overgrowth
- 12 May 2005 22:21
Mediwatch is a small
company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is
out.
Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics
equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK,
Canada, Europe, India and Japan.
That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until
you remember the good ol' US and China.
These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's
export client portfolio by the end of 2005.
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The company is currently
heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is
not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively
to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions
affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing
in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate
as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.
Mediwatch normally
supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements.
They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known
US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical
who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated
sales team.
US FDA approval was
gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year
of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner
for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This
distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant
effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues
as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus
is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August.
In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They
have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment
distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the
markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber
stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up
to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even
more good news coming soon this year.
Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.
If that's not enough
to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also
developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing
some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at
very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology
to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next
few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going
to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours
too.
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leedslad
- 22 Aug 2006 07:53
- 1104 of 1497
Treble
Why don't you do some reaserch. Then your questions will be answered.
optomistic
- 22 Aug 2006 08:55
- 1105 of 1497
Chocolat might know but chocolat is not telling......LOL
Treblewide
- 22 Aug 2006 10:07
- 1106 of 1497
leedslad..you got out of the wrong side of the bed this morning? watch your tone, it was a simple question and I dont think any amount of research can answer the funding question as they have no cash...is that what got your back up?
Minder
- 22 Aug 2006 11:00
- 1107 of 1497
Treblewide, Have you gone short just as someone has lit the touch paper, oh dear!
leedslad
- 22 Aug 2006 11:05
- 1108 of 1497
2 nice large BUY's this am
Treblewide
- 22 Aug 2006 11:06
- 1109 of 1497
"lit the touch paper" sorry did i miss something? chart still says back to 6p to me
Minder
- 22 Aug 2006 11:22
- 1110 of 1497
I'll take that as a yes then, oh dear!
ptholden
- 22 Aug 2006 11:34
- 1111 of 1497
Trebs
Charts says:
SP in a downtrend since the beginning of the year.
SP in an uptrend since 2004.
Strong support at this level since end of 2004.
Significant positive divergence on the MACD histogram from beginning of 2006.
Crunch time is just about now and will definately be dictated by the Results when they appear.
If this level fails, 6p is an almost certantity.
Personally, I wouldn't want to bet which way it will go, but fingers crossed that the Results will give the SP fresh life, certainly not worth risking a short IMHO.
pth
andysmith
- 23 Aug 2006 20:45
- 1112 of 1497
I don't understand why last years results are being delayed by current negotiations with Medtronic? I guess MDW are for the future in good health otherwise a company as large as MDT would not have entered into a production agreement with MDW. Whatever, MDW need cash to continue the production deal or to purchase part of MDT although why would MDT sell part of their business?
On raising cash either this will be a placing with institutions, a loan from banks or maybe, MDT are purchasing a share of the company through additional shares?
The latter would make sense if MDT are selling part of their business to MDW, MDT would then not only have production of their units at no doubt a discount but also have an interest in the whole of MDW's future development and progress.
Speculating here, having sold before the May crash I am tempted to get back in at this lower price, only thing putting me off is if they raise cash at lower price than todays sp? Its a risk vs reward and I think reward looks potentially greater?
Whats the view folks or am I talking absolute crap?
Minder
- 24 Aug 2006 08:44
- 1113 of 1497
andy,
You decide, however having sold in May, if you were to buy back now it would be at a good discount to your selling price.
If News was very good then SP could pass that level before you can get in.
If a placing was needed and it was manageable but News was very good then we could see SP rise anyway.
If a placing was needed and it was at a discount to the SP the price may drop, but if the News was good then this may be temporary.
It could all go t*ts up and the SP could drop.
I am bullish here, so slightly biaised, but look at the products, look at the MDT manufacture and supply deal, look at PSAwatch and look at what you think the possible downside is, compare it with possible upside.Then look very carefully at what sort of deal would mean the accounts cannot be signed off until it is finalised.
Good Luck, only you can make your decision,
Treblewide
- 25 Aug 2006 14:15
- 1114 of 1497
i just wonder why if this MDT deal that they are doing is so good why there is no interest in this share.....no trades today and a distinct lack of buying over the last few months....
ptholden
- 25 Aug 2006 14:23
- 1115 of 1497
Tis a good question Trebs,I would suggest it is because nobody knows what the deal is worth in financial terms. Perhaps when the delayed Results put in an appearnace we might have a better idea.
pth
Minder
- 25 Aug 2006 21:02
- 1116 of 1497
Treblewide,
I think it is because the details have been kept very secret at Medtronic's insistence, things like how much will it cost to buy Medtronics Urodynamic assets? What is the annual turnover of the Urodynamic range and at what margin? Why do MDT want to sell them?
We will find out very soon and then some will be very surprised!
PTHolden,
I'll go for a few guesses, Urodynamic t/o = several times MDW current turnover,
Cost of buying = small, mainly because MDW could not afford to pay a lot, I wonder if Medtronic may take a stake in MDW in return for letting MDW takeover their Urology Diagnostics side.
Medtronic make far more out of their Urology therapies than the diagnostics side, they recently announced that they were investing more into studies of their therapies, perhaps the diagnostics side is non-core and MDT are prepared to hand it over to MDW, maybe in return for a stake in the Company. MDW are hungry, have some very good products ready for launch and would be able to take on the Urodynamic side and build them all into a growing Global Urology Diagnostics Company.
We will see shortly.
ptholden
- 25 Aug 2006 21:19
- 1117 of 1497
Minder
We know that the reason behind the Results delay is being driven by the MDT negotiations. If this were a straightforward deal, I wouldn't have expected such a delay. Therefore it must be quite compex, hopefully complex in such a manner that benefits MDW hugely. As you say, we will see shortly, just wish they would 'urry up!!
pth
Minder
- 25 Aug 2006 21:46
- 1118 of 1497
Remember we already have a deal in place to manufacture and supply these products, we would obviously take a healthy margin from this, the Management of Mediwatch obviously want more than this. I think they see an even greater opportunity here and that they believe they are able to conclude the deal with Medtronic to their benefit.
leedslad
- 29 Aug 2006 16:11
- 1119 of 1497
Not long no me thinks
:-)
ptholden
- 29 Aug 2006 16:16
- 1120 of 1497
Is that the same as 'love you long time, jig a jig, 5 dollar'?
:-)
pth
leedslad
- 29 Aug 2006 16:17
- 1121 of 1497
Not that long i hope :-)
Treblewide
- 29 Aug 2006 16:21
- 1122 of 1497
what until their cash runs out?
ptholden
- 29 Aug 2006 16:26
- 1123 of 1497
Now, now Trebs, think you will find the MDT deal will sort all that out, err, I hope :-)
pth