/a and the projected demand will be up to 475 million lbs in the same year. They also (CRU) project a deficit in Molybdenum production in 2008 and as much as a 14 million lb deficit in 2009. The theory of the world entering a "Super Commodities Cycle" is supported by recent reports by Citigroup-Smith Barney (China - The Engine of a Commodities Cycle, March 31 /05) and Goldman Sachs (Metals & Mining March 21 /05) and US Energy (Oil March 30/05) and along with the likes of the renowned Jim Rogers I believe this super cycle in finite resources is well underway and will last for many, many years to come.

Remember Molybdenum IS the biggest percentage dollar gainer of ANY metal in the last 18 months, and we hear little but negativity from media and mining websites.

Over the last few days I have read of Chinese Molybdenum traders stockpiling product for the end quarter of 2005 in order to have supply.

Sept 2/05 a London Mining article stated this in part- "Prices of Mo alloys all rose on Friday as buyers in search of large quantities found that the tightness of supply that had characterized the market in the early part of the year has not lifted." End

Yes there is a bottleneck in Roasting facilities and it is having some effect on Mo price, but why is there a bottleneck? Because demand is outstripping world roasting facilities. Quite simple really! With 5-7% more demand projected by various industry participants, I'd say they better get busy building a lot more roasters, and bringing new Primary Molybdenum Mines in the world onstream or we may see $50.00 p/lb Moly in future.

China's Metals Info Network, ANTAIKE on Aug 19/05 says new overseas roasting facilities will not be operational until after 2007.

Albemarle Catalysts of Louisianna who use approximately 10 million lbs of Molybdenum p/a, stated in a recent report- "We expect a 5% yearly growth rate in certain catalyst sectors" and so with the peak oil events facing the world and new refineries coming onstream (in Saudi Arabia & China) and expecting two more refineries in China as well as others around the globe, Tar Sands Oil, Coal Liquefaction, drilling exploration coupled with drill steel use & pipelines etc, the demand for Molybdenum & Cracking catalyst should continue to grow as will the specialty steel demand. Molybdenum has gained a new place of stature in the world's insatiable demand for noble metals.

New Update: According to the latest report from BCC Inc. Research, www.bccresearch.com/environ/C166R.html they estimate that by 2009 the market for Environmetal and Energy related Catalysts will grow by an average of 12.8% P/Yr. This is far beyond previous industry estimates I have outlined. Molybdenum it would seem has a bright future indeed.

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/reser092205.html





cynic - 30 Mar 2007 09:23 - 61 of 63

good luck with GLA ...... week mold fish smells almost as sweet

soul traders - 30 Mar 2007 10:36 - 62 of 63

I'm out at 15.5p - 80% profit!

Thought 10.68p was a derisory offer considering the progress the SP had made in the meantime, but anyway, took my profits and ran :o)

Thanks to all contributors - it's been fun! Anyone who still has an appetite for mining might want to put RDG on his/her watchlist.

Soul out.

driver - 30 Mar 2007 12:01 - 63 of 63

Well done to micky468 he got that right on the button.
  • Page:
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
Register now or login to post to this thread.