Thought a place for metals news might be useful:

METALS-Copper slips, demand uncertainty dominates mood
Wed Oct 7, 2009 3:01pm EDT
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* Copper stocks rise again; highest since May * Investors eye mining labor talks * Analysts expect further support from dollar weakness
(Adds NEW YORK to dateline, recasts, adds New York closing copper
prices and analyst comments) By Chris Kelly and Rebekah Curtis NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 7 (Reuters) - Copper ended down a shade
on Wednesday in thin and volatile trade during Chinese holidays,
with rising stocks fueling uncertainty over demand against a
fragile economic background. Copper for December delivery HGZ9 on the New York Mercantile
Exchange's COMEX division eased 0.50 cent to settle at $2.7795 a
lb, after dealing in a session range between $2.7510 and $2.8040. On the London Metal Exchange (LME), copper for three-month
delivery MCU3 fell $21 to close at $6,095 a tonne. Prices of the metal used in power and construction have
doubled this year, driven by improving economic data, investor
flows and Chinese stockpiling. But sentiment has turned fragile in recent months as buying by
China, the world's top copper consumer, has tailed off and demand
from other world economies hampered by slowdown has yet to pick up
the slack. "There's been no effective economic growth caused by the
stimulus in the West," said John Meyer, analyst at Fairfax
investment bank. "We haven't seen any major infrastructure projects," he added.
"The only positive stimulus we've really seen is in China and
nearby regions." Trade was thin and volatile due a run of holidays in China
where markets shut on Oct. 1 for the National Day and Autumn
Festival holidays and only reopen on Friday. Additionally, nervousness in front of third-quarter earnings
results from aluminum producer Alcoa (AA.N) added to the lighter
conditions. "There is some nervousness out there in front of that number
that is keeping people a little bit to the sidelines today," said
Sterling Smith, an analyst for Country Hedging Inc in St. Paul,
Minnesota. "If Alcoa were to beat expectations, or up their guidance, or
preferably both, I think that will be very bullish for copper, and
for the industrial metals in general. I think you've got a lot of
hands being kind of quiet today ahead of it." A recent bout of more encouraging economic data has helped
underpin prices, including data showing German manufacturing
orders rose slightly more than expected in August on a boost from
foreign demand. [ID:nL7400974] STOCKS RISING Underlining demand concerns, LME copper stocks, which have
climbed since mid-July, rose 725 tonnes to 347,150 tonnes -- their
highest since May 2009. But recent dollar weakness is expected to support industrial
metals as a lower U.S. currency makes dollar-priced commodities
cheaper for holders of other currencies. And despite the dollar broadly firming on Wednesday, some
analysts see the currency falling further. [USD/] "If the dollar remains under pressure then the base metals
complex will continue to be supported and short players will
reduce risk," RBC Capital Markets said in a note. In the background, labor talks are being watched closely.
Chilean workers at Spence copper mine were in contract
negotiations with owner BHP Billiton (BLT.L)(BHP.AX).
[ID:nN06449937] "There are a number of potential supply issues hanging over
the market," said Gayle Berry, an analyst at Barclays Capital.
"That's offering a little bit of support." Aluminum MAL3 ended at $1,845 from $1,822. Zinc MZN3
closed at $1,935 a tonne from $1,921 and battery material lead
MPB3 at $2,155 from $2,150. Steel-making ingredient nickel MNI3 closed at $18,600 from
$18,130 and tin MSN3 at $14,700 from $14,675. Latest LME data showed that a dominant position still holds
more than 90 percent of tin stock warrants and cash contracts. The premium for cash material over the three-month future has
fallen to $430 a tonne from $695 a tonne last week on talk that
the position could be scaled back. [ID:nLN605546]
Metal Prices at 1842 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Ytd Pct move
COMEX Cu 276.75 -0.80 -0.29 139.50 98.39
LME Alum 1835.00 13.00 +0.71 1535.00 19.54
LME Cu 6090.00 -26.00 -0.43 3060.00 99.02
LME Lead 2146.00 -4.00 -0.19 999.00 114.81
LME Nickel 18600.00 470.00 +2.59 11700.00 58.97
LME Tin 14680.00 85.00 +0.58 10700.00 37.20
LME Zinc 1940.00 19.00 +0.99 1208.00 60.60
SHFE Alu 14835.00 130.00 +0.88 11540.00 28.55
SHFE Cu* 48190.00 1720.00 +3.70 23840.00 102.14
SHFE Zin 15330.00 240.00 +1.59 10120.00 51.48
** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contract month for
SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
(Additional reporting by Michael Taylor and Pratima Desai in
London; Editing by Keiron Henderson and Christian Wiessner)

Commodity charts link

Gold Falls, Paring Weekly Gain, as Dollar Gains on Greece Woes
By Kim Kyoungwha

Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Gold declined, paring its first weekly advance in five, on speculation the dollar will strengthen against major global currencies as the European Union struggles with fiscal deficits in member states.

Gold for immediate delivery slipped 0.5 percent to $1,090.52 an ounce at 1:45 p.m. in Singapore, after jumping 2.2 percent yesterday. The metal has gained 2.3 percent this week. The euro traded near a one-week low against the dollar after the EU stopped short of offering concrete steps to help Greece following a summit yesterday.

Gold remains in a tight temporary trading range, with price downside limited by golds ongoing attraction in the face of economic uncertainty, said Gavin Wendt, Sydney-based senior resource analyst with Mine Life Pty Ltd. On the other hand, immediate upside is limited by some degree of strength in the U.S. dollar.

The euro weakened as statements by European leaders left open how the EU would respond to the threat to the currency from budget deficits in Greece, Spain and Portugal.

The Dollar Index, a six-currency gauge of the greenbacks strength, gained as much as 0.2 percent to 80.149 today.

Nine of 22 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, or 41 percent, said bullion would rise next week. Six forecast lower prices and seven were neutral.

While the inverse relationship between the dollar and the gold price has dominated the market over the past few weeks, gold prices are expected to remain well supported, Ben Westmore, an analyst with National Bank of Australia, wrote in a note to clients. A rise in jewelry consumption and further central bank purchases of gold on price moderation are expected, he wrote.

Silver for immediate delivery rose 0.2 percent to $15.69 an ounce, platinum slid 0.3 percent to $1,525.25 an ounce and palladium decreased 0.6 percent to $419.88 an ounce.

Gold Falls, Paring Weekly Gain, as Dollar Gains on Greece Woes
By Kim Kyoungwha

Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Gold declined, paring its first weekly advance in five, on speculation the dollar will strengthen against major global currencies as the European Union struggles with fiscal deficits in member states.

Gold for immediate delivery slipped 0.5 percent to $1,090.52 an ounce at 1:45 p.m. in Singapore, after jumping 2.2 percent yesterday. The metal has gained 2.3 percent this week. The euro traded near a one-week low against the dollar after the EU stopped short of offering concrete steps to help Greece following a summit yesterday.

Gold remains in a tight temporary trading range, with price downside limited by golds ongoing attraction in the face of economic uncertainty, said Gavin Wendt, Sydney-based senior resource analyst with Mine Life Pty Ltd. On the other hand, immediate upside is limited by some degree of strength in the U.S. dollar.

The euro weakened as statements by European leaders left open how the EU would respond to the threat to the currency from budget deficits in Greece, Spain and Portugal.

The Dollar Index, a six-currency gauge of the greenbacks strength, gained as much as 0.2 percent to 80.149 today.

Nine of 22 traders, investors and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, or 41 percent, said bullion would rise next week. Six forecast lower prices and seven were neutral.

While the inverse relationship between the dollar and the gold price has dominated the market over the past few weeks, gold prices are expected to remain well supported, Ben Westmore, an analyst with National Bank of Australia, wrote in a note to clients. A rise in jewelry consumption and further central bank purchases of gold on price moderation are expected, he wrote.

Silver for immediate delivery rose 0.2 percent to $15.69 an ounce, platinum slid 0.3 percent to $1,525.25 an ounce and palladium decreased 0.6 percent to $419.88 an ounce.

EMU - you have an e-mail

Anglo May Resume Dividend Payment After Asset Sales (Update1)

Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Anglo American Plc may announce a resumption of dividends as early as tomorrow after agreeing to sell part of its Tarmac construction materials unit for $400 million, Credit Suisse Group AG and Liberum Capital Ltd. said.

Anglo, which reports full-year results tomorrow at 7 a.m. in London, scrapped the payout a year ago as commodity prices plunged. The companys shares tumbled 17 percent, the biggest slump in four months, on Feb. 20, the day the suspension was announced. Rival London-listed mining companies Rio Tinto Group and Xstrata Plc restored their dividends last week.

The miner will be keen to restart the dividend as soon as possible, particularly given how badly the dividend cut was taken by investors last year, Credit Suisse analysts Michael Shillaker and Liam Fitzpatrick wrote yesterday in a note. The London-based analysts have an outperform rating on Anglo.

Anglos Chief Executive Officer Cynthia Carroll, who rejected a proposed bid for the company from Switzerlands Xstrata last year, has been trying to regain investors confidence and curb debt with a planned $2 billion in savings from job and cost cuts. Her suspension of dividend payments was the first by the company since World War II.

The company, with stakes in the worlds biggest platinum and diamond producers, said Feb. 16 it will sell parts of its building aggregates unit to Frances Vinci SA and buyout fund Innova/4 LP. Commodity prices rose last year with copper and zinc, mined by Anglo, doubling on the London Metal Exchange.

Diamonds and Platinum

A token dividend is affordable and justifiable, said Liberum Capital, a London-based investment bank, in a note yesterday. The market is not anticipating a dividend restart though we believe Anglo could surprise the market.

Anglo American wont declare a dividend until August 2011, according to forecasts and analysis Bloomberg compiled. Analysts at UBS AG and Macquarie Group said the company wont likely announce a resumption tomorrow. Anglo Americans London-based spokesman James Wyatt-Tilby declined to comment.

Rio and Xstrata revived dividends after selling shares through rights offers and as iron ore and coal prices rose, while Anglo American gets revenue from diamonds and platinum that advanced at a slower pace, according to Henk Groenewald, an analyst at Cape Town-based Coronation Fund Managers Ltd.

Anglo still has a lot of debt, he said. The company, with net debt of $11.3 billion as of June 30, controls Anglo Platinum Ltd., the biggest maker of the precious metal, and holds 45 percent of De Beers, the largest diamond producer.

Anglos Pledge

The parent will report so-called underlying profit fell 54 percent to $1.99 a share in 2009, according to the median of 24 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Xstrata said last week that its full-year net income declined 41 percent, while Rio posted a 33 percent increase.

Anglo has also pledged to take up its full allocations in a 12.5 billion-rand ($1.6 billion) rights offer by Anglo Platinum and a $1 billion offer by De Beers.

Shares of Anglo have dropped 10 percent so far this year in London Stock Exchange trading, while Xstrata is down 4 percent and Rio has climbed 0.7 percent. BHP Billiton Ltd., the worlds largest mining company, is down 0.6 percent.

More than any other company, more than Rio, the canceling of the dividend went down really badly, and theyve come under a lot of pressure since, said Tom Gidley-Kitchin, an analyst with Charles Stanley Group Plc in London.

Platinum Targets 2-Year High After Declines: Technical Analysis
By Glenys Sim

Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Platinum may rally to $2,000 an ounce, presenting a good buying opportunity after a recent drop, Mizuho Corporate Bank Ltd. said, citing trading patterns.

If the metal closes at more than $1,555 an ounce at the end of a month, the bullish momentum should increase, according to a note yesterday from Nicole Elliott, London-based senior technical analyst at Mizuho.

Having almost met our medium-term target in the $1,700 area, spot platinum has slipped from the 61 percent Fibonacci resistance, she wrote. This is good news because it had become terribly overbought. So-called resistance prices may identify clusters of sell orders.

Platinum, which has lost 2 percent this month, reached a record $2,301.50 an ounce on March 4, 2008, and last traded above $2,000 an ounce in July 2008. The precious metal was at $1,514.25 an ounce at 9:03 a.m. in Singapore.

The corrective dip was stemmed by the 26-week moving average but we cannot rule out another deeper leg lower towards $1,400, maybe $1,340, Elliott wrote. This is seen as a good buying opportunity, especially if channel support holds.

Fibonacci analysis is based on the theory that prices rise or fall by certain percentages after reaching a high or low. A break of a level of support indicates a price may move to the next level. A failure indicates a trend may stall. Other key Fibonacci levels include 38.2 percent and 50 percent.

METALS-Copper at 3-week high as economic prospects shine
Thu Feb 18, 2010 4:06pm EST
Chris Kelly and Maytaal Angel NEW YORK/LONDON, Feb 18 (Reuters) -
Copper climbed to its
highest level in three weeks on Thursday, after strong regional
manufacturing data in the United States pointed to brighter
economic prospects and offset labor market concerns and higher
producer inflation. Copper for March delivery on the New York Mercantile
Exchange's COMEX division rose 4.60 cents, or 1.4 percent, to
settle at $3.2855 per lb, its highest level on a closing basis
since Jan. 26. On the London Metal Exchange (LME), benchmark copper for
three-months delivery peaked at $7,336, its highest since Jan. 27,
and was last quoted at $7,260/7,265 a tonne from a close of $7,130
on Wednesday. "You have to take copper as a leader," said Frank McGhee, head
precious metals trader with Integrated Brokerage Services LLC in
Chicago. "It is so sensitive to slow-downs and to pickups, and
stock builds and stock drawdowns, that I think it is trying to
tell you that there is going to be a (economic) uptick." That economic optimism was reflected in two reports showing
stronger gains in factory activity in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region
and a tenth straight monthly rise in a gauge of the economy's
prospects. But separate data, showing a surge in weekly U.S. jobless
claims and a faster-than-expected rise in U.S. January producer
prices tempered the gains. Expectations of increased Chinese demand offered additional
underpinnings for copper prices, analysts said. Chinese markets are closed this week for Lunar New Year
holidays, but analysts expect demand from the world's top copper
consumer will remain robust in the coming weeks. "Demand is looking good. Everyone's bullish in the long run,"
said VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov. "Demand will be good in the second quarter, when the Chinese
come back to the market," he said, adding Chinese demand
traditionally strengthens in weeks after the New Year holidays. EARMARKED Tempering upbeat sentiment, LME copper stocks rose 5,175
tonnes to 555,075, the highest since October 2003. Canceled
warrants -- material earmarked for delivery out of warehouses --
fell to 15,250 tonnes from 16,900 the previous day. Prices of copper and other metals have been gaining traction
in recent weeks thanks to the rise in canceled warrants, which
participants believe indicates a pickup in real demand outside
China. In other metals, aluminum, used in transport and packaging,
closed at $2,114 a tonne from $2,122. LME aluminum stocks fell 3,900 tonnes to total 4.6 million
tonnes - near record levels, while canceled warrants fell to
289,425 tonnes from 293,175 tonnes. However, canceled warrants remain near their highest ever
levels, indicating demand is increasing. Zinc traded at $2,310 a tonne from $2,300, while battery
material lead traded at $2,319 from $2,290. Zinc stocks fell 75 tonnes to 541,300 tonnes, but the fall did
little to combat the previous day's rise of nearly 40,000 tonnes,
which traders believe was sparked in part by tightness around the
May prompt date. Tin traded at $17,050 a tonne from $16,750, and nickel closed
at $20,450 from $20,140. The metal used for galvanizing steel
earlier hit $20,600, marking a six-month high for a third
consecutive day.

Copper Futures Decline After U.S. Consumer Confidence Drops

Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Copper fell the most in almost three weeks after a report showed that confidence among U.S. consumers slid to the lowest level since April, a sign that the recovery in the worlds largest economy may be slow.

The Conference Boards gauge of consumer sentiment declined to 46 in February, the business-backed group said. Thats beneath the lowest forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 68 economists. Copper dropped 8.8 percent last month on concern that a slowing economic rebound will curb demand for the metal used in pipes and wires.

This bad consumer-confidence report is a great excuse for people to take their money off the table and wait to see how things shake out, said Michael K. Smith, the president of T&K Futures & Options in Port St. Lucie, Florida. Its definitely causing concern.

Copper futures for May delivery sank 9.4 cents, or 2.8 percent, to $3.2345 a pound on the New York Mercantile Exchanges Comex unit. That marks the biggest decline for a most-active contract since Feb. 4.

Rio Tinto Group, the worlds third-largest mining company, said the removal of government stimulus packages and slowing consumer spending may dent demand for metals in the second half of the year.

There are plenty of negative forces out there, Vivek Tulpule, the chief economist for London-based Rio, said in an interview.

Copper prices also dropped as the dollar gained, reducing demand for commodities as alternative assets. The U.S. Dollar Index, a six-currency measure of the greenbacks strength, rose as much as 0.6 percent.

On the London Metal Exchange, copper for three-month delivery fell 2.7 percent to $7,132 a metric ton ($3.24 a pound). Aluminum, nickel, tin, lead and zinc prices also declined.

Stocks, Copper, Oil Fall on Greek Debt Risk, U.S. Economic Data
By Nick Baker

Feb. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Stocks and commodities fell and the euro weakened as Moodys Investors Service said it may cut Greeces rating and U.S. employment and durable-goods orders missed forecasts. German two-year yields fell to a record low.

The Standard & Poors 500 Index dropped 1.4 percent at 11:13 a.m. in New York for the biggest loss in three weeks. The MSCI World Index of shares in 23 developed nations slumped 1.5 percent. Copper and oil retreated in New York. The euro weakened against the yen, which strengthened against the 16 most-traded currencies. The yield premium on Greek 10-year bonds versus German debt widened to the most since Feb. 8.

The warning from Moodys, a day after S&Ps statement that it may downgrade Greek debt, rattled investors who drove the euro down more than 8 percent against the yen in 2010 on concern Greeces fiscal woes may spread through Europe. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke testifies to Congress today after saying yesterday that the U.S. economy is in a nascent recovery and requires low interest rates to stoke demand.

Signs of discomfort with sovereign debt are surfacing, with investors putting upward pressure on interest rates in developed nations in Europe, Tony Crescenzi, a strategist and fund manager at Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California, wrote in a research note.

Default Risk

The cost of insuring against default on Greek government debt rose for a fourth day on concern ratings downgrades will cut the nations access to European Central Bank funding. Credit-default swaps on Greece jumped 10 basis points to 394, the highest in more than two weeks, according to CMA DataVision prices at 2:45 p.m. in London.

The premium that investors demand to hold Greek 10-year bonds over German debt widened 14 basis points to 353 basis points, quadruple the average over the past five years.

Greece has to repay more than 20 billion euros ($27 billion) of maturing bonds and bills by the end of May, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. A Moodys downgrade may make it harder for the nations banks to fund themselves by making Greek government debt ineligible as collateral for European Central Bank loans.

The U.S. Labor Department said initial jobless applications rose by 22,000 to 496,000 in the week ended Feb. 20, the highest level in three months. Economists forecast a decline to 460,000, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. In a separate report, the Commerce Department said orders for U.S. durable goods excluding transportation equipment fell 0.6 percent in January, the most since August and compared with the median economist projection for a 1 percent increase.

Caterpillar, UPS

General Electric Co., Caterpillar Inc. and United Parcel Service Inc. led declines in U.S. industrial companies, while Alcoa Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corp. retreated with commodity prices. Coca-Cola Co., the worlds largest soda maker, lost 3.4 percent after agreeing to buy Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc.s North American bottling division. GameStop Corp. lost 8 percent after its chief financial officer quit to join Wal-Mart Stores Inc.

Europes Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index fell 1.6 percent. Tenaris SA led declines in basic-resource shares, losing 11 percent in Italy. British American Tobacco Plc, Europes second- largest cigarette maker, dropped 2.4 percent after reporting net income that missed forecasts.

Copper futures slipped 1.6 percent in New York, while crude oil slumped 2.5 percent.

One-Year High

The yen climbed to a one-year high against the euro as concern Greeces credit ratings may be downgraded spurred investors to unwind positions in riskier assets. The yen appreciated 1.7 percent to 120.11 per euro from 122.03 yen yesterday. It touched 119.76, the first time the currency has fallen below the 120 yen level since Feb. 24, 2009.

Turkish stocks fell, heading for the biggest weekly loss since November 2008, after talks between the army and government today failed to ease political tensions over an alleged coup plot. The main ISE National 100 index lost 1.9 percent after gaining 2 percent earlier. The lira lost 1 percent.

Investors are betting political turmoil will weaken Turkeys lira more than any other currency as the arrest about 50 army officers over an alleged coup plot raises tension between the government and the military. One-month put options that grant the right to sell the lira against the dollar have surged to a 3.4 percentage-point premium over equivalent call options to buy the currency. The gap, known as the risk-reversal rate, widened from 2.25 percentage points a week ago and is the highest of 48 currencies on Bloomberg.

METALS-Copper buckles under dollar strength, China worries
Fri Mar 19, 2010 3:24pm
* LME copper stocks down nearly 30,000 T since March 1

* Nickel stocks at lowest since late December


By Marcy Nicholson and Pratima Desai

NEW YORK/LONDON, March 19 (Reuters) - Copper came under pressure on Friday as the dollar rose and investors worried about demand from China, the world's largest consumer of industrial metals.

Copper for May delivery HGK0 on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division reversed down 2.30 cents to close at $3.3725 per lb, moving from $3.3640 to $3.4110.

Benchmark copper CMCU3 on the London Metal Exchange ended at $7,435 a tonne from $7,486 at the close on Thursday. The metal used in power and construction is up about 20 percent since early February.

The euro fell and was headed for its worst week since January as traders fretted whether Greece will secure euro-zone aid to tackle its debt crisis, while worries about Britain's economy hit sterling. [USD/]

A major risk for industrial metals is the extent and timing of fiscal tightening in China, which is said to account for more than 30 percent of global copper demand -- estimated this year at above 18 million tonnes.

For the next leg up, we do need concerns about China to be alleviated," said Max Layton, analyst at Macquarie.

"For people taking a longer term view there will be opportunities to start accumulating on any dips triggered by macroeconomic weakness."

"Copper is developing a very clearly defined line of overhead resistance, comes in right around the $3.4250 area," said Sterling Smith, analyst for brokers Country Hedging Inc in Minnesota, referring to the May contract trading on NYMEX.

"With the strong dollar today, copper did find a little bit of selling pressure."

Analysts say the copper market is looking at signs of stronger economic growth in the United States, the world's largest economy, and translating that into increased demand for industrial metals.

"There is more confidence that the economy is going to recover, so demand will outweigh supply," said Eugen Weinberg, commodities analyst at Commerzbank.

STAINLESS IMPROVEMENT

Stocks of copper in London Metal Exchange warehouses also helped boost the metal. They have fallen about 30,000 tonnes since March 1 to 522,975 -- the lowest since the middle of January.

"We continue to expect the market to retest all-time highs at some stage this year," VTB Capital said in a note.

Three-month nickel CMNI3 hit $22,900 a tonne, the highest since March 4. It ended at $22,450 a tonne compared with $22,760 at the close on Thursday.

Stocks of nickel in LME warehouses are down 8,724 tonnes since early February to 157,752 tonnes, a level last seen at the end of last year. Stainless steel mills account for about two-thirds of global nickel demand.

"This shift in inventory dynamic was a clear signal that the nickel market was in deficit," Barclays Capital said in a note. "Decline in stocks has been accompanied by reports of improving production levels in the global stainless steel sector."

Consultants Brook Hunt told Reuters in an interview on Thursday that the nickel market this year could see a 10,000 tonne deficit. The nickel market this year is estimated at around 1.4 million tonnes. [ID:ID:nLDE62H12Q]

Industry consultants CRU Group expects the nickel market to see a deficit for the first time in four years. [ID:nLDE62H1BU]

Steel material zinc CMZN3 ended at $2,295 a tonne from $2,333, battery material lead CMPB3 at $2,200 a tonne $2,245 and aluminium CMAL3 at $2,258 a tonne from $2,276.

Tin CMSN3 closed at $17,650 a tonne from Thursday's last bid at $17,790.

Midday Gold price 10.94$/oz

Stephen Bernard, AP Business Writer, On Wednesday May 12, 2010, 5:20 pm
NEW YORK (AP) -- The price of gold reached a record high Wednesday as investors uneasy about the euro put their money and their trust into the metal.

Gold for June delivery jumped as high as $1,249.20 an ounce, nearly $22 above the previous record of $1,227.50 set Dec. 3. It later settled at $1,243.10, up $22.80 from Tuesday's close.

The gold rally is a sign that investors aren't completely convinced that weak European countries will be able to control their rising debts through cost-cutting. The doubts are persisting even though European leaders agreed earlier this week to a nearly $1 trillion bailout to support countries including Greece that are struggling to pay their debts.

The uncertainty has driven investors away from the euro, which is used by 16 European countries, and toward safer investments like gold. Analysts said the potential for other countries to be overwhelmed by debt has investors rethinking how much money they want to put into currencies in general.

"Clearly, gold has become the only reserve currency not backed by debt," said James DiGeorgia, publisher of GoldandEnergyAdvisor.com. DiGeorgia said gold could climb as high as $1,500 an ounce this year.

Gold tends to rise when investors are uneasy about risky investments, and so gold often gains as stocks fall. However, stocks continued to recover from last week's big drop, and that's a further sign that investors' unhappiness right now is with the euro. After a rally early Wednesday, the euro fell back against the dollar and is now hovering near 14-month lows.

The uneasiness with the euro has investors looking into the future rather than concentrating on short-term trades. George Gero, vice president at RBC Global Futures, said there are increasing signs of long-term investor interest in gold, including already strong trading volume for December gold futures.

Silver has also benefited from investors' search for safety. July silver touched a record high of $19.735 an ounce early in the day. It rose 36.9 cents to settle at $19.663 an ounce.

July platinum rose $46.50, or 2.7 percent to settle at $1,747.30 an ounce, while June palladium rose $15.25, or 2.9 percent, to $547.45 an ounce. Both metals have been rising lately on signs of economic strength in the U.S. and abroad. They are used in manufacturing, particularly by automakers.

Oil was one of the few commodities to drop Wednesday.

Benchmark crude for June delivery lost 72 cents to settle at $75.65 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after the International Energy Agency cut its 2010 forecast for global demand in its latest monthly report.

Other energy contracts rose. June heating oil climbed 1.90 cents to settle at $2.1591 a gallon, and gasoline rose 1.52 cents to settle at $2.2104 a gallon. Natural gas gained 15.3 cents to settle at $4.284 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Grain and bean prices were mixed. Wheat dropped 1.75 cents to $4.915 a bushel, while corn rose 1.25 cents to $3.7825 a bushel. Soybeans fell half a cent to $9.655 a bushel.

NEW YORK Palladium and platinum prices fell sharply Wednesday as traders pulled out of the volatile contracts to raise cash as new trading curbs went into effect in Europe.

Palladium tumbled 9 percent and platinum 5 percent after Germany introduced strict restrictions on certain kinds of bearish bets on European debt and stocks.
Investors who had to exit those positions felt they could raise the money to cover those positions by selling palladium and platinum contracts.
So while the restrictions don't specifically curb trading in commodities themselves, they did negatively affect the market.
Palladium for June delivery sank $47.30, or 9.3 percent, to $459.70 an ounce. Platinum for July delivery tumbled $84.80, or 5 percent, to $1,605.70 an ounce.
June gold fell $21.50 to $1,193.10 an ounce, while silver for July delivery fell 76.4 cents to $18.115 an ounce. July copper fell 7.15 cents to $2.9595 a pound.
Benchmark crude for June delivery rose 46 cents to $69.87 a barrel during a volatile day on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It had dropped as low as $67.90, the lowest level since Sept. 30. The July contract fell 22 cents to $72.48 a barrel.
In June contracts, heating oil fell 1.63 cents to $1.9452 a gallon, and gasoline futures dropped 2.79 cents to $2.0152 a gallon. Natural gas fell 18.4 cents to settle at $4.158 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Wheat for July delivery rose 1.5 cent to $4.6925 a bushel;corn fell half a cent to $3.5925 a bushel. Soybeans fell 1 cent to $9.385 a bushel.

By Chris Kelly NEW YORK, July 16 (Reuters) - Copper fell to its lowest level
in about two weeks on Friday after a double-dose of data from the
United States raised fears of a double-dip recession in the
world's largest economy. "The problem I see with copper is right here in the United
States and in Europe," said Sterling Smith, an analyst for Country
Hedging Inc in St. Paul, Minnesota. "We have had a plethora of bad data over the last 10 days, or
so .... I am growing more of the opinion that if we are not
already in the midst of the double-dip, we are on the precipice,"
he said. Copper for September delivery HGU0 on the COMEX metals
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange plunged 8.25 cents,
or 2.7 percent, to finish at $2.9295 per lb, its lowest level on a
settlement basis since July 2. On the London Metal Exchange, benchmark copper CMCU3 shed
$195 to end at $6,485 per tonne. In after hours business, selling
momentum dragged it down further to $6,477 per tonne, a low dating
back to July 6. The metal used in power and construction has ranged between
$6,300 and $6,900 since the middle of June. Economic sentiment, already fragile from worse-than-expected
manufacturing data and dovish U.S. Federal Reserve minutes this
week, took another hit from data Friday showing U.S. consumer
prices fell for a third straight month in June and consumer
sentiment crumble in early July to its lowest level in 11 months.
[ID:nN1653074] "I think we have a situation here where copper, which is a
good leading indicator of the economy, is telling us that things
are not happy and not good," Country Hedging's Smith said. He added the market was still digesting Thursday figures from
top-consumer China, showing its annual gross domestic product
growth moderated to 10.3 percent from 11.9 percent in the first
quarter. [ID:nTOE66D06L] DEMAND SCEPTICISM The euro EUR= pulled back from a two-month high versus a
broadly weaker dollar, while the dollar index .DXY erased
earlier losses and moved into positive territory later in the
session. [USD/] Despite its usual tendency to boost dollar-denominated assets
when under selling pressure, the dollar's earlier weakness did
little to stem market declines. "You can see in other times when you'd have the same magnitude
of a euro rally, it would have had much more of an impact ... we
are just not seeing the speculative demand push into the market,"
one COMEX trader said. "There is questionable economic conditions, and traders are
looking at these markets with some scepticism on the demand side,"
he said. Three-month aluminum CMAL3 was last bid at $1,978/$1,979 a
tonne from $2,018 at the close on Thursday. Zinc CMZN3 slipped
$13 to end at $1,797, tin CMSN3 sank $200 to $17,750, and lead
CMBP3 ended $1,770 a tonne from Thursday's last bid at $1,798. Nickel CMNI3 shed $450 to finish at $18,950 per tonne.