overgrowth
- 12 May 2005 22:21
Mediwatch is a small
company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is
out.
Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics
equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK,
Canada, Europe, India and Japan.
That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until
you remember the good ol' US and China.
These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's
export client portfolio by the end of 2005.
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The company is currently
heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is
not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively
to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions
affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing
in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate
as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.
Mediwatch normally
supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements.
They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known
US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical
who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated
sales team.
US FDA approval was
gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year
of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner
for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This
distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant
effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues
as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus
is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August.
In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They
have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment
distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the
markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber
stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up
to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even
more good news coming soon this year.
Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.
If that's not enough
to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also
developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing
some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at
very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology
to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next
few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going
to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours
too.
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banjomick
- 18 Aug 2006 17:00
- 1095 of 1497
2517,pheeew cheers.
Minder
- 18 Aug 2006 17:28
- 1096 of 1497
2517,
This is from December last year, since then O. Karim bought 40k more.
"The shareholding interests of the Directors subscribing for shares pursuant to
the Placing will, following Admission, be as follows:
Director Total Number of Shares % of enlarged issued share capital
Philip G
Stimpson 15,661,363 16.16%
Dr. John R.
Forrest 45,454 0.05%
Mark Emberton 2,295,454 2.37%
Omer Karim 6,251,781 6.62%
Kevin J. Middis 350,909 0.36%
Company employees and associates have agreed to subscribe for a total of 886,363
ordinary shares pursuant to the Placing.
Hope this helps, note the last bit about employees and associates, this share is tightly held.
ptholden
- 18 Aug 2006 19:13
- 1097 of 1497
Minder
You are correct (as I admitted) that I was not aware of the deal in which MDW manufacture Medtronic products. Lazy research on my part. But, you will probably hate me for saying this, but we need an idea of what this alliance brings to the balance sheet.
1. Under what margins are these products being manufactured?
2. Has the workforce been increased?
3. What manufacturing capacity is being utilised for Medtronic?
4. Is this at the expense of MDW own products (from which greater profits will be generated)
Just a few thoughts that spring to mind. I accept it is undoubtably a good deal for MDW, but good deals need to be translated into the bottom line and ultimately the SP.
pth
banjomick
- 18 Aug 2006 21:55
- 1098 of 1497
Evening pth,
We already have a done deal with MDT for our Multiscan.The Multiscan on it's own (Ed-here we go again) is special but not that special until you add the Bioscan to read the PSAwatch then it becomes a unique and very powerfull bit of kit,the Bioscan can/will be used to read other samples not just PSA in the future.
Basically there is nothing on the market that can match the speed and accuracy of this system bundle.
So what i am trying to say is that MDW's products are key to MDT's line of thought so would not be brushed aside-imo
Minder
- 20 Aug 2006 21:57
- 1099 of 1497
ptholden,
It does not really matter what margin these products are being sold to MDT for, as long as they are sold at a profit then they will translate nicely to the MDW bottomline. What is important, is the size of the annual orders for this equipment, I believe it will be far greater than MDW have ever seen before and because of this we will probably see them sold at a discounted margin than their other equipment sells for.
However if we got say a 20% profit margin on for instance 5m sales, that is 1m profit going to MDW's bottom line. (Bear in mind our last reported annual turnover was less than 2 million, with just over a million loss) . I actually believe prospective sales will be far greater than the figure above, I also believe that the second deal is still being negotiated and if that went ahead then margins would obviously rise.
I am led to believe that the extra capacity needed for these orders is available, perhaps you may want to ask the Company yourself this one, it definitely will not impact on MDW's other products.
I think some on here may need to become a little more pro-active to discover the true depth of what is happening to the Company at the moment.
This deal could push us into profit very quickly, also depending on the terms of whatever deal is still being discussed, we could see a massive re-rating once the market is informed.
I cannot see the Company being valued at a lowly 8m then. This on top of MDW products and the forthcoming PSA test.
leedslad
- 21 Aug 2006 08:21
- 1100 of 1497
Morning all some good pasts as usuall
Minder
- 21 Aug 2006 11:34
- 1101 of 1497
I think there will be some good futures here as well.
Treblewide
- 21 Aug 2006 16:58
- 1102 of 1497
interested in this MDT thing....how do they plan to fund it? as they have no cash and why are MDT disposing of it? genuine questions... chocco you will know :-)
chocolat
- 21 Aug 2006 20:55
- 1103 of 1497
Ha ginge :)
leedslad
- 22 Aug 2006 07:53
- 1104 of 1497
Treble
Why don't you do some reaserch. Then your questions will be answered.
optomistic
- 22 Aug 2006 08:55
- 1105 of 1497
Chocolat might know but chocolat is not telling......LOL
Treblewide
- 22 Aug 2006 10:07
- 1106 of 1497
leedslad..you got out of the wrong side of the bed this morning? watch your tone, it was a simple question and I dont think any amount of research can answer the funding question as they have no cash...is that what got your back up?
Minder
- 22 Aug 2006 11:00
- 1107 of 1497
Treblewide, Have you gone short just as someone has lit the touch paper, oh dear!
leedslad
- 22 Aug 2006 11:05
- 1108 of 1497
2 nice large BUY's this am
Treblewide
- 22 Aug 2006 11:06
- 1109 of 1497
"lit the touch paper" sorry did i miss something? chart still says back to 6p to me
Minder
- 22 Aug 2006 11:22
- 1110 of 1497
I'll take that as a yes then, oh dear!
ptholden
- 22 Aug 2006 11:34
- 1111 of 1497
Trebs
Charts says:
SP in a downtrend since the beginning of the year.
SP in an uptrend since 2004.
Strong support at this level since end of 2004.
Significant positive divergence on the MACD histogram from beginning of 2006.
Crunch time is just about now and will definately be dictated by the Results when they appear.
If this level fails, 6p is an almost certantity.
Personally, I wouldn't want to bet which way it will go, but fingers crossed that the Results will give the SP fresh life, certainly not worth risking a short IMHO.
pth
andysmith
- 23 Aug 2006 20:45
- 1112 of 1497
I don't understand why last years results are being delayed by current negotiations with Medtronic? I guess MDW are for the future in good health otherwise a company as large as MDT would not have entered into a production agreement with MDW. Whatever, MDW need cash to continue the production deal or to purchase part of MDT although why would MDT sell part of their business?
On raising cash either this will be a placing with institutions, a loan from banks or maybe, MDT are purchasing a share of the company through additional shares?
The latter would make sense if MDT are selling part of their business to MDW, MDT would then not only have production of their units at no doubt a discount but also have an interest in the whole of MDW's future development and progress.
Speculating here, having sold before the May crash I am tempted to get back in at this lower price, only thing putting me off is if they raise cash at lower price than todays sp? Its a risk vs reward and I think reward looks potentially greater?
Whats the view folks or am I talking absolute crap?
Minder
- 24 Aug 2006 08:44
- 1113 of 1497
andy,
You decide, however having sold in May, if you were to buy back now it would be at a good discount to your selling price.
If News was very good then SP could pass that level before you can get in.
If a placing was needed and it was manageable but News was very good then we could see SP rise anyway.
If a placing was needed and it was at a discount to the SP the price may drop, but if the News was good then this may be temporary.
It could all go t*ts up and the SP could drop.
I am bullish here, so slightly biaised, but look at the products, look at the MDT manufacture and supply deal, look at PSAwatch and look at what you think the possible downside is, compare it with possible upside.Then look very carefully at what sort of deal would mean the accounts cannot be signed off until it is finalised.
Good Luck, only you can make your decision,
Treblewide
- 25 Aug 2006 14:15
- 1114 of 1497
i just wonder why if this MDT deal that they are doing is so good why there is no interest in this share.....no trades today and a distinct lack of buying over the last few months....