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stanelco .......a new thread (SEO)     

bosley - 20 Feb 2004 09:34

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SEO&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SEO&Si

for more information about stanelco click on the links.

driver's research page link
http://www.moneyam.com/InvestorsRoom/posts.php?tid=7681#lastread
website link
http://www.stanelco.co.uk/index.htm


barney12345 - 03 Mar 2006 20:55 - 15455 of 27111

but why not an rns, after years of flannel rns's the really big news via a press release!!!

hope to god no-one applies for starpol via the us website or email as neither works. I wonder how many other walmart/mcds suppliers have no website or published email?

explosive - 03 Mar 2006 21:35 - 15456 of 27111

Excellent post Barney and I'm very surprised to hear this, SEO are looking for sales and to cut a potential source of enquiry isn't acceptable.

barney12345 - 03 Mar 2006 21:46 - 15457 of 27111

explosive you need to join qc and I on fyb, the seo marketing is a joke. I am not being negative but the biotec website is still in german and contacts are still german addresses, the frogpack links do not work and aquasol has no seo branding. WE NEED GROUP MARKETING STRATEGY AND ITEM 1 IS WEBSITE BRANDING CONSISTENCY. I emailed seo US today via their website 20 mins later got a reply no such emolyee email returned, then this pm the same woman issues a press release.

Pathetic joined up PR. The frogpack site has a link to seo. except the link goes to the old seo site which is decommissioned so you get 404 site not found error.

I mean for pity sake.

Then they announce 2 machines but who cares it is all starpol.

really really wonder sales and marekting dept need a rocket somewhere.

driver - 03 Mar 2006 22:05 - 15458 of 27111

barney
You may have the wrong Web Site; the Link below is for Biotec its not in German. I do agree the SEO Site is crap and also the Aquasol Site they are out of date and very uninformative. SEO need to be told and get their house in order.


http://www.biotec.de/engl/index_engl.htm

driver - 03 Mar 2006 22:06 - 15459 of 27111

Just had another look the contacts are in German.

barney12345 - 03 Mar 2006 22:10 - 15460 of 27111

driver go to seo website follow the biotec link ang go to contacts, think you will see my point.

but agree, I want to be positive, want this co to suceed.

QC and I are building on FYB to email seo once a week to tell them to sort this. If 20 of us from various bbs mail them every 7 days we may get them to sort it.

barney12345 - 03 Mar 2006 22:11 - 15461 of 27111

sorry driver crossed in post

Oilywag - 03 Mar 2006 22:42 - 15462 of 27111

Barney

I am also highly disappointed with SEO's website. Its a bloody shambles and is probably doing more damage to the company's reputation than any good. There is absolutely no excuse at all for it. They really do not realise that the website is the company's shop window to entice people in to enquire and buy.

At the moment I cannot get into FYB to post because I have changed my settings during a cleanup and forgotten my password. I can and do read the board every day to keep up with the discussions - most of which are very helpful and informative.

The oily one

explosive - 03 Mar 2006 23:16 - 15463 of 27111

barney - MAM is the only BB that I read or post on. I personaly find fyb a pain to use and prefer the simplicity of the MAM site in comparison.

explosive - 03 Mar 2006 23:18 - 15464 of 27111

Happy to support though from MAM.

markusantonius - 03 Mar 2006 23:28 - 15465 of 27111

Alan6 - Eric is the current M-AM G0LF Champion (2005) and he does NOT lose many/any gollies (biodegradable or otherwise), i.e. as steady & solid as a non-bio ROCK with stamina to match!! BTW please feel free to join us on the Eve of The World Cup. Max. handicap allowance is: 28. But whatever happens, you will enjoy great banter with a great bunch of lads, if last year's Event is anything to go by!

LOL re: your post: 15428 - superb! :o)

Biscuit - 04 Mar 2006 09:21 - 15466 of 27111

I think McD's and Wal-Mart will certainly be asking questions about Stanelco's website. It's probably top of their list in negotiations. Thankfully, for some of us shareholders, the board of Stanelco know how to prioritise.

hewittalan6 - 04 Mar 2006 10:39 - 15467 of 27111

Eric,
Re post 15493.
The number is credible. The time scale is up for discussion as per oilywags observation that it could be a contract for any length of time.
Each tonne of Starpol will be sufficient for 20,000 50 gram trays.
Each contract is for a minimum 20,000 tonnes.
20,000 x 20,000 = 400,000,000 units!
That is using the maths from the results where 75,000 tonnes produced 1,500,000,000 units.
Now remember that it is "a number of contracts" and a "minimum" 20,000 tonnes and I think I am being conservative thinking of 5 contracts for minimum tonnage.
What we do not know, unless anyone can drag a pointer up from previous RNS, is what exactly the business model for this is, and therefore the effect on bottom line. But it must be big. It cannot be small fry when we are talking 2 billion units.
Further, do I remeber the word initially from the RNS? Could there be more to come?
I am trying to find the holes in these figures and keep the post low key because I do not want to be seen to "ramp", but the numbers are there in black and white. The devil is in the detail. We do not know the business model and therefore how profitable this may be and we do not know what it may cost SEO to make it happen.
That must be the next step to making sensible predictions on cash generation, profitability and effect on SP.
Alan

hewittalan6 - 04 Mar 2006 11:55 - 15468 of 27111

C'mon guys. help me out here.
My calculator fingers got a blister on it as I try to disprove my own maths, and work out what it could mean, in terms of revenue and profitability.
18 months ago, Earthshell said the disposable plastics for the food industry were worth about $25 billion dollars a year.
Eric suggested that a figure of 25 million might be a good point to start. If that is a good figure then SEO share of the market would be about 0.15%, or in other words we would be talking (using Oilywags 5 years and my dubious maths of 400 million units) about a global market of 52.8 billion units per annum. Now that number really is not credible, so we must assume a greater market share than 0.15%.
Of course, the logic used is less than perfect. I could be grossly overestimating the total production from these licenses. the $25 billion figure may be an exageration or may include items that would not be suitable for Starpol, the market may have shrunk, or any number of things, but it seems to me that 20 million is a little on the low side.
Let me be clear. I AM NOT TRYING TO RAMP THIS SHARE. The risks are now lower, but still there. The upside has improved dramatically and the downside is less frightening.
What I am trying to do is get a handle on what the numbers may mean, and trying to stimulate debate and investigation, cos quite frankly I am getting lost in a fog of logic.
My gut feeling is still that this announcement underpins an SP of about 20p, and other announcements should add to this.
Big message on Friday, big numbers and very little attempt by most to translate it into what it means to shareholders.
Stick your necks out!! Look as daft as me and try to make sense of it.
Alan

garyble - 04 Mar 2006 12:49 - 15469 of 27111

Alan,

The 1.5bn units was an annual requirement so 75,000 tonnes of material will be required annually to satisfy. The 20,000 tonne license only satisfies 27% of the annual requirement, yes, we don't know the term of the license but it is most likely to be a year.

Sphere have an annual requirement of 10,000 tonnes from Biotec estimated at in excess of 13.5m, so the revenue from the evaluated tray will be in excess of 100m. As it will be a JV, we can only guess at the SEO income.

bosley - 04 Mar 2006 13:18 - 15470 of 27111

can anyone tell me why seo themselves cannot give us a figure ? why do they have to leave it to bb enthusiasts ? no offence , alan, but this ain't your job , it's theirs.


zscrooge, the snow's back on winter hill !! what a view :))

hewittalan6 - 04 Mar 2006 13:25 - 15471 of 27111

Agree completely, bos. I am just absolutely facinated by what this all means in pounds shillings and pence!!
I am disappointed as anyone that SEO did not put any figure on it, but understand completely that any salesman in the world would not want to tell the price and bottom line to his client before he had sold him on the benefit. Major contract negotiations are no different to double glazing in some ways!
Anyway, isn't the essence of investing working out who is likely to make how much before the rest of the market cotton on to it? And I really don't believe that the enormity of the release has drilled down yet.
Alan

tweenie - 04 Mar 2006 13:47 - 15472 of 27111

Been away for a few days and have only just read last 10 or so pages.
If I remember correctly everyone was complaining about STANELCO RNS's coming out in droves and promising nothing concrete.
Looking at the last few , Maybe they've gone a bit too far the other way.LOL.
Like ALAN I think the implications of the last RNS will sink in over the next few weeks and the SP will reflect this.
I'm even more confidant that as a long term investment STANELCO is coming good.
And yes the WEBSITES ARE S**T. There is no other phrase that springs to mind.
The results were pretty much what I expected, as for the ASDA greenseal contract , I still have faith re conversions by JULY and believe that some machines will be direct replacements by MONDINI ( as have reached end of lifecycle -5years).
Will see what new week brings and may top up as and when figures/news points to higher gains/results.
I'm happy with my current No of shares and have'nt brought anymore for past few months. I personally think the figures and RNS's reflect a SP of about 22p. Will buy more as/when they reflect 40-50p.... hopefully about june.

moneyplus - 04 Mar 2006 14:46 - 15473 of 27111

Good work Alan-I can't understand why the Analysts are ignoring SEO they should also be doing the figures and putting out buy notes. What do these guys do to earn their money? I agree SEO have been a bit too quiet lately but hopefully that's about to change. Could do with your wit on the Yoo thread lately Alan-I'm feeling very guilty that for the first time ever I was rude to tvc15. I don't usually rise to derampers! ps check out EPY the figures look good to me in a massive market. sp rising and I intend to add but then ---I'm in yoo so what do I know!!

hewittalan6 - 04 Mar 2006 15:01 - 15474 of 27111

I've seen the way tvc15 has been on YOO.
I am still in there (just) but have decided to ignore the posts.
Where someone posts dozens of times a day, almost putting a commentary on every deal and has such a negative outlook on the share, I have to wonder quite what their agenda is. If it is that bad, short it and bugger off.
I also have my suspicions that he and Mr Sensible are one and the same, and are playing the oldest deramping/ramping trick in the book.
On SEO, yep, I would be putting out a buy note right now. I always stuggle to work out NAV and P/E ratios and all the rest of it but SEO is trading happily at 14-15p while making a 3.2 million loss, and most commentators seem to think that is about right. Whichever way i cut it, the licenses for multiples of 20,000 tonnes of Starpol material should wipe that out at a stroke and still leave the Greenseal and Mondini and ciggy filters and all the rest, and not forgetting that the licenses are the start of a controlled roll out!!
Still needs details of the business model to price it all though, but I am more confident that ever.
Good luck with EPY, MP. I am in 18 stocks at the moment and so I am looking mainly at exits rather than entries!!
BTW, ITR and our beloved PCM look very promising, and the trading patterns for my oldest stock (BBC) are very odd. Big T Trades, all selling and the price has gone up on days like that!! Biggest land bank they ever had, slightly disappointing year ends. Adds up to bid speculation to me or someone building a stake. DYOR and WTF do I know!!
Alan
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