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AFREN (AFR) Is this the next TULLOW??? (AFR)     

niceonecyril - 04 Apr 2009 08:30

< "> Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AFR&Siedit this post http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc-%28afr%29/rns/trading-statement-and-operations-update/201301210700069619
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2012-full-year-results/201303250700107200A/

In an attempt to cut down the header page,i've transferred some of the older news to Page1 post No.3.

http://www.oil-price.net/index.php?lang=en
http://www.ft.com/home/uk

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201111020700081674R
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201111150700250723S
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201112010705051251T
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201201170700146472V
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201201230701479690V
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4323758
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201204170700164488B
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201205140700212304D
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201205210700407032D
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4430164
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc-%28afr%29/rns/significant-new-seychelles-3d-seismic-programme/201212120700052973T/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2013-half-yearly-results/201308230700063334M/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/ogo-drilling-and-resources-update/201311190700083404T/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/trading-statement-and-operations-update/201401280700096280Y/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/interim-management-statement/201405200700135209H/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/interim-management-statement/201410300700116483V/
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4942625
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4943375

jimmy b - 16 Dec 2014 17:20 - 2770 of 3666

It's an uncrossed trade cyril .

derwent - 17 Dec 2014 16:14 - 2771 of 3666

5% up.

mitzy - 17 Dec 2014 16:35 - 2772 of 3666

Finished up 7% on the day.

derwent - 17 Dec 2014 23:44 - 2773 of 3666

Is Afren Plc A Buy Right Now?
By Royston Wild | Fool.co.uk – 10 hours ago

Afren PLC

RELATED QUOTES
Symbol Price Change
AFR.L 38.19 +2.26

To say that oil explorer Afren (LSE: AFR) has suffered an annus horribilis in 2014 would be something of a colossal understatement. Enduring weakness in the oil price, combined with financial improprieties in the boardroom and production reports badly missing forecasts, has severely crimped investor appetite for the firm in recent times.

As a result shares in the business have tumbled 79% during the course of the year, and bottomed out at just under 33p per share this week, the lowest for almost six years.
Drilling report reveals terrific potential

Still, shares flipped almost 10% higher yesterday following a positive drilling update at its operations in East Africa, viewed by many as a potential growth driver in future years.

Afren announced that drilling and coring work at its Block 1101 onshore project in Madagascar had completed, revealing the presence of oil resevoirs across the Triassic, Jurassic and Cretaceous zones. The company plans to carry out further analysis of the area during the first quarter of 2015, positive results from which could thrust shares higher again
A snip at current prices

The City's army of analysts do not expect the firm's earnings improvement to offer much reason for cheer over the next year as group-wide production problems endure, however. Indeed, current forecasts indicate a 61% decline in earnings for this year to 11p per share. And an additional 29% decline is chalked in for 2015 to 7.8p per share.

Still, I believe that Afren still provides excellent value at current levels. The business changes hands on a modest P/E multiple of 3.3 times prospective earnings for 2014, some way below the benchmark of 10 times or below which marks represents stunning value. And this remains low at just 4.4 times for 2015.

Make no mistake: the revenues-crushing impact of declining oil prices is not expected to dissipate any time soon as surging US shale output and rampant production from OPEC nations swamps the market with oodles of new capacity. And with the global economy continuing to waver and US stockpiles breaking at the seams this imbalance is likely to be rectified any time soon.

But given Afren's suite of top-notch projects and relatively low earnings multiples -- by comparison oil majors BP and Royal Dutch Shell change hands on forward readouts of 9.1 times and 8.7 times correspondingly -- the business can be considered a potentially explosive stock with less risk than its sector peers.

Watch your income flows gush with this Foolish advice

But whether or not you fancy stashing your investment cash in Afren, I would strongly urge you to check out the Fool's latest wealth report which highlights how you can make a packet from investing in the best income stocks around.

This ALL NEW and EXCLUSIVE report, titled "How To Create Dividends For Life," lays out the golden rules on what to do -- and what not to do -- when loading up on dividend-paying shares. Click here now to download your copy; it's 100% free and comes with no further obligation.

Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Afren. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

niceonecyril - 18 Dec 2014 10:36 - 2774 of 3666


http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/exxon-woos-gkp-to-gain-kurdish-base-6278531.html


Todd Kozel, believes the group could eventually go for double-figure billions. GKP is sitting on what is considered to be one of the world's great recent oil finds – Shaikan, about 50 miles north-west of Kurdistan's capital, Erbil – but the regional government is known to want a supermajor on board to properly fund and develop the field.

It is thought that the board would not accept the estimated £8-a-share that Exxon is considering and that a number of other companies, perhaps including China's Sinopec and Californian giant Chevron, are monitoring the situation. There is even some speculation that an informal four-way auction for GKP might be under way, while it is also believed that the company has spoken to at least two smaller businesses about potentially developing its assets in a joint venture.

niceonecyril - 18 Dec 2014 10:48 - 2775 of 3666

http://www.dailyfx.com/crude-oil

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

http://www.oil-price.net/index.php?lang=en

Seems that the above link is at odds with the one in the header?

$63.26 against $59.80????

niceonecyril - 18 Dec 2014 10:52 - 2776 of 3666

hxxp://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/crude.php

mentor - 18 Dec 2014 11:33 - 2777 of 3666

Which stock to buy for the bounce?

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=AFR&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AFR&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AFR&SiChart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=ENQ&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=ENQ&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=ENQ&SiChart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=GKP&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=GKP&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=GKP&SiChart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=OPHR&SizeChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=OPHR&SChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=OPHR&SChart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=XEL&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=XEL&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=XEL&Si

mentor - 18 Dec 2014 11:49 - 2778 of 3666

Intraday OIL price
------------------------------NYMEX ------------------------------------------------------------- BRENT -----------
Intraday
intraday.gif?s=NYMEX_CL.F15.E&t=l&w=5&a=chart?chart_primary_ticker=ICEEUR:BRNG5&

derwent - 18 Dec 2014 14:01 - 2779 of 3666

13% up so far today.

Hiram Abif - 18 Dec 2014 14:36 - 2780 of 3666

...'Santa Raleigh' ??

City folk need to top-out their accounts to gain their Xmas bonus. Probably a lot of short closing too.

DYOR

HAb

cynic - 18 Dec 2014 14:37 - 2781 of 3666

exceptionally heavy volume too

mentor - 19 Dec 2014 13:00 - 2782 of 3666

since the marked down at the start, is now on a intraday spike like

low of 38.50p to 43.50p now

the oil price is more of a yo yo but rising

jimmy b - 19 Dec 2014 14:11 - 2783 of 3666

Rising way ahead of all other oilers today .

Hiram Abif - 19 Dec 2014 14:49 - 2784 of 3666

Institution order filling completed or.....'Pump & Dump' day traders taking profits?

mentor - 19 Dec 2014 15:04 - 2785 of 3666

or
A SHORTER ON THE LOOSE?
Locked the door before ( it ) can scape
------------------------

A hughe volume 28M so far

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=AFR&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AFR&Si

bought some OPHR at 136.30p of the oil stocks bouncing back

cynic - 19 Dec 2014 15:10 - 2786 of 3666

and now well over 40m traded!

===========

panic bear closing or something potentially afoot?

mentor - 19 Dec 2014 15:20 - 2787 of 3666

OIL prices on the rise

the Brent pice has been rising and then a 50% retracement and up again with another 50% retracement so far

chart?chart_primary_ticker=ICEEUR:BRNG5&

live chart .......... http://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/brent.php

Hiram Abif - 19 Dec 2014 15:26 - 2788 of 3666

IMO ...even with the oil $/barrel in mid $55-$60 AFR have been well oversold, due to nervous Lemmings and over-shorting taking advantage. Institution know this and the potential which AFR has in the mid-term.

Yes AFR have some management issues which makes it an obvious shorters target on weak market / oil slippage. Also Nigeria have reduced its GDP expectations and their currency have dropped. All good for AFR. Iraq / Kurds are also starting to get on together, and secure production delivery.

Also AFR management keep stating that production will ramp up in near future. If I had the Cash I would be looking at this mid-cap Oil gem as a potential Bid target. Good reserves, exploration track record and generally ok Geo-political stable countries (now).

Will surf the SP wave I think.

DYOR

HAb

niceonecyril - 19 Dec 2014 22:55 - 2789 of 3666

Go with the flow,great week for those that did.
-----------------------------------------------------

">Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=AFR&Size=

----------------------------------------------------------------------------



From above by Bill Conerly

Development is the process of sinking more wells in a field that has already been proven by exploratory drilling. Development also includes building the local pipelines and terminals required to get the oil to a transportation facility. Development expenses are often worthwhile even at lower prices. For example, suppose that the all-in cost of oil from a brand new field is $80, of which $30 per barrel constitutes exploration. That means that development and production only costs $50 a barrel extra. If the exploration costs have already been paid, then companies will continue with development even at today’s $60 price.

Production is even cheaper. Traditionally, production costs were very small compared to exploration and development, but wells that are fracked have higher production costs that old-fashioned wells. Nonetheless, once the exploration and development have been paid for, it almost always makes sense to keep the wells pumping.
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