ba.
BAE SYSTEMS..
Been tipped very recently and could be a solid defensive play in the present markets.
Looks to be fairly cheap on a forward P/E of circa 8.9 going into 2010.
TA looks pretty solid with an uptrend in place and the stock more or less on the base line of the uptrend. Could be a nice medium term return here, anyone with any thoughts on this??????????????????????????.
Analysis..
BAE SYSTEMS PLC
FORECASTS
2009 2010
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax
() EPS (p) DPS (p)
SG Securities
24-02-09 BUY 41.29 15.52 43.33 16.45
Exane BNP Paribas
24-02-09 HOLD 2,027.00 40.69 15.59 2,200.00
43.59 16.76
Evolution Securities Ltd
20-02-09 BUY 2,218.00 46.00 15.50 2,446.00 50.10 16.50
Numis Securities Ltd [R]
19-02-09 BUY 2,023.00 41.30 16.20 2,186.00 44.20 17.50
Charles Stanley [R]
13-02-09 BUY 40.90 43.70
NCB Stockbrokers Ltd [R]
04-06-08 ACCU 44.80 13.73
2009 2010
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)
Consensus 2,121.43 40.99 15.51 2,321.62 43.46 16.48
1 Month Change 98.43 -0.01 -0.27 183.57 -0.14 -0.29
3 Month Change 107.03 -0.24 -0.35 118.18 -0.40 -0.36
GROWTH
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)
Norm. EPS 59.76% -13.68% 6.03%
DPS 14.29% 14.04% 6.22%
INVESTMENT RATIOS
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)
EBITDA m 2,798.00m 2,910.00m
EBIT m 2,139.17m 2,262.54m
Dividend Yield 3.53% 4.03% 4.28%
Dividend Cover 3.49x 2.64x 2.64x
PER 8.11x 9.39x 8.86x
PEG 0.14f -0.69f 1.47f
Net Asset Value PS p 235.65p 264.80p
Recent Broker Comment...
Broker snap: BAE forecasts set to move up
24 Feb, 2009 12:32
Consensus estimates for BAE Systems' earnings are likely to be bumped up to reflect currency benefits, reckons broker Charles Stanley.
"Current estimates for FY 2009 are 20,409m sales (2010e: 21,263m), 2,535m EBITDA (2010e: 2,644m), 2,093m pre-tax profit (2010e: 2,237m), 42.1p EPS (2010e: 44.5p) and 15.6p DPS (2010e: 16.9p)," the broker said.
"If the current planning rate of $1.50/ materialises, trading results stand to benefit substantially from continued weakness in sterling," Charles Stanley analyst Tina Cook reckons.
The broker has a "buy" recommendation for the defence company, and believes that while the group will not be immune to the impact of the global economic slow-down, "it is well positioned with a large order book that provides visibility going forward, a conservatively managed balance sheet, a broad base of programmes and geographical reach."
http://www.h-l.co.uk/shares/Stockbroker-tips/articles/2625116?rq=article
DYOR