markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
eddieshare
- 22 Sep 2005 20:48
- 1781 of 6492
Hi all
Oh well we know why DES has gone down now. Not good news about the rig beeing delayed. DES gaped down today as a result of its announcment. After the gap down the market pushed DES down to the low of the day (bottom of the thin line under the real body of todays candle), the market then pushed DES back up to the close. This would indicate the support is at the bottom of todays candle 0.2725p. The long term rising trend line was broken today, we are now looking at the horizontal line for support, which dates back to 08/11/04. The support line is where DES started to move up from the hammer on 25/05/05. If the support holds out here, we may be seeing a double bottom.
Good Luck All
Eddie
driftwood1
- 22 Sep 2005 23:49
- 1782 of 6492
Sorry I just troll the internet to have a laugh when I've nothing better to do. Sad really but it's an hobby of sorts. Here's a bit of stuff, you may not think it worth knowing but at least if I call back you can't complain.
I'm told Desire Pet had been in agreement for a rig till around 5-6 weeks ago. The contract in question fell apart because of a dispute over what the charges where. Desire Pet thought they agreed all aspects but they failed tie in something to do with leantime or tow time or something like. Sorry I don't use a big spanner on an oil rig so I don't really understand the details. The resulting shortfall started off at around 300k, discussing it resulted in this going up and the last figure I heard was 800k. This was for one small part I don't know the full cost but the rig was owned in europe and has now been contracted. The only way they will get a rig between now and 2007 is if someone goes bust.
HUSTLER
- 23 Sep 2005 00:21
- 1783 of 6492
Hi Driftwood
Interesting post, you do seem well conected with the content.
So what is your interest if you think Des is such a dog shit stock
you appear to spend a lot of time following it. To me shit stinks
and would only look at it once. You seem to have more than a vested
interest i can only conclude you have a large short position.
Good luck to you, but how do you view it long term do you
believe oil is there to be found, your overall view is welcome.
Regards
HUSTLER
lynnzal
- 23 Sep 2005 07:36
- 1784 of 6492
driftwood1, at last you bring something to the party of some value. Could you let me know the source of your info (ie website), so this information isn't taken as something that you have made up off the top of your head.
By the way, I agree that it is sad if you have nothing better to do than trolling the internet like that, but it takes all sorts I guess. If I were you I would put all the info to good use...why not speculate in DES for example, you could have made a lot of money shorting a spread this week.
markymar
- 23 Sep 2005 07:51
- 1785 of 6492
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2005/09/23/cndes23.xml&menuId=242&sSheet=/money/2005/09/23/ixcity.html
Desire can't get no satisfaction
By Stephen Seawright (Filed: 23/09/2005)
Soaring prices have boosted the earnings of many oil companies in the past year but have stalled the plans of Desire Petroleum.
The company, which has the right to explore sites near the Falkland Islands, has been unable to get near the oil as it cannot hire a drilling rig.
Demand for rigs has soared as oil companies are keen to extract as much as possible while energy prices are high.
"We are very disappointed about it because we want to go and drill as soon as possible," said Ian Duncan, Desire Petroleum's chief executive.
"A year ago there were numerous rigs that could have drilled these wells."
The type of rig Desire needs rents for about $150,000 (84,000) a day compared with $80,000 a year ago, Mr Duncan said.
The Falklands' sites, which are Desire's only projects, could hold over one billion barrels of recoverable oil, according to the company. In preparation for exploration drilling, Desire raised 24.4m through a share placement in March.
Yesterday Desire reported first-half profits of 786,000 pre-tax, all made from interest payments and exchange rate gains on the 24.4m which was converted into dollars. Desire shares plunged 6 to 31p yesterday.
berlingo
- 23 Sep 2005 10:32
- 1786 of 6492
Hi Guys
Well to be honest i wasnt surprised we didnt get the news we were hoping for . I was ready for it and made a decision a long time ago to stay aboard whatever. I was surprised the price didnt drop back more and today we are seeing a small recovery!
All the fundamentals are still in place and the institutions and long term private investors know that .
Things are still v.interesting and we will just have to sit tight. C`mon Peak , time to earn your stars !
Thanks to all regular posters as usual , Eddie , Marky , Lynnzal and others . Dont lose heart . Des investors need you !!
watcher
- 23 Sep 2005 12:43
- 1787 of 6492
this has got to be a share to stick with and holding for the buy opportunity as it bottoms. With the price of oil as it stands logically holding and picking up more shares has got to be a wonderful chance.
watcher. ps. enjoy learning from the regulars and appreciate the labour of love..
lynnzal
- 23 Sep 2005 15:19
- 1788 of 6492
Thursdays sell-off confirmed my concern of a deeper setback to 33.25p (19 Sep, #1760). However, the market extended way below there to reach 27.25p. This raises further issues, as the minor breach of the former low at 28.5p changes things somewhat on the technical front and will require some further analysis on my behalf. There are a couple of scenarios that I need to work on and will post my thoughts once complete. I managed to buy some cheapies yesterday and think there is topside room (certainly the gap up to 37.25 is a draw), but would advise people to be wary of the downside.
Regards
Lynnzal
florida
- 23 Sep 2005 18:24
- 1789 of 6492
Glum because the price has dropped, no way. I see this as a wonderful opportunity. Just think of our position before the announcement, everyone knew that the potential for no rig to be announced was always a possibility and of course all of us were fearful of the damage it could do. But look at the position we are in now, only 4 points down with nothing whatsoever to set the price back apart from general market movements. We are now over the worst part of the storm and have survived totally intact.
In the early part of 2005 Phipps said something about a farm in partner was not an option to be considered at that time (or words to that effect). In his latest statement he has openly invited any farm in partner who has access to a rig.
This broadens the scope of acquiring a rig substantially. The position now is immeasurably better than it was before the announcement. He now has access to many other rigs that would otherwise be out of the equation. What's more, he has opened the door to many other companies that would have liked a piece of the action but never got the chance.
Gentleman the road is clear, top up and relax.
Kind regards to you all.
Florida
mbugger
- 23 Sep 2005 19:00
- 1790 of 6492
ThoughtDES wasin with Rockhopper,have they any contactsor even a drill bit,if they hop rocks, any views.
eddieshare
- 23 Sep 2005 21:08
- 1791 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks to all for the positive input.
I'll start with a weekly chart (candles have 1 weeks value), which shows where a rising support line. If you look to the left of the large green candle you will see a small green candle which shows the days low price as (02/11/04) 0.2450p, then draw a line from this candle to the low of (08/04/05) 0.2850p. This should give you a rising support line. This weeks close is above this line. This indicates the support is at this area still. On a daily baisis DES has traded bellow this line but not closed under it. Yesterdays trading volume was 9.19 million, this definatly tested the support line, DES closed right on the line. Today DES has recoverd some of yesterdays loss and move up off the support line. It has been said by a few on the bb this is a good time to top up. I think so after 9.19 millon volume testing the support. The big green candle has not let us down since last November.
On the daily chart you can see the falling window (gap down), the resistance area as Lynnzal has said may be at the top of the window. This is the bottom of the red candle on the day before the gap down (0.3725p).
Lynnzal I'm keen to hear of your fresh assesment (0.2750p low).
Good Luck All
Eddie
fatoldgit
- 23 Sep 2005 23:04
- 1793 of 6492
Thanks, Florida, Marky, Eduardo and Lynnzal for informative posts.
After a day of some gloom, I've perked up a bit.
Net asset value of DES is 16p per share....(being all cash)
Value of oil in the ground (if any) is immeasurable (unmeasurable?) but on all best guesses might be say 10 per share....what's that worth today???
I would guess at least 10p in todays value allowing for the fact that we may well have to wait another year for some drilling.
So, (according to my logic) the shares ought to find an absolute bottom level of 26p (which funnily enough they found yesterday).
Any price under 30p per share looks a damn good buy to me...remember before they did the last 3d seismic two years ago, they were priced at 10p then and all they had was licences to drill.
I am in the camp that says we may stagnate for a bit, but below 30p I shall be adding...I missed out yesterday because I was feeling a bit glum...Hey-ho!!
Fat oldster.
eddieshare
- 24 Sep 2005 07:51
- 1795 of 6492
Hi markymar
Thanks for that. Just goes to show its not all doom & gloom. Did you manage to top up. ? I got in at 0.3225p, just a modest amount. A bit skint after our holiday.
Kind Regards
Eddie
eddieshare
- 24 Sep 2005 10:56
- 1797 of 6492
Hi markymar
Glad you got in, it should prove to be a good price. Was yours the 1.17 million 375 k trade ? This should prove to be a good price to buy, after the massive test of the hammer (25/05/05). The hammer stood up to a massive test (9.19m volume), for the hammer to have failed, DES would have had to close under the long shadow (0.2850p). If you draw a horizontal line from the lowest point of the shadow (25/05/05) to Thursdays candle, you can see how much work the bulls had to do to defend it. This will be why the 1.17m trade was at the end of the day. The market had pushed DES back up off the low of 0.2725p upto the close 0.3100p. As Florida says top up and relax. This may be the last chance at such a low price. If there is speculation in the market DES could move up just as fast.
Kind Regards
Eddie
shadow
- 24 Sep 2005 11:27
- 1798 of 6492
From todays Guardian. Desire Petroleum company focused on the falklands, bounced back from thursdays fall. Traders reckon may take advantage of the decline, which was triggered by news that Desire cannot get its hands on arig, to make an offer. The shares rose 2.25 to 33.5p. This should encourage other oil companies to offer a takeover bid shortly, possible Chervron and Exxon, within a short period.
eddieshare
- 26 Sep 2005 20:37
- 1799 of 6492
Hi all
DES went up a little, looking at the trades there are more sells than buys. Todays trading opend at 0.3300p, moved upto 0.3400p, this is where the price stayed untill the bears moved DES back down to 0.3300p. The bulls then gave support moving DES back up to the close. The close wasn't at the high of the day, this suggests the the bears are still around. The volume has reduced slightly, we may see some consolidation around this area before moving up. News of a rig, farm in partners or bid would bring the bulls out in force.
Good Luck All
Eddie