Crocodile
- 27 Nov 2003 23:47
Premarket Futures |
FTSE +3 |
DAX +1 |
DOW -2 |
S&P +1.4 |
Nasdaq +1.5 |
News: |
Sorry Your browser is not java capable
|
|
The rise in British house prices slowed this
month to1.2 percent in November, below the two percent recorded in October,
reducing the annual rate of increase to 15.2 from 16.1 percent.
Japanese data cast doubt on the economic recovery with lower production
figures, increasing unemployment & a fall in spending.
Telecom Plus (TEP) posted a 96 percent rise in first-half
profits to 4.9 million pounds and said it was confident about the future as
it added more customers. The firm, which supplies utility services such as
gas, telephone and Internet access, said its customers had increased in the
six months to September 30 by 26,000 to 160,000. The firm raised its interim
dividend to 4.5 pence per share from 2.5p.
Anite say conditions still tough but figures will be
in line with expectations.
|
 |
Calendar:
United Kingdom |
|
 |
United States
(GMT) |
|
 |
Europe & World (GMT |
|
|
1:30 Average Workweek
1:30 Hourly Earnings
1:30 Nonfarm Payrolls
1:30 Unemployment Rate
15:00 Factory Orders
20:00 Consumer Credit |
|
ThePlayboy
- 28 Nov 2003 07:14
- 2 of 23
Updated 11/26 for Friday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 11/28
UP Above 9,800
DN Below 9,715
Expanding Range
Dow forms expanding range. Watch boundaries.
From prior commentary, "...the Dow has formed an upward-sloping consolidation at the highs, which could be bearish. A downside break from the pattern at 9,730 could spark another push down within the wide trading range, seen in the 60 Minute Chart. Moreover, we could see a slight pull-back due to the Holiday-shortened week..."
The Dow broke the lower boundary of its pennant consolidation seen in the 15 minute chart this morning, and traded lower to support at 9,715. It then reversed off that level and traded higher to the Close, forming an expanding range.
The index continues to hold its ground at the highs in a trading range, which could lead to a continuation move higher. An upside break through 9,800 could push the index higher to its next major resistance level at 9,900. The index has not been able to rise above this level. Any break through it will be a strong indication of further upside movement.
In general, we are seeing expanding ranges on all three indexes. Expanding ranges are typically unstable patterns. Since the Dow is hovering below its major 9,900 resistance level, a downside break through the lower boundary is likely. In addition, the index has formed a tight pennant consolidation in the 15 minute chart off support.
A break through the lower boundary at 9,775 will likely spark a move lower to support at 9,715. This is the most likely scenario if the index is to make a move on Friday. Currently, our expectation is to see a sideways market due to the shortened trading day and holiday weekend.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow has formed a trend line across the lows of the up move off support seen in the 5 minute chart at 9,776.5. Watch for a break through this level to indicate a short term move lower.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we closed our Longs at 9,730 for 33 points profit. We entered Short at the same level but were stopped out. Therefore, we are currently out of the market and will watch 9,800 up and 9,715 down, with 20 point stops.
NASDAQ & S&P
The S&P mirrored the Dow today and broke the lower boundary of its downside pennant consolidation, but traded higher to the close, forming an expanding range. The NASDAQ gapped and dropped this morning, but pulled up off its lows to close in positive territory. Watch the range boundaries tomorrow. *
Summary
The Dow broke the lower boundary of its downside pennant consolidation this morning and traded lower to support. It then reversed off that level to form an expanding range at the highs. We are currently out of the market and will watch 9,800 up, and 9,715 down on Friday.
FRIDAY FTSE PP
R2 4407
R1 4384
PP 4367
S1 4344
S2 4328
Ftse close was below Thu pp after gaining 2.8pts in the auction. 2 day chart looking to brk out of downtrend at 4365 to open up 4380/90 zone, if Thu lows are breached sup at 4330 (s2)!
Crocodile
- 28 Nov 2003 07:38
- 3 of 23
Morning all
Druid2
- 28 Nov 2003 07:40
- 4 of 23
Morning folks.
Melnibone
- 28 Nov 2003 08:40
- 5 of 23
Morning all,
These volumes are a joke. I've got FTSE 100 shares on my
monitor with zero trades.
It just goes to show how the UK market is the US markets
poodle.
May get a pick-up from comatose to tortoise speed this PM
but I wouldn't put money on it.
I've heard a few traders say not to short the market on the
last Friday of the month due that's when some laggard funds
put the last of this months money in the market.
Don't know if there is any truth in this, but it's worth bearing
in mind.
Melnibone
Douggie
- 28 Nov 2003 09:08
- 7 of 23
mornin all
Crocodile
- 28 Nov 2003 10:57
- 9 of 23
Its sooooooo quiet this morning.
Little Woman, will come back to you regarding that EmailD,
Melnibone
- 28 Nov 2003 15:30
- 13 of 23
Snap, little woman.
Just got back from Wickes with all the wood and stuff
for my DIY project this weekend.
Has anything actually moved more than a smidgin?
Might as well catch the last hour and see if any
opportunities appear.
Melnibone
Melnibone
- 28 Nov 2003 15:37
- 14 of 23
I see the Bears are having to fight to keep MKS below
the 269/270p support area.
If you look at the chart above, the heavier volume is
on the up moves.
Melnibone
stockbunny
- 28 Nov 2003 15:44
- 15 of 23
MKS and LLOY seem to be hemmed in at certain levels currently, but
you are quite right Melnibone it appears to be a struggle keeping
them there - one good push and either could 'deliver' (!)
Melnibone
- 28 Nov 2003 15:57
- 16 of 23
Ref MKS, from what I read around various boards there
seems to be a short interest.
Conversely, this could be could for the stock. If the
Bears can't frighten holders into selling out then their
fur will get burnt as they squeeze the price higher when
buying back aided by the Bulls buying into a rising stock.
Time will tell who wins the battle.
Melnibone
Melnibone
- 28 Nov 2003 16:13
- 17 of 23
Well, that's rounded the day off nicely.
Just had a nice little scalp when LGEN went
down to 100p.
Must have held the position for all of 15mins. Lol.
I lurrrve this margined trading. :-)
Melnibone
Druid2
- 28 Nov 2003 16:18
- 18 of 23
EZJ tipped in today's Investors Chronicle page 33. Wish my ETL would go up a bit- were ok but slipped back a bit.
Melnibone
- 28 Nov 2003 16:30
- 19 of 23
I see that the FTSE turned back down when the
S@P failed to move on through 1060 and the DOW
failed to move on through 9800.
We really need the US markets to make a move
on 1070/9900 respectively for FTSE stocks to
advance.
Maybe next week.
Melnibone
optomistic
- 28 Nov 2003 17:00
- 21 of 23
Tax question please. How does the Inland Revenue treat capital gains on 'short term' trades when longer term holdings in the same stock remain held? I ask this question because I forsee the likelyhood of me being in that situation. Thanks in anticipation.