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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

cynic - 11 Dec 2015 14:24 - 19073 of 21973

not much sign of support at the numbers above :-(

cynic - 11 Dec 2015 14:36 - 19074 of 21973

had a quick and very small duck in/out of dow and got lucky with +64

cynic - 11 Dec 2015 15:17 - 19075 of 21973

DOW
~17,380 is proving the current resistance level having been there 4x on the recovery tack, but has fallen off each time

HARRYCAT - 11 Dec 2015 15:27 - 19076 of 21973

I thought that the Fed were almost guaranteed to raise their base rate next wed, so I assume that the decision was already factored in. Traders in the US have expressed the probability as 74%.

cynic - 11 Dec 2015 16:22 - 19077 of 21973

FTSE will close in a few minutes having clocked up 6 down days on the spin!

jimmy b - 11 Dec 2015 16:27 - 19078 of 21973

Can i come out now ? .

cynic - 11 Dec 2015 16:29 - 19079 of 21973

nope ..... the all clear hasn't yet sounded

cynic - 11 Dec 2015 17:22 - 19080 of 21973

DOW
currently down very nearly 300 at 17,280

Claret Dragon - 11 Dec 2015 20:12 - 19081 of 21973

Recession being priced in for next year.

cynic - 14 Dec 2015 11:31 - 19082 of 21973

this morning's rally looks to have petered out very quickly

jimmy b - 14 Dec 2015 11:40 - 19083 of 21973

Wednesday could be important as to which way we go.

cynic - 14 Dec 2015 11:53 - 19084 of 21973

all totally unpredictable
this morning, it looked as though the markets "felt" oversold and rallied nicely without being silly ...... that lasted about 2 hours and now everything looking ever more bleak

jimmy b - 14 Dec 2015 11:54 - 19085 of 21973

Oil down again ! , it does feel as though we have somewhere near bottomed out .

HARRYCAT - 14 Dec 2015 12:05 - 19086 of 21973

Talk on Bloomberg from analysts and 'experts' seem to agree on circa $30 pb as the bottom for Brent.
Even the pumping nations have to service their debt, so the theory is that paying off the interest has to be achievable at the very least. Less than $30 pb would put that at risk.

2517GEORGE - 14 Dec 2015 12:16 - 19087 of 21973


This won't have helped


Last week, Third Avenue Management shut down its $788m ‘Focused Credit Fund’ – a fund investing in corporate bonds.
2517

cynic - 14 Dec 2015 12:22 - 19088 of 21973

nor this ......
Oil tumbles towards crisis-era lows
Oil is close to surpassing its low hit during the financial crisis, with Brent crude falling below $37 a barrel in Monday trading.


nor this ......
Wells Fargo warns of ‘stresses’ in its energy portfolio
The head of corporate banking at Wells Fargo, the biggest bank in the world by market capitalisation, has warned of “stresses” in its energy portfolio, as the ongoing slump in the price of oil begins to weigh heavily on servicers and producers

2517GEORGE - 14 Dec 2015 12:31 - 19089 of 21973


From the same article as post 19087

Much of the problem is down to stress in the energy sector. As the oil price has fallen, more and more energy companies have been struggling. Indeed, energy trader John Arnold told CNBC last week that he expects “half of US energy companies to go bankrupt next year if oil prices do not rebound”.
2517

cynic - 14 Dec 2015 14:26 - 19090 of 21973

but i'ld like to think that coutts have it right .......

This past year saw some big swings in financial markets, driven more by sentiment than by any significant change in the economic fundamentals. We think any lingering gloom is likely to clear up as we head into 2016.
While perceptions often drive markets in the short run, our long-term investment approach is to look for economic reality to reassert itself. For example, last year’s big plunge in oil prices was widely regarded as a sign of a sharp slowdown in global growth, but we saw it as good news for the world’s consumers, who tend to spend the windfall from lower fuel bills.
As we explain in our title feature ‘Reasons to be cheerful’, we think global growth will be surprisingly strong in 2016. We maintained our preference for equities over bonds when it wasn’t popular to do so, and we think this will pay off in due course.

cynic - 14 Dec 2015 15:24 - 19091 of 21973

both ftse and dow are all over the place with dow in one 10-minute spell covering a range of about 170 points!

somewhat worrying to see FTSE now having a peek at the important 5900 level

Chris Carson - 14 Dec 2015 15:28 - 19092 of 21973

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=UKX&Si


It's (not) beginning to look like Christmas! Not yet anyway. Maybe worth waiting till Thursday see how the markets react after Fed decision Wednesday.
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