moneyplus
- 21 Aug 2006 14:17
- 2 of 3050
I'm in -couldn't resist a potential 10 bagger! wish I'd seen it before the results came out-fantastic set of numbers. rocketing up today!!
fortitude18
- 21 Aug 2006 15:38
- 7 of 3050
8M shares traded since flotation. 10M free float. People realising that you've gotta dig deep to find a company with growth prospects like this. I like the strengthening margins from 25 to 32%. shows efficiency in production and pricing power.
with a Superb supply contract with MOtech the company seems set for stella growth in its core market.
f18
fortitude18
- 21 Aug 2006 16:04
- 10 of 3050
I like the idea of comparisons between Suntech (pe of 101 - mcap 4.2bn) and Renesola. also generating free cashflow which is fundamental for a fast growing young company, certainly helps capital investment and inspires confidence in its suppliers, customers and shareholders.
the Motech deal extends into 2009! now that tells me that Motech are very very confident that Renesola have the capacity and capability to execute the contract. massive vote of confidence for a young company
f18
ateeq180
- 21 Aug 2006 16:13
- 11 of 3050
Temptations are driving me closer and closer to this stock,not sure whether to wait till tomorrow or go for it ,will see ,a big sale has just gone through,mean more shares been released for some one else to buy.
bigbobjoylove
- 21 Aug 2006 16:22
- 12 of 3050
pile in ready for tomorrow,undiscovered by the press as yet.
whatuwant
- 21 Aug 2006 17:38
- 13 of 3050
ateeq180 - I hope you are in as tomorrow it will probably open higher.
Contract also extends to JLS. Nice.....plenty of future earnings visibility.
Nevermind the fact that after Q3 there'll be 90 furnaces ( as opposed to 36 at end Q2 ) and 5 wafer slicing machines which will improve gross margins and efficiency.
fwiw - I added a few just before the bell too.
whatuwant
- 21 Aug 2006 22:23
- 15 of 3050
Jolly decent is right....Ha ha.....
My current target is 225p but I am now settling down to calculate a nice exit point as opposed to the randomly picked 225p.
btw My last purchase was at 150p, 50% of that = 75p so 150 + 75 = 225p. A nice 50% gain. Just picking random numbers really.
However I am certain that SOLA will carry on after a 50% gain so I will work out a few calculations now and will share in the morning.
fortitude18
- 21 Aug 2006 22:32
- 16 of 3050
did a few calcs with post tax profit (10%) for coming in around 12M on a pe of around 15. now thats a price of 18. MEMC valued on current earnings of 26 pe! well you can see the room for growth can't you
phew
moneyplus
- 22 Aug 2006 01:06
- 17 of 3050
very informative thread on Advfn which alerted me and they give detailed comparisons with a US company which is priced 10 times this one with lower profit margins. well worth a read as it is still reasonably undiscovered and I have a hunch it might take off in the same way as OTO-which I watched all--- the way up -too stunned to join in! good luck all.
cynic
- 22 Aug 2006 07:51
- 18 of 3050
Soul* .... Thanks .... I am persuaded though not without a little trepidation .... order already in and now await confirmation from MM ..... done at 153
bigbobjoylove
- 22 Aug 2006 07:54
- 19 of 3050
TNCI and SOLA covered in the media:
from advfn boards:
closing market report:
"meanwhile traders reported plenty of interest in the 2 recently floated Chinese energy stocks Renesola and Tinci Holdings,both floated at well under their original price and dealers see them as undervalued and playing catch up"
and
"over on the junior market aim newcomer Tinci holdings attracted interest as traders spotted enormous potential in its Flue Gas Desulphurisation product."
soul traders
- 22 Aug 2006 09:49
- 20 of 3050
Fortitude, I'm always glad to see people basing their arguments on mathematics rather than just wishful thinking, but I'm not sure I can agree your sums.
According to my reading of FT.com, there are 100 million shares in issue.
Your 12 million estimated profit at PE 15 gives a market cap value of 180 million, or 180p per share (not 18!).
I calculated, based on the fact that the last quarter's profit of $5.05 mil was earned on approx 8 MW of wafers being produced, that on the 80 MW they aim to produce in a full year they should earn $50.5 million. (EDIT: at least - one assumes that operating efficiencies and/or economies of scale will also continue to improve and boost profits; the one thing we can't say yet is how successful they will be in selling everything they produce, although early indications seem to be that they are signing lots of new contracts)
Which is a pre-tax profit of approx 26.5 mil. Subtract 30% for corporation tax (although I don't know what the tax regime is in China) and you get 18.55 mil.
Multiply by 15 and you arrive at market cap 278 mil, conveniently also 278p per share.
I would like to do some more research - MP tells me there's lots worth reading on ADVFN, plus I'd also like to get the AIM admission document under my belt. I just want to be sure that the sums bear some relation to reality.
If I'm talking total bilge, please feel free to disagree and I shall amend my post forthwith.
Cynic, a pleasure as always. I see that the SP hasn't quite done the vertical lift-off I was anticipating this morning; I hope there is some kind of tactic involved by the MM's to shake out some shares but can't confirm this as I can't view the individual trades.
Moneyplus, many thanks for your mail. Will reply anon.