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ASOS: BUY AT LOW PRICE!!!! (ASC)     

wilco99 - 12 Sep 2003 15:52

ASOS have dropped quite significantly in the past week for no particular reason and I view this as the perfect opportunity to invest as I can see them bouncing right back up to the 5.50p mark in the next 2-3 weeks. STRONG BUY!!


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=ASC&Si

legend290782 - 04 Feb 2005 13:32 - 1103 of 5941

So what price did you pick these up john????

Where do you see sp going from here???

stockdog - 04 Feb 2005 19:16 - 1104 of 5941

IMHO - I think the 70p support level is where we've just come from in a volatile sort of way, not where we're about to end up which is back on the more solid 60p level. This, after a shake out of a large number of happy profit takers, will provide a sound basis for the next growth line, but at somewhat less than the 45 angle we've seen over its first exciting year.

I can't see much likelihood for any further announcements until the week after the 31st March end of year. So expect life to be relatively boring until then, when we shall see whether they have improved on market expectations or not.

Anyway, what do I care? I'm in for the duration.

EWRobson - 04 Feb 2005 23:16 - 1105 of 5941

stockdog: good way to look at it. 45 degrees depends on the scales! But if last year was 45%, say doubling in the last six months; then this year is probably doubling in the year from a 60p base or half the gradient. Good to have that sort of banker in your portfolio. The real excitement is elsewhere - more and more convinced that SEO is the ASC of 2005! Worth reading recent posts.

Eric

stockdog - 05 Feb 2005 06:23 - 1106 of 5941

Thanks Eric
I'm with you all the way on SEO (and a number of other stocks I see you posting on).
SD

SEADOG - 05 Feb 2005 08:54 - 1107 of 5941

ASOS sent me an email this morning including the Fantastic February catalogue/adverts. Anyone else get it ????? SD

EWRobson - 05 Feb 2005 17:46 - 1108 of 5941

Confusing having both seadog and stockdog - both wusing the same initials too! Smitten with jealousy by the former because of ASOS favouritism towards him: perhaps its because he buys their dresses! The latter is admirable because he agrees with me!

Eric

stockdog - 05 Feb 2005 19:20 - 1109 of 5941

Yes but it's only the marine canine section they sent him. I got the proper dog stock!

johngtudor - 07 Feb 2005 12:00 - 1110 of 5941

legend290782: First purchase at 28p then core holding at 39p. Bought and sold several times above these prices. Not holding any at current price. I am keeping my powder dry to see a support level kick-in. Clearly there are 'bears' about but if the SP picks up we could see a rebound back up into the 70p's. However I am not seeing any technicals to suggest we are heading in that direction yet. I have not picked up any negatives against the company...it is just going through a downward cycle...these things happen even to great stocks. Just my view. jgt

legend290782 - 07 Feb 2005 17:56 - 1111 of 5941

yes very welcommed john.

The guy I know too hasn't even sold any yet either!!!

I will be watching with interest.

SEADOG - 07 Feb 2005 18:12 - 1112 of 5941

Eric
I only buy dresses for my grandaughters ---- unfortunately they are more ladybird size.
stockdog
Whoose the lucky one then ?????
johngtudor
Still holding and I go to Spain for 8 weeks on friday. Ill stick with it.

johngtudor - 07 Feb 2005 20:36 - 1113 of 5941

SEADOG: Enjoy your break in the winter SUN! We will expect the occasional update from the odd internet Cafes' you will no doubt frequent! I do hope the SP has risen above recent levels by the time you return! jgt

EWRobson - 07 Feb 2005 21:36 - 1114 of 5941

Just picking up John's thought of bear activity forcing the price down. It is interesting to see 50K sells today at opportune times, outweighing the actually greater number of buys and thus encouraging the price down. We are pretty near a support level at 60p. I am looking to strengthen my position at around this level: the problem being what to sell. The charts say sell; the fundamentals, or my perception of them, say buy and then hold for a bull run to 120p later this year. I can see the argument for biding one's time until the charts become more encouraging on one hand and there is more news flow on the other. We know ASC are trading well, at double last year's elvel, from the hitwise figures.

Eric

WOODIE - 08 Feb 2005 10:31 - 1115 of 5941

has anyone got the date of the next hitwise figs?cheers woodie

stockdog - 08 Feb 2005 11:06 - 1116 of 5941

Always a bit uncertain when an SP retrenches this far from a linear upward path. For one thing the chart is "immature" with no previous history of recovering from such a set back (by definition).

On fundamentals and macro-economics (increase of on-line, decrease of high street trading as a demographic shift) I see ASC outliving my Fastbuck Fund into my Growth Fund cum dividend for a number of years tio come. So, as Eric says buy some more at around 60p and relax. IMHO, DYOR, OBE

SD

EWRobson - 08 Feb 2005 22:30 - 1117 of 5941

WOODIE

Hitwise figures are updated each Wednesday. There is a reference to the chart somewhere about Jan 10th which takes you straight there - I'll probably look it out tomorrow and will post result here. The rise in SEO has left me a surplus position on CFDs so I have bought three tranches of ASC in the last week. The other excellent post was that about 10 days ago by lemming investor. I think the downside risk is relatively small so buys at the current price will look really good in a couple of months time. Remember, that while the price has dropped with alck of fresh news this year, the company has been plotting its way, like Ellen McArthur, to world domination! Now thats an idea about Ellen!

Eric

marketmaker - 09 Feb 2005 13:31 - 1118 of 5941

time to cover your shorts and go long ASC for the next MAJOR wave UP

Offer goes from 66 to 67 as i write :)

stockdog - 09 Feb 2005 13:36 - 1119 of 5941

Here we go.

Come on you ASOS!

Eric, I'll give you my arguments on NLR about ASC were pure sentimental rot, on reflection. The market has no memory. It doesn't care that you have a profit cushioin to fall back on.

EWRobson - 09 Feb 2005 13:36 - 1120 of 5941

Woodie: reference (click on) for hitwise figures is on post 953, Dawsinho, 4th Jan. Range is 240 to 160 since new year, not much less than Xmas season and twice level of year ago.

marketmaker: agree. This might be start of recovery.

Eric

EWRobson - 09 Feb 2005 15:09 - 1121 of 5941

marketmaker

Two large trades marked as sells, delayed by an hour: 498.6p at 64.5p at 12:33 and 450K at 65p at 12:38. Spread at time was 64p to 66p. The price took a step up shortly after. I suspect that these were buys and quite likely the closing of short positions. Do you concur? If so, it suggests that the brakes are off for a steady rise from here back to a more realistic price. backed that judgement by a new CFD using the margin on my SEO CFDs and bringing it to a healthy position and a decent average entry price.

Eric

marketmaker - 09 Feb 2005 16:45 - 1122 of 5941

have a look at the ROC (rate of change) graph at the bottom, the last time it went below 80 was in september 2004 just before the bull move up (from 50s to mid 80s) - a 70% ish rise..

clearly way oversold by simply looking at the RSI chart, probably due to heavy shorting, at some point the shorts will have to close and cover. multiple sells of 25k have been going on for last week or two weeks bringing the price down. looks like this seller has finished and the next move is almost certainly UP.

just a matter of time before it does the same again - you have to be in it to win it.

draw_chart.php?epic=ASC&type=1&size=1&pe
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