markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
Balerboy
- 03 Mar 2010 08:58
- 3792 of 6492
Drill for rubber now are we....... could see cynic in that......
HARRYCAT
- 03 Mar 2010 09:01
- 3793 of 6492
As predicted, sp drifts as drilling continues, with no news & day traders + opportunists find other stocks to pillage. As TD approaches & anticipated RNS, the hype should push up the sp. All imo.
oily1
- 03 Mar 2010 09:11
- 3794 of 6492
Question is though, Harry, when will TD be reached for Liz ? My own opinion, and that's all it is, is that they will have an ROP of about 60 feet per hour, give or take. Ok, you've gotta stop drilling to run casing, cement the casing, change out the bha, etc, etc, but I think that come mid to late next week we should be getting very close to the 2680 metres which is where Liz is located. Watch the SP closely then - it will reveal whether or not Liz is abundant....
Edit :
I just had a look on BGS website to try and find the ROP for wells in '98. Got a bit of a shock when I realised just how quick the ROP was. We could be hitting the pay dirt earlier than I anticipated. I just posted this on a d v f n too.
cynic
- 03 Mar 2010 11:19
- 3795 of 6492
should be rechristened UNDES
either someone knows an awful lot more than us, or a big short position being built in case of no find
skinny
- 03 Mar 2010 11:21
- 3796 of 6492
required field
- 03 Mar 2010 11:29
- 3797 of 6492
Nothing will happen.....The Falklands are British, end of story....it's just keeping the peace that's all,.....bought some more this morning...worth the risk : it will double if they strike anything at all....if not, roll on the next well !.
required field
- 03 Mar 2010 11:42
- 3798 of 6492
Support level : now watch the rebound...just becoming too cheap...has to go up....
hlyeo98
- 03 Mar 2010 13:48
- 3799 of 6492
Time to buy more and RKH too
cynic
- 03 Mar 2010 14:01
- 3800 of 6492
the argies can bargie as much as they like, but your right - it will not ne iota of difference
however, DES order book still very heavily weighted with sellers, as it has been for last week or more
HARRYCAT
- 03 Mar 2010 14:06
- 3801 of 6492
Are those 'limit sells'? If so, in what price range?
cynic
- 03 Mar 2010 14:19
- 3802 of 6492
funnily enough have just checked L2 and it is indeed a skewed order book, as a lot of sell orders are at 115 and higher ..... at a very quick mental count, about 1m at 115 and above, so on reconsideration, realistic book is balanced or thereabouts
HARRYCAT
- 03 Mar 2010 14:27
- 3803 of 6492
Thanks. I wonder how many of those limit sells around the 115p level will be withdrawn as we get nearer the TD date. Seems a bit pointless selling at that price if oil struck. If not... 115 is immaterial.
cynic
- 03 Mar 2010 14:29
- 3804 of 6492
shares on offer range between 115 and 230
hlyeo98
- 03 Mar 2010 14:31
- 3805 of 6492
DES has been grossly oversold then.
HARRYCAT
- 03 Mar 2010 14:32
- 3806 of 6492
Ah! 230p. Now you are talking! That would do very nicely!
cynic
- 03 Mar 2010 14:33
- 3807 of 6492
doesn't follow .... it's only true if oil is found in good quantity .... that said, there has probably been a lot of selling from o'exposed positions
TheFrenchConnection
- 03 Mar 2010 17:56
- 3808 of 6492
Relax -Theres oil there . Without question / caused a war for f*** sake. ,,As early as 1965 the CIA boyz said the islands were floating on the stuff..- hundreds of BILLIONS of bbls they said - /Shell verified in the 90s but with revised estimates of tens of billions ; but what with oil then at a pittance and available elsewhere coupled with the daunting drilling environment, and the absence of todays tec, they abandoned their project. But with oil now @ $80 p/b, latest tec and proffessional big shorters closing their positions on price p/bbl , oil is only going north. Question only being can DES or Fogl access this oil in both good quantity and quality ?.....as always mms are ruthlessly exploiting this criteria and lining their pockets..
TheFrenchConnection
- 03 Mar 2010 18:05
- 3809 of 6492
lev 2 orderbook is indeed skewed -personally i find it hard to rationalize. Do u find it balanced Mr C ? Surely 96p is oversold
cynic
- 03 Mar 2010 18:43
- 3810 of 6492
surely you're not becoming one of those tiresome conspiracy theorists (your post 3808)?
i agree that the odds of finding commercial oil are shorter than usual, but that sure as hell does not mean every well sunk is going to hit a bonanza; there will certainly be dusters and you/we had better hope that DES's first attempt is not one of those ..... like i said, 96 is only o'sold if oil is found
HARRYCAT
- 03 Mar 2010 19:43
- 3811 of 6492
TFC - I read a while back that there are billions of barrels of oil underneath the Rockies, but that the U.S. & Canada were going to sit on it until everyone else had run out. Being a sceptic, I say 'until it's proven, it's only rumour & even then may not be commercially recoverable'. Likewise The Falklands.