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Thomas Cook Group PLC (TCG)     

goldfinger - 03 Aug 2010 08:03

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=TCG&Si

Results out soon in August.

Broker recos look very bullish and why not on a P/E of just over 6 to 2011.....

Thomas Cook Group PLC

FORECASTS 2010 2011
Date Rec Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Panmure Gordon
02-08-10 BUY 319.00 27.10 11.30 338.00 28.70 12.40

Exane BNP Paribas
02-08-10 BUY 116.00 26.62 10.75 319.00 28.87 11.66

Numis Securities Ltd
02-08-10 ADD 324.20 27.60 11.25 357.10 29.90 11.81

Oriel Securities
02-08-10 BUY 330.40 28.40 11.40 363.50 31.30 12.10

KBC Peel Hunt Ltd
30-07-10 BUY 301.06 25.22 10.75 313.36 26.23 10.93

WestLB
30-07-10 SELL 28.81 11.52 29.91 11.96

Shore Capital
30-07-10 HOLD 312.00 26.50 11.80 347.00 29.50 13.00

Charles Stanley Securities
15-06-10 HOLD

Evolution Securities Ltd
11-02-10 None

Investec Securities [R]
09-02-10 BUY 327.00 27.30 11.74 352.23 29.39 12.49

Fyshe Horton Finney Ltd
25-01-10 BUY

Collins Stewart
24-12-09 BUY

Nomura Research Institute
25-09-09 RED

2010 2011
Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 316.42 26.98 11.36 342.50 29.39 11.96

1 Month Change 1.07 -0.22 0.01 3.43 -0.14 -0.14
3 Month Change -11.92 -1.09 -0.05 -11.79 -1.00 -0.44


GROWTH
2009 (A) 2010 (E) 2011 (E)

Norm. EPS 2.76% 0.38% 8.92%
DPS 14.03% 10.80% 5.26%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2009 (A) 2010 (E) 2011 (E)

EBITDA �574.90m �589.69m �613.90m
EBIT �372.50m �420.55m �447.05m
Dividend Yield 5.38% 5.96% 6.27%
Dividend Cover 2.62x 2.38x 2.46x
PER 7.10x 7.07x 6.49x
PEG 2.57f 18.55f 0.73f
Net Asset Value PS -240.80p 224.47p 240.43p

dreamcatcher - 05 Feb 2012 19:09 - 100 of 1559

Wednesday Feb 8 - • Following industry talk that the recently bailed-out Thomas Cook saw bookings plunge in January, the holiday company has the chance to set the record straight at its AGM. Analysts will also pay particular attention to any weakness in the cash-flows, given Cook was close to going bust before Christmas when it needed a £100m emergency bail-out. Any news on a new chief executive would be welcome. The day before Cook’s AGM, TUI Travel reports first-quarter results. Deutsche Bank is forecasting a first-quarter seasonal loss of £113m versus an £86m loss last year. Increased losses reflect weak demand for holidays to Egypt and Tunisia.

splat - 22 Feb 2012 16:20 - 101 of 1559

Going like a goodun today. Long at 15p

skinny - 22 Feb 2012 16:23 - 102 of 1559

RSI on viagra.

markymar - 23 Feb 2012 08:21 - 103 of 1559

Having another good start.

machoman - 29 Feb 2012 10:14 - 104 of 1559

Another good rise today and a further higher BREAKOUT

short sqeeze?

Most likely is a bear raid on the closing short positions ( sometimes you win, today you lose )

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=TCG&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=TCG&Si

machoman - 29 Feb 2012 10:32 - 105 of 1559

If one reads back just a bit, one reaches conclutions that should not be listen to.

Some would be better keeping their mouth SHUT

cookies are for a hungry man and one did not have to pay much to have a full " tummy "

I am not hungry any more, coz I am full of "cookies " worth a fortune today

just now 27.75p +4.75p

skinny - 29 Feb 2012 10:49 - 106 of 1559

Good luck with these - nice gap to be filled to @40p.

markymar - 29 Feb 2012 11:38 - 107 of 1559

Sold half as doubled my money already,wishing i had bought more now.

HARRYCAT - 29 Feb 2012 11:55 - 108 of 1559

Talk of TUI having a look.

machoman - 29 Feb 2012 11:59 - 109 of 1559

marky

I can see you were shaken by the sake

I am still holding the lot though I am tented to take some profits, most likely I will at some stage this week

Will the GAP 30 to 40p be tested at this stage or we will have to wait for another push on the future?
The volume gives the idea that it can be done at this stage.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=TCG&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=TCG&Si

markymar - 01 Mar 2012 08:56 - 110 of 1559

I guess i called it Right Master.......

machoman - 01 Mar 2012 11:56 - 111 of 1559

Well it all depends on what is right sell at 28p or sell at 29p and sell half or sell the the lot.

I sold the lot this morning @ 28,50p as the order book was not strong as yesterday and if the 30p were not broken then retracement had to happen

edit - both T+15 so I did not have to pay for them, closing positions with plenty days left

transco15 - 02 Mar 2012 10:46 - 112 of 1559

This is a typical dead cat bounce imho. The only way this company will survive is by having a huge fire sale and a huge rights issue. Todays shares are worth very little - 5p at best imho.

machoman - 02 Mar 2012 12:04 - 113 of 1559

marky

I am in again with two more lots

this is what I post earlier ...........


2 Mar'12 - 10:34 - 218 of 220 edit

TCG 19.75 / 20P

Had an AUCTION at this price and the order book has change to strong

After the large retracement 61.8% fibonacci, is ready for the turning


and then a bit later ...

2 Mar'12 - 10:53 - 219 of 220 edit
re - TCG

Yesterday's chart with Fibo at 61.8% was giving bounce at around 19.41p midle price the lowest price was 19.50 / 20p and then AUCTION.

p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=6RC6o4YgC3D%p.php?pid=staticchart&s=L%5ETCG&width=29

transco15 - 02 Mar 2012 12:10 - 114 of 1559

you are very very brave this could go belly up anytime.
short term couple of pence upside but its a long way down to 0 imho

machoman - 02 Mar 2012 12:12 - 115 of 1559

transco15

re - 5p

stop talking from your back side

Learn to value stocks and see what is next on their movement and then open your big mouth with something positive for a change, otherwise you give your OLD age away

note : old people tend to be negative

another note : speculate and acumulate is my way and it pays dividends well


and another note : I' ve been in this business long enough to know what I am doing

Shortie - 02 Mar 2012 12:33 - 116 of 1559

Sold out yesterday at 25p, looking for 18p to buy back in, L2 showing 3:1 buy v's sell orders.

transco15 - 02 Mar 2012 12:35 - 117 of 1559

Macho - man or mouse - No need to be offensive. A bounce at some time was to be expected - impossible for there not to be - however the company is still priced to fail and imho it will.
There heavy investments in the middle east are the biggest worry but basically people wont book with them for fear of losing there holiday after all the bad publicity.

transco15 - 02 Mar 2012 12:37 - 118 of 1559

p.s I predict a closing price of 19p or less today. imho

HARRYCAT - 02 Mar 2012 12:42 - 119 of 1559

machoman, you're a disgrace and bigot. About time you changed your attitude and learned from others.
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