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THE GOLD AND MINING THREAD. (XXX)     

goldfinger - 23 Aug 2004 10:09

A thread set up and dedicated to Gold and Mining stocks.

Gold could be set to bounce up again in the near future and throughout the autumn and winter. Higher oil prices and inflationary worries both here and in the states mean its an excelent hedge against the falling dollar and weaking markets.

Please post which stocks you feel may benefit other posters. Lets all try and make some money from Mining.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 24 Aug 2004 11:40 - 15 of 115

Right extracts from the tip sheet item on Transiberian Gold.

Price at the time was 134p.

Claims gold deposits worth 1.2 billion v market cap of 36million.

Highly speculative tip for value investors.

Latest figure of total mineral approx3.2 million worth circa $1.2 bilion at market prices.

Stupendous figures for such a small company.

Says this is generally a pretty low margin business and a lot depends on POG atany one time.

Director speak - " our gold resources after accounting for production costs are worth circa $25 a share and our present market value considerably understatets that".

$25 is about 13 to 14 at exchange rates against a share price of 134p.

Company has noy yet sold one solitary piece of gold.

Company flush with cash but this will be used for exploration and development.

Ultra high risk tip.

Were in Russia so that can have problems.

Speculative Buy. ENDS.


Wont give the tip sheet but it is a specialist one for value investors.


Sounds very promising, might have a few bob on these further down the track.

cheers GF.

brain2brain - 24 Aug 2004 11:56 - 16 of 115

Many thanks for your efforts GF.

Much appreciated.

B2B

aldwickk - 24 Aug 2004 12:30 - 17 of 115

Many thanks GF

goldfinger - 24 Aug 2004 22:48 - 18 of 115

Bisichi up another 4p today. Good stuff.

cheers GF.

Safiande - 25 Aug 2004 13:23 - 19 of 115

Gf
Re post 13. How recent is this news please as I haven't seen anything from AFE since 24 June?
Regards

Safiande - 25 Aug 2004 13:34 - 20 of 115



Safiande - 25 Aug 2004 15:00 - 21 of 115

http://www.africaneagle.co.uk/news-85.html

This is what I had in mind

aldwickk - 25 Aug 2004 16:02 - 22 of 115

Is Griffin mining still a gold play? or is it going to mine more zing then gold.

goldfinger - 25 Aug 2004 22:50 - 23 of 115

ZAF last month.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 27 Aug 2004 13:11 - 24 of 115

Will do cheers.

GF.

aldwickk - 27 Aug 2004 13:22 - 25 of 115

Those massive trades must be Venon Viper [ testex ] adding to he's one share.

goldfinger - 30 Aug 2004 23:37 - 26 of 115

Triple Plate could be one to have a look at.

I will post the latest Broker comments monday.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 31 Aug 2004 01:40 - 27 of 115

POG starting to move up on serious volume.......................


Never mind gold's price, look at volume

By John Brimelow
Last Update: 12:01 AM ET Aug. 30, 2004

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- Gold is back above $400 (again). Last week, it seemed to stall (again). But look below the surface.

Peering closely, I see three factors at work:

First, India, the world's biggest gold importer, was unfalteringly a buyer right up to the high of $412 this past week. I gauge Indian off-take by looking at the local premiums. (Read related column.)

Previously, Indian buying has been choked off at these levels. And the busy season for gold purchases in India is only just beginning.

Inevitable outcome: A great deal of metal will go to live in India this fall -- unless world gold moves up sharply from the $400-plus level.

Second, the Middle East also appears to have become gold-hungry. It's more difficult to follow, but those local premiums I can access have started to suggest this.

So do recent reports of quantities traded. Turkey, for instance, imported a record weight of gold in July.

Conclusion: the physical demand for gold is ratcheting up to support the price.

Thirdly, and below the surface, the past two weeks have seen extraordinary increases in Comex (New York Commodities Exchange) open interest, which have accompanied gold price recent moves.

"Open Interest," is the total of futures contracts outstanding. An increase occurs when a buyer bids to acquire a contract -- a promise to deliver -- and is accommodated by a new seller. Or, when a short seller is accommodated by a new buyer.

Since Aug. 12, open interest has gone up 24.6 percent, 54,749 contracts, equivalent to 170 tonnes of net gold buying. This includes one day, Aug. 19, where the rise was apparently the second highest on record.

In other words, gold volume has been huge. It's just the price that has been boring.

The surge in open interest tells us good and bad news. Good: huge buyers have appeared. Bad: so has a huge seller(s).

Who are the buyers? The most popular theory among gold bears: a big mining house trying to eliminate a hedge position.

I think this is unlikely. No one producer is big enough.

My guess: Some U.S. hedge funds are buying gold because they think the geopolitical/economic is unstable. So are large operators from elsewhere, partly responding to the same anti-American sentiment which that is driving the retail Middle Eastern markets.

Next question: Who is the seller? After all, someone has to have taken the other side of the trades.

To me, it has to have been a central bank. There is simply no other long (or short) around with this kind of size, or courage.

There is increasing evidence that the gold market is being manages by the official sector. Imperative reading for serious gold followers is money manager John Embry's discussion of gold manipulation at Sprott.com.

Ultimately, central bank supplies will be exhausted. Revco Research, the adroit Chicago-based traders, bravely went long on Friday, reasoning that selling of this magnitude cannot persist.

Gold's price breakthrough will be fortune-making. In the meantime, a modest rise to a level which will temporarily slow physical buying is very likely.

If gold passes its $431 March high, it will be at a level not seen since the mid-1980sENDS.

cheers GF.

scotinvestor - 31 Aug 2004 09:07 - 28 of 115

avocet mining will move up soon as long overdue IMHO. its gone up quite a bit in recent months

goldfinger - 31 Aug 2004 10:01 - 29 of 115

Yes I agree Scotinvestor and I once again hold this one.

Evolution Beeson Gegory have a 1 plus target on it.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 31 Aug 2004 11:08 - 30 of 115

The comparitive charts showing percentage movement over 1 year for

1. Small Gold Miners

2. Medium Sized Miners

3. Small Gold Exporers.



1.

GetGif?config=paritech&cid=1&exchange1=LBlue = Golden Prospect, Black = Avocet, Red = Oxus


2.

GetGif?config=paritech&cid=1&exchange1=LBlue = Peter Hambro, Black = Randgold*, Red = Highland Gold

* Randgold as had a share split.



3.

GetGif?config=paritech&cid=1&exchange1=LBlue = Cambridge, Black = Caledon, Red = Centamin.


cheers GF.

aldwickk - 31 Aug 2004 11:15 - 31 of 115

Goldfinger.

Did you buy any TSG.

goldfinger - 31 Aug 2004 11:27 - 32 of 115

Not yet aldwick Im still waiting for POG to rise higher.
cheers Gf. In fact lets show TSG compared to the other gold explorers.

GetGif?config=paritech&cid=1&exchange1=L

Black = Caledon, Red= Trans Siberian Gold, Blue = Cambridge.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 31 Aug 2004 11:43 - 33 of 115

NB, if anyone wants a comparative gold chart putting up let me know, but remember 3 is the limit on one post.

cheers GF

scotinvestor - 31 Aug 2004 15:42 - 34 of 115

goldfinger, i dont care what evolution say about AVM's price. I only care about what i think is right. All these brokers and shares magazines are a load of crap.

I expect AVM in next couple of years to be around 2 plus
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