European Factors to Watch-Profit-taking seen before US jobs data
Fri Sep 6, 2013 6:19am BST
LONDON, Sept 6 (Reuters) - European share prices, on track for their best
week in nearly two months, are seen vulnerable to some profit-taking on Friday
as investors adjust positions ahead of a key U.S. jobs data release which could
determine when the Federal Reserve starts winding down on its money printing
programme.
Financial spreadbetters expect Britain's FTSE 100 to open down 15 to
18 points, or as much as 0.2 percent and Germany's DAX to ease 8 to 10
points, or around 0.1 percent. France's CAC 40 is seen flat to 4 points
higher.
That should also push the FTSEurofirst 300 slightly lower, after a
rise of some 2.4 percent so far this week which has put the broad index on track
for its best weekly showing since mid-July.
The U.S. non-farm payrolls report at 1230 GMT will be scrutinised for clues
on whether the recovery is strong enough to allow the Federal Reserve to start
reducing its asset purchases stimulus programme as soon as this month.
The world's biggest economy is expected to have added 180,000 non-farm jobs
last month, keeping the unemployment rate steady at 7.4 percent.
Such a level of job growth is consistent with the EuroSTOXX 50 index
being around the 2,700 point level, according to Societe Generale's
long-term fair value models, which suggest the index is currently around 2.6
percent overvalued.
The Fed has indicated that it will likely end asset purchases when the
unemployment rate falls to 7 percent, and may start raising interest rates once
it gets down to 6.5 percent.