cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
ahoj
- 07 Jun 2013 09:43
- 12461 of 21973
If Germany was not a part of Europe, their currency, Dutch Mark) would be much higher at levels equate with Euro $2. So, German companies they are the main beneficiaries of the single currency.
Shortie
- 07 Jun 2013 10:37
- 12462 of 21973
halifax
- 07 Jun 2013 10:53
- 12463 of 21973
shortie excellent article and comments, the euro "nightmare" is not over by a long way.
Shortie
- 07 Jun 2013 11:16
- 12464 of 21973
The article pretty well demonstrates why there will never be any beneficiary of a single currency, if Germany had exited the Euro back in 2008/9 then maybe it would have been seen today as having crystalised its gains. The same could be said of Greece if it had borrowed heavily as a member and then left devaluing its currency and debt in the process. Neither of these things happened, stability seams to be the buzz word at the moment, but just like trading stabilty doesn't lead to profits it leads to lower risk which is what EZ members strive for.
Shortie
- 07 Jun 2013 11:24
- 12465 of 21973
Anyone else been trading Yen over the last 24 hrs, Christmas has come early I think.
HARRYCAT
- 07 Jun 2013 15:31
- 12466 of 21973
Looks like payrolls were pretty good:
"Bloomberg - Equity futures surged after a Labor Department report showed payrolls rose 175,000 last month after a revised 149,000 increase in April that was smaller than first estimated. The jobless rate climbed from a four-year low as more Americans entered the labor force."
HARRYCAT
- 11 Jun 2013 11:29
- 12467 of 21973
.
HARRYCAT
- 12 Jun 2013 14:10
- 12468 of 21973
Current thoughts from DP of IC:
"Retail sentiment towards European equities is improving from what I can tell, with spread bettors now net long of the FTSE and almost neutral on the DAX. I certainly agree with the view that another decent rally should follow the present shakeout. However, I was taken by surprise by the duration and extent of last summer’s sell-off in equities, and I may be once again this year. This does not mean we are necessarily in for a meltdown, but it is quite possible that we get further erratic downside for a few weeks. The FTSE is now down some 9% inside 13 sessions, while it lost around 13% in 54 days in the spring of 2012.
I look for possible shorts in the FTSE today, and longs in GBPUSD and EURUSD.
The FTSE’s downtrend is much clearer and therefore more shortable than that of the DAX right now. It triggered my sell-advice by dropping through 6350 yesterday, going as low as 6279 thereafter. I reckon we could see 6253 next up. I would be looking for further shorting opportunities here, therefore.
DAY: I’d short another drop through the 13-fourhourly EMA (6337.1)."
bhunt1910
- 12 Jun 2013 15:26
- 12469 of 21973
Back into the FTSE after a while on the sidelines at 6312, hopefully for a sustained long
hilary
- 12 Jun 2013 15:43
- 12470 of 21973
Errrm. BoJ yesterday and Kuroda???
bhunt1910
- 12 Jun 2013 16:11
- 12471 of 21973
I have not been doing my homework for a while - just back from a holiday - why the sudden 100 pt drop in wall st and 50 drop on FTSE.
I know - I know - I should have checked before I put my long on - impetuous me !!
hilary
- 12 Jun 2013 16:29
- 12472 of 21973
bhunt,
Seriously, you need to Google news for BoJ and Kuroda.
In a nutshell, equity markets have been rising since the back end of last year because Japan has been printing money big time. In their recent statements going back over the last month or so, their rhetoric has changed, and the intimation is that they're trying to dampen the moves (possibly because their trade partners are getting a bit p!ssed off with them). Yesterday, they came up with nothing new, and the market is reacting accordingly.
skinny
- 12 Jun 2013 16:32
- 12473 of 21973
Earlier Today :-
Japan's Nikkei slips but off day's low
(Reuters) - The Nikkei average slipped 0.2 percent on Wednesday, extending the previous session's decline on disappointment that the Bank of Japan offered no fresh measures to quell bond market volatility, which was sparked by its massive stimulus program in April.
The Nikkei .N225 ended 28.30 points lower at 13,289.32 after trading as low as 12,994.08. The index trimmed losses in the afternoon, with traders suspecting the central bank was buying exchange-traded funds to support the market.
The broader Topix .TOPX index eased 0.4 percent to 1,096.54.
Yesterday :-
Asian shares hit 2013 lows; Nikkei slips as BOJ disappoints
TOKYO | Tue Jun 11, 2013 7:33am BST
(Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell against the yen and Japanese stocks sagged after the Bank of Japan held off from taking fresh steps to curb bond market volatility, while Asian shares hit 2013 lows amid worries over slowing growth in China and continued uncertainty on how long the U.S. stimulus will remain in place.
European stock markets are likely to follow suit, with financial spreadbetters predicting London's FTSE 100, Paris's CAC-40 and Frankfurt's DAX will open down 0.4 percent. A 0.1 percent drop in U.S. stock futures also pointed to a cautious Wall Street start.
hilary
- 12 Jun 2013 16:42
- 12474 of 21973
Kuroda’s April-Was-Enough Message Faces Markets Wanting More
From a technical viewpoint, USD/JPY has been making lower highs and lower lows on the hourly charts since the end of May. It's currently approaching the last low formed on 7th June and, if that goes, you've got to go back to the beginning of April for any meaningful support.
halifax
- 12 Jun 2013 16:55
- 12475 of 21973
6000 looming, sold in May?
bhunt1910
- 12 Jun 2013 18:40
- 12476 of 21973
Thanks for your feedback guys - looks like I may have jumped the gun here - appreciate your comments
bhunt1910
- 12 Jun 2013 20:07
- 12477 of 21973
Not sure what to do here - - I am inclined to let it run with a stop of 6250. Ho Hum
KEAYDIAN
- 12 Jun 2013 21:33
- 12478 of 21973
Hovering over the buy button
hilary
- 13 Jun 2013 07:24
- 12479 of 21973
bhunt,
I don't think you'll find anybody here willing to advise where to put your stop. It's a decision for you to make alone, and it should really relate to the reason you entered the trade in the first place.
If it helps, there are four reasons why somebody would buy a market (go long). I would suggest you figure which of the following reasons applies to you and set your stop accordingly:
Reason 1 - The market is going up
In this situation, the stop should go just under the last low on the timeframe you are trading. If the market is indeed going up, it won't go below the last low. If it does go below that level, you really wouldn't want to still be in the trade. Alternatively, if the market has been going up for a while and the price is moving within a clearly defined and rising channel, then the stop should be just below the lower bounding line of that channel. If the price drops out of the channel, your reasons for entering the trade would no longer apply, and you should exit the trade.
Reason 2 - You bought the market because you felt it was cheap and you saw value
In this case, there's no guarantee that it won't get cheaper still. It could even go to zero. You should fund these trades with real money, rather than margin. You shouldn't use stop losses at all, and you should be fully prepared to lose everything.
Reason 3 - You bought the market by mistake
Maybe you hit the wrong button by mistake. It happens. If that's why you're in the trade, you should rectify the mistake immediately and close out. Even if that means taking a loss.
Reason 4 - There is no logical justification for the trade
Maybe you flipped a coin. Or perhaps you just fancied it. There are countless reason why traders lose all sense of rationale from time to time. If that's what's happened here, you are essentially just gambling, and all professional gamblers will tell you that you should never risk more than you are prepared to lose. In order to stay in the game longer term, most people seem to think that an appropriate amount to risk on any single trade is around 3% of your account balance. In that case, you should set the stop sufficient distance away according to your position size, so that you are only risking what you are prepared to lose.
Hope that helps.
skinny
- 13 Jun 2013 07:27
- 12480 of 21973
Hmmm - personally, its normally 3 or 4.
FTSE was fleetingly below 6,200 - not for the last time today I suspect.