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Desire Petroleum are drilling in Falklands (DES)     

markymar - 03 Dec 2003 11:36

free hit countersDesire Petroleum

<>Desire Petroleum plc (Desire) is a UK company listed on the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) dedicated to exploring for oil and gas in the North Falkland Basin.

Desire has recently completed a 6 well exploration programme. The Liz well encountered dry gas and gas condensate at 2 separate levels while other wells recorded shows.
Together with the Rockhopper Exploration Sea Lion oil discovery in the licence to the north, these wells have provided significant encouragement for the potential of the North Falkland Basin. The oil at Sea Lion is of particular interest as this has demonstrated that oil is trapped in potentially significant quantities in a fan sandstone on the east flank of the basin. It is believed that over 50% of this east flank play fairway is on Desire operated acreage.

Desire has now completed new 3D seismic acquisition which provides coverage over the east flank play, Ann, Pam and Helen prospects. The results from fast-track processing of priority areas are provided in the 2011 CPR. A farm-out to Rockhopper has been announced. The revised equities are shown on the licence map (subject to regulatory approval and completion of the farm-in well).
Desire Petroleum

Rockhopper Exploration

British Geological Survey

Argos Resources



Latest Press Realeses from Desire

markymar - 05 Mar 2010 17:44 - 3850 of 6492

ptholden if you start to listen to the likes of Halifax youre in trouble!!!!!He cant see the wood from the trees.

On the ocean Guardian the crew keep in touch over the internet with their family and friends and you cant monitor the likes of face book ect .

There will be no news until they get to the acquired depth.....

halifax - 05 Mar 2010 17:53 - 3851 of 6492

marky wake up don't you think family and friends won't talk to the SUN or the MIRROR?

TheFrenchConnection - 05 Mar 2010 18:01 - 3852 of 6492

agree to a degree halifax . Can understand what u mean by a short-as s/p of late bounces up and down from 96/7 to 107/10 in double quick time -l dont think u mean a short of that nature but surely if first well is a duster u wont need tight SL,,/,,,but in saying that why would a sensible man like yourself overexpose himself on what, you yourself, see as a turn of a coin ?

TheFrenchConnection - 05 Mar 2010 18:06 - 3853 of 6492

marky ,,,were you in on des years ago when s/p was buttons .......seem to remember you

ptholden - 05 Mar 2010 18:27 - 3854 of 6492

Oh, so it's a short IF the drill is a duster. I take it then it's a long IF the drill is a gusher?

Your post is totally without logic or common sense, no surprise there, in fact it's utterly inane and stupid.

Now if you had supported your comment with some TA, I would have been all ears. From a chart perspective it's a possible short if it makes a lower low and breaches trendline support with momentum rather than just piercing it intra-day.

Marky, I don't really listen to anybody on FBB, but I like to see comments backed up with a cohesive argument. As far as the crew of the rig are concerned, I have no idea what restrictions are based on their communications, although as previously stated I doubt they have free rein.

halifax - 05 Mar 2010 18:30 - 3855 of 6492

TFC the tight stop on the short is protection if oil/gas is found, and then we run our long position...get it?

ptholden - 05 Mar 2010 18:33 - 3856 of 6492

If oil or gas is found, your tight stop will be left a long way behind and you'll be taken out much higher up and therefore worthless. If you're trading with SBs or CFDs recommend you make it a guaranteed stop and pay the premium.

PS. Why does it look like a short?

halifax - 05 Mar 2010 18:38 - 3857 of 6492

pth you don't need technical analysis either DES makes a strike or it doesn't so backing this donkey both ways means you can end up a winner providing you have intelligent stops in place, surprised you don't understand what is an easy strategy.

halifax - 05 Mar 2010 18:40 - 3858 of 6492

pth guaranteed stops are always a must don't you know?

ptholden - 05 Mar 2010 18:46 - 3859 of 6492

Halixax, don't patronise me, I fully understand your strategy, what I don't understand is why it 'looks like a short' and quite obviously neither do you, otherwise we might have had a coherent riposte rather than assuming the drill will be a duster.

I'm afraid you've shown yourself up here, best you keep quiet unless you have something worthwhile to offer.

halifax - 05 Mar 2010 18:53 - 3860 of 6492

pth as you may appreciate most punters are long DES being ever optimistic! Taking a short position with a guaranteed stop would protect them from what may become an expensive disappointment. If the first drill is a duster even you must realise the sp would crash.

cynic - 05 Mar 2010 19:38 - 3861 of 6492

Q .... what premium a GUARANTEED stop? ...... i wager it's its very heavy indeed (30/40p?) and will have been for several weeks, so please enlighten us halifax, or have you not actually married money with mouth? ..... if you insist, i could probably check it in the morning, always subject to being near my computer (work beckons)

cynic - 05 Mar 2010 19:40 - 3862 of 6492

whoops! my time out of kilter .... could not do until monday, but no chance then as am flying to/from elsewhere

HARRYCAT - 05 Mar 2010 21:25 - 3863 of 6492

So, in summary to all of the above posts, can I assume then that whichever position you hold, you are either going to win or lose depending on the result of the first drill. There is therefore no hedging position?
Also to re-iterate a broker's summary of the risks (can't find the exact ref atm, but will persevere) the likelihood of success of the first well hitting a commercially viable reservoir is approx 20%. That's not to say that if the first well is a duster, then we all pack up & go home. But 50% probability is ludicrous, imo.

cynic - 06 Mar 2010 05:37 - 3864 of 6492

pretty much that harry ...... the idea of hedging with a short + guaranteed stop is great, but the reality is 99% certain to be uneconomical ...... shorting as a hedge without the guaranteed stop is just dumb ..... whatever one's view, basic prudence is to ensure that you can afford to lose perhaps 50/75% of your stake in the event that the first hole is a dud.

imo, the result from this first well will set the sentiment for all minnow-shares operating in the region for quite some time ..... that said, should this first hole be just that, then it is a racing certainty that there will be an over-reaction as packs of lemmings hurtle over the cliff ..... there will then come a point where an excellent trading opportunity will present - or an opportunity to buy on the cheap for long(er) term.

DES will be very well aware of the importance of this first attempt, and as i posted some time back, i think they will have chosen the most promising site for this ..... but that does not mean they have got it right, as the history of drilling for oil regularly reminds us.



required field - 06 Mar 2010 09:19 - 3865 of 6492

We may not get an update if the first target is dry.....and might be a late one on the follow up......but the chances are high that during this year Desire Petroleum will come up with the goods !.

markymar - 06 Mar 2010 12:33 - 3866 of 6492

TheFrenchConnection when i was told from crew member that the last shell well was free flowing oil to the surface and had to be capped i bought in at 1.47p.....oil was $12 a barrel and shell never tested the well and walked away.Over the years i have bought in and the lowest was at 7.8p so i have a significant holding in Desire and could walk away now and have made enough money to change my life.

Its not about if oil is found its when and how much!!!!

Liz if comes up trumps could put 6 on the share price if duster like halifax would like to point out then the share price will fall....but i hope they carry on drilling in to Beth which if oil found will put a 5 on the share price.
Possible share price of 10 from one drill.......down side both dusters and the share price falls to 40p........massive scenarios and both life changing.

Whats interesting is that both these prospect will be drilled and evaluated and they have at least 3 months to examine all the data and then decide where to drill next, what they will learn from drilling these 2 prospects will hopefully lead us to drill the next successful target.

Halifax i think you have a little understanding of how big this drilling campaign is as the oil rig will be possibly there for a year drilling and testing different plays and this share in a years time will be 10p or 20+ a share.

When oil if found in commercial quantities then there is a proven petroleum system then all prospect will get a price put on them regardless if they have not be drilled.....Desire are shouting 3.5 billion barrels on the 10 prospects in there acreage........they have a lot more than 10 prospects.

halifax - 06 Mar 2010 12:46 - 3867 of 6492

cynic glad you like our idea of shorting with a guaranteed stop but as we stated in 3842 only if you can get one, DES is likely to move up or down swiftly and violently as soon as drilling results are known, if like us you are long then try to get as much protection as possible.(by the way IG won't do it.) The question of the cost of controlled risk premium is relevant where a sp is likely to be less volatile than expected in this case.

halifax - 06 Mar 2010 12:49 - 3868 of 6492

marky we hope you are right!

cynic - 06 Mar 2010 13:16 - 3869 of 6492

my holding is sufficient if lots of oil is found, and not so large that i'll jump off a bridge if this first well is a dud .... after the result is announced (RF - don't be so silly! ... an rns will be obligatory), a new game will start

halifax - no one but no one is going to offer a modest enough premium for a guaranteed stop to make such an exercise worthwhile.
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