markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
maddoctor
- 10 Oct 2005 15:31
- 1861 of 6492
eddie if you want to see another one look at the 5min candles on prty
eddieshare
- 10 Oct 2005 20:37
- 1862 of 6492
Hi all
DES took a little step backwards today, The open looked ok but the bears managed to push down to the close. Todays candle is a spinning top, the real body of the candle is small. When we get a spinning top in either an up or down trend, it usualy indicates the prior trend is coming to an end. As I said in my last post the target price is 0.2800p, the method used to calculate this has a 69% success rate. After the cofirmation price, there is said to be a definate move up between 14 - 21 days. Lets hope all of that is correct then.
Maddoctor I had a look at the chart PRTY, it seems to have gone way past the target price. I dont see any support either. I will look if your on PRTY thread.
Good Luck All
Eddie
maddoctor
- 10 Oct 2005 21:10
- 1863 of 6492
eddie , only just got time to look at your calculation. Top of adam is 71 ,bottom of adam is 28.5 , top of eve is 44.75. never seen your calculation before but perhaps you might want to run it again or maybe not because of the figure it will turn up. Not a clear cut pattern unless you look at the longer view and particularly the weekly candlesticks when the pattern jumps out at you.as to prty(5min) i just thought it might be of interest because it seems the pattern is taking the forecast course and in addition this pattern appears in all timescales.
doc
lynnzal
- 10 Oct 2005 22:51
- 1864 of 6492
Maddoctor, thanks for the insight into the adam and eve pattern. Similar to double tops and bottoms although the projections are measured somewhat differently. However, as a double top/bottom is invalidated if the price closes back above/below the pattern trigger level...is this the same with adam and eve? i.e. is the pattern negated on a close above 28.5p?
Thanks in advance and regards to all.
Lynnzal.
maddoctor
- 10 Oct 2005 22:57
- 1865 of 6492
lynzal , yes and you would then have a 2b bottom and this is the problem with this pattern - not a good one for shorting at the 2b bottom , need to be certain of the break
so for des at the mo , no confirmation either way
eddieshare
- 11 Oct 2005 00:30
- 1866 of 6492
Hi Maddoctor & Lynnzal
I have just gone over the criteria again. There is a suggested time between the peaks, 2 -7 weeks also the peaks should be close in price, it is said some place a 3 % limit between the peak prices.
The dates I have that fit the criteria are Adam peak 0.4525p (25/05/05). Eve peak 0.4475p (15/08/05). The minor low is between Adam & Eve at 0.3375p (06/07/05), this is said to be the confirmation price. Also the valey between Adam & Eve is usualy about 10 - 20% which also fits. The volume is generaly higher on the top left in this case Adam (3.158m) Eve is (1.876m). If all of this is correct then DES is at the target price.
Good Luck All
Eddie
maddoctor
- 11 Oct 2005 07:36
- 1867 of 6492
eddie , more information in your book obviously. Mine just refers to this pattern as one which shows the gradual loss of confidence during the eve peak construction.
eddieshare
- 11 Oct 2005 07:55
- 1868 of 6492
Hi Maddoctor
We will have to wait and see if it is correct yet. We are on day 14 since the confirmation and target price. It is said there should be a significant change around day 14 - 21. I have gone over the material a few times., just incase I got it wrong. Time will tell as they say.
Kind Regards
Eddie
maddoctor
- 11 Oct 2005 08:16
- 1869 of 6492
eddie, if any of these patterns were certain we would not have to get up in the bl**dy dark like this morning and screen watch all day!!!!!!!!!!
good luck Doc
lynnzal
- 11 Oct 2005 09:11
- 1870 of 6492
Agree Doc!
eddieshare
- 11 Oct 2005 20:27
- 1871 of 6492
Hi all
Not many buyers for DES today, just a few which is reflected in the shadow at the bottom of the candle. DES has passed through the target price today. The next support area I can see is 0.2450p (02/11/04). Todays candle has bearish implications and is very close to the support. Another strong bearish day will probably break the support at this level. Support definatly needed !
DES has declined by 21.48% since the break out price. It is said 64% will fail to fall 25% & 78% will fail to fall by 30% in a bear market. The bottom of the support area is at 27%.
Good Luck All
Eddie
luckyswimmer
- 12 Oct 2005 15:40
- 1872 of 6492
I know it's not as exciting as a long legged doji or an Adam and Eve but if the graph stays flat for much longer it starts to look like the end of May
flat bottom which signalled a strong rise. Any suggestions for a name that is a bit more interesting than a flat bottom.
maddoctor
- 12 Oct 2005 15:55
- 1873 of 6492
"no news"
driftwood1
- 12 Oct 2005 16:26
- 1874 of 6492
The big buggers have got a sniff, guess it's an RNS on Friday for you small fish.
But ! I can tell you it's not settled yet, 30/70 I would say so not all's lost yet.
Marrow
- 12 Oct 2005 16:44
- 1875 of 6492
d1
post 1874 a bit too cryptic. Would you be kind enough to expand?
kind regards
marrow
coeliac1
- 12 Oct 2005 16:46
- 1876 of 6492
Driftwood I am sure I would like what you say if I could understand it!
luckyswimmer
- 12 Oct 2005 16:50
- 1877 of 6492
Looks like I spoke to soon, flat all day then all the action happened in the last few minutes. Looks like the mms started to drop the price then some buys came along and they changed their mind. Dwiftwood, that sounds like you know someone - thanks for sharing some good news even if it is a bit cryptic. By 30/70 do you mean Desire get 30% of the oil or that there is a 30% chance of a deal?
eddieshare
- 12 Oct 2005 20:02
- 1878 of 6492
Hi all
DES is even closer to the support area. Todays candle has bearish implications. The bulls came in quite late in the day, this may be an indication of support at 0.2450p area. We will need much more action from the bulls to prevent the support being broken.
Good Luck All
Eddie
lynnzal
- 12 Oct 2005 22:16
- 1879 of 6492
driftwood, are you suggesting you know something? If so, why not just say what you know. You seem to be suggesting a takeover from one of the oil majors and a RNS this friday. This is speculation that has been circulating the other bb's since the market gapped through 37p. But until you become less cryptic it is meaningless...
HUSTLER
- 13 Oct 2005 00:32
- 1880 of 6492
Walla
Driftwood at it again and eveybody takes the bait myself included.
Not once has he put forward anything costructive or damming
with substance. just whispers. edit
However we are being slaughtered and that is no suprise
as said previously the board need to act and fast or else
they will not be on the board much longer.
Still a great prospect but the drum is beating.
Regards