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... u know what tabby , I starting to like you (meldex aside) ... :-)

Drink talking lol?

XFactor 9th elimination tonightthese are the up to minute odds:-
5/6 Olly.11/5 Danyl13/2 Stacey37/1 Josephif you were to couple Olly and Danyl to be eliminated tonighttheir odds represent 84.53% of the bookthe way I read tonight isSaturdays performances was nothing special by all four singersOlly has been in the bottom two for the last couple of weeksso the form is therebut?if you take into account he was a short priced fav. to win the competition four weeks agohe does have voters out there which might come back in his hour of need?Danyl is defiantly Cowells fav. and he does not hide this factthese comments do without doubt influence the young votersso with Joseph as safe as Dil being Welshthere could be value in a small punt on the ditzy Stacey13/2 in what effectively is a three runner raceis generous oddsI have to be honest and say I have two nice bets from the beginning on Danyl and Joseph[Joseph is 4/9 to win Xfactor] both at double figure oddswith Danyl being my better result no point in smashing in on Stacey tonightbut I have had a small puntno advice intended just a bit of fundyor

Next General Election - Overall Majority
Conservative Majority.4/9
Labour Majority..13/1
No Overall Majority16/5
Any Other Party Majority219/1

The Tories would need 325 seats to have an overall majority in 2010...a small swing as from now might decide the election result. If Labours achieve 30% of the votes and the Conservatives 40%we would face a hung Parliamentif they achieved 41%they would win with an overall majoritya hung Parliament is more than possible .May 2010 is 2/5 for the next General Election

The assumption that the general election will be on May 6 was jolted yesterday after a surge of bets on a March poll.

The speculation, inspired by Conservative politicians and commentators, caused Ladbrokes to stop taking money on a March 25 election date after dozens of three-figure bets. Many of them were placed in the Westminster area, according to the companys spokesman, David Williams.

The rationale behind the date is that it would remove the need for a pre-election Budget. A Budget cannot happen until three months after a Pre-Budget Report. A March 25 election would require Parliament to be dissolved within three months, ruling out a Budget.

The argument made by Conservative MPs and advisers was that with the public finances in a such a parlous state, Alistair Darling would have nothing to cheer with a pre-election Budget.

Nice result on x factor tabby ... been nibbling at Joe myself.

Much better than those poxy horses you gave us :-)

Good morning all DilI never gave you poxy horses!!!I know value at tissue pricewhen I gave value bets the SP was almost always very much shorter than when suggestedand that was after I had lumped on!the liquidity is a problem on exchangesand the big industry boys monitor for guidanceif the horse wonit was a Brucie bonus!your loss my friend
Congratulations to Joehis odds of 30/100 was a true reflection of his chancesalthough I had a nice punt on at double figure oddsI ended with 6/4 my total stakes.Danyl would have given me 13/2...I still maintain he was the most talented

Jeffthe General Election will be at the earliest May

The speculation, inspired by Conservative politicians and commentators, caused Ladbrokes to stop taking money on a March 25 election date after dozens of three-figure bets. Many of them were placed in the Westminster area, according to the companys spokesman, David Williams.
-----------------------------------------
Three figured betsas much as that? FFSBrown would want to buy as much time as possibleBritain is the only country in the G20 group of the world's most powerful economies still in recessionI know the guy is a 22carat twatbut take a punt while we are bottom of the heap?the budget will have many more twistsand even I would give him more credit than that.
This was a stunt by Ladbrokes to level their bookBetfair is the best guide
I always look for valueI cannot see any alternativesMay is a very good betJune is even a possibility over March?as I am on holiday during those two monthsmy attentions will be elsewhereNo Overall Majority @16/5 could be the betand possibly the best result for the Country.

Betfair site down until elevenwill post prices after.

Election Date - Month.May 1/2..March7/4June 17/1 . 18s bar

No Overall Majority 16/5..Conservative Majority 2/5..Labour Majority13/1

Jeffremember? 14 Dec 2009
.Election Date - Month.May 1/2..March7/4June 17/1 . 18s bar

Currant prices.. Election Date - Month.May 1/6..March12/1 June 12/1 . 18s bar

I hope you swerved a March punt and lumped on Mayone horse to look at todayMR BIG 3:50 HuntingdonNoel Fehily riding for Charlie Mannlast four rides for the trainer produced two winsone second and one thirdthe horse has only run once at the track and finished 2 0f 16...forget the last runstretched on distanceall pluses todayI am on averaging 10s plus. Probably still tradable 9/1 availableplease DYOR

Tabby
Cheers for the horse, will take a look.

Noel Fehily just rode a nice second for Charlie Mann Sullumo 9/2 btn by the useful Mighty Man 3:20 Huntingdonbodes well for Mr Big

You ramping horses again tabby ???

Got well beat Dil

Hold my hands upbut 7.2 in running would have still given small profit

.

Best General Election odds
No Overall Majority8/13
Conservative Majority15/8
Labour Majority.27/1

I was lucky again there Jeff Big question isdo I take the profitsell and hold some? or do I go all on? what would you do Jeff?

BTW JeffI forgot to tell youMr. Big came out next time on the 19th Feb. and won easily at the rewarding odds of 15/2...like I told youit was rated to winunfortunately horses are not machinesand sometimes do not run up to formI post up horses that have the capability at the ratingand are good valueall part of being a lucky thicko

Well, that's useful, a horse that wins with hindsight, must try it some time.

How about Spurs to beat Chelsea? I understand they have a good chance, very attractive odds.

Well Peterfor the second time onlyI have de-squelched you if there is such a word?the very first time was to see if you had actually learnt to converse in a reasonable mannerand without your normal superior condescending and very irritating speeches
I believe you are in the Merchant Navy and think it necessary to show authority in the weirdest wayI could be wrong?if you behave in your place of workin such a mannerI cant see you getting a great deal of respect from your fellow men or womenshame reallyyour good friend Cynic has a far greater understanding on how to conduct himself
Anyway thats just Tabascos take on you for what it is worth
As this is my specialist subject and you have once again been a little unkindand of course misunderstood my postI thought it only fair to point out your mistake
The horse in question.Mr Big[what a huge coincidence]was listed in my special book
I sometimes share info on the racing threadgiving readers the chance to evaluate my opinion of a horses chance compared to pricesomething others pay good money for
To simplifyI do odds compiling and use trade paper tissues to draw comparisons
Now check post 10411...you will notice on the 27th of January I advised Jeff to look at Mr Bigas it had more than a good chanceand was extremely good value at the currant oddsunfortunately it run a stinker and was pulled upJeff took the piss a littleand I have no time for people that throw things in your facewhen in fact I was trying to be helpfulbut as you knowI have Rhino skin
The Horse was turned out again on the 19th of Februaryand it duly obliged at a good price as expected by meI couldnt help but feel a little smugand I did have it off
So you seeno hindsight was involvedjust a little patience
Now if you want to be liked a little more in lifetry and conduct yourself with a little
more decorumand you never knowa few more on here might get to like you
I will read your replyif you write one
If there is a change in your attitude there will be a change in mineif not votre choix

Tabby, I think you need to learn how to chill(i) just a little, I was merely pulling your chain, just a little fun at your expense (or perhaps even mine).

With regard to wishing to be liked by other posters, I'm afraid I don't really care. My rationale for signing up to a financial BB was to learn from those more experienced than I and eventually to share my own knowledge (albeit limited) in return. Surprisingly (to you?) I have made quite a few friends over the years through the good offices of AM, so I guess some of the time I must have been doing something right. As I am sure you will have noticed, I post sparingly these days, my life does not revolve around a financial BB. For some reason (which I must admit I don't fully understand) I am sufficiently well respected by friends and work colleagues alike not to worry about upsetting the odd character on AM. I will also admit that despite the MDX debacle I still read your posts although not an avid reader you understand.

In summary, stop taking me so seriously and if you wish proof of the respect in which I am held in the workplace, check the 2004 New Year Honour's List :-)

Shame you didnt mention it on 19th Feb Tabby