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Premarket Futures 27th Oct | FTSE +12 | DAX +25 | DOW +8 | S&P -0.9 | Nasdaq -1 |
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Carlton insists its merger with Granada is still on despite the recent forcing out of Carlton founder Michael Green as chairman of the merged firm Canary Wharf: may consider other ways of boosting shareholder returns if it does not receive an acceptable bidAMEC said its joint venture with U.S. engineering firm Fluor was bidding for an Iraqi water and power contract worth up to $1.5 billion.Reuters reported a 10.9 percent fall in core subscription revenues , a touch better than market estimates and its own forecasts.Cadbury said by 2007 it was looking to cut costs by 400 million pounds a year and jobs by 10 percent. They also said trading was more or less in line with expectations. Thet are getting rid of 5500 jobs and closing some factories. It says it hoped to save 400 million pounds a year by 2007 from the plan, which will cost 900 million over the period. |
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Reuters (Q3) PBT 771-779 exp.Cadbury Schweppes (Investor presentation) Chorion Plc Consolidation Ex date 09:30 Aug index of distribution 3m, 0.8% prev. |
American Express, Proctor & Gamble, Intl Paper 15:00 Sep home sales 6.3m exp. 15:00 Sep new homes 1128k exp. |
Schering, Schwarz Pharma, Statoil | ||||||
BP (Q3) PBT $3bn exp. British American Tobacco (Q3) PBT 689m exp. Whitbread (H1) PBT 120-125m exp. Friends Provident (Q3), Westbury (H1), WPP (Q3) |
Lockheed Martin, King Pharm., Verizon 13:30 Sep durable goods 1.0% exp. 15:00 Oct consumer confidence 79.1 exp. 19:15 Fed rate announcement 1.0% exp. |
Air Liquide, Saint Gobain, Interbrew, Merck 09:00 German Oct Ifo Index 91.5 exp. 09:00 EU Sep M3 y/y 8.4% prev. | ||||||
GUnilever (Q3) 1,200m exp. BHP Billiton (Q1) PBT $606m exp.Safeway (Trading), Abbey National (Trading) Scottish & Newcastle (EGM) to approve its 2.5bn sale of its pubs. 09.30 Sep net consumer credit 1.68 prev.
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Halliburton, Amerada Hess, Conoco Phillips, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, Chubb, |
France Telecom, Volkswagen, TeliaSonera | ||||||
Ex Dividend: Air Partner Plc (9.1), Alexon Group Plc (2.33), Ashtenne Holdings Plc (3.8), Balfour Beatty Plc (2.6), Basepoint PLC (0.5), British Polythene Industries (7), Christie Group Plc (1), Collins and Hayes Group PLC (1), Dechra Pharmaceuticals Plc (2.75), Dicom Group Plc (3.22), GlaxoSmithKline plc (9), ICM Computer Group Plc (2.15), Invox PLC (16), James Halstead Plc (10), Linx Printing Technologies (6.1), Lookers Plc (3.3), Maiden Group Plc (2), Manganese Bronze Hldgs Plc (2), Mcbride Plc (2.1), Novar Plc (0.03625), Proactive Sports Group Plc (0.065), Reed Health Group PLC (1.62), RMC Group Plc (9.4), Senior Plc (0.65), Sirdar Plc (4), Sygen International PLC (0.55), Thorntons Plc (4.85), Wetherspoon (J.D.) Plc (2.33), William Sinclair Holdings PLC (4.5) | ||||||||
ICI (Q3) PBT 96m exp. St James Place (Q3), Ashanti Goldfields (Q3)10:30 Oct GfK survey 3.0 prev. |
Comcast, Duke Energy, Exxon Mobil, 13:30 Q3 Employment costs 0.9% exp. 13:30 Initial jobless claims 385k exp. 13:30 Q3 personal consumption 6.4% exp. 15:00 Sep Chicago Fed 19:00 FOMC minutes |
Europe: Ericsson, Deutsche Bank, Alcatel, Aventis | ||||||
Autonomy (Q3)BHP Billiton (AGM) |
ChevronTexaco, JDS Uniphase, CIGNA 13:30 Sep consumer spending 0.1% exp. 13:30 Sep personal income 0.2% exp. 14:00 Oct NAPM-NY 14:45 Oct final Michigan sentiment 89.6 exp. 15:00 Oct Chicago PMI 55.0 exp. |
Metro, Fiat 11:00 EU Oct business climate 0.42 prev. 11:00 EU Oct business sentimen-9.0 prev. 11:00 EU Oct consumer sentiment 17.0 prev. 11:00 EU Oct economic sentiment 95.4 prev. 11:00 EU Oct flash HICP |
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Provisional Calendar For The Following Week 3rd - 7th Nov | ||||||||
ebookers (Q3), Ryanair (I), Thus Group (I) Pz Cussons (AGM) Manufacturing sector PMI (09:30) CBI monthly distributive trades (11:00) |
15:00 Construction Spending 15:00 ISM Index 17:00 Auto Sales 17:00 Truck Sales | |||||||
Carphone Warehouse (I), Kewill Systems (I) Marks & Spencer (I), Scottish Power (Q2) Tyco International (Q4), Minorplanet (F)Henderson Euro Trust (AGM), McBride (AGM) A&J Mucklow (AGM), Redrow (AGM), Clinton Cards (EGM) 24th Oil and Money Conference |
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AVEVA Group (I) Big Yellow Group (I), Electrocomponents (I) FirstGroup (I), MFI Furniture (I), Millennium & Copthorne Hotels (Q3) Pilkington (I), Shire Pharmaceuticals (Q3), Volex (I), Yates (I), Fenner (F)Goodwin (AGM), Redrow (AGM), Sygen International (AGM) JP Morgan Fleming Mid (AGM) Sept industrial/manufacturing (0930 GMT) CBI Small and medium enterprises survey (1100 GMT) NIESR GDP estimate (1300 GMT) Bank of England MPC meeting |
15:00 AM EST Factory Orders 15:00 AM EST ISM Services |
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Ex Dividend: AGA Foodservice Group (2.2), Abbot Group (1.4), Collins Stewart Tullett (2.5), DFS Furniture Company (17.0), Intertek Group (2.9), Laird Group (3.0), Marshalls (3.65), Matalan (2.7), St Ives (12.15), Taylor Nelson Sofres (0.95), William Hill (3.5) | ||||||||
BAA (I), Big Food Group (I) Boots Group (I), London Stock Exchange (I) Man Group (I), Scottish & Southern Energy (I), Signet (Q3), Sondex (I), Synergy Healthcare (I), Tate & Lyle (I), Telewest Communications (Q3) Punch Taverns (F), Sun Alliance Insurance (Q3)FW Thorpe (AGM), West Bromwich Albion (AGM)BoE interest rate decision (12:00) UK BRC shop price index |
13:30 Initial Claims 13:30 Productivity-Prel |
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QXL Ricardo (I), BT Group (Tentative) (Q2) Shire Pharmaceuticals (Tentative) (Q3)Invox (AGM), Pochin's (AGM) Quayle Munro (AGM), Thomas Walker (AGM)Q3 insolvency statistics (09:30) |
13:30 Average Workweek 13:30 Hourly Earnings 13:30 Nonfarm Payrolls 13:30 Unemployment Rate 15:00 Wholesale Inventories 20:00 Consumer Credit |
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Trading Thoughts & Week Ahead - Sunday 26th Oct |
We have a quieter week ahead with the main news coming from BP, Reuters, Unilever and ICI .MondayReuters reports Q3 figures which are likely to show a steep fall in quarterly revenues. Back in July they reckoned full-year sales would be down around 11% but they are desperately trying to cut costs to offset falling revenues. Its electronic brokerage subsidiary Instinet previously reported its first quarterly profit in two years after reducing overheads.Hometrack releases data on the latest house price figures on Monday.TuesdayBP reporting Q3 will have investors nervous after disappointing profits from rival Shell last week. Analysts still expect a 34% rise in pre-tax profits to about 1.81bn with production slightly ahead of last year. However currency movements and refinery downtime are likely to affect figures.Whitbread are expected to have a 5.6% rise in interims to 132m when it reports. The group is expected to confirm that its Beefeater, David Lloyd Leisure and Brewers Fayre performed well to offset a difficult time for the group's Marriott and Travel Inn hotel chains. There is a question whether they plan to acquire the Premier Lodges recently sold by Scottish & Newcastle. British American Tobacco is expected to post a small fall in Q3 to around 689m due to a reduction in US sales. This could possibly be offset by growth in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. They will also add figures from ETI, Italy's former state owned tobacco group which BAT bought over the summer.Bookham Technology also reports Q3 results which are expected to come in at around 30m. It has been expanding its non-telecom business which it hopes to contribute more than 20% of its business by this time next year. For the time being the Telecoms part of the company is expected to have mixed results. Peacock Group reports interims after recently saying that trading at both its Peacock and Bon Marche chain with a sales growth of over 8% and improved margins. Westbury house builder said in September that there were encouraging signs of a recovery in the South East but forecasts may now be influenced by the fears that the Bank of England may raise interest rates. In the US the FED meets with the market awaiting news on Interest rates and an assessment of the economy. No change in rates are expected at the moment.WednesdaySafeway is expected to report a slight improvement in sales but the market is going to be more interested in news on the takeover by William Morrison.Unilever recent profits warning will leave the market looking for a positive outlook when it unveils third quarter figures. Despite the slowdown they should still show a growth in profits to 1.2bn from 1.1bn despite its sales of SlimFast being hit by alternative diet plans. Other brands, such as Dove and Birds Eye are expected to have improved. BHP Billiton will give a further insight into conditions in the mining industry.ThursdayICI reports third-quarter results with profits around 96m expected down by more than a quarter on last year. There should be an improvement on its National Starch business but Quest's performance could prove to be a problem. Future profitability is expected to be improved by removing another 1400 jobs, reducing capital spending and a further disposal of assets. As nothing but excellent results lead to a rise in share price at the moment this could be a faller.GfK UK Consumer Confidence report is published on Thursday. Thoughts Last week I posted that the rally may have gone too far and too fast and we could have a test of its resistance point during the week. Looking at the chart above it is interesting to see that the 1 year uptrend has now split into 2 distinct 6 month channels. The FTSE testing support at this level is at a crucial point with any further falls suggesting a new floor of 4000 and a possible return to the 3 year downtrend. If so we could be looking at a fairly quick 20% fall on the markets with the possibility of a 'black' day. My own view is that we may have another rally on the markets but is definitely running out of steam with most good results at the moment leading to a fall in share price. As always I look forward to your thoughts and comments on the week ahead! David (Crocodile) David@SnappyTrader.com www.SnappyTrader.com All the above comments are purely a personal opinion and no investment advice is intended. Please do your own research. |
Sunday News Headlines 26th October Another Russian billionaire could take control of a Premiership football team, just months after Chelsea was brought by Roman Abramovich.The Independent on Sunday said Vladmir Potanin, an oil and mining magnate, is planning to buy into London rivals Arsenal. - Sky and Independant Cadbury Schweppes says it will outline a four-year plan for cutting costs and driving growth next week after admitting its cost base is "out of line". Reuters Russia's richest man arrested, ReutersWal-Mart Stores says it will review the status of its 1.1 million U.S. employees and fire any illegal immigrants on the payroll if U.S. law requires it. Canary Wharf will refinance its property portfolio to raise at least 1 billion pounds to return to shareholders if it receives no acceptable bids Police have snatched Russia's richest man, YUKOS oil tycoon Mikhail Khodorkovsky, from his jet in Siberia and have hauled him before a Moscow court, charging him with massive fraud and tax evasion. An interest rate rise is looking nearer as the latest figures on the British economy show continuing growth in sales. The economy grew 0.6% in the third quarter of the year, as expected. |
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SUNDAY TIMES Chelsfield offers funds a stake in buyout Quintain Estate FirstGroup vows to win train deal Wembley to kick off 1bn development AstraZeneca Lancet hit in drugs row BP, Shell Scottish business digest Manchester United How Magnier raced to his fortune Carlton Now City assassin knifes Allen Gresham consortium wins backing of UK bank British Airways Cassani throws a book at men who failed Go British Airways, BAA Ditch Stansted, airline chiefs tell Darling Granada Now City assassin knifes Allen Eircom staff to be offered 120,000 golden goodbye Tesco Scottish business digest |
Sharewatch: Glaxo Smith Kline Paramount Directors' Deals: Restaurant boss serves up a share sale Secrets of the shareholder coup that ousted Carlton's Green Carlton, Granad How ITV's big drama unfolded Bank of Ireland Sharewatch: Airlines still grounded but get ready for take-off Granada, Carlton Its only a matter of time before Allen goes Profile: John Magnie rManchester United Judgment Day: RMC SMG Sharewatch: Prime time for TV British Airways : Airlines still grounded but get ready for take-off Earl prepares to go as her Debenhams dream dies Thousands of Cadbury jobs to go Scotland: Bad views on Indigovision |
SUNDAY TELEGRAPH Murdoch heads BSkyB shortlist of two Leeds suffers worst annual loss Canary Wharf plans to raise 1bn Carlton, Granada Allen survived 'by pure chance' Centrica in fresh attack on BT |
Granada, Carlton Assassination St Granada, Carlton Bloodlust after Bolton's clean kill BSkyB City comment: Leighton in the wings Granada, Carlton Revolution, what revolution? |
SHARES in Amec, the diversified engineering and services group, have fallen from 288p to 260p over the past two months. The slide follows a warning in August that lower capital spending by its biggest clients had depressed profits and recently by Jarvis's decision to pull out of rail maintenance. Sentiment in the sector was further hit last week by Network Rail's decision to take the work in-house. But the impact on Amec of that move is likely to be small. Buy. THE value of London-listed miners that are active in Russia has soared over the past year driven by the rising price of gold and a growing view that the country is an attractive place to invest in natural resources. This week a prospectus* is to be published on Trans-Siberian Gold which is due to float on the Alternative Investment Market. It is expected to debut at about 200p. Mining companies are risky but this one could be worth a look. | |
OBSERVER Chorion hopes Noddy toy deal will ring the right bells Capital pain as Heart attacks Anglo American Winnie joins in lawsuit battle Reuters in rival's sights as revenue slumps Diageo whisky plan turns sour Barclays Barrett's head could yet roll Granada, Carlton Allen has until July to fix ITV BSkyB rebels in fresh attack on execs Leeds in record football loss for second year Amec bids for 1.5bn Iraq contract |
Granada, Carlton City scores direct hit on Green BT seeks fresh supply of oxygen Atkins diet craze eats into Unilever profits Telewest Do the cable firms have enough fibre? Carlton, Granada Shareholders doing the dirty work Greene King Brewing up taste for success BT Broadband: a new world of riches Reuters hits fast forward to catch up with the 'geeks' |
SUNDAY MAIL 10m cash call by the City elite, Top four heading for AIM Leeds move to top of loss league, Soccer club could be 50m in red Eurolife losers counting the cost, Lavish parties and strip club champers Saga plugs 31m pensions gap, Group ups contributions to 15% Hutchings gears up for comeback, Eye on Bodycote takeover bid 10m float for 'shops in the sky', Opening doors to air travellers |
Leapfrog falls flat in a 'difficult year', Decision on future this year Branson phone deal to unlock 1.5bn, Control could follow German 'peace' BA. Souvenir sales power Concorde profit, Cufflinks, keyrings add up to 25m Wolseley bosses take pay cuts Record profits at Plumb Center firm |
Carlton is considering pulling out of the planned 4.5bn merger with fellow TV giant Granada after the dramatic coup against its boss, Michael Green. Home loan rates on the way up Buyers may face extra 88 a month |
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INDEPENDENT Granada, Carlton Top ITV job touted two weeks ago BAT defies court over 'confidential' files Brokers who floated Collins Stewart make surprise exit As clocks go back, BP's hour has come BP The Top Brass: The 10 leading figures in the pharmaceutical industry |
Football - Leeds tops the losers' league to the tune of 80m Celltech, GlaxoSmithKline The 10 leading figures in the pharma industry AZN, Powderject The 10 leading figures in the pharma industry |
SCOTLAND ON SUNDAY Arriva aims to maximise customer benefits Granada Greg Dyke tipped for top job at merged ITV Airline apoplexy as Ryanair boss tells Cassani where to Go Investors keen to see if ICI is close to completing Quest for improvement Forth Ports snub leaves shipping body all at sea Marks & Spencer Group Buyers eye up Safeway pickings Granada, Carlton chief in spotlight after ousting of Carlton boss |
John Wood Group urges PM to reject EU's draft energy policy RBS forecasts global growth to soar in 2004 Heat turned up on Kingston Comms sale Carlton Popularity supports First choice Pubmaster looks to flotation after Punch takeover offer falls well short of 'fair value' BP pumps up the profits but dividend may be hit by weak dollar |
SUNDAY EXPRESS SHARES in Punch Taverns have doubled from their lowest level but there is still value to be had. It floated last May and had a torrid time trying to explain its business model to the City, but those concerns have been addressed and and it should close the gap on its rival Enterprise Inns. Buy at 332p. THINGS could be looking up for news and data provider Reuters. Most of its revenues come from City banks and newspapers, two sectors that have been in the doldrums for years. But business is beginning to pick up for both sectors and that should help Reuters recover. Buy at 234.5p. NO LONGER just a maker of luxury cookers, Aga Foodservice is now a diversified food equipment business that is well positioned for growth at home and overseas. Yet the group's share price has underperformed the market and the engineering sector in the past year. Buy at 235p. |
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INVESTORS CHRONICLE Tips: Buy Northern Rock (NRK) at 744p, Rugby Estates (RES) at 258p, GB Group (GBG) at 19.5p, Bizspace (BIZ) at 37p, Gibbs & Dandy (GDYO) at 305p. Sell Trinity Mirror (TNI) at 558p.Tip Updates: Buy Northern Recruitment (NRG), Sage (SGE) high enough, Alliance Unichem (AUN) fairly priced.Company News: Sell WH Smith Group (SMWH). |
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SHARES MAGAZINE Plays of the Week: Buy DDD Group (DDD) at 44.5p, Mayflower Corporation (MFW) at 34.5p, Fortune Oil (FTO) at 2.35p, BioProgress (BPRG) at 54.5p, Armour Group (AMR) at 48.5p. Updates: Sell Toad Group (TOA), Zoo Digital (ZOO) (or hold), Croda International (CRDA), Newcastle United (NCU). Interactive TV Shares to Watch: Buy BSkyB (BSY), YooMedia (YOO), Music Choice Europe (MUS), Telewest (TWT), Emap (EMA). |
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