markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
eddieshare
- 28 Sep 2005 20:38
- 1809 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks Lynnzal, can you post the chart with your findings please ? I'm unfamiliar with the count (ABC).
The bears were in again today taking DES down to the low 0.3000p. The bulls came in at this area taking DES back up to the close 0.3750p. This may be suggesting the bulls don't want to allow the close to go under 0.3050p, this was the low close from the top close 0.6800p (doji top on the daily chart). However the hammer (25/05/05) 0.2850p has been penetrated on (22/09/05) the day of the announcement. DES has not closed under the hammer (the lowest point of the shadow), this suggests the hammer is still intact. Todays candle has bearish implications, but the lower shadow suggests the bulls were buying near the low area. Todays close is very near to the low 0.3050p. If the bulls don't manage to defend this area then bears may take DES closer to the bottom of the hammer.
Good Luck All
Eddie
eddieshare
- 28 Sep 2005 23:10
- 1811 of 6492
Hi markymar
You'll meet yourself going out if you keep working this late.
Hope its good news, any clues ?
Kind Regards
Eddie
eddieshare
- 29 Sep 2005 07:48
- 1812 of 6492
Hi all
A few late trades showing this morning (550,00 & 100,000). I hope they are buys.
Good Luck All
Eddie
luckyswimmer
- 29 Sep 2005 09:36
- 1813 of 6492
Eddie, that 550,000 is the third such buy recently. I thought the first two might be a rollover but now we have an odd number of trades so hopefully someone is picking these up. Now is a good time for a strong bounce.
22/9 1.1m 32p
26/9 550,000 33.68
26/9 550,000 33.75
28/9 550,000 33.75
fatoldgit
- 29 Sep 2005 18:58
- 1814 of 6492
I've done some more thinking.
(dangerous, I know.)
Just got the interim report on the doormat, cash is 25.25m, shares in existence 216.8m. Net cash per share = 11.5p.
Pre the 3d survey and associated rights issue, the shares bobbed around at 8 - 12p I think. (memory fairly good on this) Thus the market attributed this price (say 10p) to the licences. Since then the oil price has more than doubled...I guess the licences are now worth 13p (?)
The 3d survey is supposed to be the dogs Bollo**s so must be worth something (3p?)
I'm up to 27.5p. These are cheap....not saying they won't get cheaper because a lot of people hacked off and dumping.
Time to buy in my book. Did so today, just a few ....
eddieshare
- 29 Sep 2005 20:40
- 1815 of 6492
Hi all
Well nice to hear you can still think fatoldgit.
DES closed at a new low today (0.2975p), the previous low was (0.3050p). This is from the top price (0.6800p) 11/01/05. The only support I can see left is at the bottom of the hammer (0.2850p) 25/05/05. After that we would be looking back to last November at start of the rally with a gap up window (0.2800p) 08/11/05. After todays selling volume I'm suprised DES hasn't closed under these prices. Todays candle has bearish implications, however DES has not closed under the hammer. The shadow under todays candle, suggests the bulls were buying at the lower end again. The buying volume however was low. We need a lot more bulls tomorrow otherwise the support from the hammer will be gone.
Good Luck All
Eddie
eddieshare
- 29 Sep 2005 23:35
- 1817 of 6492
Hi markymar
Yes I think it's fatoldgit.
Here are the figures I have. Total trades 150. (buys 20) (sell 97) (unknown 33) = 150. (buy volume 147,000. 42,000) (sell volume 1.51million. 428,000) (unknown volume 1.09million. 313,000) a lot of unknown.
Then look at the open, high, low, close.
Open 0.3075p, High 0.3075p, Low 0.2750p, Close 0.2925p.
Take the close from the open 0.3075 - 0.2925 = 0.015p. Todays change.
Then take the low from the close 0.2925 - 0.2750 = 0.0175p. The difference between the low and the close, seem to sugest the unknown were buys. This is why the shadow is so long. It is also the reason why I'm saying the bulls seem to be buying at the lower end. (unknown value 313,000 volume 1.09million).
Kind Regards
Eddie
lynnzal
- 30 Sep 2005 09:43
- 1818 of 6492
Hi Eddie & all.
Above is the chart that goes with my previous comment (#1808).
As I mentioned, the break down through 28.5p labelled 'A' meant that the prior recovery off that low could not be impulsive. Therefore, the terminus of '2' has yet to be seen. Near-term I think we have scope for recovery towards the 34p area as we complete the (b) leg off the 27.25p low. This should then see further downside to sub 20p under current calculations (although there is further possible downside risk). That final move would conclude the correction off the 69.75p high and be the beginnings of a major third wave advance that will carry us through 69.75p. Please note that the lines that I have appended are not indicative of the timescale that will be involved.
Regards Lynnzal
eddieshare
- 30 Sep 2005 18:45
- 1819 of 6492
Hi all
Thanks for the chart Lynnzal.
DES managed to move up today, this therfore means the hammer is still intact. The volume was a bit lower today and also a bit odd. Todays candle has bullish implications, but cofirmation of the markets intentions is needed. So were looking at support at about 0.2850p, resistance about 0.3400p at the moment. Britishbulls.com have DES on a buy if today.
Good Luck All
Eddie
maddoctor
- 30 Sep 2005 22:07
- 1820 of 6492
lynzal , if the A wave is as you suggest surely it should be a 5 , and not abc. I know the numbering can be a problem , perhaps you could amplify
liked the figure of 90% accuracy , pity Prechter and his boys could not manage that during 2003 , 2004 and early 2005 , they cost me with their predictions of the end of the world as we know it.
markymar
- 01 Oct 2005 09:33
- 1821 of 6492
Cheers for the input Eddie and Lynzal looks intresting!
http://www.upstreamonline.com/hardcopy/news/article99404.ece
Desire puts drill plans on hold
BRITISH minnow Desire Petroleum has been forced to shelve plans to drill exploration wells off the Falkland Islands because it cannot get a rig, writes Iain Esau.
When the company surveyed rig availability at the end of last year, seven of the 10 companies contacted said they had a suitable drilling unit available.
However, after talks with rig owners, it emerged there was only one suitable rig available, but Desire said it was "unable to agree an acceptable contract".
The company and its drilling advisor Peak Well Management hope that rig availability improves in 2006, although Desire said it may consider farming out part of its acreage if the interested party has access to a rig.
coeliac1
- 01 Oct 2005 09:51
- 1822 of 6492
Can I ask who operates the tranche to the west of Desire tranche C (Ann) please?
There is also a tranche F to the south called "Desire non operated".Does that mean they have the licence but don't plan to drill there?
Thanks
lynnzal
- 02 Oct 2005 22:59
- 1827 of 6492
Hi maddoctor, thanks for the input. Actually, in corrective patterns, its only the C leg that should be broken down into 5 waves, but I haven't shown that to avoid confusion. Generally corrective waves are either zig-zags (5-3-5) or flats (3-3-5). Therefore I am calling this an 'irregular flat' correction. Of course it may be a double-three. I.e. a-b-c-x-a-b-c, but to mention that would start making this thread way to complex for most readers.
By the way, I think prechter is calling for meltdown in 2012 now, so u still have time to make a few quid. Personally I don't worry what they think. Just DYOR!
maddoctor
- 03 Oct 2005 09:14
- 1828 of 6492
lynnzal , thanks for reply , always interested in interpretation.
Prechter's book "View from the top of the Grand Supercycle" had me convinced and caused me to have a short view for far too long. Taught me however to never believe in guru,s :-(((
p.s. many lurkers out there and a full explanation will always interest some punters