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How to profit from Betting Exchanges (BEX)     

Scripophilist - 27 Oct 2004 23:40


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Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 11:26 - 10041 of 10502

I dont lose that often Pom :-) Just when I do it's normally a big one!

Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 11:46 - 10042 of 10502

Greened up. Might soon another wicket soon at this rate so will get back on as and when.

Fundamentalist - 28 Jun 2006 11:46 - 10043 of 10502

Mr E

likewise greened on the match odds but also bought SL runs at 260 on the spreads and am letting that run

Fundamentalist - 28 Jun 2006 12:50 - 10044 of 10502

closed the spread at 306 when it started raining at mine - sometime sbeing in manchester has its benefits lol

Fundamentalist - 28 Jun 2006 12:52 - 10045 of 10502

eng big prob is if game isnt shortened harmison will be bowled out

Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 12:53 - 10046 of 10502

Backed SL again. Might just let it go for the day and watch something else! REally cant see England winning it from here.

bakko - 28 Jun 2006 12:58 - 10047 of 10502

Nice to see you doing well Mr E

Backed SL at 1.93 after the 1st wicket :-))

Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 13:02 - 10048 of 10502

I almost always do ok bakko but I am also honest with my bad trades / luck :-)

Not sure what effect the weather will have. I think it could favour SL as the DL method wil consider they are flying along and set England a high score.

Fundamentalist - 28 Jun 2006 13:09 - 10049 of 10502

DL will def favour SL currently, apart from the fact england have a better chance if they only have to chase for 30 overs not 50 say.

Bigger impact is on the spreads if say only 40 overs are bowled - that said it only looks like light showers

bakko - 28 Jun 2006 13:18 - 10050 of 10502

I really hope it's going to be just a brief delay.

If all trades get voided I'll jump out of my ground floor window and make sure I do a better job of it than the juve director!

Pommy - 28 Jun 2006 13:30 - 10051 of 10502

i notice that as he was italian there was no question he could have been pushed!!

Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 13:50 - 10052 of 10502

More interesting now! My new positions are not in such good shape!

Anyone hve the stats? Avg fist innings etc...

Fundamentalist - 28 Jun 2006 13:53 - 10053 of 10502

Mr E

If you mean at OT, in ODIs over history its 212, but not a very good guide as this is a better OT wicket than most and the powerplays have changed things in the batting sides favour

current spreads indicate 280 which makes 1.7 look a pretty big price to me

Also, SL have scored well with pace on the ball, when eng bat they will look to take the pace off it

Fundamentalist - 28 Jun 2006 13:54 - 10054 of 10502

If you ever want cricket stats these are the best 2 sites:



www.howstat.com.au


www.cricinfo.com

Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 13:59 - 10055 of 10502

Thanks. I am not adding to my position as I will now lose 1400 if Eng win!! Thats all my profit and 1400, so much for my green position earlier!

Of course I could balance my position for a more or less neutral position.

Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 14:42 - 10056 of 10502

hmmmmmm dont know if I should green up or let it run and look for betting trading opportunities later (if they materialise)

Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 14:45 - 10057 of 10502

if I green up now I will secure about 50% of the profit.

bakko - 28 Jun 2006 14:46 - 10058 of 10502

Mr E....I stand to lose more than you if Eng win. I'd planned to reduce my Eng liability but the SL bloodbath in the last 5 overs twisted my arm.

Mr Euro - 28 Jun 2006 14:49 - 10059 of 10502

Mine was bigger but I reduced it. During the 25-40 over period they just didn't seem to look good value for the price.

Are you keeping it open or going to close it and trade it or both?

bakko - 28 Jun 2006 14:50 - 10060 of 10502

Mr E....Try to have an exit point in case Eng have a flyer. SL odds currently at 1.23/1.24. If Eng do start well these odds will naturally drift out. You can have e.g a stop loss of 1.4 where you can green up and still take a large profit even if Eng do win.
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