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ASOS: BUY AT LOW PRICE!!!! (ASC)     

wilco99 - 12 Sep 2003 15:52

ASOS have dropped quite significantly in the past week for no particular reason and I view this as the perfect opportunity to invest as I can see them bouncing right back up to the 5.50p mark in the next 2-3 weeks. STRONG BUY!!


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=ASC&Si

stockdog - 15 Sep 2006 17:36 - 1863 of 5941

no doubt bouyed up by the latest reports from Next which seem well ahead of market expectations.

intersting to note that the recent trough bounced off the long-term up trend from early 2004.

no reason why this should not continue for a nother year or so, notwithstanding the inevitable intervening shorter-term cycles.

not sure about the magazine - could be a distraction from the real event. how long to break even?

sd

robinhood - 21 Sep 2006 11:17 - 1864 of 5941

charts looking even better still.....up 5.25 p/s today

WOODIE - 21 Sep 2006 11:20 - 1865 of 5941

why the rise today?

WOODIE - 21 Sep 2006 11:20 - 1866 of 5941

why the rise today?

robinhood - 21 Sep 2006 11:48 - 1867 of 5941

f*** knows.... may be triggered by some techn trades

WOODIE - 21 Sep 2006 11:53 - 1868 of 5941

thanks robin

WOODIE - 11 Oct 2006 07:14 - 1869 of 5941

ASOS plc
('ASOS' or 'the Company')
(Leading online fashion retailer)

AGM STATEMENT



* ASOS.com sales up 93% for the 6 months to 30 September 2006

* 1,075,000 registered users as at 10 October 2006 (675,000 as at 11 October
2005)

* Continuing investment in infrastructure to support future growth plans

* Confident that the full year results will be in line with market
expectations

Nick Robertson, the Chief Executive, will make the following comments on current
trading at the Annual General Meeting to be held at 11.00am today at the
Chartered Accountants' Hall, One Moorgate Place, London, EC2R 6EA.

'I am pleased to report a strong first half performance with sales for ASOS.com
93% ahead for the 6 months to 30th September 2006. This is the result of the
investment made last year in our buying and merchandising teams and the
subsequent increase in the number of products available from 1500, 12 months
ago, to 4000 now. Encouragingly, all departments have recorded strong growth
with our branded and footwear divisions performing particularly well.

As previously advised, we have continued to invest in our infrastructure in the
first half of the year to support future growth plans. This will be reflected in
the administrative costs in the interim results to be released on 28 November
2006.

At this stage, despite much tougher comparables ahead (after adjusting for the
impact of the Buncefield fuel depot explosion) and the peak trading period still
to come, the board remains confident that the full year results will be in line
with market expectations.'


queen1 - 13 Oct 2006 13:02 - 1870 of 5941

Why the sudden dash south? I would have thought this week's results would have had quite the opposite effect. Why sell now?!

stockdog - 13 Oct 2006 13:31 - 1871 of 5941

no idea - v. depressed.

WOODIE - 13 Oct 2006 14:04 - 1872 of 5941

have not got a clue why they would sell

robinhood - 08 Nov 2006 09:09 - 1873 of 5941

sp has broken 50 and 200 MA and is getting close to an all time high- keep it going boys

stockdog - 08 Nov 2006 13:42 - 1874 of 5941

50's coming up to cross up thorugh the upward moving 200 - golden cross almost inevitable sometimg next week.

queen1 - 08 Nov 2006 22:17 - 1875 of 5941

Where might it wander to once the cross has been reached and breached I wonder?

stockdog - 10 Nov 2006 12:34 - 1876 of 5941

Golden Cross possibly Monday, definitely Tuesday, if SP just holds level at 103p.

Need some nice continuing volume to take SP up to and through the all time high to new ground. Looking increasingly likely we will be motoring that way in the run up to Xmas.



WOODIE - 10 Nov 2006 12:39 - 1877 of 5941

sd lets hope so

queen1 - 28 Nov 2006 08:46 - 1878 of 5941

ASOS, the AIM-listed internet fashion retailer, has reported a first-half pretax profit and said it is optimistic of another 'excellent' year's trading.

For the six months to September 30th the company, which sells cheap versions of celebrity clothes, made a profit before tax and an exceptional item of 269,000 compared to a loss of 44,000 last time.

Pretax profit after an exceptional gain of 570,000, relating to insurance proceeds from the Buncefield oil depot explosion which blew ASOS' warehouse roof off, was 839,000 compared to a loss of 44,000.

ASOS.com sales increased 94% to 15.6m, while group sales rose 91% to 15.9m.

The retailer said the sales increase reflected last year's investment in its buying and merchandising teams and the subsequent increase in the number of products available to 4,000 from 1,500.

The website is aimed at internet savvy 18-34 year olds, ASOS had over 1.1 mln registered users as of November 27th, up from 725,000 at the same point last year.

ASOS has made a good start to the second half with ASOS.com sales up 62% year-on-year for the eight weeks to November 26th.

Prior to today's statement analysts were forecasting a year to end-March 2007 pretax profit of about 3.3 mln stg, up from 1.53 mln stg last time.

EWRobson - 28 Nov 2006 12:27 - 1879 of 5941

Super results. Only downside is that the sales for the recent 8-week period are 'only' up 62%. Prospective pe around 25 - what do you think doggy friend? your tail must be wagging on these results. Share coming onto radar of larger Trusts? An investment share rather than speculators now.

Eric

queen1 - 28 Nov 2006 12:37 - 1880 of 5941

No response from the sp though which is extremely disappointing.

stockdog - 28 Nov 2006 19:59 - 1881 of 5941

Eric - from my good friend Donaferentes on the other side - pretty much reflects my views:-

Talking of operating margin, I see the gross margin has fallen from 06H1 48% to 06FY 46.7% to 07H1 43.5%. I guess the increased product range hads brought lower margined goods in with it. Still 43.5% is not bad. Let's hope we can hold it there.

For 07H2 - allowing sales of 24m (to make 40m total for the year) at a gross margin of 42%(?) less overheads of 7m add interest of 50k less tax at 30%, gives net profit after tax of 2,191,000. Add this to H1 net profits of 607k, divided by fully diluted shares in issue of 76m, for a full year EPS of 3.68p, a PE of 28 and a PEG of 0.3.

For 2008 forecasts we could see the following figures:-
Turnover +33% 53.2m
Margin 42%
Overhead 16m (??)
Interest 120k
Tax 30% (will be less due to deferred tax credits and capex allowances)
Net Profit 4,525k
Shares 76.5m
EPS 5.91p
Growth 61%
SP 143p = 40% increase from today's price over the next 12 months
PE 24.3
PEG 0.4 still humble enough to qualify as a growth share a year from now
plus there should be dividends on top adding another 1%(?) return

I look forward to the January statement and 2008 revised brokers' forecasts.

EWRobson - 28 Nov 2006 21:36 - 1882 of 5941

Excellent 'dog'trine according to sd. Effectively, next year is seen as pe of 17 at current price; pe of 24 more likely and therefore an sp of 143p or so. Seems eminently reasonableand a nice little earner. very low risk too as they got by burning their warehouse down with only a blip on trading.

What are your views on new initiatives. The US market must be attractive and not that costly to entry. Depends how ambitious they are. A bit more risk but potentially large returns. Cash generation is good and not much in the way of demand on capital.

Eric
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