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HBOS are they worth 49p (HBOS)     

mitzy - 15 Sep 2008 11:16

Today they have fallen 22% to a new low of 223p ..are they another Marconi..?

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HBOS&S

The chart looks like one long suicide note.

required field - 22 Sep 2008 16:55 - 269 of 569

You might as well forget about HBOS and just buy LLOY !, (that's if you want to buy into a bank).

Clubman3509 - 22 Sep 2008 17:50 - 270 of 569

I am finished with banks for now. I think there will be more problems and downward movement. USA bailout is complicated and it would seem not thought out 100%

Where Brown is getting the money from to help our housing market is anybody's guess. Perhaps he could ask Tony for a loan he is millions in pocket since leaving office.

mitzy - 23 Sep 2008 07:47 - 271 of 569

Will they follow Wall St and go down today or remain stable to further bank sell-offs.

cynic - 23 Sep 2008 08:00 - 272 of 569

i don't feel that UK and its banks are in such a parlous state as those in USA ..... certainly Dow looked as though it had substantially over-reacted on Friday, and I put money with mouth! .... in fact, since US close last night, I have gone modestly long Dow, for again I think the sell-off was badly overdone.

Though the new legislation and proposals in US will not provide instant cure, I would guess that they will be of considerable help, though there must be a cost to the US taxpayer somewhere down the line

nordcaperen - 23 Sep 2008 09:45 - 273 of 569

Wouldn't mind a punt on BB. but cant get in to buy - half of what the rights issue was a few weeks ago - got to be a take-over target at this level, still a crazy marketplace, can see it going on for weeks this. Hope the yanks sort themselves out sooner rather than later.

Clubman3509 - 23 Sep 2008 10:00 - 274 of 569

It is a good job the short sellers are stopped on banks otherwise I think BB would be down to 10p. I would not touch this with a barge pole.

dealerdear - 23 Sep 2008 10:07 - 275 of 569

Yes it makes you think what would have happened today.

All banks bankrupt I would think.

Clubman3509 - 23 Sep 2008 10:38 - 276 of 569

BB is on a big slide down now 23.50 down 16.81% today

mitzy - 30 Sep 2008 08:23 - 277 of 569

Could it be Lloyds will reconsider.

Clubman3509 - 30 Sep 2008 09:36 - 278 of 569

If I was Lloyds CEO I would be looking for a better deal, or big sweetners from HMG

If I was buying your house and I found out you were in real shit and the bailiffs were coming for you I think I could get a better deal than the agreed one with you.

hangon - 30 Sep 2008 11:31 - 279 of 569

((Clubman3509, I agree in Principle, but these guys know each other . . . they have been buddies for a few years and are unlikley to play rough. Rewards for failure an all that.... Sadly as mostly LLOY holder, I suspect we pay too much....))

Yet today's [HBOS] Buys and Sells are pretty even so far, and I suspect HBOS/LLOY is a decent fit as it stood. (Ann. just recently.)
However, IF it goes through ( and I expect it will!) then maybe you get a better deal by buying HBOS (now), rather than LLOY (i.e. now).
The movement in these shares is quite small considering the wild excesses over the Atlantic....and a few other Institutions finding difficulty in Europe - - - etc.

-These days are shaking quite hard!

Why HBOS fall? . . . if it doesn't go through, then HBOS is in weak territory . . . . so it depends on this . . . . hence the 10% fall represents this risk, . . . . .?

+ I can't see UK-Gov. letting this merger fail - the consequences of having a third bank failure in 160 years ( on GB's watch), will go down in history as Brown-Foolery, his mistake IMHO was to believe any early success was due to his presence (the Tories left him a decent Chest) and then he spent,spent,spent, + robbing Pension funds and recently several "bad-calls" like the 10p tax-rate which affected a small number of poor people out of proportion to any tax it raised. Folk on the breadline, want to keep their crusts! MP's earn so much they cannot understand the average, or below-average earners - and it might be said Pensioners whose real incomes slip down year on year . . . . yet tax/Duty/Fines remain the same whatever your income.

The lack of any reserves is also close to criminal, considering the vast tax-take he's presided over. That we now have to borrow makes us very weak Internationally. Then he did sell our Gold during a dip . . .+ so it goes on. Bad Luck - sure, ....but if you crash your new sports car, maybe you need some more lessons . . . . unfortunately he got them, not on a simulator, but for real AND where "We" have to pay for them. Grr.

Are they worth 49p - with LLOY on board for the Deal YES, without LLOY maybe another failure, particularly if the US refinancing doesn't go through.

Clubman3509 - 30 Sep 2008 11:48 - 280 of 569

hangon you forgot about Gordens biggest blunder

From The Sunday TimesApril 15, 2007

Goldfinger Browns 2 billion blunder in the bullion market
Chancellor ignored advice on sell-off

The sale of 400 tons of gold by Gordon Brown will have disasterous consequences for Britain. ... and how much did he get for it ?

mitzy - 30 Sep 2008 12:08 - 281 of 569

Talk that Lloyds are to offer less money for Hbos is undermining the shares today.

StarFrog - 30 Sep 2008 12:31 - 282 of 569

Where is all this speculative talk/nonsense about a lower offer from Lloyds coming from?

The offer document has already been posted to HBOS shareholders and as far as I am aware, that is a legally binding document. So the offer terms can not be changed.

Please feel free to correct me if I am being naive. LOL

spitfire43 - 30 Sep 2008 12:38 - 283 of 569

The market must have doubts about the takeover happening in it's present form, because with hbos at 123p and lloy at 225p the gap is increasing, and is along way from a fair post takerover price for hbos at about 186p.

cynic - 30 Sep 2008 12:41 - 284 of 569

phew! one of the very few intelligent moves i have made of late was to sell at 250 the day after after the bid was announced

spitfire43 - 30 Sep 2008 12:50 - 285 of 569

lloy is starting to move into positive territory now, the only bank to do so, there's something happening behind the scenes I believe. See news below.

LONDON, Sept 30 (Reuters) - Shares in HBOS, the UK bank that has accepted a bid from rival Lloyds TSB, fell more than 20 percent on Tuesday amid market talk Lloyds could renegotiate the deal.

By 1030 GMT, Lloyds shares were up 3.3 percent at 224.75 pence, giving its bid a value of 186.5 pence under the recommended offer which will see HBOS investors get 0.83 Lloyds shares for every HBOS share they own.

HBOS shares were down 11 percent at 127.2 pence, having earlier fallen as low as 113 pence.

Both banks declined to comment on the talk of a possible renegotiation, but said they were pressing ahead with the acquisition process.

cynic - 30 Sep 2008 13:34 - 286 of 569

under the old formula, i calculate that with LLOY at 227 (as now), HBOS would have been valued at 188 ...... HBOS is currently 128, so make of that what you will, always bearing in mind that there will always be something of a discount to cater for the time element involved

Guscavalier - 30 Sep 2008 13:41 - 287 of 569

Probably a good punt if you are of that way of thinking but, not for me, I will stick with Lloyds. Other factor may be the deal to be struck in the US as to how the debts are to be valued.

cynic - 30 Sep 2008 13:49 - 288 of 569

damn charts are down here (again!), but came to the conclusion that there was little downside at this price
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