moneyplus
- 07 Jan 2006 14:47
For 2006 I have been reasessing my investing ideas to try to be more successful.
Last year I took small profits from a wide range of shares and missed out on some huge rises, made some large losses on the duds by not getting out soon enough-then some recovered!! one or two have gone bust and one or two like NLR have rewarded me well and kept me solvent. However some of you are obviously doing far better than me so I thought I'd change methods--any tips welcome. This year I'm going to look for shares with a smaller spread and limit the number so that I can buy say 50k then move in and out as the sp changes-I don't feel confident with spreadbetting but this seems the buy method closest to it-if it pays off I shall have to pay the CGT without complaining.
Lots of methods coming in
1 Good Stock Selection-research buy and hold. instinct and luck applies here too
2 Capital Preservation-by using stop losses.
3 Instrument selection--CFDs and Spreadbets
4 Buy high risk shares for possible higher rewards.
5 Position sizing- hold enough to trade profitably.
6 Margins--choose shares with a narrowish spread or you wait for a big rise before you make any profits.
Is this a good summary Gausie?
jimward9
- 07 Jan 2006 15:23
- 2 of 34
Sound about right to me Moneyplus.
Several years ago I worked for a company, if a job had to be done, we did it we all went out of our way to get it done.
When the bad times came, they dumped us. No Loyalty to their men (they were right)
So do not have any for them, make them pay.
If the news is good Buy and when they go up sell, do not look back and think if I waited another day, I could have made x more, keep a eye on them for the next time to move in. good luck for 2006.
moneyplus
- 07 Jan 2006 15:45
- 3 of 34
cheers jim-I'll keep you posted! made 1k in VOG this week but I'm looking to buy back in as they continued to rise and long term this is an exciting prospect.
Kivver
- 07 Jan 2006 16:41
- 4 of 34
No expert by a long way and only do it for fun but realising more and more that very few get rich quickly. Research and patience has proved again and again to make good progress takes time. My god its boring though. I'm now going to put a big percentage of my investment into solid shares that will hopefully provide some growth and excellent dividends. Catching the eye at the moment are Tesco, National Grid, Water Companies, Vodafone, Rolls Royce and Bae Systems. Then put a smaller amount say 25% into shares which have hopefully been oversold and some speculative shares. This approach also means you dont have to spend half of your life staring at he screen!
moneyman
- 07 Jan 2006 17:23
- 5 of 34
CSV can make for good trading.
Technotamed
- 07 Jan 2006 18:15
- 6 of 34
I have only been investing in shares since October 2005 and my trading method is this. I tend to wait until a share price has risen at least 10% before jumping on, this avoids any what I call noise (price variations). Also I prefer that the share has bottomed out for a couple of weeks and that there is news to justify the rise in value.
To avoid jumping off to early and loosing any potential further gains or loosing gains already made I set a Stop Loss 10% below what I have made so far. The Stop Loss is set for say 1 week so I can move this level upwards to protect further gains made.
Remember that with any gains there will be profit takers along the way, so make sure these people don't make you jump off to early. The Victoria Oil and Gas shares are a good example, look at the steps where the drop seems to last 5 days before the price goes up again.
If you are dealing in penny shares (under 50p each) then it may be a good idea to increase the 10% to 20% (perhaps even 30%) because these shares are more volatile.
Another trick is to search Google for companys who has issued Profits warnings so 6 months earlier as companys seem to recover after about this time. But only if no other profits warnings are issued later on.
I also check www.britishbulls.com but again this site seems to work better for higher priced shares, it is useless for penny shares.
I also find a weekly magazine such as Shares useful for trading ideas and news.
These are my tips from my very short trading experience and welcome any thoughts and any possible flaws in my ideas.
Big Al
- 07 Jan 2006 21:05
- 7 of 34
Take care of the losing positions, i.e. lob them, and leave the winners to run, raising a trailing stop as you go. It's simple, but will inevitably make you money even if less than half of your picks go your way.
Forget concentrating too much of a holy grail at picking things. That helps, but "the market can stay can stay irrational far longer than you can stay solvent" - great quote and don't forget it (thanks to Hil for bringing that to my attention again)
Al
;-)
Oh, and get up early to read the news at 7am every day without fail! ;-0
AndrewThomson77
- 07 Jan 2006 23:30
- 8 of 34
Look for companies whose business you can understand fully.
Like most people, I work for a living and know my own industry well, however many of the companies I invest in are from industries that I do not know in as much detail. I therefore try to go for smaller companies with reasonably simple business plans, so I can work out what is going to affect their profits.
How do I identify good candidates? Personally, I look for recent news releases, which often provoke a jump in the share price and put the company among the top twenty in 'daily risers' lists. I then read the news, if it takes my interest, I research the company and potentially invest. Anything that I like and can understand, I keep on my watchlist. A recent example is VOG, which you mentioned earlier.
In addition, I use chart analysis to work out when a good time to buy/sell would be. My preference is for a combination of Bollinger Bands and RSI. Things like moving averages (to see overall trend up/down) and volumes also help.
Oh... and don't get sentimental with shares - if its going down and down, it may never bounce. Better to take the loss on the chin and invest in a better company.
jimward9
- 08 Jan 2006 11:58
- 9 of 34
AT77
I like to add MACD, FAST STOCHASTICS and OBV + yours to help time entry / exit points
hewittalan6
- 08 Jan 2006 12:04
- 10 of 34
I'm a simple bloke and my trading starts from the following questions.
What products are the parents at school and the blokes in the boozer talking about?
Who then, will profit from that?
Which shops are full and what are people buying?
When I work out which sectors are profiting from it, I look for a player with a low P/E and a decent dividend if possible. generally these will rise or be swallowed up by another player who is doing well from any upsurge as they try to consolidate their position.
Alan
moneyplus
- 08 Jan 2006 16:02
- 11 of 34
cheers all-I seem to use a fair amount of your methods but give in to boredom too early and lob them as big A says. no good at the technical stuff so I rely on this bb for that.
Gausie
- 08 Jan 2006 16:15
- 12 of 34
Get yourself on a course.
Big Al's approach makes sense - If you're a racehorse owner and some of your horses are winning whilst others are losing you obviously wouldnt sell the winners and keep the losers.
I use a slightly different approach - when I enter a position I set a target price and a stop loss price. If I add to the position I set new targets and stops, and often re-assess my existing target and stop at the same time. Plan the trade - then trade the plan.
Too many people focus on when and how to get in and have no idea of when and how to get out.
Check out www.glomtc.com - they run excellent money management courses - and the money management aspect of trading or investing is more important than the stock picking side. It takes an investing maturity to realise this - but once you've grasped it your whole style changes for the better.
Gausie
SueHelen
- 08 Jan 2006 16:56
- 13 of 34
Gausie the below comment from you is just hiliarous....shows your lack of understanding of how you interpret company RNS.
"They'll be bust within a few months".
If you took off those rose tinted spectacles for a moment and stepped into the real world you would see that DMR is a cash shell with 400-800K cash....16m worth of stone deposits and about to carry out an acquisition or reverse takeover subject to the factory sale. A new company will then be formed.
If there isn't a company at the moment then how the hell Gausie can it go bust. I would advice any investor on moneyam to take anything on any stock that Gausie may write with a pinch of salt. The poor bloke in his aura of deramping forgot to read the recent RNS's.
Gausie
- 08 Jan 2006 17:33
- 14 of 34
SueHelen - you appear to be cross-posting in contravention to BB Rules and standard netiquette.
Suggest u cease and desist unless you want to reduce your number of login names to three figures or less.
G
SueHelen
- 08 Jan 2006 17:38
- 15 of 34
Gausie......getting all touchy now......Ian will be more than happy to verify that I have only have and always have kept the one login ID.....not scared of the likes of you so why have more than one ID. I see you have run out of sentences to write so you posting pretty pictures on my thread now.
Someone would have thought you've made your million now from the stockmarket the way you waste your time pouncing about.
Official to say Gausie has run out of sentences to aid his deramping.....bad luck....did think of you as dumb widt...always have.
gallick
- 08 Jan 2006 18:37
- 16 of 34
I would recommend spreadbetting, and actually I reckon it is lower risk and cheaper than buying shares. Consider that you can diversify into currencies, commodities and indices as well as shares - thereby reducing risk. Also you can go short as well as long (what are you going to do with your share investments if markets start falling across the board - apart from sell everything). Added to that there is no CGT or stamp duty. You can also order trades in advance so that only when the sp hits your order level does the trade go live, so you let the market come to you.
In terms of risk it is easy risk manage - you can balance out the leverage by betting less (I bet so that the maximum potential loss on each trade is 4% of my bank-roll, and I limit my number of open or ordered trades to 12). You can also put in automatic stop losses, some of which are guaranteed.
Frankly I now much prefer it to buying shares.
regards
gk
Gausie
- 08 Jan 2006 18:39
- 17 of 34
I now know how it feels to be savaged by a dead sheep.
Swellen - why hijack this thread, which has all the makings of a fine educational and interesting strategy focussed discussion, when the board is already littered with your misinformed random jottings and lengthy cut-and-paste twaddle?
I Suggest we move this back to either
here or
here and let these good folk get on with making money.
Gausie
SueHelen
- 08 Jan 2006 18:42
- 18 of 34
I've squelched you now Gausie......it's not gonna do me any good reading any of ur posts.....after seeing your lack of knowledge now about things it's not worth reading anything you write.
Happy trading....if you every get time.
Happy pouncing around....if that is your new profession.
Try bringing the big boys in the dock.....
Gausie
- 08 Jan 2006 18:44
- 19 of 34
Gallick - agreed - it's worth looking at other instruments beyond shares. You suggest spread bets, but it's also worth looking at CFDs and also futures contracts and forex.
You also raise an essential money management issue with your 4%. Personally I see 4% as too high, and would recommend 2% or 3%. However, it is certainly an essential component of a well thought out strategy.
Moneyplus - perhaps you could edit the header to summarise the different components that are being discussed within the thread, all of which combine to form a proper strategy.
1) Stock Selection
2) Instrument Selection
3) Capital Preservation
4) Risk/Reward
5) Stop loss management
G
new boy
- 08 Jan 2006 20:59
- 20 of 34
I guys, i my self am a youny investor twenty four of age, have been interested in shares for quite a long time approximatly for about three years now, my beleif is that in order to make money you must know what its like to lose it and learn from it in the past i have invested in colt telecom, thus and intec the price went down and just sat on them hoping they would recover, thinking back i was young and nieve.
For the past tweleve on the net i have been researching and watching seeing trends of shares with there movements , and seen alot of people caught out with the hype of some of the bullitin boards.
What ever you do research is the key, i have been adopting a serve 7% stop loss cutting the losses and riding the bullish shares and never getting attached to any share, which were people go wrong
All traders lose money at some point, cut your losses and move on, always go with market sentiment, there is opportunity every were you look but not every one can see it.
Recently i purchased vog at 100p and stuck to my guns when the stop loss kicked in having sold at 133p made a nice profit, what i should have done is bought back in when they rose this is inexperience but you learn from it.
In this game never look back you only lose further opportunites which may arise, and hey banking a profit is better than a loss.
gallick
- 09 Jan 2006 09:46
- 21 of 34
>> gausie
Fair point you could reduce to 2 or 3% per trade, but that means that you may have up to 25 trades open or coming up. IMHO that is too many to keep track of. The 4% level would risk only 48% of your entire portfolio if everything went belly up.
rgds
gk