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PORTFOLIO 69 (69)     

Juzzle - 23 Jul 2017 10:51

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SPSY&Si

Share prices are all shown in pence. A website link for each company is given below. This is primarily a reference thread for myself. Discussion of an individual stock should ideally take place on its own existing discussion thread please, where its followers can readily find it.

The stocks displayed here are not recommendations - merely ones that I have chosen to run with. Most have already risen precariously, and some may collapse.

This is an aggressive portfolio being constructed between 10 July and 30 July 2017. On 10 July it comprised small stakes in four stocks I already owned (SOM,RST,TPF,ANII) representing in total 8.6%, and 91.4% cash. Stakes in those four were increased and a dozen other stocks bought. By 24 July, 65% stocks, 35% cash. Mostly held within a stockdealing ISA. The cash element is not earning interest; it will at times be used to temporarily boost stakes in one or other of the stocks or to buy another. I pay an ISA fee of £5 per quarter in total, and a brokerage fee of £9.90 per trade..

Initially I aim to run it for 5 months till 31 Dec 2017, by when I am hoping to be up 15%. This portfolio was funded by proceeds from the sale of a flat, the rent from which was generating 7%pa. The aim is to convincingly better that return. At 31 December I shall consider withdrawing a sum equivalent to what would have been 5 months rent, and to possibly do the same each six months thereafter (though I shall reassess that plan at Dec 31). Stocks that fail to maintain good performance will be reduced or ditched along the way (can't afford passengers) a few others might be bought. Fast ones that get too big might be topsliced to keep the portfolio in balance. I expect the initial setting up costs (brokerage fees on 16 stocks, and buy/sell price spreads of up to 4%) to be a drag on overall valuation in the opening weeks.



##################################################
PORTFOLIO 69 ENDS AT POST 191, DETAILING A GAIN OF 79.64% BETWEEN
JULY AND END-OF-2017. PART OF THE TOTAL HAS BEEN CASHED IN AND
WITHDRAWN. THE START OF PORTFOLIO 70, RUNNING 3 MONTHS FROM
START OF 2018, IS DETAILED IN POST 192
##################################################

Juzzle - 01 Dec 2017 17:46 - 161 of 222

I still expect good news of some sort from VRS befor Xmas. It remains my biggest holding. The tranche that I sold around at 37.5% in the hope of buying in again lower, I ended up having to pay 40p for - so that didn't work. But it ain't doing bad ;-)

Juzzle - 01 Dec 2017 17:50 - 162 of 222

Taptica, yes, I still expect more from it between now and Easter. But I confess to not being totally convinced and am prepared to drop it if it annoys me.

Juzzle - 01 Dec 2017 17:52 - 163 of 222

....... END-OF-WEEK-UPDATE
....... Friday 01 December

....... Portfolio now up a whopping 85.83%
since July

A phenomenally good week. Mostly thanks to VRS which despite the huge surge, I think still has legs. I ditched Sophos (SOPH) today at a loss, but it stays on my watchlist. (Purchase poorly timed by me)

dreamcatcher - 01 Dec 2017 17:54 - 164 of 222

Thanks juzzle for bringing VRS to my and others attention, I cannot watch them all.

Juzzle - 01 Dec 2017 17:58 - 165 of 222

dreamcatcher - until I came to set up this portfolio in July, I had never heard of it. I got lucky.

dreamcatcher - 01 Dec 2017 18:48 - 166 of 222

I see Neil Woodford has put a warning out today

Juzzle - 01 Dec 2017 19:06 - 167 of 222

He might be right, he might be wrong. But his own judgment has crumbled somewhat since his glory days.

https://www.ft.com/content/c6ef0f16-d51f-11e7-a303-9060cb1e5f44


I am under no illusions regarding the riskiness of the stocks I play with. They are all vulnerable to collapse.

Chris Carson - 01 Dec 2017 23:31 - 168 of 222

Well that's AIM for you Juzzle, you have picked the right ones and traded them well. Well done, bit of a hat tip to dc, he does come up with some crackers.

dreamcatcher - 02 Dec 2017 12:42 - 169 of 222

and a few stinkers Chris. :-))

Juzzle - 04 Dec 2017 08:26 - 170 of 222

When VRS went bananas on Friday, I wondered if some news had leaked. This morning the news is very BIG news! Their (unnamed) new customer appears to be (probably) DowDupont? (Dow and DuPont would both have been Versarien's 'biggest potential customers' list - and a month ago those two merged. So both big fish have been landed together if the name guessing is correct)

cynic - 04 Dec 2017 08:32 - 171 of 222

#158 - what a lucky chap i am

Juzzle - 04 Dec 2017 11:57 - 172 of 222

Several of the charts in my header relate to stocks that have formed part of this portfolio at times, but in some cases no longer do - but they remain on my watchlist to possibly buy back into at times. Others look a little exhausted. I shall rearrange the header charts later this week. (I might decrease the size of charts that are now merely on my watchlist).



cynic - 06 Dec 2017 11:26 - 173 of 222

VRS
on the move up again (+6.5%) albeit on pretty low volume

Juzzle - 08 Dec 2017 18:22 - 174 of 222

....... END-OF-WEEK-UPDATE
....... Friday 08 December

....... Portfolio now up 119.8%
since July

Up 18.29% on a week ago.

Only another 3 weeks or so to go to the end of this adventure and the start of the next.

Added a few more IQE this afternoon ahead of a (probable) trading update next week. Fully invested; only 0.3% cash now. VRS and IQE between them account for most of the portfolio. 21.4% is in IQE, 63.64% is in VRS, 15% others, making it the most dangerously unbalanced portfolio I've ever held.

cynic - 09 Dec 2017 08:36 - 175 of 222

IQE next figures not due until march, so unsure if or why there should be any trading statement - unless they tend to do so quarterly

had a little trading play with CVSG yesterday, which is currently nicely in the money .... i hold in my sipp anyway, so shall probably take profits quite quickly

out of interest, do you calculate your portfolio balance from cost price or current?

Juzzle - 10 Dec 2017 15:12 - 176 of 222

The percentage of total portfolio value that I'm referring to is using latest current value of holdings vs total current value (shareholdings plus cash content) of portfolio. Overall performance figure is percentage gain relative to total portfolio value when first established in July (no cash being added or withdrawn till 31 Dec)

IQE published a mid-December update in 2015 and 2016. That doesn't necessarily mean they'll do the same this year. I don't think they've said they will - which leaves them scope to do so or not do so. But if they have the choice to do so or not, and do so, I imagine that it will say summat they are happy to declare ;-)

Whether they issue an update or not, I am happy to hold. It is likely that my next exercise (a portfolio starting 1st January) will include a continuation of my IQE holding. I haven't yet decided whether to run the new portfolio till June 30 or April 5.

EDIT: For my own accounting purposes I am continuing to refer to closing this portfolio at 31 December. In reality of course the stockmarket ends 2017 a couple of days before that. And the portfoilo I intend running from 1st January will not trade till the day the 2018 market opens.

cynic - 12 Dec 2017 08:20 - 177 of 222

AHT
GREAT rns from this quarter has sent sp rocketing by 90p (4.5%)
glad i hold in sipp already and also bought a few to trade yesterday
a happy start to the day

Juzzle - 12 Dec 2017 16:16 - 178 of 222

Versarien taking a bit of a bashing this week. Same happened 3 weeks ago with no lasting effect. Sadly I have no spare cash to buy more at these lowered prices.

cynic - 13 Dec 2017 07:50 - 179 of 222

PURP
augurs well for the lttle treading position i opened a couple of days back ......

H1 Average Uk Income Per Instruction Up 14% To £1,138
Uk Revenue Guidance For Full Year Upgraded 5% From £80m To £84m
On-course To Achieve Full Year Revenue Guidance Of £12m In Australia
H1 Total Gross Profit 26.2 Million Pounds Versus 10.4 Million Pounds Year Ago
Uk Business Continues To Scale Up N H1, Reporting An Adjusted Ebitda Profit Of £4.7m (Fy17: £0.3m) And An Operating Profit Of £3.2m

Juzzle - 14 Dec 2017 12:13 - 180 of 222

XL Media (XLM) proving itself a good choice at present - up 50% in 2 months ;-)
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