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Eureka Mining, the prospects are good. (EKA)     

PapalPower - 05 Feb 2006 04:44

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Size=283*18Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=EKA&Size=23rd Aug 2006 Write Up : http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/articles/article.asp?EKA


image-precious.asp?mode=1-year&focus=107191723.jpg
Main Web Site : http://www.eurekamining.co.uk

EKA is now a Molybdenum producer in Kazahkstan, and is in the process of bringing the Chelyabinsk Copper/Gold project into production in 2008.

Latest Presentation June 2006 : Presentation Link (10MB PPT file)



Research Report : http://www.fox-davies.com/FDC_Eureka_Report_220605.pdf


26th Jan 2006 Press Commentary : Press Link


About Eureka Mining

Key contact : Mr Kevin Foo Non-Exec Chairman
E-Mail : kevin.foo@eurekamining.co.uk


Eureka Mining Plc is a UK based mining exploration and project development company, focusing on projects in the Former Soviet Union. It is the Companys view that Kazakhstan and other central Asian FSU countries represent an area of significant opportunity. This belief is supported by the quality of the portfolio of assets which Eureka has acquired including;
the Shorskoye molybdenum deposit;
the acquisition of the Chelyabinsk Copper Project; and
the advanced exploration projects of Kentau, Mykubinsk and Central Kazakhstan projects. The Mykubinsk and Central Kazakhstan polymetallic project has assets situated in northern Kazakhstan and the Kentau exploration project has identified several gold and base metal deposits.

Shorskoye Molybdenum Project:

50/50 JV with KazAtomProm, largest Kazakhstan State Mining Company
Production projected for 1st Qtr 2006
Project Finance in place

Chelyabinsk Copper Project

Production planned for 2008
Very large resource base with with 3.57Mt Cu / 4.2Moz Au
First western group into Russian Copper Heartland and consequential opportunities in base metals


Kazakhstan Exploration Projects

At the Dostyk Copper-Gold Projects in Central Kazakhstan, we have reviewed all historical data and identified at least six drill targets, with particular focus on base metal projects. During 2004, we drilled five projects and completed significant field activity on two projects, including the high priority targets Berezky Central, Maiozek, Akkuduk (porphyry style), Ushtagan (epithermal gold), Maikain, Baygustam and Burovoy (VMS). We intend to focus on the most promising of these deposits in 2005/2006.

The Kentau Project in southern Kazakhstan has undergone an extensive data review, with a comprehensive Geographic Information Systems database being created. This has enabled us to plan a focused exploration programme on previously identified targets. Drilling is expected to commence in May 2005 at two of the best targets, using a large Reverse Circulation (RC) rig.

We entered into an option agreement to acquire the Nova Dnieprovka (Nova) Gold Mine in northern Kazakhstan. However, after a thorough assessment and reinterpretation of the project, including the completion of a drilling programme, we decided not to exercise the option and purchase agreement over the Nova project.

Our exploration and assessment teams are continuously reviewing potential projects for Eureka across the FSU and only the very best are selected for further work.
__________________________________________________________________


Some figures to think about (thanks to unionhall)

Current Market cap (@ 1.37) - 36m

Chelyabinsk NPV 508m (@ $1.60 copper and $550 Gold)

Shorskoye - 10m profit p/a @ $20 Moly



Major shareholders
Latest major holder figures are, from 26.6 million shares in issue :

Celtic Resources hold 15.02%
RAB Capital hold 6.19%
Kevin Foo holds 3.43% (Director)
David Bartley holds 3.02% (Director)
Malcom James holds 1.070% (Director)
Andrzej Sliwa holds 0.76% (Director)
JSB holds 0.177% (Director)




Latest News / Links / Research Reports

Reserach Report : http://www.fox-davies.com/FDC_Eureka_Report_220605.pdf

25th April 2006 Moly Update :
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/pebble.asp?relid=19141

2006 Moly Report : http://www.golden-phoenix.com/documents/TheEconomicsofMolybdenum.pdf

____________________________________________________________________

i001599p.jpg

The Company has used an average molybdenum price of US$19/lb throughout the first year and US$12/lb thereafter to calculate cash flows arising from the project.

(*Note : Molybdenum does not trade on the London Metals Exchange or any other publicly traded commodity exchange. Its price is determined solely by supply/demand in the marketplace and supply contracts. In a report dated Oct. 28, 2005, RBC Capital Markets forecast that 2006 and 2007 molybdenum prices would be approximately US$25/lb and US$15/lb, respectively [source: RBC Capital Markets, Global Base Metal Equity and Commodity Report Card, company reports].*)


How will the Moly be processed ? Eureka pulled off a deal with KazAtProm.Eureka has 15-year access to state-owned KazAtomProm's processing facilities, which will allow the company to start producing molybdenum concentrate in February.The processing plant also handles other minerals.The proximity of the plant to the Chinese border, allows for quick, cheap and simple transport links to a major demand area for Moly

Implementation and schedule of Moly production

Utilising the Stepnogorsk processing facility allows Eureka to develop the Shorskoye asset and take advantage of the buoyant molybdenum market, commencing mining in Q3 05 and saleable concentrate by Q1 06. The key project milestones are:

August 2005 - award contracts
August 2005 - first blast and ore to crusher
September 2005 - first ore to Stepnogorsk
October 2005 - first equipment to Stepnogorsk
February 2006 - concentrator commissioning (Stepnogorsk)
February 2006 - Chelyabinsk 100% purchased by Eureka

May 2006 - first production from Stepnogorsk (Skorshoye)

____________________________________________________________________

Molybdenum Information Links

http://www.freemarketnews.com/Analysis/60/3742/2006-02-10.asp?wid=60&nid=3742

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/reser092205.html

http://321energy.com/editorials/fross/fross120605.html

http://www.cozine.com/archive/cc2005/01370511.html


At 25$ / lb Moly prices : (Shorskoye Project)

2006 Moly production = 600,000 lbs = 14.7 million dollars sales price
2007 Moly production = 1,200,000 lbs = 29.4 million dollars sales price
2008 Moly production = 1,200,000 lbs = 29.4 million dollars sales price
2009 Moly production = 1,200,000 lbs = 29.4 million dollars sales price
2010 etc etc etc
___________________________________________________________

Recent Director Buying :

Kevin Foo BUY 5,000 on 21 June 2006 @ 81p
Kevin Foo BUY 18,000 on 21 June 2006 @ 90.3p
Kevin Foo BUY 9,000 on 22 June 2006 @ 92pb>

PapalPower - 10 Mar 2006 10:00 - 31 of 213

We are now just 4 to 5 weeks away from the first Moly production for Eureka, and also 8 to 10 weeks away from news the pre BFS is done.

The Fox Davies report puts the value at this stage at over 300p with a long term price target of over 500p when Chelyabinsk is on line from 2008, therefore we should be looking for a price of well over 200p once Moly production is on line and news comes from the pre BFS :


http://www.fox-davies.com/FDC_Eureka_Report_220605.pdf

Base Case: Around 330380p/share: this assumes US$1.10/lb copper long-term, US$20/lb molybdenum in 2006, and a discount rate of 20%.

Upper Case: Around 550p/share: this uses the Base Case metal prices, but uses a lower discount rate of 15%. The market will apply this lower rate over time, as management demonstrates success at Shorskoye and Chelyabinsk

PapalPower - 10 Mar 2006 10:00 - 32 of 213

Moly prices are still above 20$ and the Long Term outlook for Copper remains bullish. This was recent comment from Hemscott on copper 9th March :

There has been some nervousness over mining stocks on uncertainty over metal pricing negotiations and some oversupply. Copper prices fell back over the past few days to a low of around $4750/t although there are signs of recovery. 2006 commodity prices overall are set to be pretty buoyant against historical levels but not as high as in 2005, an exceptionally strong year. None of this, though, changes our fairly bullish long term view on commodities overall - there will inevitably be short term relaxation of sector performance and accompanying investor nervousness but, in our view, the long term path is up.

PapalPower - 10 Mar 2006 11:34 - 33 of 213

Nice moves today, L2 is 4 v 1 so there should be more to come as well.

PapalPower - 11 Mar 2006 02:22 - 34 of 213

If you have read the FoxD report on EKA and price targets, this takes a US1.1 per lb figure for copper long term. Presently the markert is volatile however long term many are expecting to see copper remain over 2$ on average.

Presently its 2.21$ per pound as per below :


"DJ Comex Copper Review: Reverses From Lows To End Higher 10th March

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Comex copper overcame a lower open and pressure
throughout the session to settled higher on Friday at the New York Mercantile
Exchange.

The most-active May contract settled 1.45 cents higher at $2.2100 per pound.
During the session the contract dipped to a $2.1550 low but buying interest
moved in to take it higher by the close.

Analysts at Barclays Capital in London said current trading conditions remain
highly nervous, creating large price volatility, with market participants
particularly uncertain over the effects of a rising interest-rate environment
across major economies.

"While higher borrowing costs might limit fund involvement, we think the
recent negative reaction in the base metal markets is exaggerated, based on the
outlook for supply and demand fundamentals," said Barclays.

Bill O'Neill, a managing partner at LOGIC Advisors, said copper has been
easing along with other metals, but he added that strong U.S. economic data on
Friday was helpful for copper.

The U.S. data, which also took the dollar higher, included a rise in nonfarm
payrolls by 243,000 after rising by a revised 170,000 in January and 145,000 in
December. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.8% last month from 4.7% in
January. The jobs figure rose above market expectations of 212,000 but
economists had been looking for a steady 4.7% unemployment reading.

Settlements (ranges include overnight and day sessions):
March(HGH06) $2.2170; up 1.25c; Range $2.1660-$2.2220
May (HGK06) $2.2100; up 1.45c; Range $2.1550-$2.2130 "

PapalPower - 11 Mar 2006 16:51 - 35 of 213

Molybdenum Price
US$24.50/lb
(Metal Bulletin,
U.S. molybdenum oxide,
Feb. 28, 2006)


Another link to get up to date Moly prices on :

http://www.bluepearl.ca/s/Home.asp

PapalPower - 11 Mar 2006 17:05 - 36 of 213

Good news for future Molybdenum prices in this article !

http://tinyurl.com/hhvrc


"In other news, South Korea plans to begin stockpiling strategic reserves of industrial metals needed for making electronic goods, according to an official at a state-run resources agency, cited in a Reuters report.
"If the metal imports from the countries are suspended because of war or natural disaster, this would badly hit South Korea's IT industry," an official at the Korea Resources Corporation was cited as saying.
Seoul will reportedly start from 2007 to stock pile 14 types of minor metals including indium, ferro-molybdenum, cobalt, manganese, antimony, ferro-titanium and ferro-tungsten. "

PapalPower - 13 Mar 2006 06:46 - 37 of 213

It would be good to get some detailed figures on just how much S Korea are going to stockpile, if they start to build up a large amount (like 1 year to 2 supply) then it will surely impact future prices by keeping them high, or even raising them.

It might also point to them getting ready for war before the end of this decade, as a final solution to the problems with North Korea.....that is not such a nice thought.

PapalPower - 13 Mar 2006 09:22 - 38 of 213

10K MM buy and a nice strong start to the week.

tallsiii - 13 Mar 2006 13:24 - 39 of 213

Things are picking up again at last. The expected drift downwards looks like it's now coming to an end as we approach April which will hopefully bring moly production.

PapalPower - 13 Mar 2006 13:43 - 40 of 213

Big news and big moves it should be now.

Roughly 4 to 5 weeks from April Moly production on line.

Then from that 4 to 6 weeks for pre BFS complete.

The from there 5 to 6 months for the very big one, BFS complete.

With BFS done this should be over 300p I think, so lets start the ball rolling slowely and build up first with Moly production on line, then some more before pre-BFS and then more for the final BFS done :)

PapalPower - 14 Mar 2006 00:57 - 41 of 213

A good day and remained strong at the end.

PapalPower - 14 Mar 2006 11:22 - 42 of 213

Another couple of tick ups.

A colleague of mine has been in contact with Jonathan Scott-Barrett yesterday at EKA, and the timescales of the recent RNS still hold, these being Moly production on line and producing in April, then pre-BFS complete in May and final BFS complete in December.

Excellent news :) no concerns or worries and all proceeding well.

silvermede - 14 Mar 2006 12:59 - 43 of 213

PP,

Just to let you know that your posts are read and appreciated, these do look good long term roll on 300p :)

PapalPower - 14 Mar 2006 13:54 - 44 of 213

silvermede, thats what BB's are for, information, even if I am talking to myself, the info is there for anyone to read, including the silent majority if they wish.

Things do look good, should be over 300p by year end on a complete and done BFS in December.

PapalPower - 15 Mar 2006 14:01 - 45 of 213

Bit of consolidation after some nice rises, should be a good buying op at around 126/127 before the next move up I think :)

PapalPower - 16 Mar 2006 01:19 - 46 of 213

Excellent news from unionhall given the earlier statement by Eureka and that year 1 starts April for Eureka production. Add into this Korean stockpiling in 2007 and it could yet remain well above 12$ for year 2, that would be fantastic !


"The Company has used an average molybdenum price of US$19/lb throughout the first year and US$12/lb thereafter to calculate cash flows arising from the project."




unionhall - 15 Mar'06 - 20:52 - 105 of 105
Chilean copper producer Antofagasta PLC said Tuesday it expected molybdenum prices to average about $23/lb in 2006 due to current tight supplies and the unlikelihood of significant supply increases. However, prices are expected to be lower than the Platts 2005 average moly oxide price of about $32/lb as the second-half of 2006 might see some slowing.

PapalPower - 17 Mar 2006 14:31 - 47 of 213

I am going to enhance my position in this before the end of March, expecting plenty of action here in April/May and also perhaps one thing we are forgetting, apart from Moly production April and May pre BFS, there is also the matter of the Kentau Gold Project, which is due an update, perhaps before the summer.

PapalPower - 17 Mar 2006 16:26 - 48 of 213

50K buy and then a 25K rollover right at the end.

Looks good for next week.

PapalPower - 19 Mar 2006 04:27 - 49 of 213

Only around 4 weeks now until Molybdenum production is on line, which means EKA moves from explorer to being producer/explorer, and that is a big change for the company in terms of vauation and also attraction, as it then has a cash generation bow to its string.

dale4j - 19 Mar 2006 05:31 - 50 of 213

PapalPower

Why do you think these dipped to below 100p around Christmas time? Steady climb since then.
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