Scripophilist
- 27 Oct 2004 23:40

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Iankn73
- 22 Mar 2007 22:54
- 10251 of 10502
I havent had much luck with the horses either. Initially as was going well based on the system Chartist had used then after feeling reasonably confident I decided to up the stakes (this was after a month or so). I upped the Back and Lay to 200 and hadnt taken into consideration the fact that my Lay may not always be taken by the market as this was never a problem with the smaller bets so the thought had never crossed my mind (naivity in my part!) so caught out on a few costly occasions. Oh well back to the drawing board.
Any other valuable suggestions gents (other than the obvious!!) lol
Cheers,
Ian
jbarlowffc
- 23 Mar 2007 15:23
- 10252 of 10502
After a heartstopping 2 minutes waiting for the other side of my 500 stake to match.. .I won 3. Get me a pint I guess. previous race I traded 5 times at 2 .. decided I was on to a winner and went for 200. Well yes it went tits up...and i didnt have time to recover.
Im gonna do this..
Go on course,read book
Practice on a hundred or so events with 2 stakes.
Take a long hard look at the Profit/Loss and decide if this is my bag after all
B-P
- 24 Mar 2007 10:12
- 10253 of 10502
jbarl,
Have a think about laying the draw at football ------ if a goal trade out --- will leave you to work out the possibility of 0-0 score and what to do ----- if any one asks me the question about what to do, I will not answer -- thats for you all to work out.
Fundamentalist
- 24 Mar 2007 10:36
- 10254 of 10502
BP
sounds dangerously like the FCG system and you need to pick and choose your games quite carefully doing this
ptholden
- 24 Mar 2007 11:17
- 10255 of 10502
Can't see the advantage of laying the draw at all (or backing), one goal and you're stuffed, trading out at a loss or hoping for an equaliser. Certainly I was always told that backing or laying the draw is the worse possible bet as there is no way to trade out without risking even more money (not that I haven't done so when watching a particular game).
Incidentally, not that I am bovvered, but always thought the idea of a forum (thread in this case) was to share information, not work it out ourselves!!
Photomad
- 05 Apr 2007 08:50
- 10256 of 10502
Anyone trading the golf?
Laid Tiger a few days ago @2.58 not sure when to back & green up.
P
ptholden
- 05 Apr 2007 09:07
- 10257 of 10502
You may never get the opportunity Photo, if he has a reasonable first round you're stuffed!
Photomad
- 05 Apr 2007 09:27
- 10258 of 10502
He's already out to 2.8 so can do it anytime.
Unlikely to shorten much in my opinion now with only a few hours to go and he's not starting until early afternoon.
compoundup
- 05 Apr 2007 11:26
- 10259 of 10502
Not trading the golf atm. When unable to watch the screen I would have a trailing stop in place. In this case, I'm not sure about greening at such a high price either. If Woods has a good first round you should be able to green at a better price. At least you are in a no-loss situation until you green-up.
IMHO the only advantage of greening at this sort of price so early in the contest would be to provide funds for laying off other competitors and retaining a no-loss p&l. This is not so applicable in golf as it is in e.g. football because the other players are at such long odds.
Looking at Woods' price chart, the curve is getting fairly flat now so covering at 2.82 looks like a wise move.
This is how I would trade it. No doubt others would do differently.
Photomad
- 05 Apr 2007 11:38
- 10260 of 10502
Thanks for your thoughts compoundup, I am definitely going to green-up b4 he starts his round as I think he is likely to win with the from he's in.
Also backed M Campbell @ 610 C Pettersson @720 & S Micheel @ 720.
Scripophilist
- 05 Apr 2007 13:00
- 10261 of 10502
Tiger seems very, very short for the Masters. He is priced pretty much at certainty and in golf nothing is certain. I'd start with a lay for sure.
Fundamentalist
- 05 Apr 2007 15:31
- 10262 of 10502
Scrip
will be trading the masters but wont get heavily involved till the weekend (unless Woods drifts heavily)
with regard to Woods, i think its something like 14 consecutive strokeplay events that hes traded at odds on in a row. would rather be a backer than a layer round augusta where on pure form lines he should be at best even money imo
Fundamentalist
- 05 Apr 2007 15:36
- 10263 of 10502
as far as alternatives to woods go, the 2 i quite liked at the prices were Stenson and Di Marco, tho would sway towards the without Woods market to back them
Fundamentalist
- 05 Apr 2007 15:39
- 10264 of 10502
Fundamentalist
- 05 Apr 2007 15:45
- 10265 of 10502
also a link to the live masters radio under "interactive" on that site for anyone trading in running
Fundamentalist
- 05 Apr 2007 15:46
- 10266 of 10502
If youre in the UK you can watch coverage of Amen corner via the BBC website
Fundamentalist
- 05 Apr 2007 15:57
- 10267 of 10502
http://www.sportsline.com/golf/masters/video
the above link gives live coverage of amen corner from now and also gives full live coverage an hour before it comes on the TV
mg
- 05 Apr 2007 18:48
- 10268 of 10502
Well I'm new to this business and have been having a few punts on the horses - which I know absolutely nothing about - and although starting reasonably well I started to lose so decided to have a look at the Masters.
Currently I lose if Tiger wins 'cos I've layed him at 2.8.
I've taken a relatively small punt on Ollie which I won't bother to cover but the nice one is Stenson where I backed him at 38 and have layed him at 15 - still stand to get a few bob if he wins.
All I need now is Tiger's odds to lengthen and I'll cover the loss ..... so if he starts storming I'm a loser but I would have thought he has to have at least one bad day ...... shurely :)
Scripophilist
- 06 Apr 2007 19:10
- 10269 of 10502
mg, if you laid tiger at 2.8 you are well in the money, he is at 9's currently.
Fundy, I take your point but only a few dropped shots at Augusta and you can drop well down the field. Be interesting to see how Rose gets on in the second round.
I'm green having traded out on Woods now so I will use some of the profit to lay rose. He's been here before but two good rounds at Augusta would be a surprise. Also I don't have anything to lose now.
ptholden
- 06 Apr 2007 19:19
- 10270 of 10502
Beginning to look like Laying Tiger was a good move, not a very good day yesterday and even worse today, although you never know. He's head and shoulders above the rest of the field most of the time, but anyone can have their day at a Major, you only have to llok historically at the no hopers who have won the Open. Personally I quite fancy Justin Rose if he can have a good round today, if not perhaps Vijay Singh.