markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
cynic
- 03 Mar 2010 18:43
- 3810 of 6492
surely you're not becoming one of those tiresome conspiracy theorists (your post 3808)?
i agree that the odds of finding commercial oil are shorter than usual, but that sure as hell does not mean every well sunk is going to hit a bonanza; there will certainly be dusters and you/we had better hope that DES's first attempt is not one of those ..... like i said, 96 is only o'sold if oil is found
HARRYCAT
- 03 Mar 2010 19:43
- 3811 of 6492
TFC - I read a while back that there are billions of barrels of oil underneath the Rockies, but that the U.S. & Canada were going to sit on it until everyone else had run out. Being a sceptic, I say 'until it's proven, it's only rumour & even then may not be commercially recoverable'. Likewise The Falklands.
TheFrenchConnection
- 03 Mar 2010 20:56
- 3812 of 6492
lronically i felt you would pick up on that Mr. C so quickly hasten to add that we should not be surprised if the first or second well sunk comes up non viable...- thats the nature of the beast ..Our knowledge of drilling, or come to that , oil in general( both up and downstream ) is insufficient to g/tee success the first time, and/or every time -l feel that very inference is in posting 3808 but you have ignored it to furthur your view ..- but l certainly dont hold any conspiaracy theories. .Only time will tell i guess.
required field
- 04 Mar 2010 09:18
- 3815 of 6492
Up we go.....looks like I topped up at the right time !.
robstuff
- 04 Mar 2010 16:27
- 3816 of 6492
could be the weekend, in that case you'd better be sure you're in tomorrow. strong rally tomorrow? i'm hoping
dealerdear
- 04 Mar 2010 16:33
- 3817 of 6492
The sp is bound to be shorted and vica versa ie played with until news becomes imminent. FWIW analysts reckon there is a 20% chance of finding oil.
dealerdear
- 04 Mar 2010 16:47
- 3819 of 6492
The trouble is markymar, what we expect is quite often what we don't get!
cynic
- 04 Mar 2010 17:00
- 3821 of 6492
today's rise almost certainly just a bear squeeze ....... finding oil is usually reckoned at 20%, so i would hazard more like 33% or maybe a bit shorter .... ultimately, DES will score or fail (on this well) 100%
halifax
- 04 Mar 2010 17:08
- 3822 of 6492
cynic so do you have long and a short positions?
required field
- 04 Mar 2010 20:22
- 3823 of 6492
Depends if he is at the front or the back of the aircraft !.
cynic
- 05 Mar 2010 06:53
- 3824 of 6492
long haul i only ever travel at the sharp end
required field
- 05 Mar 2010 08:14
- 3826 of 6492
No it isn't !....we would not be drilling it today and I would not have shares in DES.....
robstuff
- 05 Mar 2010 09:10
- 3827 of 6492
I think the chances are much greater 50/50 for me - still a gamble but then there's several holes to drill and only takes one to be a gusher.
halifax
- 05 Mar 2010 12:24
- 3829 of 6492
presumably news from the Ocean Guardian is still negative.