Scripophilist
- 27 Oct 2004 23:40

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Iankn73
- 25 Sep 2007 19:33
- 10355 of 10502
Hi Peter,
Could you give any indication as to when your publisher will be releasing your book? as according to the Amazon site its due for release on 25th Oct, is this the case?
Thanks,
Ian
rbrownam
- 06 Oct 2007 16:58
- 10356 of 10502
The Betfair site is currently unavailable, due to technical problems. We apologise for this disruption to our service, and confirm that our Engineering Team is working to rectify the problems as quickly as possible.
Updates will be made to this page with additional information as and when it becomes available to us.
:-(
WOODIE
- 06 Oct 2007 17:02
- 10357 of 10502
again its time they got it sorted
WOODIE
- 06 Oct 2007 17:51
- 10358 of 10502
back uo now,went to betdaq still the same in running waste of time
ptholden
- 12 Dec 2007 19:34
- 10359 of 10502
Anyone still trying to make money out of the betting exchanges?
With football matches coming thick and fast now on TV I have been trading / betting on a regular basis over the last few weeks. Becuase I follow a lot of football I must admit most of my positions are taken from a 'feel' for how a particular match is going once in play and try to find value without getting greedy. My favourite matches tend to be those where a short favourite falls behind in the early part of the match. A great recent example was Barca v Deportivo, a wonder goal by Deprotivo in the first few minutes turned Barca's odds from 1.2 to 2.1 as the match progressed, at which point I backed Barca, a few minutes later the equaliser duly arrived.
Another example was Swansea v Horsham, initially Swansea's odds were 1.19 but after going 2-1 down had moved out to 1.6. Swansea pulled themselves together and led 4-2 at half-time. In my view that particualr game was always going to have goals and I also backed overs 3.5, a done deal after the first three goals arrived in three minutes!
It's quite interesting to read the BF Soccer Forum; I am staggered at the amount of posters who take positions on matches without doing any research or waiting for a game to even start, pure gambling. If you back 2.5 overs before a match between two evenly matched teams, you may well be disappointed; why not wait until the match gets going and then take a position?
I must admit I came very close to coming a cropper on the Liverpool v Marseille match last night, by laying overs 3.5 after L'ppol had scored twice. I always thought that there would be more goals in the game, but waited far too long before laying my bet off and greening up. In fact I actually had it in my mind that shortly before and after half-time are dangerous periods for teams to score and I should have acted on that thought. Once Liverpool has scored their third, I had to wait for about 30mins before my bet was once more back in the money and able to trade out for a profit. Somewhat nerve racking. However had I laid for overs 2.5 before the match, the bet would never have been in the money and would have been a losing position. By backing under 3.5 I at least gave myself some room for manoeuvre.
SOmething else I have been victim to is very very late goals. The last ten minutes can be a dangerous time to remain in a trade, but sometimes also quite profitable. Beware of those last minute goals, Celtic v Shaktar caught me cold, the last kick of the match, literally.
Just a few thoughts.
As far as tonight's games are concerned I won't be taking any positions before kick off, but at first glance I think Arsenal will be too strong for Steaua, although it depends on what side Wenger puts out. The odds are poor to back Arsenal so won't bother unless Steaua can score first.
Rangers' odds look quite enticing 3.15 to back with Lyon favourites, quite surprising considering Rangers beat Lyon 3-0 in an earlier match.
The Roma v Man Utd game is a mere formality and a dangerous game to take a position. Neither side need to win, albeit Roma may seek some revenge for their 7-1 stuffing last year, I would think Fergie will give some of his squad players a run out.
I think the Rangers match will hold the most interest for me and will be looking to back if they look like having a good game.
pth
Dil
- 12 Dec 2007 21:51
- 10360 of 10502
I'm still at it pt , scalping a few points here and there.
As you say the secret is looking for value and not being greedy.
Did your book ever get published Scrip ?
ptholden
- 12 Dec 2007 21:58
- 10361 of 10502
Rangers certainly didn't have a good game, but backed 2.5 unders initially and greened up shortly after HT. Laid Lyon in the second half only to see some French foreigner fail to equalise for Rangers from less than two yards in the middle of an open goal, hit the bar ffs!! Oh well I'm sure the woodwork has saved me a few times as well.
Scripophilist
- 14 Dec 2007 09:23
- 10362 of 10502
Greetings all, I was also on the CL's for the sake of aftertiming I backed unders on Arsenal and escaped at break even and laid the draw for Rangers.
I have had a busy year and my turnover on the exchanges is now millions a week. Coupled with investing this hasn't left me much time so new years resolution is to get a better balance back.
The book seems to drag on forever but I earn more in an afternoon that I will earn from the book so obviously my that determines where my effort is. It should have been out this Xmas as the text was handed over earlier in the year but thanks to Betfair SP etc it will now be re-written, again!
If anybody is interested we are about to release a soccer product, if you want a play with the beta, please get in contact.
scripophilist@yahoo.com
ptholden
- 22 Dec 2007 23:27
- 10363 of 10502
Interesting game tonight in La Liga: Real Zaragoza v Valencia
Zara traded at 1.04 to lay with nearly 15 mins to go when 2-0 up, a reflection of Valencia's poor form and recent problems. Effectively the odds represented a 'free bet' for anyone watching the game. Valencia outplayed Zara in the second half without threatening to score a goal, but if they did the bet would become totally free as odds of 1.04 wouldn't be seen again until the final minutes of injury time.
Happy days, Valencia managed to score the first and equalised with a fantastic second goal a few minutes later. 40 liability can return an awful lot of money on the exchanges..............sometimes :)
Happy Xmas fellow BEXers :))))
Scripophilist
- 23 Dec 2007 09:23
- 10364 of 10502
Well done, Backing late goals or laying leaders can produce spectacular results.
ptholden
- 23 Dec 2007 14:54
- 10366 of 10502
Decent lay Derby or back Newc opportunity after Derby managed to score only their second away goal of the season :)
chartist2004
- 13 Jan 2008 02:33
- 10367 of 10502
Hi you guys, Happy New Year. I came across the following site a few days ago, I have trialed the system myself, I won't comment on my results (yet) try it for yourself, post your results pls. Paper trade at first, and see how you get on.
The site is > http://www.inspyral.com/gdr/roulette.php
I only used VC casino (Casino 3)
Sign up and away you go.
Good luck - Mike...
Kayak
- 13 Jan 2008 10:19
- 10368 of 10502
This is just simply the Martingale system. It fails because of the chance of hitting zero and because of the finite limit on your stake and your stake will of course rise very quickly if you double it each time. The calculation on the site is correct but you would be very foolish to commit £500 (hopefully you haven't). Say you commit a more reasonable £80, the chance of losing it becomes 4.04% or more than 1 in 25.
That still doesn't sound like a lot but if you repeat the process say 10 times the chance of being wiped out (losing your entire deposit) is 34%, repeat it 20 times and it is 56%. In order to meet the minimum playthrough requirements for the bonuses you will need to wager at least a total of £750 or £5000.
Of course of the three casinos listed, only the Victor Chandler casino allows Roulette as a valid game for earning the bonuses. The others will not allow you to withdraw money until you have played it many times on far more risky games than Roulette. You would be extremely unlikely ever to see your money again. Always read thoroughly the terms and conditions of any promotion.
Also, the above assumes that the casino software is scrupulously fair. Many sites are not. While the total percentage payout is often correct and independently verified (if you believe it) what many sites do is to increase the chance of getting losing runs while keeping the overall chances the same. In other words you may well get many more small wins which encourage you to play more, but much more frequent losing runs which then wipe you out.
chartist2004
- 13 Jan 2008 18:13
- 10369 of 10502
Kayak. Thanks for your input.
My results 'playing for fun' from a starting bank of 1,000, after approx 3.5 hours (spread over 4 days) my balance is now 2,152.50.
Playing with my money this afternoon, from a bank of 160, playing for 30 mins my balance is now 220. Beginers luck a? I'll keep you all posted.
PS:- Kayak as I said play it yourself, let me know your results pls.
Mike ...
Exotoxin
- 13 Jan 2008 18:25
- 10370 of 10502
Can you tell us what your biggest bet was - after losing 7 times in a row for example, which surely happened at some point in all that playing time. You will likely have come up against a house limit to bet size. What did you do? If you did not get to such a point, then yes, it's beginner's luck, as that is where you will come unstuck eventually. Keep us posted.
chartist2004
- 13 Jan 2008 19:34
- 10371 of 10502
Exotoxin - My bigest bet playing for real was £32, lost 4 in a row twice. My stake was £2 at all times exept after a loss. Played 62 games in all 26 lost 36 wins.
Playing for fun 4 losses in a row 4 times, 6 losses in a row once Max house bet £100. (should have bet £160. but only bet £100.) Starting bet £5 - £10 - £20 - £25...
Cheers Mike...
B-P
- 05 Feb 2008 12:42
- 10372 of 10502
What odds are you guys laying for the year 2008 on the awaited book ??? by Mr P. Webb
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Sorry peter could not resist that, but as your turnover is now millions a week --- how about taking some time off (thats if you can afford to LOL ) and finish the book so that maybe this down and out can make a few ,s
B-P
- 12 Feb 2008 10:07
- 10373 of 10502
I see betfair have started a book (as you guys are so shy )
B-P
- 12 Feb 2008 10:09
- 10374 of 10502
.........................