goldfinger
- 27 May 2004 10:47
Yes an engineer but lets call it a TECH Engineer. Compressed air technology is its main business, develops industrial air compressors and Gas seals and whats more it provides them for the OIL and GAS industry.
Very close to commercialisation now with its compressors and seals and todays deal ( see below ) should bring that very close.
Charges upfront payments, continuing royalties and development contracts so revenues are not lumpy.
It as a market cap circa off the top of my head 20 million(hope my calculator is now working) and as circa of 5 million cash on the books, very nice.
Some very big names as customers.
Heres todays announcement...........
Corac Group Plc
26 May 2004
For Immediate Release 26 May 2004
Corac Group plc ('Corac')
Joint Industry Programme for Downhole Gas Compression
Corac, the intellectual property and licensing company specialising in
compressor technology, is pleased to announce the signature today of a Joint
Industry Programme ('JIP') for the development of its unique, patented downhole
gas compression technology.
Following the recent successful completion of a Shell funded feasibility study
which evaluated both the technical and economic viability of the technology,
considerable industry interest has been generated, culminating in the addition
of a further four major international oil and gas operators to the project.
The participants of the JIP comprise ConocoPhillips, ENI, Husky Energy,
Repsol-YPF as well as Shell, all of whom have gas assets worldwide which they
believe could benefit from this game changing technology. As well as covering
the development costs for the next phase, the participants will also make
substantial resource available to ensure the final product specification meets
the requirements of the industry.
Corac's downhole gas compression concept involves the coupling together of a
number of axial compressor modules in a single compression train for
installation in the well bore in close proximity to a gas reservoir. In this
location, a modest uplift in pressure results in a very significant increase in
gas production compared with conventional methods using surface compression,
thereby accelerating gas production and cash flow from a producing asset.
Potential production rate enhancement of up to 40% has been demonstrated through
the application of downhole gas compression during a number of gas field case
studies carried out over recent months.
Placing the compressor downhole could also have the effect of being able to
lower the reservoir abandonment pressure which in turn would materially increase
the ultimate recovery from a gas field, thereby further enhancing the economic
benefit from the installation of this novel application of existing technology.
Phase 1 of the JIP is scheduled for completion by the end of 2004, with further
engineering and development work leading to the manufacture and testing of a
prototype downhole in a producing gas well within the following two years.
Commenting on the JIP, Professor Gerry Musgrave, Chairman, said:
'The support from such eminent oil and gas companies vindicates Corac's
development to date of the downhole gas compression project and gives the Group
another product line to bring to the market using its core technologies. It is
the start of a major business development opportunity which is expected to have
significant international ramifications throughout the upstream natural gas
industry.'ENDS.
Although loss making at the moment it shouldnt be very long before this one turns the corner.
Outlook
The Company has a loyal, talented workforce dedicated to the innovation and
exploitation of the technology. Successful trials have demonstrated the
commercial performance in Corac's industrial air compressor and its seals. The
Board is striving to deliver the right manufacturing and sales licences which
will yield the best returns in the long term.
We are confident that a number of deals, which have been subject to recent
intensive negotiation, will be successfully concluded in the near term.
Short to medium term investment, and anyone interested should DYOR and please remember you are responsible for the timing of your buying and selling actions.
cheers GF.
notlob
- 11 Jul 2007 10:47
- 102 of 743
look massively undervalued,imo
35m market cap for a company capable of extracting billions of pounds worth of extra gas....you're having a laugh!
should be more like 100m for starters and then some
best no-brainer multi-bagger on the market?
notlob
- 12 Jul 2007 15:24
- 103 of 743
L2 strengthening, move up soon?
notlob
- 18 Jul 2007 09:59
- 104 of 743
Corac starting to move up again
Edging closer to a chart break-out? (>50p)
Looking at some other IP plays, CRA looks very modestly valued with massive potential.
Other companies, like PDX and CER, CFU, have valuations 150m-200m
Corac only 35m yet massive world-wide potential to recover up to 40% extra gas from suitable wells.
Corac also have several other irons in the fire.
goldfinger
- 18 Jul 2007 15:56
- 105 of 743
Nice move up this afternoon NL.
notlob
- 18 Jul 2007 16:56
- 106 of 743
goldfinger
see you started this thread 3+ years ago, you a long-term holder of CRA then?
I first bought in around 2 years ago + have added at various times since, I was blown away by the potential of DGC
I can't believe you can still pick up CRA at these levels, with DGC live trials just around the corner.
this was posted on another board, nice link!
http://ior.senergyltd.com/issue13/research-development/smes/corac/
***Game Changing Technology***
-just a quick reminder why CRA is the best risk/reward stock on the market(imo!)
-Here is a link to a report on DGC published by the DTI , maximising oil and gas programme.
-This is something the Government is very keen to do, to reduce our dependence on overseas energy supplies.
-Gas prices are again starting to edge up again and the recent rapid detioration of relations with Russia will only put further pressure on the UK to ensure as much independence on gas supplies as possible.
-The article again outlines the substantial advantages that ONLY DGC can provide.
-Don't forget, in the development of DGC, CRA have no competition at all. (even if they did, a 100bn market gives a bit to go for, in any case)
-Interesting also to note in the article that there are developments in hand which would enable CRA's DGC to be applicable to a wider range of gas wells, by increasing the temp. at which the electronics can operate at.
-The current max. market for DGC is estimated at 100,000 gas wells, guess that figure could rise if these developments are succesful!
-but as the recent rhps tip has pointed out,just 0.1% penetration is still 100m at high margins, with recurring revenues chucked in as well!
notlob
- 18 Jul 2007 16:57
- 107 of 743
ps
assuming we make a nice profit, taper relief will come in handy!
goldfinger
- 23 Jul 2007 11:36
- 108 of 743
Continuing the momentum drive.
explosive
- 23 Jul 2007 23:17
- 109 of 743
Even TB is on this one, the mm's know it too so will wait for a fall before looking to buy in... Further testing and some positive feedback from the field is whats needed now.
goldfinger
- 24 Jul 2007 00:40
- 110 of 743
Notlob, re your post above, just seen it sorry for the delay...
goldfinger - 15 Jun 2007 10:36 - 90 of 109
Yep. Bought in again to add to my residue stock when a well known and respected PI on finfoex mentioned this one on that site.
notlob
- 24 Jul 2007 16:37
- 111 of 743
no probs, goldfinger
thanks for the reply
CRA going very nicely, looks like they are breaking out >50p
Think Numis have put out a recent update with a circa 1 target-if DGC lives up to its potential, you can add a '0' to that + still be good value!
goldfinger
- 24 Jul 2007 16:38
- 112 of 743
Have you got a copy NL?.
notlob
- 25 Jul 2007 00:16
- 113 of 743
not yet, GF, but will have soon
Numis have put a price of 2.60 on CRA for 2009, and discounted that back to 96p target for this year
Numis Securities said Corac is getting close to establishing whether its downhole gas compressor (DGC) technology will be a commercial success, adding that it is increasingly possible as Corac comes to the end of the four-year development
programme.
The brokerage has a "buy" rating on the compressor technology company's stock.
notlob
- 28 Jul 2007 10:51
- 114 of 743
now got a copy of the Nuims note, and it ain't too bad
They reckon CRA worth close to a 1 right now, if they discounted at a more reasonable rate they say the now price is around 2.24 or so
If DGC works as it says on the tin, they actually use the words 'no brainer'
ofcourse, the risk warnings are in there as well, to be fair
try to post a bit more detail when I have some time.
notlob
- 30 Jul 2007 17:44
- 115 of 743
Corac heading back up
reading the note, no wonder!
Looks like this is heading for a couple of quid plus, Numis even use the 'no brainer' phrase!
notlob
- 03 Aug 2007 14:34
- 116 of 743
some interesting bits from the Numis report (coined from 'the other side')
Corac is getting closer to realising significant value potential from commercialising its Downhole Gas Compressor (DGC) technology that can accelerate and increase ultimate recovery from depleting gas wells. There are a number of key milestones approaching over the next 6 to 12 months that will give a strong indication of the likely success of Coracs commercialisation strategy. For those investors with an appetite for risk, we suggest that investment now could yield significant returns within a year
Significant DGC opportunity: The financial attractions to industry of accelerated production and ultimate recovery of gas from wells are obvious. For Corac, a small market penetration is very significant. We estimate that a deployment of 500 units, just 0.5% market penetration, equates to revenues of c400m
Numis have a price target now of 96p, which they say clearly assumes DGC is a success but is heavily discounted to reflect an element of the risk. A more normal discount (8%) gives a current value of 224p a share, indicating the potential from DGC.
Numis value the Industrial Air side as 3m. Whilst they say this is conservative, my own view is that is way way to low , as I expect events to prove, plus there is nothing in there for other developments such as refrigeration.
Opportunity
If successful, the scale of the opportunity is very substantial. Corac has worked closely with its JIP partners where from detailed knowledge and data modelling of the fields it has enabled an economic analysis of the value of the DGC units. The companys modelling indicates that wells can yield anything from 20% to 40% improvement in artificial lift of the gas. For example, a field with 30 wells was modelled and it was decided to deploy some 21 DGC units. In the economic model the capital cost of the units, the installation of top side generating capability, work over tubing, as well as running costs were calculated. Additionally the industry decided that the DGC units would be replaced every two years. The deployment of such units resulted in a positive cash flow in the third year because the increase in gas flow yielded an extra return of over $200m per annum.
Economic case is compelling
We agree with the companys view that, for this particular field and the many others that have been analysed, once DGC has been fully proven down the hole, there is an overwhelming case for deployment wether it is recovering stranded gas or just giving the operators a much better return on their investment. For Corac, as well as the capital cost of sales, in this particular example there would be a size from refurbishment of the units every two years.
130m sales opportunity from JIPs in the short term
According to Corac, the JIP partners have identified 170 wells immediately suited to DGC technology. Even excluding engineering fees and replacement/refurbishment potential, which should occur at least once every three years, we estimate that 170 units could amount to some 130m sales and about 80m operating profit. If the DGC extends a well life for say 5-6 years for example, then this estimate could almost double with aftermarket sales.
The report says that the gross margins on the DGC units are 75%-80%, and at an expected 750K-1m per unit, you can see you dont have to sell too many of those to be seriously profitable!
goldfinger
- 06 Aug 2007 10:03
- 117 of 743
This ones going aginst the trend today.
recent broker note out from Numis...
CORAC GROUP PLC
Current Prior
Price target 96 pence 54 pence
--Numis Securities said Corac is getting close to
establishing whether its downhole gas compressor (DGC) technology
will be a commercial success, adding that it is increasingly
possible as Corac comes to the end of the four-year development
programme.
--The brokerage has a "buy" rating on the compressor
technology company's stock.
poldark
- 06 Aug 2007 10:51
- 118 of 743
PRO REFERENDUM MARCH AND RALLY
LONDON
SATURDAY 27TH OCTOBER
WWW.PRA.UK.COM
goldfinger
- 07 Aug 2007 09:22
- 119 of 743
Really as got momentum behind it now.
notlob
- 07 Aug 2007 09:35
- 120 of 743
sure has,gf
I think this stock could easily be 2 or 3 in a year or two, provided DGC continues
to develop along the right lines.
Any tech that can extract up to 40% extra gas from suitable wells has to be worth a few hundred mill for starters, CRA is currently valued at around 40m, peanuts!
Looks like a full-blow chart break-out is underway, which should add a few more to the party.