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Jarvis will Survive (JRVS)     

inbsuk - 15 Jul 2004 00:35

Forward looking and dedication will make "Jarvis" a name to remember. IMO

inbsuk - 15 Jul 2004 00:39 - 2 of 172

Good news will be out soon and the share price will rocket.
SP 37pence will be history.

apple - 15 Jul 2004 00:53 - 3 of 172

It deserves to die!

torquay - 15 Jul 2004 13:25 - 4 of 172

It's died but won't lay down.

inbsuk - 16 Jul 2004 23:57 - 5 of 172

Watch Jarvis SP on monday...50p+
Result brought forward and will be announced on monday, must be good news.

hangon - 20 Jul 2004 17:55 - 6 of 172

inbsuk - there have been no results and the SP is down again. I can't see any part of this barrel of mixed donkeys having any realistic value. Whatever they turn their hand to: Rail or Housing seems to result in a large gaping hole - they can't turn in a profit.
If that's the perception, then why would anyone do a deal with them that is hugely profitable - well, because they don't need to.
I sold out at 70p for this reason. To hold an investment, there has to be some value lurking there, something that can create wealth. In this case it's a smelly pile of do and I don't want that do and neither should you.
This parrot is dead.All IMHO.

inbsuk - 20 Jul 2004 21:06 - 7 of 172

hangon-
i will hang on little bit more and hopefully it will recover. patient .
i am sure i will not lose. IMO

hannibal - 22 Jul 2004 13:08 - 8 of 172

At the current price (39p) I think this is a major buy opportunity. The risk of bankrupcy has receded and there doesn't seem to be a fire sale of assets. Clearly there are management issues to be resolved but the basic business is probably solid, if unexciting.

I would guess the price at over 1 when the results are published and digested.

Hannibal

inbsuk - 25 Jul 2004 10:11 - 9 of 172

Watch JARVIS share price will fly from tomorrow. around 1.50 within next few weeks. AIMO

July 25, 2004

Sale plan to save troubled Jarvis
Dominic OConnell

JARVIS is poised to stave off collapse this week by engineering a standstill agreement with its banks and outlining a sell-off plan to raise cash.

Profit warnings, hefty write-downs and management reshuffles have hit its share price and led to a breach of banking covenants.

But the support-services group is expected to allay investors fears of a wipeout when it publishes long-delayed annual results and a strategic review this week. This is likely to include a standstill deal with its lead banks, Royal Bank of Scotland and Barclays, and the outline of a plan to raise cash from disposals. There will also be another hefty write-down, expected to be a hit of 115m on the value of accommodation contracts.

The key disposal will be the sale of its one-third stake in Tube Lines, a company that maintains part of Londons Tube network. Kevin Hyde, the chief executive who has led the restructuring efforts, is expected to say that the company is in talks with a bidder.

Bankers estimate that the sale could raise as much as 120m, but about 60m will have to be held back to meet Jarviss funding commitments to the Tube Lines consortium.

Other businesses that may be up for grabs include the European arm of its road-services business, which could raise 25m, and its specialist rail repair plant arm. A property sale could raise between 10m and 15m.

If Jarvis is able to emerge intact from the restructuring, one big winner will be K-Capital, an American hedge fund that has built up a 25% stake in Jarvis in the past few weeks.

Kivver - 26 Jul 2004 14:51 - 10 of 172

Well done inbsuk, looking good this morning.

ateeq180 - 26 Jul 2004 16:40 - 11 of 172

Good day for jarvis holders,inbsuk your prediction was right,looks as though it might get to 60-75p,after the news of morgan stanley interested in some shares.

inbsuk - 26 Jul 2004 16:44 - 12 of 172

Thanks all.
A lot more to come... I am looking atleast a 1+ very soon. Jarvis will settle down nicely.AIMO

hannibal - 27 Jul 2004 10:18 - 13 of 172

Intersting comment from Reuters (via Yahoo)

(was my previous contribution deleted?)

Jarvis strategy, bank deal extension due this week
By Gerard Wynn

LONDON, July 26 (Reuters) - Struggling British engineering and services firm Jarvis (LSE: JRVS.L - news) plans to release delayed year-end results and a strategic review on Thursday, a source close to the company told Reuters on Monday.

The company has breached debt covenants and has until the end of the week to agree a credit extension with its banks. Its battered shares rebounded more than 30 percent on Monday to 53 pence following Sunday press reports that the banks looked set to grant an extension.

The extension is necessary, because reducing debt levels is contingent on disposals the timing of which is not predictable. Jarvis is looking for a buyer for half its stake in a public-private partnership consortium to upgrade London's underground railways.

"The company is satisfied it is making progress on the London Underground deal, but we're not expecting anything definitive on Thursday," a source familiar with the situation said on Monday.

Jarvis provides services locally and nationally under the government's private finance initiative (PFI) programme under which it bids for projects such as building schools, provides university student housing and install new railway tracks.

Mounting financial woes, which include two profit warnings this year, pushed its debt to 230 million pounds ($423.2 million), which breached bank lending covenants and led to the banking waiver extension deadline of July 31.

The company lost over half its market value on July 2 after it warned of write-offs -- saying these could exceed 115 million pounds -- and that it would not pay a final dividend for 2004.

U.S. fund K Capital Partners LLC has built up an equity stake in the company that now tops 25 percent, the threshold required to block a capital restructuring such as a capital increase or debt-for-equity swap, one turnaround investor said.

K Capital Partners declined to comment.

Jarvis debt has not traded in the past week, one London-based trader said on Monday. A week ago, bids amounted to around 80 percent of face value, a second trader said.

------------

Clearly K-Capital are the guys to watch. They seem to have built up their stake at around 40-70p. I don't expect they will hang around too long but with such a big stake they won't be able to sell off so quickly. This means we might expect the price to shoot up and then plateau?

Hannibal

corehard - 28 Jul 2004 16:09 - 14 of 172

Hi to all !
Forgive my ignorance but isn't major shareholding by Morgan Stanley a bit worrying ?
Would appreciate any comments....

hannibal - 02 Aug 2004 15:01 - 15 of 172

Oh dear, terrible results - I've sold off!

jasonwalt - 03 Aug 2004 13:46 - 16 of 172

Wise move hannibal, I managed to make on these after buying at a low of 28p and sold at 42p (wish i'd hung on a bit and sold at 58p) but I think it will be a while before we see another rise in the price. I may wait for it to creep back down to approx 32p and then re-asses the possibiities, impossible to put a value on the company in its current state. I hope the management can put some value back into the company but I'm not sure the current team have the skills.

hlyeo98 - 04 Aug 2004 12:29 - 17 of 172

It is a sell (advised by Evil Knieval yesterday). Price now : 40p

georgeski - 05 Aug 2004 20:17 - 18 of 172

I wouldn't listen too much to EK ( Simon Cawkwell )
Ask him how his short on TDM is doing!

1704 - 12 Aug 2004 18:48 - 19 of 172

inbsuk - 12 Aug 2004 20:52 - 20 of 172

Expecting Assets sale news/contract win news.

1704 - 13 Aug 2004 11:04 - 21 of 172


It is not looking as if Jarvis will survive its numerous debt problems unless the Management Team is drastically changed. The present team do not seem to have the necessary skills or competence to turn this company around.

Personally I would not think about investing in this company again unless the share price dipped to less than 18p. Unless the Senior Management Team is changed immediately my advice would be to sell what remainder holding you have in this stock and look elsewhere to pick up other stocks that have a future and but are selling at lower prices due to over selling in this bearish market.

Personally I sold my holding in Jarvis immediately after the recent results.
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