overgrowth
- 12 May 2005 22:21
Mediwatch is a small
company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is
out.
Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics
equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK,
Canada, Europe, India and Japan.
That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until
you remember the good ol' US and China.
These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's
export client portfolio by the end of 2005.
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The company is currently
heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is
not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively
to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions
affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing
in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate
as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.
Mediwatch normally
supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements.
They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known
US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical
who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated
sales team.
US FDA approval was
gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year
of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner
for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This
distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant
effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues
as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus
is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August.
In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They
have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment
distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the
markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber
stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up
to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even
more good news coming soon this year.
Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.
If that's not enough
to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also
developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing
some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at
very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology
to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next
few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going
to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours
too.
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leedslad
- 29 Aug 2006 16:17
- 1121 of 1497
Not that long i hope :-)
Treblewide
- 29 Aug 2006 16:21
- 1122 of 1497
what until their cash runs out?
ptholden
- 29 Aug 2006 16:26
- 1123 of 1497
Now, now Trebs, think you will find the MDT deal will sort all that out, err, I hope :-)
pth
leedslad
- 29 Aug 2006 16:26
- 1124 of 1497
treblewide
No chance secured deal with there bank this Jan read results.
:-)
dave
Treblewide
- 29 Aug 2006 16:39
- 1125 of 1497
so wait a minute PTH you think MDT are going to
a) give them a part of their business for free and
b) give them some free cash flow also to operate it?
banking facility is for 2006 leedslad to facilitate increased sales, this will be reviewed constantly and is not permanent.....
I just cannot see the upside here......everyone is expecting no great increase in sales, sure they are negotiating a deal for a piece of MDT however if this was such a good part of MDT's business why would they be disposing of it? and even if it is profitable what are the margins and can it be operated by MDW, has anyone actually looked through MDT's previous results to try and quanitfy what MDW may be buying here...what if it is loss making?
Also how do MDW pay for this? even more debt/shareholder dilution?...this company has promised for years and years and again everyone is waiting saying ahh but this time next year!
unless absolute guidance is given on this MDT thing these will get hammered on results day IMHO.
nope too many unanswered questions again and now shareholders please wait another year for any chance of making money....
ptholden
- 29 Aug 2006 16:48
- 1126 of 1497
Trebs
No to both a or b.
What I am suggesting though is that MDT would not have entered into an agreement with a tiddler such as MDW if they were not convinced that MDW have all the pillars in place to support the agreement.
As an aside I agree with some of what you say. However the words in the Results will be all important re the SP, rather than the figures. Lots of unknowns here and we need some clarity in order to assure present shareholders and certainly new ones.
pth
leedslad
- 29 Aug 2006 16:51
- 1127 of 1497
Treble
You will have to look at Who was manufacturing these products for MDT to see why they want MDW to produce them. MDW have them over a barrel .They have already supplied 20G3 units to MDT
and sold 20 of the new multiscanners. Info on MDW web site.
All this without China/Hong kong supplies.
if you do some real research on this you will see massive upside from here.
Would not want to be Short.lol
dave
Treblewide
- 29 Aug 2006 16:54
- 1128 of 1497
not short yet but will be on any strength up to results however again one thing that would make me worry if i were still holding any of these is a fact that cannot be argued...the chart is terrible and if the upside is so huge...why is no one buying?
chart says back to 3p to me
lol
treble
ptholden
- 29 Aug 2006 16:58
- 1129 of 1497
Waiting for the words in the Results Treb, would you buy at the moment if you had just started researching the company? Don't think I would, oh and the chart is pants. Don't laff too much, you might pop a rib :-))
pth
leedslad
- 29 Aug 2006 17:05
- 1130 of 1497
Treble
Q.why is nobody buying?
A. Plenty of people have bought. the herd is busy chasing Oil/Gold.
chart is crap but MDW shares are tightly held so small sells move it down.
Next few weeks we will all Know so we will have to wait and see who is right.
My money is where my mouth is and i am happy with my large holding.
Treblewide
- 29 Aug 2006 17:40
- 1131 of 1497
if plenty of people have bought why has the price receded so much and if small sells move the price due to it being illiquid so does buying.
anyway last post on this until i do actually short it.
Minder
- 29 Aug 2006 22:36
- 1132 of 1497
Treblewide,
You are not really sure are you, you say the SP will get 'hammered' on results day, but you also say you will short it on any rise.
Are you just covering all bases or are you really going to take a side on this at one point and invest some money in it either short or long.
Until then you are just hot air and not even well informed hot air at that.
banjomick
- 30 Aug 2006 01:04
- 1133 of 1497
lol Minder,Treble doesn't know what to do by the sounds of it.
All I know is that we need information on the MDT Urodynamics deal which is the most important issue at the moment,PSAwatch pails into insignificance compared to the possible upside this deal will make for MDW!
There is so much positive news that can come from MDW so i'm happy to wait for the news.
The 12-13p levels that we hoped would be a base line for further rises earlier this year are not important anymore.MDW have the potential to have formed a deal that would quadruple their revenue overnight! It all depends on what type of deal they have got and we will soon know the details......
All in me humbly opinion of course.
leedslad
- 30 Aug 2006 07:53
- 1134 of 1497
Morning all
Treblewide
- 30 Aug 2006 09:29
- 1135 of 1497
minder...i will be shorting on any rise prior to results which are not due out for a few weeks...if it does rise prior to results I will short it, it is not difficult to understand but you are obviously not the quickest...or maybe the large loss you are sitting on on these shares is effecting you...yeah I am sure you will come back to me with you bought them at 3p......I have made loads of of them....blah blah blah...sure, I am sure all of you did and you have all made lots of money from these..yeah right.
Chart says back to 3p
so make no mistake I will be shorting this and I will let you all know
banjomick
- 30 Aug 2006 10:08
- 1136 of 1497
lol Treble,Thanks for keeping us all informed on your cunning plan!
Treblewide
- 30 Aug 2006 11:16
- 1137 of 1497
no problem
Minder
- 30 Aug 2006 16:13
- 1138 of 1497
Hi treble, strange you think the results are "not out for a few weeks", only we know the are due now but are being held up until confirmation of the MDT deal, so I would say in the next couple of days.
As for a loss, yes my holding is currently showing a paper loss, but I have managed to buy far more than I bargained for at sub 9p and so am not unhappy at all.
I haven't bought for a quick profit, but for the much larger medium to long term profit when these multibag.
banjomick
- 05 Sep 2006 13:00
- 1139 of 1497
looks like were off again!
optomistic
- 05 Sep 2006 13:06
- 1140 of 1497
Where to Banjo :-)