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The Forex Thread (FX)
hilary
- 31 Dec 2003 13:00
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MightyMicro
- 03 Sep 2004 15:08
- 1887 of 11056
Glad your oscillators are functioning but Cable doesn't seem to be behaving accordingly.
D.
hilary
- 03 Sep 2004 15:22
- 1888 of 11056
I know ..... sad when the oscillators don't work, isn't it? ISM below forecasts too? What's a girl to do?
The trouble is, too many players see Cable as being a longer term carry trade sell now and are quick to offload into any rally. Their argument is very simplistic in that US interest rates have got further to rise percentage wise from 1.5% than UK rates have from 4.75%. Fundamentally, I disagree but technically the chart says that the 1.90 high is quite probably in place.
hilary
- 04 Sep 2004 17:34
- 1889 of 11056
|
Date |
Country/ Currency |
Event |
GMT |
CONSENSUS |
PREVIOUS |
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|
5-Sep |
NZD |
Revised Trade Balance (July) |
23:45 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Sun |
JPY |
Capital Spending |
23:50 |
7% |
10.20% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
6-Sep |
AUD |
ANZ Job Ads (Aug) |
1:30 |
- |
-0.6% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Mon |
GBP |
NTC, Deloitte & REC Report of Jobs |
9:30 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German BBK Factory Orders M/M (Jul P) |
10:00 |
1.5% |
-3.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German BBK Factory Orders Y/Y (Jul P) |
10:00 |
5.7% |
4.2% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
BRC Retail Sales Monitor (Aug) |
17:00 |
2.0% |
1.8% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Official Reserve Assets (Aug) |
23:50 |
- |
$819.2B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
US Markets Closed For Labor Day |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
7-Sep |
JPY |
Leading Economic Index (Jul P) |
5:00 |
66.7% |
60.0% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Tues |
JPY |
Coincident Index (Jul P) |
5:00 |
77.8% |
88.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CHF |
Unemployment Rate (Aug) |
5:45 |
3.6% |
3.6% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CHF |
Unemployment Rates s.a. (Aug) |
5:45 |
3.9% |
3.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italy Consumer Confidence Ind.nsa (Aug) |
7:30 |
101.5 |
102.9 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italy Consumer Confidence Ind.sa (Aug) |
7:30 |
100.5 |
100.8 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Industrial Production M/M (July) |
8:30 |
0.4% |
-0.3% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Industrial Production Y/Y (July) |
8:30 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Manufacturing Production M/M |
8:30 |
0.50% |
-0.70% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
Euro-zone GDP s.a. Q/Q (Q2) |
9:00 |
0.50% |
0.60% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
Euro-zone GDP s.a. Y/Y (Q2) |
9:00 |
2.00% |
1.30% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
EC Publishes Q3 & Q4 GDP Forecasts |
9:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
Industrial Production M/M (July P) |
10:00 |
0.9% |
-1.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
Industrial Production Y/Y (July P) |
10:00 |
1.5% |
2.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Building Permits M/M (Jul) |
12:30 |
- |
27.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
NIESR GDP Estimate (Aug) |
12:30 |
- |
0.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Aug) |
14:00 |
55 |
51 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed McTeer Speaks on Outlook for Economy |
17:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
AUD |
RBA Monetary Policy Announcement |
23:30 |
5.25% |
5.25% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Money Supply, M2 Y/Y (Aug) |
23:50 |
1.9% |
1.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
hilary
- 04 Sep 2004 17:34
- 1890 of 11056
|
Date |
Country/ Currency |
Event |
GMT |
CONSENSUS |
PREVIOUS |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
8-Sep |
AUD |
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (Sept) |
0:30 |
|
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Wed |
AUD |
Home Loans (July) |
1:30 |
4.0% |
-3.3% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Announcement |
6:00 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Eco Watchers Survey: Current (Aug) |
6:00 |
- |
54.3 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (Aug) |
6:00 |
- |
53.4 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian Business Confidence (Aug) |
7:30 |
94.5 |
95 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Announcement |
13:00 |
2.25% |
2.00% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed Greenspan Testifies On Economy and Fiscal Outlookk |
14:30 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CHF |
SNB Director Hildebrand speaks |
15:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed's Beige Book |
18:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Consumer Credit (July) |
19:00 |
$7.0B |
$6.6B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
NZD |
RBNZ Monetary Policy Announcement |
21:00 |
6.25% |
6.00% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Current Account Total (July) |
23:50 |
Y1697.5B |
Y1280.9B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Adjusted Current Account Total (July) |
23:50 |
Y1545.1B |
Y1311.0B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Trade Balance - BOP Basis (July) |
23:50 |
Y1280.0B |
Y1345.6B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
9-Sep |
AUD |
Employment Change (Aug) |
1:30 |
25 |
21.6 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Thurs |
AUD |
Unemployment Rate (Aug) |
1:30 |
5.6% |
5.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Machinery Orders M/M (July) |
6:00 |
-2.2% |
3.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Machinery Orders Y/Y (July) |
6:00 |
10.4% |
10.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Machine Tool Orders Y/Y (Aug P) |
7:00 |
- |
43.9% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German CPI M/M (Aug F) |
7:00 |
- |
0.3% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German CPI - EU Harmonised M/M (Aug F) |
7:00 |
- |
0.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German CPI Y/Y (Aug F) |
7:00 |
- |
1.8% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German CPI - EU Harmonised Y/Y (Aug F) |
7:00 |
- |
2.0% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German Trade Balance (July) |
7:00 |
EUR15.0B |
EUR14.7B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
DEM |
German Current Account Balance (July) |
7:00 |
EUR6.0B |
EUR8.2B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian Industrial Orders s.a. M/M (June) |
7:30 |
0.9% |
-1.2% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian Industrial Orders Y/Y (June) |
7:30 |
2.4% |
2.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
ECB to Release September Monthly Report |
8:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Visible Trade Balance GBP/Mn (July) |
8:30 |
-4800M |
-4973M |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Trade Balance Non EU25 GBP/Mn (July) |
8:30 |
-2400M |
-2640M |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
GBP |
Bank of England Monetary Policy Announcement |
11:00 |
4.75% |
4.75% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
hilary
- 04 Sep 2004 17:35
- 1891 of 11056
|
Date |
Country/ Currency |
Event |
GMT |
CONSENSUS |
PREVIOUS |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
9-Sep |
CAD |
Housing Starts (Aug) |
12:15 |
226.5k |
218.7k |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Thurs |
CAD |
Capacity Utilization Rate (Q2) |
12:30 |
84.3% |
83.5% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
continued |
CAD |
New Housing Price Index M/M (July) |
12:30 |
0.50% |
0.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Import Price Index M/M (Aug) |
12:30 |
0.60% |
0.2% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 4) |
12:30 |
346k |
362k |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Wholesale Inventories (July) |
14:00 |
0.60% |
1.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed Yellen Speaks On Economic Outlook |
20:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
NZD |
Terms of Trade Index Q/Q (Q2) |
22:45 |
- |
2.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
GDP Q/Q (Q2 Final) |
23:50 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
GDP Y/Y (Q2 Final) |
23:50 |
1.9% |
1.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Domestic Consumer Goods Price Index M/M (Aug) |
23:50 |
0.20% |
0.40% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Export Price Index M/M (Aug) |
23:50 |
- |
0.60% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Import Price Index M/M (Aug) |
23:50 |
- |
0.00% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
10-Sep |
AUD |
Pre-Election Fiscal and Economic Outlook |
1:30 |
|
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
Fri |
CHF |
GDP Q/Q (Q2) |
5:45 |
0.5% |
0.4% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CHF |
GDP Y/Y (Q2) |
5:45 |
2.0% |
1.5% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Consumer Confidence (Aug) |
6:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
48.7 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
JPY |
Bank of Japan Monthly Report |
6:00 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
FRF |
French Trade Balance (July) |
6:45 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
-EUR304M |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian GDP sa Q/Q (Q2 final) |
7:30 |
0.30% |
0.40% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
ITL |
Italian GDP sa Y/Y (Q2 final) |
7:30 |
1.1% |
0.70% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
EUR |
Eurozone OECD Leading Indicator (July) |
10:00 |
- |
106.3 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Unemployment Rate (Aug) |
11:00 |
7.20% |
7.20% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
Net Change in Employment |
11:00 |
20k |
8.7k |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
CAD |
International Merchandise Trade (July) |
12:30 |
C$7.5B |
C$8.6B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Producer Price Index M/M (Aug) |
12:30 |
0.2% |
0.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
PPI Ex Food & Energy M/M (Aug) |
12:30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Producer Price Index Y/Y (Aug) |
12:30 |
- |
4.0% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
PPI Ex Food & Energy Y/Y (Aug) |
12:30 |
- |
1.7% |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Trade Balance (July) |
12:30 |
-$51.5B |
-$55.8B |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed McTeer Speaks in Dallas |
13:30 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
|
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
USD |
Fed Pianalto Spaeks on Economy |
14:30 |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]> |
< ![if !supportEmptyParas]> < ![endif]>
moonblue
- 06 Sep 2004 12:47
- 1892 of 11056
MightyMicro
- 06 Sep 2004 13:44
- 1893 of 11056
moonblue
- 06 Sep 2004 14:27
- 1894 of 11056
and the 1.88..so if the 17100 comes off..im going long
MightyMicro
- 06 Sep 2004 14:31
- 1895 of 11056
hilary
- 06 Sep 2004 14:54
- 1896 of 11056
For now, the debt mountain isn't getting any smaller and institutions are still prepared to lend at ridiculous income multiples and on hare-brained self-certification schemes.
moonblue
- 06 Sep 2004 15:49
- 1897 of 11056
MightyMicro
- 06 Sep 2004 16:03
- 1898 of 11056
Or is this just your way of saying that Euro-entry in impossible given the radical differences in our economic structures?
(Please don't infer that I'm a Euro-enthusiast . . . :)
hilary
- 06 Sep 2004 17:23
- 1899 of 11056
It appears that neither of us are Euro enthusiasts.
:o)
Personally, I can't see us joining the single currency for a long, long time yet, if at all. The sooner Bliar gets the message that it'll never work into his thick head, the sooner we can all move on, imo.
chocolat
- 07 Sep 2004 00:38
- 1900 of 11056
hilary
- 07 Sep 2004 07:53
- 1901 of 11056
MightyMicro
- 07 Sep 2004 11:25
- 1902 of 11056
In yesterday's FT, Wolfgang Munchau wrote that the lack of a political union is what threatens the Euro. In fact, he claims that the new constitution will be ineffective and lack the authority to enforce economic policy. So the Euro might fall apart, he says.
chocolat
- 07 Sep 2004 11:43
- 1903 of 11056
STORMCALLER
- 07 Sep 2004 11:54
- 1904 of 11056
foale
- 07 Sep 2004 12:08
- 1905 of 11056
dont like him...but it will happen
House prices in Wales fell 8%...last MONTH...
chocolat
- 07 Sep 2004 12:24
- 1906 of 11056
Anyone been here?
http://www.euabc.com/index.phtml?action=set_country&country_id=28&word_id=220
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