ThePlayboy
- 19 Feb 2004 07:11
- 4 of 13
Updated 2/18 for Thursday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 2/19
UP Above 10,750
DN Below 10,640
Pull-Back
Dow pulls back off highs; still below key resistance.
From prior commentary, "...the Dow is holding beneath the clear 10,750 resistance level...we may see sideways movement at the highs until a break either way is seen. Such is usually the case after a big move..."
The Dow continues to hold beneath the clear 10,750 resistance level, as the index pulled back slightly of yesterday's highs, as seen in the 60 Minute Chart. The index declined 43 points, but remains within a wide range at the highs below resistance.
Look for the index to continue trading within the range boundaries of 10,640 and 10,750 until a major break occurs. A break from this range will likely spark a solid move in the direction of the break. A break through resistance will extend the current upmove, while a break below 10,640 will push the index back toward 10,500.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow has broken the lower trend line that has formed beneath the lows of the late-day upmove, seen in the 1 Minute Chart. The break at 10,675 implies weakness for tomorrow's Open.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we closed Longs this morning at 10,706, giving us a 4 point loss for the prior trade. We later entered the market Short at 10,696, but were stopped out. We later re-entered Shorts at 10,680, but stopped out at breakeven by applying the Breakeven Rule. A 'whipsaw' day.
We are now out of the market and will watch 10,640 down, and 10,750 up, with 20 point stops.
NASDAQ & S&P
The NASDAQ showed the most overall strength of the indexes today, while the S&P mirrored the Dow's weakness for much of the session. Continue to watch resistance tomorrow, using the level as a fulcrum. *
Summary
The Dow trended lower for much of the session today, losing 43 points by the close of the market. The index continues to hold beneath key resistance, which hints at weakness in the near term.
ThePlayboy
- 19 Feb 2004 07:11
- 5 of 13
FTSE PP FOR THU
R2 4478
R1 4460
PP 4452
S1 4434
S2 4426
Ftse closed above Wed pp! Futs weak after close even with dow above 700! trendline across the lows could be a target for 4430 on Thu unless we brk above 4450 to tgt 65 again imho!
Melnibone
- 19 Feb 2004 09:26
- 9 of 13
Morning all,
No posts or trading for me yesterday. Fitted the new washing
machine. When you disturb 12yr old water pipe connections
the inevitable happens. Had to go and get some new seals
and PTFE tape.
Never mind, Mrs.Melnibone is happy again.
Can't say the same for the spider. :-)
FTSE seems on fire this morning. Wonder if we'll go for a triple
top above 4500 if the US comes good later today?
At least we're getting some movement at last. Still would have
been happier seeing 4330 tested on that last dip, not convinced
about this at all, but you have to trade what you see.
Snoball showed that with his DOW trades whilst the Bears were
getting their fur singed.
Melnibone.
Melnibone
- 19 Feb 2004 10:09
- 10 of 13
Took small profit on SHEL again when the FTSE seemed to stall
at 4500.
Taking a chance that even if we do move higher today, that there
will be some profit taking prior to the US open and the initial
1330 hrs US job figures.
Melnibone.
Fundamentalist
- 19 Feb 2004 10:26
- 11 of 13
LW - when looking at profit to use for EPS/PE ratio basis, do you include or exclude exceptional items? Just I have had a difference of opinion with someone on this and would appreciate your views or anyone else
thanks
stockbunny
- 19 Feb 2004 11:51
- 12 of 13
Curious isn't it?
MLC offer up some rotten results and cut the divi, which was
widely expected to do the lead balloon routine to the share price
if they did and lo and behold the price is rising not dropping....
Such are the strange eccentric motions of share trading!!!!