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Thomas Cook Group PLC (TCG)     

goldfinger - 03 Aug 2010 08:03

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=TCG&Si

Results out soon in August.

Broker recos look very bullish and why not on a P/E of just over 6 to 2011.....

Thomas Cook Group PLC

FORECASTS 2010 2011
Date Rec Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Panmure Gordon
02-08-10 BUY 319.00 27.10 11.30 338.00 28.70 12.40

Exane BNP Paribas
02-08-10 BUY 116.00 26.62 10.75 319.00 28.87 11.66

Numis Securities Ltd
02-08-10 ADD 324.20 27.60 11.25 357.10 29.90 11.81

Oriel Securities
02-08-10 BUY 330.40 28.40 11.40 363.50 31.30 12.10

KBC Peel Hunt Ltd
30-07-10 BUY 301.06 25.22 10.75 313.36 26.23 10.93

WestLB
30-07-10 SELL 28.81 11.52 29.91 11.96

Shore Capital
30-07-10 HOLD 312.00 26.50 11.80 347.00 29.50 13.00

Charles Stanley Securities
15-06-10 HOLD

Evolution Securities Ltd
11-02-10 None

Investec Securities [R]
09-02-10 BUY 327.00 27.30 11.74 352.23 29.39 12.49

Fyshe Horton Finney Ltd
25-01-10 BUY

Collins Stewart
24-12-09 BUY

Nomura Research Institute
25-09-09 RED

2010 2011
Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax (�) EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 316.42 26.98 11.36 342.50 29.39 11.96

1 Month Change 1.07 -0.22 0.01 3.43 -0.14 -0.14
3 Month Change -11.92 -1.09 -0.05 -11.79 -1.00 -0.44


GROWTH
2009 (A) 2010 (E) 2011 (E)

Norm. EPS 2.76% 0.38% 8.92%
DPS 14.03% 10.80% 5.26%

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2009 (A) 2010 (E) 2011 (E)

EBITDA �574.90m �589.69m �613.90m
EBIT �372.50m �420.55m �447.05m
Dividend Yield 5.38% 5.96% 6.27%
Dividend Cover 2.62x 2.38x 2.46x
PER 7.10x 7.07x 6.49x
PEG 2.57f 18.55f 0.73f
Net Asset Value PS -240.80p 224.47p 240.43p

goldfinger - 02 Dec 2013 10:45 - 1193 of 1559

HSBC Increases Thomas Cook Group Price Target to GBX 220 (TCG)
Posted by Bonnie Powley on Dec 2nd, 2013

Equities research analysts at HSBC raised their target price on shares of Thomas Cook Group (LON:TCG) from GBX 200 ($3.27) to GBX 220 ($3.60) in a research note issued to investors on Monday, American Banking and Market News reports. The firm currently has an “overweight” rating on the stock. HSBC’s price objective points to a potential upside of 26.58% from the company’s current price.

Shares of Thomas Cook Group (LON:TCG) opened at 176.20 on Monday. Thomas Cook Group has a 52-week low of GBX 21.942 and a 52-week high of GBX 179.30. The stock’s 50-day moving average is GBX 147.8 and its 200-day moving average is GBX 145.3. The company’s market cap is £1.576 billion.

Several other analysts have also recently commented on the stock. Analysts at Citigroup Inc. raised their price target on shares of Thomas Cook Group from GBX 195 ($3.19) to GBX 230 ($3.77) in a research note to investors on Monday. They now have a “buy” rating on the stock. Separately, analysts at Barclays downgraded shares of Thomas Cook Group to a “neutral” rating in a research note to investors on Monday. They now have a GBX 200 ($3.27) price target on the stock, up previously from GBX 180 ($2.95). Finally, analysts at Credit Suisse raised their price target on shares of Thomas Cook Group from GBX 175 ($2.87) to GBX 195 ($3.19) in a research note to investors on Thursday. They now have an “outperform” rating on the stock. Two research analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, eight have given a hold rating and twelve have assigned a buy rating to the company. The company presently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of GBX 159.47 ($2.61).

Thomas Cook Group plc operates under six geographic segments: UK, Central Europe, West & East Europe, Northern Europe, North America and Airlines Germany

Chris Carson - 04 Dec 2013 10:02 - 1194 of 1559

Joined the crowd today GF in on a spread bet long @ 168.4 :O)

goldfinger - 12 Dec 2013 08:31 - 1195 of 1559

Thomas Cook Group Receives Outperform Rating from Credit Suisse (TCG)
Posted by John Perry on Dec 11th, 2013

Thomas Cook Group (LON:TCG)‘s stock had its “outperform” rating restated by equities research analysts at Credit Suisse in a research note issued to investors on Wednesday, American Banking News reports. They currently have a GBX 195 ($3.19) price target on the stock. Credit Suisse’s target price would indicate a potential upside of 14.71% from the company’s current price.

Thomas Cook Group (LON:TCG) opened at 171.175 on Wednesday. Thomas Cook Group has a 1-year low of GBX 30.774 and a 1-year high of GBX 179.50. The stock has a 50-day moving average of GBX 151.9 and a 200-day moving average of GBX 146.2. The company’s market cap is £1.531 billion.

A number of other analysts have also recently weighed in on TCG. Analysts at Panmure Gordon raised their price target on shares of Thomas Cook Group from GBX 200 ($3.27) to GBX 230 ($3.76) in a research note to investors on Thursday, December 5th. They now have a “buy” rating on the stock. Separately, analysts at HSBC raised their price target on shares of Thomas Cook Group from GBX 200 ($3.27) to GBX 220 ($3.60) in a research note to investors on Monday, December 2nd. They now have an “overweight” rating on the stock. Finally, analysts at Citigroup Inc. raised their price target on shares of Thomas Cook Group from GBX 195 ($3.19) to GBX 230 ($3.76) in a research note to investors on Monday, December 2nd. They now have a “buy” rating on the stock. Two analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating, eight have given a hold rating and twelve have given a buy rating to the company. Thomas Cook Group has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of GBX 161.97 ($2.65).

Thomas Cook Group plc operates under six geographic segments: UK, Central Europe, West & East Europe, Northern Europe, North America and Airlines Germany.

jimmy b - 13 Dec 2013 08:26 - 1196 of 1559

What spooked Thomas this morning .

skinny - 13 Dec 2013 08:34 - 1197 of 1559

This won't of helped!

Nomura Reduce 162.60 167.70 136.00 152.00 Downgrades

goldfinger - 13 Dec 2013 08:39 - 1198 of 1559

Yep Nomura downgrade, havent found out why yet.

goldfinger - 13 Dec 2013 09:09 - 1199 of 1559

How can it be a downgrade???

Old SP target was 136p, new Sp target is 152p.

goldfinger - 13 Dec 2013 09:11 - 1200 of 1559

Done a bit of detective work last time they reviewed their figures were this.....

23 May 13 Thomas Cook Group... Nomura Neutral 163.75 105.00 159.00 Upgrades

so they have gone from 159p to 152p SP target.

not worth losing sleep over is it.

jimmy b - 13 Dec 2013 09:25 - 1201 of 1559

Date Broker name New Price Old price target New price target Broker change
13-Dec-13 Nomura Reduce 162.50p 136.00p 152.00p DownGrade
11-Dec-13 Credit Suisse Outperform 170.20p 195.00p 195.00p Reiteration
05-Dec-13 Panmure Gordon Buy 171.80p 200.00p 230.00p Reiteration
03-Dec-13 Investec Securities Hold 168.30p 155.00p 185.00p Reiteration
02-Dec-13 Citigroup Buy 175.30p 195.00p 230.00p Reiteration
02-Dec-13 Barclays Neutral 175.30p 180.00p 200.00p DownGrade
29-Nov-13 JP Morgan Cazenove Overweight 173.80p 180.00p 180.00p Reiteration
28-Nov-13 Jefferies Buy 175.70p 200.00p 200.00p Reiteration
28-Nov-13 Numis Securities Add 175.70p 175.00p 175.00p Reiteration
25-Nov-13 Numis Securities Add 151.60p 150.00p 175.00p Upgrade
22-Nov-13 Panmure Gordon Buy 148.40p 180.00p 180.00p Reiteration
22-Nov-13 AlphaValue Reduce 148.40p 154.80p 155.50p DownGrade
20-Nov-13 Jefferies Buy 151.10p 200.00p 200.00p Reiteration

skinny - 13 Dec 2013 09:30 - 1202 of 1559

They have also gone from neutral to reduce - but so what.

jimmy b - 13 Dec 2013 09:33 - 1203 of 1559

One downgrade,, , ,i don't much like broker rec's anyway.

Chris Carson - 13 Dec 2013 09:41 - 1204 of 1559

Waste of space the lot of them. Covering their arsxs as usual.

doodlebug4 - 13 Dec 2013 11:59 - 1205 of 1559

Panmure Gordon rated this as worth only 8p to 13p until the sp climbed from 20p up to over £1, then I think they realised the battery in their calculator had gone flat.

goldfinger - 13 Dec 2013 12:09 - 1206 of 1559

Strange how some put down brokers but then use them when its to their advantage.

jimmy b - 13 Dec 2013 12:17 - 1207 of 1559

I'm not a great fan GF ,,i used to watch them carefully years ago ,but some of them go up and down with the share price .

skinny - 13 Dec 2013 12:20 - 1208 of 1559

I always post them (if I see them) on shares that I hold/follow - it makes it easier when coming back to a share (research) later.

goldfinger - 13 Dec 2013 12:28 - 1209 of 1559

I always use them aswel.

I dont think they are hurting anyone. If youve done your own research what do you have to lose.

doodlebug4 - 13 Dec 2013 13:25 - 1210 of 1559

skinny, I agree. I was just pointing out the Panmure Gordon scenario as an example of when broker's can have very differing views on the value of a share. In that particular case one broker was completely out of tune with others.

jimmy b - 13 Dec 2013 13:29 - 1211 of 1559

Yes and one broker seems to have knocked this back .

goldfinger - 13 Dec 2013 14:25 - 1212 of 1559

Weve got one broker with a 230p Sp target jimmy so one rouge broker isnt going to spoil the party. i reckon we need the fed to get this tapering statement out wed and away we will go.
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